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Will Work For Free | OFFICIAL RELEASE | 2013

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    _________________
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    ________________
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    ________________
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    Животът.. всичко е за оцеляването и никой
    от нас не знае колко му остава на тази планета.
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    Нашата задача, като вид е да предвиждаме и
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    елиминираме заплахите за нашето
    оцеляване.
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    Коя ли е най-голямата заплаха?
    Замърсяването? Болестите? Природните бедствия?
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    Вглеждайки се сме открили и идентифицирали
    доста потенциални заплахи,
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    и затова имаме "война срещу тероризма", "война
    срещу престъпленията", наркотиците, ракът...
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    но замисляме ли се над основните
    ни животоподържащи нужди?
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    По принцип не е нужно, защото за щастие
    имаме система, система при която
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    цената на тези нужди може да се плати. Можеш
    да работиш за пари, които
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    да ти осигурят храна, вода и
    дом, и е добре, че имаме такава
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    система, защото без пари си
    загубен. А, ако останеш без работа
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    пак няма нужда да се притесняваш, защото
    имаме и друга система. Ако не си на работа,
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    независимо защо, просто кандидатстваш
    за социална помощ.
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    Понеже всички работещи плащат данъци, а
    правителството разбира, че определен
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    процент безработица е нормално да се
    очаква, те просто отделят част от парите
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    от данъци и ги прехвърлят към безработните
    хора, чрез магическия процес на преразпределението.
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    Но това те кара да се замислиш. Ако това
    е голямото ни решение, то къде е границата?
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    Какво ниво на безработица можем да подържаме?
    И какво би се случило, ако изведнъж работните места
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    изчезнат?
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    Светът е изправен пред огромно предизвикателство
    и е нужно да се открият, чуйте това,
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    шестотин милиона работни позиции, за да
    има икономически растеж и социална сплотеност.
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    ____________
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    Maveric Media представя:
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    Defence giant BAE SYSTEMS has confirmed its
    cutting almost three thousand jobs at sites
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    across the country.
    Tata Steel which employs nineteen thousand
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    people in its UK steel business has announced
    it is cutting nine hundred jobs around the
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    UK
    Another blow to the region's economy today
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    as the energy giant EON has announced that
    six hundred jobs are to go at a call centre
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    in Essox
    The Phyzer facility in Kent, the world's
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    biggest drugs company runs the UKs largest
    foreign owned research and developments facility.
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    It will close entirely with the loss of most
    of two thousand four hundred jobs.
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    Ford has announced to trade union representatives
    that it will cease manufacturing cars in the
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    UK after more than one hundred years.
    Japans Honda is to cut around eight hundred
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    jobs at its plant near Swindon in south-west
    England.
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    And we start tonight with news at the BBC
    has announced cuts and job losses across the
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    region as part of a plan to make twenty percent
    savings
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    Hundreds of police jobs have already been
    slashed with thousands more under threat
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    Kodak the firm that invented the handheld
    camera and remains one of Americas best known
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    brands has filed for bankruptcy protection.
    Rangers football club one of the most famous
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    in Britain has announced its gone into administration.
    More than three hundred of the eight hundred
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    stores that Woolworths use to occupy are still
    standing empty more than a year and a half
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    after it collapsed at the end of 2008.
    More retailers are expected to go bust over
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    the next few months.
    All one hundred and eighty seven outlets are
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    to be shut with the loss of almost fourteen
    hundred jobs, the administrator said that
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    it is apparent we cannot continue to trade.
    It was once Britain's biggest sports retailer
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    but today JJB SPORTS announced plans to go
    into administration.
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    Six and a half thousand jobs are at risk after
    electrical retailer Comet announced it's
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    going into administration.
    More than four thousand jobs at risk after
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    HMV announced that it was going into administration,
    it follows other chains.
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    Its Blockbuster, its become the latest casualty
    on the high-street this week, a quarter of
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    its stores are going to close, more than seven
    hundred people are going to be made redundant.
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    There's serious doubts now about the future
    of around six thousand jobs around the UK
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    after the company asked for its shares to
    be suspended last Wednesday.
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    Former LaSenza employees have come to the
    decision to occupy the store as a direct consequence
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    of the actions of management.
    A buyer hasn't been found with the group
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    currently employs a total of nearly four thousand
    staff.
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    Taiwan's IT giant FOXCONN announced its
    plans to replace up to half a million human
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    workers with robots in the next three years.
    It's called "scan as you shop" customers
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    love it. It's a very simple system.
    Each load is almost three hundred tons, but
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    look closely. There's no one behind the
    wheel.
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    The facility boasts the first robotics system
    in the UK to deliver supplies such as linen
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    and food and an automated robotic pharmacy.
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    A Sam Vallely FILM
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    Will work for food
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    Will work for free
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    This isn't the first time unemployment has
    been a threat to this system.
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    20 years ago, UK unemployment accounted for
    10% of the population. It marked one of the
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    worst recessions in our history with significant
    waves of rioting. However in ninety three,
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    unemployment took a turn, somehow the jobs
    came back and things got better.
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    This growth in employment is just what we
    needed, however it only lasted till two thousand
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    one. Then the rates stagnated, the increased.
    By two thousand nine we were back to around
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    eight percent. But it's reassuring to see
    the recent trends of unemployment have slowed
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    since then. Or at least it would be reassuring,
    if it weren't for this. This chart shows
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    the trends of part time versus full time employment.
    Notice how the increase in part time employment
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    runs almost parallel to the decrease of full
    time employment. So, where one person may
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    have been working say, a 40 hours week contract...
    now, two people would each be contracted 20
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    hour, and funnily enough, this cross over
    section occurred in two thousand nine. So
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    because technically more people are employed,
    the rates falsely imply a slight slowing down
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    of job loss, but in reality, the amount of
    avalible work is shrinking and the economy
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    is only getting worse.
    Sso what happened last time we were in this
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    mess going? let's go back to 93, what changed?
    Was it an orderly street protest which brought
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    back the jobs?
    Perhaps it was some well thought out policy
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    from parliament that changed things.
    Maybe everyone just stopped being lazy and
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    simultaneously arrived at the decision to
    go out there and get a job. But maybe it has
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    something to do with technology.
    In 93 Microsoft realised their Windows NT
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    operating system, Intel developed the first
    Pentium processor and the National Centre
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    for Supercomputing Applications released version
    1 of "Mosaic" which was to be world's
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    first internet web browser. It is estimated
    the Internet grew throughout the 90's at
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    a rate of 100% per year. Subsequently improving
    global communication and creating many jobs
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    within developed countries. Now to remove
    any speculation as to whether or not this
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    was the reason for the growth in jobs, it
    should be noted that throughout the nineties,
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    our employment trends were almost identical
    to the U.S. trends and in a 2007 paper, a
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    team of Harvard economists found "the economic
    expansion of the nineties was in fact driven
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    by the increased efficiency in the production
    of IT, including computing, software and telecommunication.
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    The birth of the internet had propelled us
    in to a new age and saved us from further
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    degradation. However, while emerging technology
    is responsible for having created many new
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    jobs, technology has been known to replace
    jobs throughout history.
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    When employment stagnated in two thousand
    one, this wasn't because technology had
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    stopped expanding or that there weren't
    any new ideas, the stagnation is simply because
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    technology is ever improving, and the numbers
    of new jobs were being matched by the number
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    of job losses.
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    Economists will always deny that technology
    replaces jobs. It's called the Lump of labour
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    fallacy. Essentially it's the notion that
    technology merely redistributes human workers,
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    the jobs which become obsolete or automated
    simply allow humans to explore new sectors,
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    perhaps even invent new industries which have
    yet to be conceived of. Well, while this idea
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    may have been partially true in the past,
    the argument simply doesn't hold up anymore.
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    Computers these days are much smaller, faster
    and durable, with ever increasing mobility,
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    dexterity and artificial intelligence. They
    also become cheaper as time goes on. Moore's
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    law demonstrates how computer processing power
    doubles approximately every eighteen months.
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    So even if we were to create new jobs... why
    are we pretending we would give these jobs
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    to humans?
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    So what does the government have to say about
    all this? Well In June of 2011 not knowing
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    what to do with the increasing unemployment,
    they invested ВЈ5B in the welfare to work
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    scheme, also known as the work program. This
    five year program promises to help 2.4 million
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    people, find and secure long term employment
    by paying private companies to do the work
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    of actually looking for jobs on behalf of
    their unemployed clients.
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    One year later the department for work and
    pensions released the figures. Turns out the
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    work program was a complete failure... only
    3.4% of all those who signed up to the program
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    actually found work. 3.4%! Let's just put
    that into context. What percentage of people
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    looking for work, gained employment without
    the help of the program? 1%? 2%? Well the
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    figures from the same period showed 5.5%...
    That's right; if you are assigned to a program
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    you are statistically less likely to find
    a job. Now, the failure of the work program
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    can be largely attributed to the lack of available
    jobs, but perhaps there's another factor,
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    in joining the program, if you find a job,
    you forfeit your right to minimum wage employment
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    and in place you are subsidised with an amount
    equivalent to job seekers allowance. Making
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    the work program essentially a paid slavery
    scheme, excused under the guise of gaining
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    experience. In late 2012, university graduate
    Cait Reilly disputed the legality of the program
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    after being assigned to stacking shelves in
    Poundland. Initially the appeal was rejected;
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    however after further appeal by 2013 three
    judges had ruled "the regulations, under
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    which most of the back-to-work schemes were
    created, are unlawful"
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    Whatever the government's response to this
    ruling will be, they will not stop in their
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    efforts to resolve the threat of unemployment,
    but let's face it. Unemployment is not a
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    threat to this system for the reasons we are
    usually given by mainstream outlets. Forget
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    all the noise about the recession, benefit
    cheats, immigration or this idea that people
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    are simply too lazy to look for a job.
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    Atomisation, thus technological unemployment
    is a mathematical inevitability of a system
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    based on perpetual growth. And this pending
    eventuality is vastly misunderstood by the
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    majority. And not just the majority of voters,
    there isn't a single politician who acknowledges
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    let alone understands the implications of
    technological unemployment. And what's worse,
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    when human beings don't understand something,
    that's where fear comes from. We fear what
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    we don't understand, and we fight what we
    don't understand.
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    Ok I have a very concrete question for you
    because you're getting wrapped up in this
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    money and regulators and who is at fault.
    Technological automation is replacing jobs
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    at the moment and it has been forever, it's
    doubling every year, that's the rate regardless
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    of what financial system you have and what
    regulators you put in their place. So, without
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    jobs as a basis for the economy, it's not
    really a question more of a statement, your
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    system is going to be obsolete and in fact
    your very lucky that you've been working
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    this long because you get to get out at the
    last floor, its going away.
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    Yeah but on the other side of the coin I fear
    for my children. Absolutely, absolutely so
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    why are you a fan of the banks then?
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    Retail
    High-street
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    In recent times high street shops have been
    disappearing at staggering rates, taking thousands
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    of jobs with them.
    1998 - 2009 First Quench Retailing
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    1909 - 2009 Woolworths
    1973 - 2011 Hawkin's Bazaar
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    1999 - 2011 D2 Jeans
    1990 - 2011 Officers Club
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    1987 - 2011 Focus DIY
    1931 - 2012 Blacks
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    1990 - 2012 La Senza
    2008 - 2012 Best Buy Europe
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    1968 - 2012 Clinton Cards
    1903 - 2012 Barratts
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    1993 - 2012 Gamestation
    1933 - 2012 Comet
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    1991 - 2012 Optical Express
    1971 - 2012 JJB Sports
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    1963 - 2012 Oddbins
    1992 - 2012 Game Group
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    1921 - 2012 HMV
    1935 - 2013 Jessops
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    1934 - 2013 Ethel Austin
    1985 - 2013 Blockbuster and more.
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    Now, it's obvious some of these stores have
    not disappeared entirely. Many have moved
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    into warehouse distribution and their stores
    still exist in the form of websites; you may
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    also be wondering why I have included companies
    like Game in this list, since there are in
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    fact GAME stores on the high street today.
    Well I do so to make a point, see in 2012
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    when GAME went bust, the Swedish "Nordic Games"
    acquiesced the GAME Group, they acquired the
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    brand as well as the companies stores and
    employee contracts. But this is actually a
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    different company altogether. GAME wasn't
    resurrected through strategical advertising,
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    market booms or stern administrative decisions.
    The company we all knew as "GAME" went
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    bust... It lost. But GAME still had brand
    status. If it didn't, these shops fronts
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    would read "Nordic Games".
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    So why is there so much failure in retail?
    Are we merely witnessing the natural boom
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    and bust cycles of free market economics?
    Or are we actually witnessing a retail transition?
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    Looking back, our high streets were consisted
    of small family owned businesses, but the
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    more companies grows, mergers and acquisitions
    become inevitable and the smaller stores get
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    phased out as they struggle to compete for
    market share, eventually being replaced by
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    conglomerates.
    In much the same way, a natural evolution
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    of retail is occurring again. Only this time
    the shops are being phased out and the replacement
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    is coming in the form of websites. And software
    applications, which are conveniently accessible
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    with smart phones, are subsequently reduce
    our dependency on outlets such as high-street
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    banks, betting shops and travel agencies.
    You've probably already witnessed technological
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    unemployment on some level. For camera and
    film orientated shops like Jessops, it's
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    not so hard to understand. Barely anyone with
    a modern phone is going to buy a disposable
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    camera and pay money to have film developed;
    and there probably aren't too many people
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    with 8-megapixle camera phones who also require
    digital cameras. Due to advancing technology
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    these stores had suddenly become "specialist
    stores" their customers now having to mainly
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    consist of serious photographers.
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    Entertainment
    For music, video and games stores, there are
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    five main threats here.
    One -- Supermarkets, supermarkets are selling
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    a lot of the same products and most of the
    time cheaper.
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    Two - On-line Stores like Amazon, they also
    offer good deals with the added comfort twenty
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    four hour browsing and of course, item delivery.
    Three - Pawn shops like cash converters, they
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    get away with selling entertainment at a second
    hand rate making them even cheaper than the
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    supermarkets.
    Four -- On-line digital downloads and streaming,
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    with apps like iTunes and Netflix conveniently
    accessible through smart TV's, gaming consoles,
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    PC, and most phone and tablet devices. But
    let's not forget about five. Good old fashion
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    piracy. With the advancements of fibre optic
    broadband, you can now download entire movies
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    in a matter of minutes. Not that I'm suggesting
    you do that of course. That would be illegal.
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    I'm just saying it's easier and faster
    than going to the shops, waiting on the post
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    man or signing in the Netflix account on the
    PS3. As an aside, if any part of you is enraged
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    at the thought of all these immoral people
    illegally sharing media. Why not aim some
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    of that authentic aggression at the idea of
    a society which distributes digital entertainment
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    in physical form. The wastefulness of this
    would be equivalent to having a unique physical
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    address in order to access each and every
    website in existence. But perhaps you li the
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    plastic cases... and what's wrong with the
    plastic cases? Well, the case itself is made
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    from polypropylene, while the clear film sleeve
    is made from polyester. By bonding these different
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    plastic materials together, it makes them
    almost impossible to properly recycle on large
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    scale, so when the plastic rips, breaks or
    even just gets old and wasted.. They have
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    to be either buried in landfills or incinerated
    which of course produces toxic chemicals.
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    and this is the system we support by the way
    we choose to purchase entertainment, despite
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    having had the possibility of digital alternatives
    for over a decade.
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    Asking people to shop in these stores is asking
    us to live in an unnatural counter progressive
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    way.
    So perhaps the failure of these stores is
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    a good thing. But good or bad, a digital acquisition
    is upon us and the failures of these stores
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    are simply a matter of time. And yes, even
    if they sell their brand status, they are
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    failing. Nordic GAME won't be too far behind
    either.
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    But what about book stores like Waterstones?
    Well the increase of tablets and e-book readers
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    certainly poses a threat. However I can imagine
    the feel of a book, which people are oh so
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    nostalgic about, will be used as a "justification"
    argument for the continued stifling of a successful
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    digital transition. But, even without a digital
    alternative, Waterstone's in particular
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    is facing the same threat of on-line distribution
    as well as competition from supermarkets.
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    As are almost all product based stores - products
    to do with body care, cosmetics, clothing,
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    mobile phones, electronic appliances and even
    musical equipment. However there is an argument
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    to be made that physical stores are different,
    perhaps better than a website or a supermarket,
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    in that they provide "knowledgeable staff".
    Perhaps you're not sure what product is
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    best for you. In these shops, you can interact
    with friendly sales people who are qualified
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    to offer advice and help you make the right
    decision. Well, while it is true that retail
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    employees are trained to help customers and
    they are required to have a certain level
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    of knowledge about the product. They also
    have something which no one really questions.
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    Sales targets, either the staff or the store
    itself will have target requirements. If i
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    wandered into a phone shop unsure of what
    to buy and make the mistake of telling the
  • 22:29 - 22:34
    sales person that I'm not too familiar with
    the differences I leave myself open to a product
  • 22:34 - 22:40
    sale bias, in this scenario the store has
    no problems selling the "best" products.
  • 22:40 - 22:46
    So instead I might be presented with an inferior
    product which the store is struggling to offload,
  • 22:46 - 22:52
    the sales person's job here becomes distorted,
    and I the customer will most likely be subjected
  • 22:52 - 22:56
    to an eager sales pitch as opposed to honest
    insight.
  • 22:56 - 23:00
    You are going to get whats ever in this box
    for ВЈ24.99 Oh No! NO! He's put three bottles
  • 23:00 - 23:07
    of "sex in the City" for twenty six pounds
    ninety nine! At thirty six quid each! You
  • 23:10 - 23:14
    need to buy...
    Boys please! Please!
  • 23:14 - 23:20
    No! NO! No! NO! You need to buy now.
  • 23:20 - 23:27
    In our current system, money is the driving
    force and as such the advice and intent to
  • 23:28 - 23:34
    help a consumer make the right decision, is
    only a conditionality when required. But the
  • 23:34 - 23:41
    main priority is always profit.
    I know this is designed for kids, we've...
  • 23:41 - 23:44
    I've had some fun with this thing.
    This is amazing, whats so great about this
  • 23:44 - 23:50
    is kids love tablets, they love playing with
    tablets, they love the games, the love the
  • 23:50 - 23:54
    educational games but mom and dad want them
    to be safe, they want them they want to do,
  • 23:54 - 24:01
    ya know everything on, but ya know... its...mmmm
    You ok? Ok...
  • 24:04 - 24:11
    What it does is it gives us an opportunity
    for us to be able to offer a piece of electronic
  • 24:11 - 24:18
    equipment that is simple for children to operate
    but also, mom and dad can operate it as well.
  • 24:18 - 24:24
    At ВЈ149.94 the secret of it is that it has
    all the technology that mom and dad's tablet
  • 24:24 - 24:29
    has, it's got the android operating system
    4.0, it's got all.
  • 24:29 - 24:35
    Now, had we instead used the internet as a
    guide, either through social media or public
  • 24:35 - 24:42
    forums, we would obtain better and more accurate
    advice. The usefulness of these "sales people"
  • 24:42 - 24:48
    which we have all grown accustomed to, pale
    in comparison to the advice found on-line...
  • 24:48 - 24:53
    The rating systems found on public forums
    are in fact designed to weed out any bad or
  • 24:53 - 25:00
    incorrect information and without it we are
    all vulnerable to the biases, lies and manipulation
  • 25:01 - 25:05
    of self-righteous profit seekers.
  • 25:05 - 25:09
    But perhaps there's another element to the
    physical shopping experience that I'm missing?
  • 25:09 - 25:15
    What about the clothing shops? I have to admit
    even I thought they wouldn't be as affected
  • 25:15 - 25:22
    by on-line alternatives for the simple fact
    that most people like to try before they buy.
  • 25:22 - 25:27
    Who buys clothes without trying them on first?
    Well, I mean... I do but maybe that's because
  • 25:27 - 25:32
    I'm a guy... When i buy a t-shirt i look
    for the ones with the big "L" and they
  • 25:32 - 25:37
    never let me down... Maybe being male i don't
    have to account for boob size when evaluating
  • 25:37 - 25:43
    comfort. But surly women don't prefer buying
    on-line without getting to try the clothes
  • 25:43 - 25:49
    on first? Well, surprisingly when women's
    clothing store "Internacionale" launched their
  • 25:49 - 25:55
    on-line store in 2012. They took in more profit
    in that one day from the website than all
  • 25:55 - 26:02
    their retail outlets combined. That surprised
    me. Clothing doesn't seem to have any intrinsic
  • 26:03 - 26:10
    immunity to the threat of on-line alternatives.
  • 26:10 - 26:14
    Taking a look at retail outside of on-line
    threats, perhaps there is also something to
  • 26:14 - 26:20
    be said about specialist shops in times of
    recession, shops which specialise in ties
  • 26:20 - 26:27
    for instance or underwear, shoes, jeans, suits,
    exercise clothing and outdoor clothing. If
  • 26:29 - 26:35
    we had a store dedicated to just socks. would
    that work? Maybe in these hard times it's
  • 26:35 - 26:41
    not surprising why all-in-one stores like
    Primark seem to be staying afloat. You want
  • 26:41 - 26:48
    a shirt? Primark. You want a dress? Primark.
    shoes, costume jewellery, candles, cushions,
  • 26:50 - 26:55
    towels....even a mankini!? And the comfort
    of finding everything under one roof also
  • 26:55 - 27:01
    stretches out to supermarkets. And speaking
    of supermarkets, what happened when they began
  • 27:01 - 27:08
    to implement self-service tills? In this Tesco's
    the nine items or less section has been completely
  • 27:08 - 27:14
    replaced with self-scanning. So now, only
    one job is required to assist those unfamiliar
  • 27:14 - 27:20
    with the process or those trying to purchase
    items which require age verification. When
  • 27:20 - 27:26
    this technology extends to the larger conveyor
    belt sections as it has been in pockets. or
  • 27:26 - 27:31
    more importantly, when high street stores
    like Primark adopt self-serving systems, Retail
  • 27:31 - 27:37
    will undergo yet another transitionary phase
    resulting in thousands of redundancies and
  • 27:37 - 27:42
    these job losses will not be temporary, for
    once this process is in place there is no
  • 27:42 - 27:48
    reasonable argument to go back to having lines
    of paid humans who are in fact now more expensive
  • 27:48 - 27:55
    in the long run... and this new self-service
    revolution doesn't end there...
  • 28:00 - 28:03
    Vending
  • 28:03 - 28:08
    General convenience stores are now entirely
    replaceable with vending machine kiosks.
  • 28:08 - 28:14
    A company called "Shop 24" has over 190
    locations in Europe and they have already
  • 28:14 - 28:21
    begun UK implementation, and as the name suggests,
    these vending stores are open all hours, giving
  • 28:22 - 28:28
    them an even greater advantage over conventional
    human required methods. Vending machine stores
  • 28:28 - 28:33
    will also start to crop up in the form of
    sweet shops and "on-the-go" cuisine, offering
  • 28:33 - 28:40
    hot drinks, soft drinks, desserts, chips,
    noodles, hot dogs and even pizza. Complete
  • 28:42 - 28:48
    vending machine integration of cafГ©s and
    lunch bars are on the horizon, as well as
  • 28:48 - 28:54
    local pubs consisting of alcohol, cigarette
    and "pub food" vending. The only human
  • 28:54 - 29:01
    required job here would be a moderator/bouncer
    hybrid, ensuring no one under the legal drinking
  • 29:01 - 29:08
    age gains access. But even the need for human
    age verification is threatened by technology.
  • 29:09 - 29:15
    Today we have the "iSample", a vending
    machine developed by Intel & Krafts with built
  • 29:15 - 29:21
    in optical sensors it is capable of reading
    the face and determining gender and age, all
  • 29:21 - 29:23
    within a fraction of a second.
  • 29:23 - 29:27
    Pawn Shops
    Earlier I mentioned pawn shops such as Cash
  • 29:27 - 29:31
    Converters and it's interesting to know
    how these shops actually tend to profit in
  • 29:31 - 29:37
    times of economic recession, for the more
    we struggle to get by, the more likely we
  • 29:37 - 29:42
    are to entertain leasing our goods at interest,
    despite the risk of losing them if we fail
  • 29:42 - 29:48
    to buy them back within a certain time constraint.
    However there are items which we would pawn
  • 29:48 - 29:54
    with no intention of buying back and I guess
    for that area of sales more and more people
  • 29:54 - 29:56
    are now turning to eBay.
  • 29:56 - 30:03
    But how about charity shops? I believe they
    have longevity as they provide a unique service.
  • 30:03 - 30:08
    If you have old clothes or trinkets which
    you no longer need, but don't feel they
  • 30:08 - 30:13
    are valuable enough for the likes of eBay,
    charity shop donations are a morally viable
  • 30:13 - 30:18
    way of discarding items no longer needed.
    And this product "recycling" process is
  • 30:18 - 30:24
    far less wasteful than taking your old things
    to the skip. However, we are focusing on the
  • 30:24 - 30:29
    relevance of a job loss and its effects on
    the economy. Since most charity shops are
  • 30:29 - 30:35
    run by volunteers and their profits are in
    some part donated to charity, I fail to see
  • 30:35 - 30:37
    their economic relevance here.
  • 30:37 - 30:44
    Throughout the high street the only shops
    which seem to have immunity are the ones which
  • 30:44 - 30:51
    require actual human performed services, such
    as tattooing or hair dressing. But just for
  • 30:52 - 30:57
    fun, let's see if tattoo artists really
    are impervious to automation. In 2012, a guy
  • 30:57 - 31:04
    named Chris Eckert developed the Auto Ink
    tattoo machine. Now, for demonstration purposes
  • 31:04 - 31:10
    it uses a ball point pen instead of a needle,
    however the implication of this machines potential
  • 31:10 - 31:16
    is obvious. If it were ever to take off pre-programmed
    designs could eliminate the need for any human
  • 31:16 - 31:20
    involvement in the tattooing process.
  • 31:20 - 31:26
    Earlier I highlighted the fact that a lot
    of high street stores now occupy warehouses
  • 31:26 - 31:31
    and sell their products on-line. This may
    lead some of you to assume that the economy
  • 31:31 - 31:37
    will at least be helped in some part with
    all these new warehouse jobs. Well it seems
  • 31:37 - 31:44
    even these jobs are under attack, for example,
    Amazon is the world's largest online retailer
  • 31:45 - 31:51
    and currently has twelve fulfilment centres
    across the UK. But in May of 2012 Amazon purchased
  • 31:51 - 31:56
    the American "Kiva Systems" for seven
    hundred and seventy five million dollars.
  • 31:56 - 32:03
    What is Kiva? Kiva is an autonomous robot
    which uses optical sensors to navigate through
  • 32:03 - 32:09
    a warehouse. It reads inventory items as bits
    of digital information which is then organised
  • 32:09 - 32:14
    through complex algorithms in much the same
    way that Google organizes web pages. They
  • 32:14 - 32:21
    can pick, pack, and ship anything sold online
    faster and for a lot less money than a human.
  • 32:22 - 32:27
    These efficiencies allow Kiva to gather goods
    within minutes of an order, allowing the remaining
  • 32:27 - 32:33
    human workers to ship up to four times more
    packages in an hour. Similarly, the Spanish
  • 32:33 - 32:39
    "Bonnysa" Group have incorporated two
    automised facilities. The first stores products
  • 32:39 - 32:44
    directly as they are unloaded from delivery
    vehicles, guaranteeing complete control and
  • 32:44 - 32:49
    traceability of goods, and in the second,
    once products have been calibrated and classified,
  • 32:49 - 32:54
    they are placed on double depth shelving which
    allows for twice the storage capacity without
  • 32:54 - 32:59
    having to increase the amount of stacker cranes
    used. Since Bonnysa switched to using the
  • 32:59 - 33:05
    high-speed automised facilities they have
    eliminated the need for human operator intervention
  • 33:05 - 33:10
    and have increased their product control and
    warehouse security to the extent that output
  • 33:10 - 33:17
    is now five times the amount of a conventional
    warehouse.
  • 33:25 - 33:32
    Manufacturing
    According to the Organisation for Economic
  • 33:39 - 33:45
    Co-operation and Development the manufacturing
    sector's share of both employment and GDP
  • 33:45 - 33:50
    has gradually declined since the sixty's,
    although manufacturing output in terms of
  • 33:50 - 33:57
    both production and value has steadily increased
    since 1945. The reason of course is technology,
  • 33:57 - 34:03
    and looking at the production of an automobile
    it's easy to see why we prefer using machines.
  • 34:03 - 34:09
    If these trends continue it is not far-fetched
    to think most if not all factory workers will
  • 34:09 - 34:15
    eventually be replaced by machines. Now, there's
    three main reasons as to why factory automation
  • 34:15 - 34:17
    has yet to be fully integrated across the
    board.
  • 34:17 - 34:24
    One: Vulnerability: An automated system usually
    has to be pre-programed for each specific
  • 34:24 - 34:29
    task which makes them susceptible to committing
    errors outside of their immediate scope of
  • 34:29 - 34:35
    knowledge. This makes them typically unable
    to apply simple rules of logic to general
  • 34:35 - 34:41
    propositions. However, machines today have
    far more mobility and dexterity than ever
  • 34:41 - 34:48
    imagined and instead of having to be preprogramed
    for each motion, machines are gradually gaining
  • 34:48 - 34:55
    autonomy, being able to detect objects and
    predict movement. The second reason is due
  • 34:55 - 35:01
    to unpredictable, excessive developmental
    costs. The research and development cost of
  • 35:01 - 35:07
    automating a specific task, can often exceed
    the cost saved by the automation itself. The
  • 35:07 - 35:13
    third reason also has to do with affordability,
    high initial costs. Automating a new product
  • 35:13 - 35:18
    requires an initial investment which is usually
    quite expensive when compared with the unit
  • 35:18 - 35:22
    cost of the product, even though the cost
    of automation may be spread among many products
  • 35:22 - 35:28
    over time. The decision to automate is therefore
    reserved for products which have proven to
  • 35:28 - 35:34
    be profitable and unlikely to change, as any
    alterations could require the re-programing
  • 35:34 - 35:39
    of machines.
    These three problems have been an issue since
  • 35:39 - 35:45
    factory automation began, but as time goes
    on, the machines improve and the cost of automating
  • 35:45 - 35:50
    declines. For simple assembly line tasks,
    it's certainly been cheaper to have human
  • 35:50 - 35:56
    workers. However, in mid-2012, an American
    company called "Rethink Robotics" launched
  • 35:56 - 36:02
    the Baxter robot. Baxter is a revolution in
    assembly line manufacturing as it can be programed
  • 36:02 - 36:09
    to perform a multitude of tasks and the best
    part is you don't even have to be a programmer.
  • 36:09 - 36:13
    Simply grab his arms, guide him through the
    motions of the required task and then leave
  • 36:13 - 36:19
    him to get on with it. If another task is
    required later on, simply grab his arms again
  • 36:19 - 36:24
    and re-program the motions. Baxter is currently
    on the market for around fourteen thousand
  • 36:24 - 36:29
    pounds which is an extremely affordable initial
    investment cost and taking into account the
  • 36:29 - 36:35
    average life span it works for less than three
    pounds an hour, twenty four hours a day, seven
  • 36:35 - 36:41
    days a week and doesn't require tea breaks.
    This robot is set to revolutionise the entire
  • 36:41 - 36:44
    manufacturing industry.
  • 36:44 - 36:49
    Application
    Aside from factory jobs being replaced by
  • 36:49 - 36:55
    machines, there are many products today which
    are quickly becoming altogether irrelevant.
  • 36:55 - 37:00
    For those of us with smart phones and tablets,
    the following examples may appear too obvious
  • 37:00 - 37:06
    to require a detailed analysis. But for those
    of you who have yet to acknowledge this trend,
  • 37:06 - 37:11
    let's take a look at the implied future
    of the smart phone "App". Currently Apps
  • 37:11 - 37:16
    are in the process of killing a vast range
    of physical products. Most obviously, paper
  • 37:16 - 37:23
    products; novels, comic books, cook books,
    puzzle books, phone books & yellow pages,
  • 37:23 - 37:28
    dictionaries, encyclopaedias, magazines, newspapers,
    shopping catalogues, road maps, photo albums,
  • 37:28 - 37:35
    calendars, diaries and of course, many products
    associated with stationary. Then there are
  • 37:35 - 37:41
    electrical products such as calculators, radios,
    alarm clocks, camcorders, voice recorders,
  • 37:41 - 37:46
    remote controls, karaoke machines, guitar
    tuners, amplifiers and effects peddles, GPS
  • 37:46 - 37:51
    navigation, video game cartridges and even
    board games are having their physical necessity
  • 37:51 - 37:53
    challenged by software.
  • 37:53 - 38:00
    Personal Computer
    Now what about desktop computers? Most people
  • 38:01 - 38:07
    only really use their PC's for surfing the
    web, socialising, listening to music and watching
  • 38:07 - 38:13
    videos. All of which can now be done on those
    same smart phones and tablets. PC's, while
  • 38:13 - 38:19
    not disappearing entirely, will decline in
    numbers because of this, effecting many jobs
  • 38:19 - 38:23
    associated with producing not only the computers
    themselves, but think of all those peripheral
  • 38:23 - 38:30
    devices associated with them, the keyboard,
    mouse and webcam. As well as hardware components
  • 38:30 - 38:37
    such as ram chips and graphics cards.
    Now, this might seem overly pessimistic. However
  • 38:38 - 38:43
    a survey by the International Data Corporation
    showed tablets to account for a third of all
  • 38:43 - 38:49
    computing sales in 2012 and even Microsoft
    are acknowledging the inevitable outcome,
  • 38:49 - 38:54
    and with the advent of 4G wireless networking
    which allows for high speed internet on our
  • 38:54 - 39:00
    mobile devices, we can now use applications
    like Skype and Face time to make phone calls
  • 39:00 - 39:06
    to and from anywhere in the world for free,
    the implication being the demise of traditional
  • 39:06 - 39:12
    land line phones and mobile tariffs. British
    Telecom has been preparing for this and have
  • 39:12 - 39:19
    already launched their cloud network.
    Now, digital alternatives may not yet be adopted
  • 39:19 - 39:24
    by the majority, perhaps mostly because of
    nostalgia rather than efficiency. But the
  • 39:24 - 39:30
    children of the future are not going to care
    about the toys of the past.
  • 39:30 - 39:37
    Media Products & Appliances
    VHS, CD and DVD players as well as free-view,
  • 39:40 - 39:47
    sky and virgin media boxes are all facing
    redundancy by the advancements of the smart
  • 39:47 - 39:54
    TV. Why? Because smart TV's stream content
    from the internet, making it possible for
  • 39:54 - 40:01
    Sky and virgin media to exist entirely in
    app form. So what of all those lavish book,
  • 40:03 - 40:10
    CD and DVD collections which most of us equate
    to our status and identity? These erroneous
  • 40:10 - 40:15
    collections are no longer optimal as we now
    have digital media libraries, with the likes
  • 40:15 - 40:21
    of iTunes and iBooks. And when digital libraries
    are rehomed to our TV's as well as our phones
  • 40:21 - 40:27
    and tablets. Just as VHS collections were
    phased out by the improved format of the DVD,
  • 40:27 - 40:34
    our current wasteful, vanity orientated physical
    media collections will be phased out and replaced
  • 40:36 - 40:43
    with non-physical digital formats, alongside
    their required physical media players. In
  • 40:43 - 40:50
    fact, in January of 2013, tech giant "Philips"
    gave in and sold their home entertainment
  • 40:50 - 40:56
    appliances division and now only producing
    coffee machines, juicer's, toasters and
  • 40:56 - 40:57
    electric razors.
  • 40:57 - 41:02
    The rise of high speed fibre optic broadband
    will also extend the extinction of irrelevant
  • 41:02 - 41:08
    peripherals to Blu-ray players and video game
    consoles. That's right, even video games
  • 41:08 - 41:14
    will be played via internet streaming. Sound
    far-fetched? Well Sony entertainment doesn't
  • 41:14 - 41:21
    think so. In July of 2012 they spent $380
    million purchasing the cloud-based video game
  • 41:21 - 41:28
    streaming network "Gaika". Even Xbox co-founder
    Nat Brown has expressed his concerns over
  • 41:28 - 41:33
    the implications of Apple entering the games
    industry, acknowledging the potential of their
  • 41:33 - 41:40
    already established infrastructure to easily
    replace the Xbox, Playstation and Nintendo
  • 41:40 - 41:42
    consoles.
  • 41:42 - 41:48
    3D-Printing
    Now, obviously there are many physical products
  • 41:48 - 41:53
    on the market which aren't threatened by
    digital downloading.
  • 41:53 - 41:59
    However in October of 2012, the city of London
    was host to the world's first-ever consumer
  • 41:59 - 42:06
    3D print show, displaying how 3D printing
    can allow consumers to download and print
  • 42:06 - 42:12
    a vast range of products as and when they
    need them. This is not merely a glimpse into
  • 42:12 - 42:19
    a hypothetical future; 3D printers can already
    build products from a range of materials including
  • 42:19 - 42:26
    plastic, chocolate, glass, concrete and even
    metal. So what products could be printed?
  • 42:27 - 42:33
    Well, just about any basic household items
    from plates, bowls, mugs, bottles, cutlery,
  • 42:33 - 42:40
    tupperware, lamp shades, photo frames, furniture,
    musical instruments, figurines, even a wrench
  • 42:42 - 42:48
    printed with fully moving parts. So you may
    be wondering just how far in the future 3D
  • 42:48 - 42:53
    printing is, and how expensive these things
    are going to be? Well let's look at the
  • 42:53 - 43:00
    Rep-Rap project. Rep-Rap is a self-replicating
    3D printer. Meaning it can print most of its
  • 43:00 - 43:04
    own parts, so if you have one, you can make
    another one. And the great thing about rep-rap
  • 43:04 - 43:11
    is that it is open source, meaning its design
    is not owned or constrained by copy write.
  • 43:11 - 43:17
    It's completely free for anyone to use and
    improve. Today, 3D printers can be purchased
  • 43:17 - 43:24
    from open source groups like reprap and fab@home,
    or commercially through pp3dp.com & cubify.
  • 43:26 - 43:32
    Perhaps you don't have the room for a home
    3D printer? Well there is the option of ordering
  • 43:32 - 43:39
    3D printed products online through services
    such as shapeways, sculpteo and i.materialise.
  • 43:39 - 43:43
    Companies can also employ the mass producing
    of 3D printed products through organizations
  • 43:43 - 43:47
    such as Thingiverse and kraftwurx.
  • 43:47 - 43:52
    The world of 3D printing is huge and it's
    here today. And just like every other technological
  • 43:52 - 43:58
    advancement - as time goes on these things
    will become more and more affordable. And
  • 43:58 - 44:03
    every company which currently produces all
    those house hold items will simply become
  • 44:03 - 44:10
    financially unsustainable.
    Pay It Forward
  • 44:10 - 44:17
    A group called PIF3D aim to exploit the replicating
    ability of RepRap by taking the machine to
  • 44:18 - 44:22
    universities and hosting twenty-four hour
    3D printing parties, where they give people
  • 44:22 - 44:27
    the skills to build one of these things. The
    objective being that those people can "Pay
  • 44:27 - 44:33
    it forward". Once they have built two or
    three RepRap printers, they repeat the process
  • 44:33 - 44:38
    of taking it to schools and showing others
    how to make their own, and the process repeats.
  • 44:38 - 44:44
    The idea of paying it forward could easily
    spread like wildfire. Meaning just about everyone
  • 44:44 - 44:51
    in the world could own a 3D printer for next
    to nothing. Now, as 3D-Printers become more
  • 44:51 - 44:56
    mainstream, there will most likely be attempts
    to patent certain design elements and sell
  • 44:56 - 45:03
    each downloadable product commercially. However
    once a product is on a CAD file, there's
  • 45:03 - 45:10
    no real reason 3D designs would be immune
    to internet piracy.
  • 45:11 - 45:13
    Transport
  • 45:13 - 45:20
    Around 2.5% of the UK population have jobs
    which require a driving licence.
  • 45:43 - 45:48
    The first autonomous driverless vehicle was
    developed by, Sebastian Thrun director of
  • 45:48 - 45:49
    the Stanford Artificial Intelligence Laboratory
    and co-inventor of Google Street View. In
  • 45:48 - 45:55
    2005 the Google car won the DARPA Grand Challenge
    and since then, Google have been developing
  • 46:07 - 46:14
    a commercial system.
    However progress has been held back due to
  • 46:21 - 46:22
    legal liabilities, for example if there was
    an accident, who would be at fault? The car
  • 46:22 - 46:28
    owner? the manufacturer? What if the accident
    was a result of a lost signal? Would the internet
  • 46:28 - 46:33
    providers be accountable? Filtering through
    legislation is a lengthy process, but they've
  • 46:33 - 46:36
    come a long way.
    In August 2012, the Google team announced
  • 46:36 - 46:41
    that they have completed over 300,000 miles
    of autonomous-driving, all without a single
  • 46:41 - 46:44
    accident. Nevada, Florida and California all
    passed laws allowing driverless cars.
  • 46:44 - 46:44
    Although it's hard to invasion a timeline,
    the remaining united states and the UK will
  • 46:44 - 46:51
    eventually pass similar legislations, and
    driverless cars will explode on to the market.
  • 46:54 - 47:01
    As well as the American based Google car which
    most of us are probably aware of, there is
  • 47:04 - 47:08
    also a German creation from "autonomous
    labs" at the Free University of Berlin.
  • 47:08 - 47:10
    The project has already been given approval
    to run a driverless taxi services throughout
  • 47:10 - 47:11
    Berlin and Brandenburg.
    For those of you who feel hesitant about assigning
  • 47:11 - 47:18
    the control of your vehicle to a machine,
    know that the kiva systems mentioned earlier
  • 47:21 - 47:28
    have essentially the same autonomy, and they
    too have yet to witness a single accident.
  • 47:29 - 47:36
    Compare that with the UK's current yearly
    rates of 3,000 motor vehicle incidents resulting
  • 47:36 - 47:43
    in fatalities, 35,000 resulting serious accidents
    and a total 276,000 severities. Clearly it
  • 47:45 - 47:52
    would be societally irresponsible to maintain
    human drivers while the safer option is available.
  • 47:56 - 48:03
    And in making a safer society all jobs associated
    with public transport and delivery of goods,
  • 48:12 - 48:19
    could be achieved without human involvement.
  • 48:25 - 48:30
    Agriculture
    Dairy
  • 48:30 - 48:37
    GEA farm technologies' provides technological
    solutions to livestock farming, including
  • 48:40 - 48:46
    the development of a fully automatic milking
    system for dairy farms. Dairy cows are guided
  • 48:46 - 48:52
    into these Mi1 milking units, the cows electronic
    tag is identified and their pre-allocated
  • 48:52 - 48:59
    amount of food is dispensed. A 3D camera scans
    and identifies the udders, then attaches to
  • 49:00 - 49:07
    the t-cups. It washes dries and pre-milks
    the cows. This amazing technology reduces
  • 49:07 - 49:14
    labour, increases milk production, lowers
    stress of both the cows and farmers, and electric
  • 49:14 - 49:21
    tagging allows for the ability to manage cows
    individually. So when is this technology being
  • 49:22 - 49:29
    implemented? Well looking at the UK alone,
    it's actually already been in use since
  • 49:32 - 49:33
    2011.
  • 49:33 - 49:40
    Precision Farming
    EGNOS Precision Farming is a system which
  • 49:42 - 49:48
    uses GPS guidance technology for crop cultivation.
    The auto track technology sends signals to
  • 49:48 - 49:54
    the tractors steering system via a GPS receiver.
    The resulting navigation is so precise that
  • 49:54 - 50:01
    Farmers can actually treat soil and crops
    in a site specific manner and ensure optimum
  • 50:01 - 50:06
    chemical doses are applied to the right places.
    The system has been shown to cut costs on
  • 50:06 - 50:13
    fertilisation and fuel, reducing the environmental
    impact, and because the tractors steer themselves
  • 50:13 - 50:18
    it also reduces operator fatigue. As you've
    probably already guessed, it is only a matter
  • 50:18 - 50:24
    of time before these tractors are also equipped
    with autonomous driving technology, spelling
  • 50:24 - 50:30
    the end of this particular human required
    task and allowing for the full automation
  • 50:30 - 50:32
    of crop cultivation.
  • 50:32 - 50:39
    Vertical farming
    But why limit crop cultivation to fields?
  • 50:40 - 50:45
    In 1999 a professor of environmental health
    sciences at Columbia University in New York,
  • 50:45 - 50:50
    Dickson Despommier challenged his students
    to feed the entire population of Manhattan
  • 50:50 - 50:57
    using 13 acres of usable rooftop gardens.
    The class calculated that only 2% of all the
  • 50:57 - 51:03
    people could be fed using this method. Unsatisfied
    with the results, Despommier made an off-the-cuff
  • 51:03 - 51:10
    suggestion of growing plants indoors and vertically.
    The idea sparked interests and by 2001 the
  • 51:11 - 51:18
    first outline of a vertical farm was introduced.
    Today scientists, architects, and
    investors worldwide are working together to
  • 51:24 - 51:31
    make the concept of vertical farming a reality.
    Unlike, traditional agriculture, a controlled
  • 51:45 - 51:50
    indoor environment is not susceptible to crop
    loss from severe weather conditions nor is
  • 51:50 - 51:54
    it limited by seasonal crop production.
  • 51:54 - 52:00
    Using the method of hydroponics which doesn't
    require soil, water is preserved in a closed
  • 52:00 - 52:07
    loop system, eliminating the concern of agricultural
    runoff, and since it is continually recycled,
  • 52:08 - 52:13
    the total water usage is 70% less than current
    requirements. Without soil this system is
  • 52:13 - 52:18
    immune to pesticides, meaning we could also
    do away with having to spray agrochemicals
  • 52:18 - 52:22
    on our food.
  • 52:22 - 52:28
    For those of you sceptical about the limitations
    of hydroponic farming, here is a list of already
  • 52:28 - 52:35
    commercially available products from hydroponically
    produced plants.
  • 52:40 - 52:47
    Health Care
    Cardiology
  • 53:05 - 53:11
    Up next it sounds like science fiction but
    Dr Nancy Snyderman reports on how your smart
  • 53:11 - 53:18
    phone may change medicine including warning
    you of a heart attack. By modifying an iPhone
  • 53:22 - 53:29
    with this ECG attachment and using the AliveECG
    app, your heart rate, temperature, oxygen
  • 53:29 - 53:35
    and fluid levels can all be recorded with
    the results directly upload able to your Cardiologist.
  • 53:35 - 53:40
    Blood, saliva, urine and even sweat can all
    be tested with this device. Combined with
  • 53:40 - 53:47
    a wireless ultrasound, full physical check-ups
    can be carried out remotely from anywhere
  • 53:47 - 53:51
    in the world.
    There's twenty million, over twenty million
  • 53:51 - 53:55
    echocardiograms done a year. That's twenty
    million times eight hundred dollars that's
  • 53:55 - 54:01
    a lot of money. Probably seventy to eighty
    percent we can get rid of, just by having
  • 54:01 - 54:04
    this part of the physical exam.
  • 54:04 - 54:08
    Medicine
    As for prescription medicine, perhaps the
  • 54:08 - 54:15
    biggest threat is not with technology but
    rather in the curing of illnesses. Fifteen
  • 54:15 - 54:19
    year veteran of the pharmaceutical industry
    Gwen Olsen, stated "the pharmaceutical industry
  • 54:19 - 54:24
    is in the business of disease maintenance
    and symptoms management, The are not in the
  • 54:24 - 54:30
    business of curing cancer, Alzheimer's or
    heart disease, because if they were, they
  • 54:30 - 54:35
    would be in the business of putting themselves
    out of business."
  • 54:35 - 54:39
    For those of you who doubt the medical establishment
    would knowingly put profitability ahead of
  • 54:39 - 54:45
    actually helping people, you need look for
    no further evidence than a 2002 UK clinical
  • 54:45 - 54:51
    trial which found most anti-depressants to
    be as effective as sugar pills, giving the
  • 54:51 - 54:55
    effects of a working drug through nothing
    more than a placebo.
  • 54:55 - 55:02
    It's not hard to see why the medical industry
    would chose to promote the constant reselling
  • 55:02 - 55:07
    of pharmaceuticals. If for example a cure
    for cancer was discovered and adopted by the
  • 55:07 - 55:13
    mainstream, it would cause considerable losses
    in profits generated through radiotherapy,
  • 55:13 - 55:20
    chemotherapy, hormone therapy, gene therapy
    and Immunotherapy. Not to mention the surgical
  • 55:20 - 55:25
    costs of removing tumours. So, what does it
    mean for their industry when a fifteen year
  • 55:25 - 55:30
    old boy from Maryland, discovers a new way
    of detecting cancer? Which studies have shown
  • 55:30 - 55:37
    to be potentially 99% accurate, 168 times
    faster and 26,000 times cheaper than our current
  • 55:39 - 55:45
    methods? Make no mistake, this amazing achievement,
    will be seen by the cancer profiteers as a
  • 55:45 - 55:52
    blow to the industry. But regardless of their
    somewhat corrupt profit driven mentality,
  • 55:52 - 55:59
    technology moves on and even when pharmaceuticals
    are the only option. Technology is yet again
  • 55:59 - 56:06
    providing solutions.
    Organic Chemists make molecules very complicated
  • 56:09 - 56:14
    molecules by chopping up a big molecule into
    smaller molecules and doing reverse engineering.
  • 56:14 - 56:20
    As a chemist one of the things I wanted to
    ask my research group a couple of years ago
  • 56:20 - 56:26
    is, could we make a really cool universal
    chemistry set? In essence could we "App"
  • 56:26 - 56:31
    chemistry?
    Well to start to do this we took a 3D printer
  • 56:31 - 56:38
    and we started to print our beakers and our
    test tubes on one side and then print the
  • 56:38 - 56:42
    molecule at the same time on the other side
    and combine them together in what we call
  • 56:42 - 56:47
    "Reaction ware" and so by printing the
    vessel and doing the chemistry at the same
  • 56:47 - 56:53
    time we may start to access this universal
    toolkit of chemistry. Now what could this
  • 56:53 - 57:00
    mean? Well if we can bed biological and chemical
    networks like a search engine, so if you have
  • 57:00 - 57:05
    a cell that's ill that you need to cure
    or bacteria you want to kill, if you have
  • 57:05 - 57:10
    this embedded in your device at the same time
    and you do the chemistry, you make be able
  • 57:10 - 57:17
    to make drugs in a new way.
    So how are we doing this in the lab? Well
  • 57:17 - 57:21
    it requires software, it requires hardware,
    and it requires chemical inks, and so the
  • 57:21 - 57:27
    really cool bit is the idea to have a universal
    set of inks which we put out with the printer
  • 57:27 - 57:33
    and you download the blue print, the organic
    chemistry for that molecule and you make it
  • 57:33 - 57:40
    in the device. So you can make your molecule
    in the printer using this software. So what
  • 57:41 - 57:46
    could this mean? You don't have to go to
    the chemist anymore. We can print drugs at
  • 57:46 - 57:52
    point of need. We can download new diagnostics,
    say a new superbug has emerged; you put it
  • 57:52 - 57:58
    in your search engine and you create the drug
    to treat the threat. So this allows you on
  • 57:58 - 58:03
    the fly molecular assembly but perhaps for
    me the cool bit going in to the future is
  • 58:03 - 58:09
    this idea of taking your own stem cells with
    your genes and your environment and you print
  • 58:09 - 58:15
    your own personal medicine. And if that doesn't
    seem fanciful enough where do u think we're
  • 58:15 - 58:22
    goanna go? Ur goanna have your own personal
    matter fabricator.
  • 58:22 - 58:29
    As well as using bio-printing for binding
    molecules into medicine, bio-printing is also
  • 58:29 - 58:36
    being used to construct organs.
    Today we can print an entire lung.
  • 58:38 - 58:45
    Hospitals
    Now looking at hospital care, I'm sure most
  • 58:49 - 58:54
    of you are now aware of these "tele presence"
    robots which allows intensive care specialists
  • 58:54 - 58:59
    to remotely communicate with patients across
    multiple hospitals and as the robots have
  • 58:59 - 59:05
    the ability to transmit information regarding
    the heart and breathing, examinations can
  • 59:05 - 59:11
    occur much faster, while actually reducing
    the work load of hospital staff since it eliminates
  • 59:11 - 59:18
    the need for patients to be transferred to
    intensive care units in some cases. The hospital's
  • 59:18 - 59:23
    workload is also being reduced by "Aethon"
    TUG System in which an Autonomous robotic
  • 59:23 - 59:29
    courier can make their rounds, carrying prescriptions,
    medical waste, food trays and up to two hundred
  • 59:29 - 59:36
    pounds of laundry.
  • 59:37 - 59:44
    Home Care
    As for home care, meet Asimo, Asimo is a humanoid
  • 59:47 - 59:54
    robot created by Honda, with the aspiration
    of helping people who lack full mobility.
  • 59:54 - 60:01
    Since he was first introduced in 2000, he
    has gradually improved in mobility and communication.
  • 60:15 - 60:22
    (Thank you)
    Eventually Asimo will be capable of performing
  • 60:49 - 60:53
    most takes typically required of home-care
    staff.
  • 60:53 - 60:59
    Now, there are many people who irrationally
    fear technology, with their frame of reference
  • 60:59 - 61:05
    limited to what they see in movies. But in
    reality technology is the provider of many
  • 61:05 - 61:09
    solutions across the full spectrum of health
    and illnesses.
  • 61:09 - 61:16
    When she was born her legs were up by her
    ears and her shoulders were internally rotated
  • 61:16 - 61:23
    and she had ulnar deviation on her hands and
    rocker bottom feet. The geneticist came upstairs
  • 61:23 - 61:27
    and told us that she had arthrogryposis multiplex
    congenital. They brought her legs down and
  • 61:27 - 61:34
    they casted her and slowly and surly she started
    to develop. Our first year with Emma we found
  • 61:41 - 61:45
    out that there was goanna be a conference
    and it was in Philadelphia.
  • 61:45 - 61:51
    It was an arthrogryposis family meeting in
    Philadelphia where I described the WREX.
  • 61:51 - 61:57
    We watched a presentation on the WREX.
    And that's how it all started. We ended
  • 61:57 - 62:03
    up in Terick and Whitney's workshop.
    The WREX was attached to a stand and she was
  • 62:03 - 62:10
    able to put her arms into the WREX and for
    the first time be able to lift her hand up
  • 62:10 - 62:13
    towards her mouth.
    She just started throwing her hands around
  • 62:13 - 62:16
    and playing.
    We were bringing candy up for her to eat and
  • 62:16 - 62:21
    we were bringing toys up there and it was
    so fun for us to go up there and see her play
  • 62:21 - 62:28
    The existing WREX is all metal parts and it's
    kinda big and Emma was too small for that
  • 62:29 - 62:35
    so we required something light and small and
    would attach to her body and go with her.
  • 62:35 - 62:38
    So that's where we had this "Stratasys
    3D printing machine" and we thought well
  • 62:38 - 62:45
    we could print it out for her.
    And he did it and the weight difference is
  • 62:45 - 62:50
    significant and for a child who only weight
    twenty five pounds it makes a big difference.
  • 62:50 - 62:56
    Whitney and Terick put their minds together
    and came up with a jacket and they would put
  • 62:56 - 63:00
    the WREX on that and were on our second jacket,
    she outgrew the first one and now we're
  • 63:00 - 63:07
    on our second one and its still evolving it's
    still growing into this incredible prosthetic
  • 63:07 - 63:14
    which helps her to use her arms.
    Without the 3D printer we would not be in
  • 63:14 - 63:19
    a position we're in with these younger kids
    making them a WREX device that can go with
  • 63:19 - 63:23
    them.
    This is one of those industries that matches
  • 63:23 - 63:29
    perfectly with 3D printing additive manufacturing
    because we need custom everything.
  • 63:29 - 63:35
    I think 3D scanning and printing technology
    is the future for this field.
  • 63:35 - 63:40
    The ABS plastic that they use is the same
    plastic they use in LEGO its human friendly
  • 63:40 - 63:45
    if you will, its really strong and durable
    to handle the abuse, we can answer a need
  • 63:45 - 63:48
    in a heartbeat.
    If the WREX breaks all I have to do is take
  • 63:48 - 63:53
    a picture and email it to whiney, he knows
    exactly what the piece is, he prints it out
  • 63:53 - 63:56
    I go to the hospital or he's even mailed
    them.
  • 63:56 - 64:02
    I don't have to worry about D-time to machine
    something or order supplies. I can just basically
  • 64:02 - 64:05
    go back to my program and print out another
    one.
  • 64:05 - 64:11
    And it's back together and it's working.
    When she started to express herself we would
  • 64:11 - 64:16
    go upstairs and we would say Emma ya know
    were gonna put the WREX on and she called
  • 64:16 - 64:20
    them her magic arms and everyone in the room
    cried.
  • 64:20 - 64:25
    We took it off of her on this one occasion
    to make some adjustments to it and as we took
  • 64:25 - 64:32
    it off she cried out "I want that" and
    we didn't think all that much of it but
  • 64:32 - 64:38
    when mom started to cry and uh. We look over
    and ask mom why she's crying and she kind
  • 64:38 - 64:45
    of takes a moment to recompose herself and
    tell us that that was her first complete sentence.
  • 64:45 - 64:52
    To be a part of that made it a little special
    moment for somebody else ya know can't help
  • 65:09 - 65:16
    but uh kinda tug at your heart strings.
  • 65:26 - 65:28
    Food & Accommodation
    The fast food industry for one is heavily
  • 65:28 - 65:34
    under threat by the same self-serving processes
    mentioned earlier. In May of 2011, McDonald's
  • 65:34 - 65:40
    announced its plans to install touch-screen
    technology across 7,000 restaurants in Europe.
  • 65:40 - 65:47
    Parts of the UK have already begun implementation
    and in some states in America, voice recognition
  • 65:47 - 65:54
    has replaced the drive thru.
    Can I get, can I get a twenty piece?
  • 65:54 - 65:59
    A twenty piece chicken nugget, what kind of
    sauces would you like?
  • 65:59 - 66:05
    Uh what is it?
    What kind of sauce do we have?
  • 66:05 - 66:11
    We got that honey mustard barbecue sweet and
    source we got honey style hot sauce that burns
  • 66:11 - 66:18
    for hours, we got that buffalo ranch if you
    need more ask chipotle barbecue ask me for
  • 66:20 - 66:20
    more and I'll tell you.
  • 66:20 - 66:26
    As for the kitchen staff, automated systems
    are already being used such processes as draining
  • 66:26 - 66:32
    and refilling deep fat fryers, making many
    human tasks redundant. But perhaps the largest
  • 66:32 - 66:37
    implied threat has to do with the American
    robotics company, "Momentum Machines"
  • 66:37 - 66:42
    which is predicted to revolutionise the fast
    food industry. They are currently preparing
  • 66:42 - 66:47
    to open the world's first "smart restaurant"
    with its automated burger machine. Capable
  • 66:47 - 66:51
    of dispensing around three hundred and sixty
    burgers an hour. Not only does their machine
  • 66:51 - 66:57
    construct and cook patties but it also slices
    the toppings to order and the technology even
  • 66:57 - 67:02
    allows for customisation, composed of meat
    ground to order and assembled in whatever
  • 67:02 - 67:07
    combination the customer desires.
  • 67:07 - 67:13
    Restaurants
    Restaurant jobs are also threated by atomisation,
  • 67:13 - 67:20
    whether it's assisting chefs
    or replacing them completely.
  • 67:37 - 67:44
    Waiters
    What about the job of the restaurant waiter?
  • 68:24 - 68:29
    Well aside from using robots, Germany is pioneering
    a different approach. You make your order
  • 68:29 - 68:33
    from a touch screen situated at your table
    and the food is dispensed via a railing system
  • 68:33 - 68:40
    and delivered to your table when ready.
  • 68:40 - 68:47
    Hotels
    Hotel services are a little harder to automate,
  • 68:51 - 68:55
    but obviously there are elements of automation
    which do reduce the workload.
  • 68:55 - 69:02
    Straight away you have automatic check in
    and a restaurant which turns into a dance
  • 69:05 - 69:12
    floor.
    Were at Yotel New York which opened in June
  • 69:13 - 69:19
    2011, Yotel is a fun and futuristic brand.
    Some of the things we have in the hotel are
  • 69:19 - 69:21
    motorised beds in the rooms and we have Yobot
    which is our answer to futuristic luggage
  • 69:21 - 69:28
    handling. At the moment what we do is we take
    people's luggage and they store it in the
  • 69:34 - 69:39
    bins provided and Yobot takes it and stores
    it up on the wall. What we've done now is
  • 69:39 - 69:42
    we've agreed with the airports for example
    like the jet-blue terminal you'll be able
  • 69:42 - 69:47
    to choose which airport you want to go to,
    say JFK or Newark, the bin will come down,
  • 69:47 - 69:52
    you'll put the luggage in there and then
    Yobot will shift your luggage through tunnels
  • 69:52 - 69:59
    in new York and you'll be able to pick it
    up at each of the airport terminals. Also
  • 70:05 - 70:10
    were looking at a luggage tracker which we'll
    be able to download on our mobile app so youll
  • 70:10 - 70:15
    be able to follow your luggage form its journey
    here at the hotel all the way to the airport
  • 70:15 - 70:20
    and were also even looking at being able to
    sip people and the luggage for yotel new York
  • 70:20 - 70:24
    to one of our airport hotels in the future.
  • 70:24 - 70:28
    Even cleaning and maintenance is potentially
    threatened by a series of robots such as the
  • 70:28 - 70:35
    Roomba autonomous hoover and the Winbot autonomous
    window cleaner. But perhaps there are some
  • 70:37 - 70:44
    non-automated threats to the traditional process
    of accommodation. Couchsurfing.com is a sort
  • 70:44 - 70:50
    of social network community, where people
    register their hospitality. The idea being,
  • 70:50 - 70:55
    if you want to travel, you simply type where
    you want to go, specify how many of you are
  • 70:55 - 71:00
    going, and then search from a list of willing
    participants. Within this type of community,
  • 71:00 - 71:07
    you could potentially travel the world without
    any need for paid accommodation.
  • 71:10 - 71:17
    Mining and Quarrying
    The Sandvik Group are currently the leading
  • 71:29 - 71:34
    global suppliers of service and technical
    solutions for the mining industry. Sandvik
  • 71:34 - 71:39
    Automine has focused its efforts on developing
    a comprehensive solution for improving the
  • 71:39 - 71:46
    safety, efficiency and productivity of underground
    mining operations, using autonomous trucks
  • 71:46 - 71:50
    for loading and hauling they have created
    a flexible system which can be adapted to
  • 71:50 - 71:55
    the unique working environment of individual
    operations, even processing ore to high grade
  • 71:55 - 72:01
    copper concentrate on site. Through automation
    they have eliminated many human required jobs,
  • 72:01 - 72:05
    while increasing production with improved
    drilling accuracy which has also been shown
  • 72:05 - 72:11
    to lower the risk of damage incurred by machines.
    Currently Sandvik Automine are optimistic
  • 72:11 - 72:18
    about achieving 100% automation of mining.
    Similarly, since 2009 the Australian mining
  • 72:19 - 72:25
    company Rio Tinto has been using a fleet of
    Komatsu trucks. The trucks are over twenty
  • 72:25 - 72:32
    feet tall, weigh over ten tons, and are capable
    of carrying over three hundred tons of material.
  • 72:32 - 72:37
    The trucks are fitted with Komatsu's Autonomous
    Haulage System which allows navigation from
  • 72:37 - 72:44
    loading units to dump locations, including
    waste dumps, stockpiles and crushers.
  • 72:44 - 72:49
    However let's take a step back. Looking
    at the end product of a mining operation,
  • 72:49 - 72:54
    the reason we associate gold and silver with
    such a high value, is because of the difficulty
  • 72:54 - 73:00
    in obtaining and processing these materials
    coupled with the time it takes for the earth
  • 73:00 - 73:06
    to naturally produce a diamond for example.
    The ability to produce a diamond in a lab
  • 73:06 - 73:12
    has been around for a long time; however gem-quality
    results have only been achievable in the last
  • 73:12 - 73:18
    few years. Specifically the American company
    "Gemesis" have made huge advancement in
  • 73:18 - 73:25
    the production of synthetic diamonds, with
    an output of up to forty rare gems each day.
  • 73:25 - 73:30
    As for the cost, a one-carat yellow diamond
    from nature equates to about thirteen point
  • 73:30 - 73:37
    five thousand pounds whereas and a synthetic
    replica costs just four thousand pounds.
  • 73:37 - 73:42
    So when we begin to speculate about the future
    of synthetic materials perhaps it's not
  • 73:42 - 73:48
    too farfetched to think we could create copper,
    coltan, gold and silver and bring these materials
  • 73:48 - 73:53
    to market for a much lower cost than they
    are today, which would, invariably reduce
  • 73:53 - 74:00
    the costs of all technological applications
    which depend on these materials.
  • 74:10 - 74:17
    Construction
    Construction employs over 2 million people
  • 74:25 - 74:32
    in the UK and accounts for just under seven
    pecent of the nation's GDP.
  • 74:32 - 74:39
    Firstly let's look at construction as it
    is today. Because of all the different trades
  • 74:39 - 74:46
    involved, Construction is prone to management
    inefficiency and corruption. The actual process
  • 74:46 - 74:53
    itself is slow, labour intensive & inefficient
    as well as being costly and usually over budget
  • 74:53 - 74:58
    it is also highly wasteful of resources and
    responsible for producing vast amounts of
  • 74:58 - 75:05
    carbon emission. As far as safety is concerned,
    construction is more dangerous than both mining
  • 75:05 - 75:10
    and agriculture. Each year an average of sixty
    workers are fatally injured with seventy four
  • 75:10 - 75:17
    thousand non-fatal injuries.
    Now let's look at the alternative. Contour
  • 75:20 - 75:26
    Crafting is a process developed by the University
    of Southern California's Information Sciences
  • 75:26 - 75:31
    Institute. Though initially conceived as a
    method to construct moulds for industrial
  • 75:31 - 75:37
    parts, the technology of rapid home construction
    was proposed as a way to rebuild cities after
  • 75:37 - 75:42
    natural disasters occurred. Currently it uses
    a computer-controlled crane to distribute
  • 75:42 - 75:48
    concrete layer by layer incorporating, plumbing
    and electrical network installation. With
  • 75:48 - 75:54
    Contour Crafting buildings are rapidly and
    efficiently constructed with zero manual labour,
  • 75:54 - 76:00
    zero waste and little emission. It is estimated
    an average family home could be built in less
  • 76:00 - 76:06
    than twenty hours. However the homes of the
    future will not be constrained by today's
  • 76:06 - 76:13
    architectural limitations for these machines
    can extrude intricate and complex designs.
  • 76:13 - 76:19
    Perhaps the design of your home will only
    be limited by your imagination. Now Contour
  • 76:19 - 76:25
    Crafting is still relatively new, however,
    it is easy to see how in the near future this
  • 76:25 - 76:31
    project could be commercialized as a means
    of streamlining the entire construction industry.
  • 76:31 - 76:38
    Destroying a numbers of not only those associated
    with construction but also those of plumbers,
  • 76:39 - 76:46
    electricians and perhaps even architects.
  • 76:49 - 76:56
    Education
    Today
  • 77:03 - 77:10
    The mainstream method of education currently
    requires an all knowing authority figure fulfilling
  • 77:21 - 77:27
    the role of teacher and relaying imperial
    information to student's after which said
  • 77:27 - 77:32
    teacher will then review and grade the work
    of the students. This traditional approach
  • 77:32 - 77:38
    to learning has been widely criticised throughout
    recent years, as it relies on rote memorisation,
  • 77:38 - 77:43
    teaching students what to think as opposed
    to how to think. And using the grading system
  • 77:43 - 77:50
    has also been shown to create structural classism.
    Sugata Mitra is a Professor of Educational
  • 77:58 - 78:04
    Technology at the University of Newcastle.
    His first experiment in child learning began
  • 78:04 - 78:09
    in 1999 with the hole in the wall project.
    Initially, a computer was placed in a kiosk
  • 78:09 - 78:14
    built within a wall in a slum at New Delhi
    and children were allowed to use the computer
  • 78:14 - 78:19
    freely. The experiment aimed to show that
    kids could be taught by computers very easily
  • 78:19 - 78:25
    without any formal training and independent
    of adult supervision. Mitra termed this approach
  • 78:25 - 78:32
    "Minimally Invasive Education". The experiment
    grew and was repeated in many places, currently
  • 78:32 - 78:38
    there are more than twenty three hole in the
    wall kiosks in rural India and in 2004 was
  • 78:38 - 78:44
    extended to Cambodia. The results have now
    demonstrated that groups of children, irrespective
  • 78:44 - 78:49
    of who they are or where they are, can learn
    to use computers and the Internet on their
  • 78:49 - 78:55
    own, using public computers in open spaces
    such as streets and playgrounds, even without
  • 78:55 - 79:02
    initially knowing any English.
    I wanted to test the limits of this system.
  • 79:02 - 79:07
    The first experiment I did out of Newcastle
    was actually done in India and I set myself
  • 79:07 - 79:14
    an impossible target. Can Tamel speaking twelve
    year old children in a south Indian village
  • 79:17 - 79:23
    teach themselves biotechnology in English
    on their own? I thought I'll test them,
  • 79:23 - 79:27
    they'll get a zero, I'll give them material,
    I'll come back and test them, they'll
  • 79:27 - 79:33
    get another zero, I'll go back and say yes
    we need teachers for certain things. I called
  • 79:33 - 79:37
    in twenty six children they all came in there,
    I told them that there's some really difficult
  • 79:37 - 79:41
    stuff on this computer I wouldn't be surprised
    if you didn't understand anything. It's
  • 79:41 - 79:47
    all in English and I'm going. I came back
    after two months, the twenty six children
  • 79:47 - 79:52
    marched in looking very, very quiet. I said
    well, did you look at any of the steps, they
  • 79:52 - 79:59
    said yes we did, did you understand anything,
    they said no, nothing. So I said, well, how
  • 79:59 - 80:04
    long did you practice on it before you decided
    you understood nothing, they said we look
  • 80:04 - 80:08
    at it every day, so I said for two months
    you are looking at stuff you didn't understand,
  • 80:08 - 80:13
    so a twelve year old girl raises her hand
    and says, apart from the fact improper replication
  • 80:13 - 80:17
    of the DNA molecule causes genetic disease
    we've understood nothing else (crowd laughs).
  • 80:17 - 80:24
    So the schools have gone up from 0% to 30%
    which is an educational impossibility under
  • 80:30 - 80:36
    the circumstances, but 30% is not a pass.
    So I found that they had a friend, a local
  • 80:36 - 80:42
    accountant, a young girl, and they play football
    with her. I asked that girl if they would
  • 80:42 - 80:45
    teach them enough Biotechnology to pass and
    she said how would I do that, I don't know
  • 80:45 - 80:48
    the subject, and I said no, use the method
    of the Grandmother, she said what's that
  • 80:48 - 80:55
    and I said what you've got to do is stand
    behind them, and admire them all the time
  • 80:56 - 81:00
    (crowd laughs), just say to them, that's
    cool, that's fantastic, what is that, can
  • 81:00 - 81:04
    you do that again, can you show me some more.
    She did that for 2 months, the score went
  • 81:04 - 81:10
    up to 50% which is what the posh schools of
    New Dehli with the trained Biotechnology teachers
  • 81:10 - 81:17
    were getting. So I came back to Newcastle
    with these results and decided that there
  • 81:17 - 81:24
    was something happening here that definitely
    was getting very serious. Across the River
  • 81:24 - 81:29
    Thames, five thousand miles from Dehli, is
    the little town of Gateshead, in Gateshead
  • 81:29 - 81:36
    I took thirty two children and I started to
    fine tune the method, I made them into groups
  • 81:36 - 81:41
    of four, I said you make your own groups of
    four, each group of four can use one computer,
  • 81:41 - 81:47
    and not four computers. You can exchange groups,
    you can walk across to another group if you
  • 81:47 - 81:52
    don't like your group etc. You can go to
    another group, peer over their shoulder, see
  • 81:52 - 81:59
    what they're doing, come back to your own
    group and claim it as your own work. The children
  • 81:59 - 82:02
    enthusiastically got up to me and said what
    do you want us to do? I gave them six GCSE
  • 82:02 - 82:09
    questions. The first group, the best one solved
    everything, in twenty minutes, the worst,
  • 82:09 - 82:14
    in forty five, they used everything that they
    knew: Newsgroups, Google, Wikipedia, Ask Jeeves
  • 82:14 - 82:21
    etc. The teachers said, is this deep learning,
    I said well, let's try it. I'll come back
  • 82:21 - 82:26
    after two months, we'll give them a paper
    test, no computers, no talking to each other
  • 82:26 - 82:30
    etc. The average score when I done it with
    the computers and the groups was 76%. When
  • 82:30 - 82:37
    I did the experiment, when I did the test
    after two months, the score was... 76%. There
  • 82:40 - 82:45
    was photographic recall inside the children;
    I suspect because they were discussing with
  • 82:45 - 82:51
    each other, a single child in front of a single
    computer will not do that, I have further
  • 82:51 - 82:57
    results which are, almost unbelievable of
    scores which go up with time, because the
  • 82:57 - 83:02
    teachers say after the session is over, the
    children continue to Google further. Here
  • 83:02 - 83:09
    in Britain I've put in a call for British
    Grandmothers, after my Kupum experiment, the
  • 83:10 - 83:17
    deal was they would give me one hour of broadband
    time sitting at their homes, one day in a
  • 83:17 - 83:24
    week. So they did that and over the last two
    years, over six hundred hours of instructions
  • 83:24 - 83:30
    have been over Skype, using what my students
    call, the Granny Cloud. (Girl in class talking)
  • 83:30 - 83:37
    Back in Gateshead, a ten year old girl gets
    into the heart of Hinduism, in fifteen minutes,
  • 83:37 - 83:44
    you know stuff which don't know, anything
    about (crowd laughs), Two children watch a
  • 83:45 - 83:51
    TED talk, they wanted to be footballers before,
    after watching eight TED talks, he wants to
  • 83:51 - 83:58
    become Leonardo Da Vinci (crowd laughs) (applause),
    it's pretty simple stuff. This is what I'm
  • 84:00 - 84:07
    building now, they are called SOLEs, Self-Organised
    Learning Environments, the furniture is designed
  • 84:08 - 84:14
    so children can sit in front of big, powerful
    screens, big broadband connections but in
  • 84:14 - 84:20
    groups. If they want they can call the Granny
    Cloud, this is a SOLE in Newcastle, the mediator
  • 84:20 - 84:27
    is from Umea, India. So how far can we go,
    I think we've just stumbled across a self-organising
  • 84:27 - 84:33
    system. A self-organising system is one where
    a structure appears without explicit intervention
  • 84:33 - 84:38
    from the outside, self-organising systems
    also always show emergence, which is when
  • 84:38 - 84:44
    the system starts to do things which it was
    never designed for, which is why you react
  • 84:44 - 84:50
    the way you do because it looks impossible.
    I think I can make a guess now, education
  • 84:50 - 84:55
    is organising system, where learning is an
    emergent phenomenon, it will take a few years
  • 84:55 - 84:59
    to prove it experimentally but I'm going
    to try but in the meanwhile there is a method
  • 84:59 - 85:04
    available. One billion children, we will need
    one hundred million mediators, there are many
  • 85:04 - 85:10
    more than that on the planet, ten million
    SOLEs, one hundred and eighty billion dollars
  • 85:10 - 85:13
    and ten years, we could change everything!
  • 85:13 - 85:20
    So, children left to their own devices are
    capable of self-learning, perhaps limited
  • 85:21 - 85:27
    only by their ability to search for information.
    But what if this process was made easier?
  • 85:27 - 85:33
    What if there was a website which consolidated
    a vast range of subjects with short educational
  • 85:33 - 85:40
    explanatory videos, detailing almost every
    aspect of mathematics, history, healthcare,
  • 85:40 - 85:47
    medicine, finance, physics, chemistry, biology,
    astronomy, economics, cosmology, civics and
  • 85:48 - 85:54
    computer science. Well that website exists;
    it's called the Kahn academy, developed
  • 85:54 - 85:59
    by Salman Kahn in 2006. The site currently
    has more than 4,000 micro lectures and has
  • 85:59 - 86:05
    delivered over two hundred and forty million
    lessons worldwide. In fact the Kahn academy
  • 86:05 - 86:11
    has been so successful it is likely the primary
    inspiration behind Academic Earth, which has
  • 86:11 - 86:18
    evolved the concept to include actual lectures
    form more than forty top US colleges including
  • 86:18 - 86:25
    Harvard, MIT, Princeton, Stanford, and Yale.
    Since Academic Earth, a group of educators
  • 86:25 - 86:31
    from Stanford University have formed Coursea.
    Adopting the same premise as Kahn and Academic
  • 86:31 - 86:38
    Earth, However, with Coursea upon the completion
    of on-line courses, students are awarded certificates
  • 86:38 - 86:44
    which can and indeed have been used to gain
    employment and in some cases, as a substitute
  • 86:44 - 86:51
    for credit in real world educational institutions.
  • 86:54 - 87:01
    Arts & Entertainment
    Incentive
  • 87:07 - 87:14
    In looking at the future of the arts in relation
    to jobs, I feel an important distinction must
  • 87:15 - 87:19
    be drawn.
    There are really two concepts of employment
  • 87:19 - 87:25
    which tends to go unacknowledged. The first
    is driven by financial necessity. This version
  • 87:25 - 87:31
    makes employment something we submit to in
    order to gain access to our life supporting
  • 87:31 - 87:36
    needs; the other is driven by passion, making
    employment a creative outlet where financial
  • 87:36 - 87:44
    stability is a by-product and not the primary
    motivation. In fact when it comes to art,
  • 87:44 - 87:51
    or any process involving creativity, monetary
    rewards are actually in-verse to productivity.
  • 87:56 - 88:01
    Our motivations are unbelievably interesting.
    The science is really surprising. The science
  • 88:01 - 88:08
    is a little bit freaky, okay. We are not as
    endlessly manipulable and predictable as you
  • 88:08 - 88:13
    would think. There's a whole set of unbelievably
    interesting studies. I want to give you two
  • 88:13 - 88:17
    that call into question this whole idea that
    if you reward something you get more of the
  • 88:17 - 88:20
    behaviour you want, if you punish something
    you get less of it.
  • 88:20 - 88:26
    So let's go from London to the mean streets
    of Cambridge, Massachusetts, in the northeastern
  • 88:26 - 88:29
    part of the United States, and let's talk
    about a study done at MIT -- Massachusetts
  • 88:29 - 88:33
    Institute of Technology. Here's what they
    did: they took a whole group of students and
  • 88:33 - 88:39
    gave them a set of challenges. Things like
    memorizing a string of digits, solving word
  • 88:39 - 88:44
    puzzles, other kinds of spatial puzzles, even
    physical tasks like throwing a ball through
  • 88:44 - 88:48
    a hoop. They gave 'em these challenges and
    they said to incentivize their performance,
  • 88:48 - 88:53
    they gave them three levels of rewards, okay.
    So if you did pretty well you got a small
  • 88:53 - 88:59
    monetary reward, if you did medium well you
    got a medium reward, and if you did really
  • 88:59 - 89:04
    well, if you were one of the top performers,
    you got a large cash prize. We've seen this
  • 89:04 - 89:09
    movie before. This is a typical motivation
    scheme within organizations. Right? We reward
  • 89:09 - 89:15
    the very top performers, we ignore the low
    performers, and the folks in the middle...okay,
  • 89:15 - 89:21
    you get a little. So what happens? They do
    the test, they have these incentives, and
  • 89:21 - 89:26
    here's what they found out:
    (1) As long as the task involved only mechanical
  • 89:26 - 89:32
    skill, bonuses worked as would be expected:
    the higher the pay, the better the performance.
  • 89:32 - 89:38
    That makes sense. But here's what happened:
    once the test called for even rudimentary
  • 89:38 - 89:45
    cognitive skill, a larger reward led to poorer
    performance! Now this is strange...a larger
  • 89:45 - 89:50
    reward led to poorer performance. How can
    that possibly be? Now what's interesting about
  • 89:50 - 89:55
    this is that the folks who did it are all
    economists -- two at MIT, one at the University
  • 89:55 - 89:59
    of Chicago, one at Carnegie Mellon -- okay,
    the top tier of the economics profession,
  • 89:59 - 90:05
    and they're reaching this conclusion that
    seems contrary to what most of us learned
  • 90:05 - 90:09
    in economics, which is that the higher the
    reward, the better the performance. And they're
  • 90:09 - 90:16
    saying, once you get above rudimentary cognitive
    skill, it's the other way around. The idea
  • 90:16 - 90:22
    that these rewards don't work that way seems
    vaguely left wing and socialist, doesn't it?
  • 90:22 - 90:27
    It's this weird, socialist conspiracy. For
    those of you who have those conspiracy theories,
  • 90:27 - 90:32
    I want to point out the notoriously left-wing
    socialist group that financed the research:
  • 90:32 - 90:37
    the Federal Reserve Bank -- the most mainstream
    of the mainstream coming to a conclusion that
  • 90:37 - 90:43
    seems to defy the laws of behavioural physics!
    So this is strange, strange findings. So what
  • 90:43 - 90:50
    do they do? They say let's go test it somewhere
    else. Maybe that $50, $60 prize isn't sufficiently
  • 90:50 - 90:57
    motivating for MIT students. Let's go to a
    place where $50 is more significant relatively.
  • 90:57 - 91:01
    So we're gonna take the experiment and go
    to Madurai, India -- rural India -- where
  • 91:01 - 91:06
    $50, $60, whatever the number was is actually
    a significant sum of money. So they replicated
  • 91:06 - 91:11
    the experiment in India roughly as follows:
    the small rewards were roughly the equivalent
  • 91:11 - 91:18
    of two weeks' salary; medium performance,
    about a month's salary; high performance,
  • 91:20 - 91:26
    about two months' salary. Those are good incentives,
    so you're probably goanna get a different
  • 91:26 - 91:31
    result here. But what happened was that, the
    people offered the medium reward did no better
  • 91:31 - 91:35
    than the people offered the small reward.
    But this time around the people offered the
  • 91:35 - 91:40
    highest reward did worst of all! Higher incentives
    led to worse performances. What's interesting
  • 91:40 - 91:45
    about this is it isn't all that anomalous.
    This has been replicated over and over and
  • 91:45 - 91:51
    over again by psychologists, by sociologists,
    and by economists -- over and over and over
  • 91:51 - 91:56
    again. For simple, straightforward tasks,
    these kinds of incentives -- "If you do
  • 91:56 - 92:00
    this then you get that" -- they're great.
    For tasks that are algorithmic, you just follow
  • 92:00 - 92:07
    a set of rules; get a right answer, if then,
    carrots and sticks...outstanding. But when
  • 92:09 - 92:14
    a task gets more complicated, when it requires
    some conceptual, creative thinking, those
  • 92:14 - 92:21
    kinds of motivators demonstrably don't work.
    Fact: money is a motivator at work, but in
  • 92:21 - 92:26
    a slightly strange way. If you don't pay people
    enough they won't be motivated. What's curious
  • 92:26 - 92:30
    is there's another paradox here, that the
    best use of money as a motivator is to pay
  • 92:30 - 92:35
    people enough to take the issue of money off
    the table. Pay people enough that they're
  • 92:35 - 92:38
    not thinking about money, they're thinking
    about the work. Once you do that, it turns
  • 92:38 - 92:44
    out there are three factors that science shows
    lead to better performance, not to mention
  • 92:44 - 92:48
    personal satisfaction: autonomy, mastery,
    and purpose.
  • 92:48 - 92:53
    Autonomy is our desire to be self-directed
    -- to direct our own lives. In many ways,
  • 92:53 - 92:58
    traditional notions of management runs afoul
    of that. Management is great if you want compliance;
  • 92:58 - 93:01
    but if you want engagement, which is what
    we want in the workplace today as people are
  • 93:01 - 93:06
    doing more complicated, sophisticated things,
    self-direction is better. Let me give you
  • 93:06 - 93:11
    some examples of this. One of the most radical
    forms of self-direction in the workplace that
  • 93:11 - 93:16
    leads to good results. Let's start with Atlassian
    -- an Australian software company, and they
  • 93:16 - 93:21
    do something really cool. Once a
    quarter on a Thursday afternoon, they say
  • 93:21 - 93:26
    to their developers, "For the next 24 hours
    you can work anything you want. You can work
  • 93:26 - 93:29
    on it the way you want, you can work on it
    with whoever you want. All we ask is that
  • 93:29 - 93:33
    you show those results to the company at the
    end of the 24 hours." And it's a fun kind
  • 93:33 - 93:40
    of meeting, with beer and cake, and fun, and
    other things like that. It turns out that
  • 93:40 - 93:47
    that one day of pure, undiluted autonomy has
    led to a whole array of fixes for existing
  • 93:47 - 93:52
    software, a whole array of ideas for new products
    that otherwise would have never emerged. One
  • 93:52 - 93:54
    day!
    Now this is not an "if then" incentive.
  • 93:54 - 93:57
    This is not the sort of thing I would have
    done three years ago, before I heard this
  • 93:57 - 94:02
    research. I would've said, you want people
    to be creative and innovative? Give 'em a
  • 94:02 - 94:05
    freakin innovation bonus. "If you can do
    something cool, I'll give you $2,500." They're
  • 94:05 - 94:09
    not doing this at all. They're essentially
    saying, you probably wanna do something interesting,
  • 94:09 - 94:14
    let me just get out of your way. One day of
    autonomy produces things that would never
  • 94:14 - 94:17
    emerge.
    Now let's talk about mastery. Mastery is our
  • 94:17 - 94:22
    urge to get better at stuff. We like to get
    better at stuff. This is why people play musical
  • 94:22 - 94:27
    instruments on the weekend. These people act
    in ways that don't make any sense economically.
  • 94:27 - 94:33
    They play musical instruments on the weekends.
    Why? It's not gonna make them any money. 'Cause
  • 94:33 - 94:38
    it's fun. 'Cause you get better at it, and
    that's satisfying. Go back in time a little
  • 94:38 - 94:43
    bit. Imagine. I imagine if I went to my first
    economics professor, a woman named Mary Alice
  • 94:43 - 94:49
    Shulman, if I went to her in 1983 and said,
    "Professor Shulman, can I talk to you after
  • 94:49 - 94:54
    class a minute? I got this inkling...I've
    got this idea for a business model; I just
  • 94:54 - 95:00
    wanna run it past you. Here's how it would
    work: you get a bunch of people around the
  • 95:00 - 95:06
    world that are doing highly skilled work,
    but they're willing to do it for free and
  • 95:06 - 95:11
    volunteer their time -- twenty, sometimes
    thirty hours a week." She's looking at me
  • 95:11 - 95:17
    somewhat skeptically now. "Oh, but I'm not
    done! Then, what they create, they give it
  • 95:17 - 95:24
    away rather than sell it. It's gonna be huge!"
    She would have thought I was insane. It seems
  • 95:25 - 95:30
    to fly in the face of so many things. But
    you have Linux powering servers in one out
  • 95:30 - 95:36
    of four Fortune 500 companies. You have Apache
    powering more than the majority of web servers.
  • 95:36 - 95:41
    You have Wikipedia. What's going on? Why are
    people doing this? Why are these people, many
  • 95:41 - 95:47
    of whom are technically sophisticated, highly
    skilled people--who have jobs, they have jobs,
  • 95:47 - 95:54
    they're working at jobs for pay doing sophisticated
    technical work -- and yet, during their limited
  • 95:54 - 96:01
    discretionary time, they do equally if not
    more technically sophisticated work, not for
  • 96:01 - 96:06
    their employer, but for someone else for free!
    That's a strange economic behavior! Economists
  • 96:06 - 96:12
    have looked into it: why are they doing this?
    It's overwhelmingly clear: challenge and mastery,
  • 96:12 - 96:15
    along with making a contribution, that's it.
    What you're seeing, more and more, what's
  • 96:15 - 96:21
    arising is what you might call the purpose
    motive. Organizations want to have some kind
  • 96:21 - 96:25
    of transcendent purpose -- partly because
    it makes coming to work better, partly because
  • 96:25 - 96:32
    that's the way to get better talent. And what
    we're seeing now is when the profit motive
  • 96:32 - 96:38
    becomes unmoored from the purpose motive,
    bad things happen. Bad things ethically sometimes,
  • 96:38 - 96:45
    but also bad things like just like not good
    stuff. Like crappy products, like lame services,
  • 96:45 - 96:50
    like uninspiring places to work. When the
    profit motive is paramount or when it becomes
  • 96:50 - 96:56
    completely unhitched from the purpose motive,
    people don't do great things.
  • 96:56 - 97:00
    More and more organizations are realizing
    this, sort of disturbing the categories between
  • 97:00 - 97:05
    what's profit and what's purpose. And I think
    that heralds something interesting. I think
  • 97:05 - 97:10
    the companies that are flourishing, whether
    they're non-profit, for profit, or somewhere
  • 97:10 - 97:14
    in between, are animated by this purpose model.
    Let me give you a few examples: Here's the
  • 97:14 - 97:19
    founder of Skype. He says our goal is to be
    disruptive but in the cause of making the
  • 97:19 - 97:25
    world a better place, pretty good purpose.
    Here's Steve Jobs. I wanna put a ding in the
  • 97:25 - 97:30
    universe. Alright, that's the kind of thing
    that might get you up in the morning racing
  • 97:30 - 97:35
    to go to work.
    So I think we are purpose maximizers, not
  • 97:35 - 97:40
    only profit maximizers. The science shows
    that we care very, very deeply about mastery,
  • 97:40 - 97:44
    and the science shows that we want to be self-
    directed. So I think the big takeaway here
  • 97:44 - 97:51
    is that if we start treating people like people,
    and not assuming they're simply horses -- slower,
  • 97:51 - 97:56
    smaller, better smelling horses -- if we
    get past this ideology of carrots and sticks
  • 97:56 - 98:01
    and look at the science, I think we can actually
    build organizations and work lives that make
  • 98:01 - 98:05
    us better off, and I think we also have the
    promise to make our world just a little bit
  • 98:05 - 98:07
    better.
  • 98:07 - 98:14
    So, while the all the mundane repetitive jobs
    are being assigned to machines, the jobs which
  • 98:17 - 98:24
    exist outside of a computer's creative capabilities,
    are in fact jobs which would exist regardless
  • 98:24 - 98:31
    of financial reward and in fact produce better
    results without the incentive.
  • 98:31 - 98:38
    Media
    Earlier we looked at the possibility of certain
  • 98:39 - 98:43
    media companies becoming exclusive to app
    form, but what would the future of media look
  • 98:43 - 98:50
    like if a website such as Youtube, decided
    to adopt the same feature of paid-subscription
  • 98:50 - 98:57
    viewing? Incorporating say, an embedded planner
    interface? Well for one, YouTube would have
  • 98:57 - 99:02
    an immediate advantage as their planer could
    be customizable, and rather than having pay
  • 99:02 - 99:08
    for an entire package of channels, users would
    have the option of paying for individual programing.
  • 99:08 - 99:12
    The programs themselves would no longer be
    constrained by the time slot limitations of
  • 99:12 - 99:19
    a typical TV network, for each program could
    have its own channel. But this is all merely
  • 99:19 - 99:26
    speculation right? Well no, turns out YouTube
    are currently preparing to switch on live
  • 99:26 - 99:29
    stream subscription viewing.
  • 99:29 - 99:34
    Film
    The most profitable sector in the entertainment
  • 99:34 - 99:41
    business is the film industry. One of the
    reasons is due to just how expensive it is
  • 99:41 - 99:46
    to actually make a film, accounting for the
    sheer amount of people involved in production.
  • 99:46 - 99:52
    But many production elements are quickly becoming
    redundant by the ever improving capabilities
  • 99:52 - 99:59
    of GCI. If filming outside; you only have
    a few of hours of light each day to maintain
  • 100:03 - 100:10
    continuity. With CGI, backdrops and lighting
    can be controlled in a green lit studio. As
  • 100:14 - 100:21
    far as on screen performance, movies tend
    to have dozens of actors each requiring multiple
  • 100:21 - 100:28
    takes of a scene and character CGI has typically
    been reserved for cartoonish features. Well,
  • 100:31 - 100:37
    as the technology advances CGI is getting
    ever closer to reflecting reality.
  • 100:37 - 100:44
    Ok first thing smile, frown, look mean, eyebrows
    up, eyebrows down, move your mouth around
  • 100:49 - 100:56
    like this, now go A, A, E, E, I, I, O, U,
    very good.
  • 101:00 - 101:07
    With CGI an actor could perform every scene
    of a movie inside a green lit studio and since
  • 101:07 - 101:14
    his image is rendered, you could have a single
    actor performing multiple rolls. perhaps every
  • 101:14 - 101:20
    roll in the entire movie could be performed
    by just 4 or 5 actors and since their emotions
  • 101:20 - 101:25
    would be captured and stored on the computers,
    in the future, rather than having to shoot
  • 101:25 - 101:31
    a scene over and over until finally getting
    the desired emotional response, perhaps directors
  • 101:31 - 101:37
    will have the option of choosing from a database
    of preprogramed actions.
  • 101:37 - 101:43
    All of this implying mass reduction in the
    volume of people needed to make a film. Now,
  • 101:43 - 101:47
    I'm sure many will see the lump of labour
    fallacy here, and point out that new jobs
  • 101:47 - 101:54
    would emerge in the form building the CGI,
    however, video games are entirely CGI, and
  • 101:55 - 102:02
    the development of a game currently cost between
    $500k--$5M compared that with the starting
  • 102:02 - 102:08
    price of two hundred million dollars for a
    Hollywood movie. And then there's the open
  • 102:08 - 102:14
    source community. Blender for one is an open
    source 3D modelling program. Since the blender
  • 102:14 - 102:20
    project began, a community of volunteers have
    downloaded the source code and over time,
  • 102:20 - 102:26
    made gradual improvements to the programs
    functionality. Today blender is capable of
  • 102:26 - 102:30
    producing this.
    Why don't you just admit that you're freaked
  • 102:30 - 102:37
    out by my robot hand?
    Ahggg c'mon
  • 102:42 - 102:48
    Human!
    This is pretty freaky
  • 102:59 - 103:06
    "Tears of Steel"
  • 103:10 - 103:17
    Professional, Scientific & Technical
  • 103:21 - 103:25
    This sector covers a vast range of jobs and
    I feel it would be far too time consuming
  • 103:25 - 103:31
    to address each in great detail. So let's
    run through these quickly. The workload typically
  • 103:31 - 103:36
    required with legal advice and representation,
    is now being diminished through the use of
  • 103:36 - 103:42
    e-discovery, which enables 1 lawyer to do
    the work of 500
  • 103:42 - 103:46
    Accounting services are being replaced with
    software such as KashFlow which can actually
  • 103:46 - 103:53
    track bank transactions, obviating the need
    for manual input accounting.
  • 103:54 - 103:59
    Translation and interpretation services are
    also replaceable with software such as Lingual
  • 103:59 - 104:06
    which uses apple's Siri technology to translate
    between 35 languages in real-time.
  • 104:18 - 104:22
    Architectural work may over time become less
    of a specialist subject. As computers grew
  • 104:22 - 104:27
    throughout the 90's necessity demanded the
    majority of us familiarize ourselves with
  • 104:27 - 104:33
    operating systems. I believe the advancements
    in 3D printing will demand that people become
  • 104:33 - 104:38
    failure with computer aided design. And as
    the software improves, much of the architectural
  • 104:38 - 104:45
    process could be constructed in a program
    similar to a Sims game.
  • 104:46 - 104:53
    Engineering, Computer system design, Photography
    and Scientific research all seem to fall under
  • 104:55 - 105:02
    the umbrella of creativity which as demonstrated
    earlier would exist regardless of paid employment.
  • 105:05 - 105:09
    Advertising services may be under threat if
    YouTube were to eliminate their competition
  • 105:09 - 105:16
    and also incorporate a paid viewing feature
    which disables advertising.
  • 105:16 - 105:23
    Consulting services I think can easily be
    replaced with advanced voice recognition software.
  • 105:28 - 105:35
    Administrative & Support Services
  • 105:48 - 105:55
    The core job of an administrator is to process,
    filter, organize and categorise personal data.
  • 105:55 - 106:01
    Facebook has recently shown the potential
    of account synchronization. Instead of having
  • 106:01 - 106:07
    to fill out a form every time we register
    to a new website, Now we have the single click
  • 106:07 - 106:12
    option of "register through Facebook",
    where all the user has to do I click this
  • 106:12 - 106:18
    button and the website dose the rest. Of course
    Facebook is a social network and likely contains
  • 106:18 - 106:24
    information not necessarily relevant to third
    party organizations. But if the government
  • 106:24 - 106:30
    were to further the train of thought here,
    we could instate a nationalised social HUB,
  • 106:30 - 106:35
    whereby those of us with say a national insurance
    number, could at least have the option of
  • 106:35 - 106:40
    having our relevant details authenticated
    and synced with our national insurance accounts,
  • 106:40 - 106:45
    and once the information has been submitted
    and synced, applying for government benefits,
  • 106:45 - 106:50
    bank loans, college placements or even making
    a dentist appointment, could all be achieved
  • 106:50 - 106:56
    much faster through the on-line hub, reducing
    our dependency on the processing requirements
  • 106:56 - 107:02
    of these time consuming middlemen, and having
    a regulated information HUB could also extend
  • 107:02 - 107:07
    to the elimination or at the very least a
    downgrading of the postal service, for all
  • 107:07 - 107:14
    forms of documentation could be securely transferred
    electronically to authenticated email addresses.
  • 107:23 - 107:30
    Financial & Insurance
  • 107:44 - 107:49
    The world of finances and insurance is obviously
    dependent upon the circulation of money. So
  • 107:49 - 107:54
    rather than address specific elements of this
    sector, it's perhaps easier to simply look
  • 107:54 - 108:01
    at the root cause of our pending financial
    collapse. Far from automated systems the fall
  • 108:01 - 108:08
    of the global financial economy, will result
    from simple causation principles in mathematics.
  • 108:08 - 108:12
    Almost every form of trade in the world is
    represented through currency. Currency is
  • 108:12 - 108:19
    a proclamation where a certain value is identified
    by a number. One pound will represent a value,
  • 108:20 - 108:25
    which can differ slightly between traders
    but generally holds an accepted range, and
  • 108:25 - 108:31
    this ranging value is not determined or decided
    by politicians or bankers, it's a value
  • 108:31 - 108:38
    derived from the market. When calculating
    the cost of housing, energy, transportation,
  • 108:38 - 108:44
    as well as goods and services, we are presented
    with a consumer price index and thus derive
  • 108:44 - 108:50
    the overall market value of the pound. The
    markets themselves are predicated on consumer
  • 108:50 - 108:56
    spending. So if all consumers continually
    spend the same amount, the markets prices
  • 108:56 - 109:03
    would stabilize and the economy could potentially
    function harmoniously, neither growing nor
  • 109:03 - 109:08
    contracting. But let's step back and look
    at where money actually comes from in the
  • 109:08 - 109:15
    first place. All money in circulation was
    created by and is the property of the central
  • 109:16 - 109:23
    bank, in our case the bank of England. This
    bank loans money to the commercial and investment
  • 109:23 - 109:30
    banks, which then issue loans themselves to
    rival banks, consumers and businesses, so
  • 109:30 - 109:36
    since we are all trading borrowed money, cyclical
    consumption is not only a necessity for ensuring
  • 109:36 - 109:43
    the integrity of the pound, it is also a requirement
    for the banks, thus the currency, to remain
  • 109:43 - 109:50
    operational. Only one problem with this, this
    borrowing from the banks process isn't quite
  • 109:50 - 109:55
    the same as a game of Monopoly where a friend
    might loan you some cash until you pass go!
  • 109:55 - 110:00
    All the money borrowed from both the central
    and commercial banks, has to be paid back
  • 110:00 - 110:07
    with interest, but since the interest is in
    fact NOT created alongside the initial loan,
  • 110:07 - 110:13
    the ability to pay back more money than exists
    in principle is a mathematical impossibility
  • 110:13 - 110:20
    if the goal was maintaining economic harmony.
    So instead we try to resolve the problem generated
  • 110:21 - 110:26
    with interest, through a process called quantitative
    easing, in which the banks may temporarily
  • 110:26 - 110:31
    lower interest rates and the government will
    often borrow even more money at interest,
  • 110:31 - 110:36
    in an effort to grow the economy.
    See rather than address the fundamental flaw
  • 110:36 - 110:43
    of this system, we instead perpetuate an infinite
    growth paradigm, which of course, is ultimately
  • 110:44 - 110:51
    unsustainable on a finite planet, and in looking
    at the numbers it doesn't seem this quantitative
  • 110:51 - 110:57
    easing has had much effect, here's the average
    monthly consumer costs in 2008, compared with
  • 110:57 - 111:04
    today, we have an overall price increase of
    25% while wages during the same time only
  • 111:05 - 111:12
    rose by 6%. These results are simply because
    perpetual growth is unsustainable and Bankruptcy,
  • 111:13 - 111:19
    redundancy, foreclosure, administrations,
    liquidations, loan defaults and the raising
  • 111:19 - 111:24
    of a country's debt ceiling, are all built
    in consequential and we should expect nothing
  • 111:24 - 111:31
    ells of this system.
  • 111:39 - 111:46
    Other
    Having looked at each sector of employment,
  • 111:56 - 112:02
    it appears we are heading towards a fully
    automated economy, some might say this would
  • 112:02 - 112:08
    still require lots of human workers? Machines
    after all do have at least one constraint,
  • 112:08 - 112:14
    while they can work without a monetary incentive,
    the do require energy.
  • 112:14 - 112:19
    Our current methods of energy cultivation
    result in the depletion of natural oil and
  • 112:19 - 112:25
    the burning of CO2 emitting fossil fuels,
    but these methods are wasteful, cumbersome
  • 112:25 - 112:30
    and quite frankly out-dated. Solutions to
    the energy crisis are often cited in the form
  • 112:30 - 112:36
    of nuclear power, but after the disasters
    in Japan, perhaps we should be looking to
  • 112:36 - 112:42
    cleaner, safer solutions.
    Solar energy is gradually becoming more and
  • 112:42 - 112:46
    more accepted by the mainstream, even the
    government are incentivising home owners to
  • 112:46 - 112:52
    adopt solar panels with the Feed-In Tariffs
    scheme, where participants will be compensated
  • 112:52 - 112:58
    for any surplus energy generated. While an
    initial solar panel investment may deter some
  • 112:58 - 113:03
    of us, it's reassuring to know that the
    cost of solar is currently dropping at a rate
  • 113:03 - 113:10
    of 30% per year. But could we really sustain
    our energy needs on solar panels alone? Well
  • 113:10 - 113:14
    firstly, solar technology is not limited to
    buildings.
  • 113:14 - 113:20
    An American company called solar roadways
    are developing photovoltaic solar roads. With
  • 113:20 - 113:25
    current technology it is estimated that full
    integration of solar roads across the US,
  • 113:25 - 113:30
    would generate enough power to satisfy the
    current energy usage of the entire planet.
  • 113:30 - 113:36
    These roads also incorporate LED displays
    which could probably be programed to coincide
  • 113:36 - 113:41
    with autonomous vehicles ensuring even greater
    road safety. The roads in colder climates
  • 113:41 - 113:46
    would be installed with embedded heating elements,
    eliminating ice and snow hazards as well as
  • 113:46 - 113:53
    the required jobs of snow ploughs and gritters.
    Solar energy aside, how about wind? According
  • 113:55 - 114:01
    to the US department of energy, if wind turbines
    were fully harvested in just 3 of Americas
  • 114:01 - 114:08
    50 states, the energy cultivated would be
    enough to power the whole of the USA. But
  • 114:08 - 114:13
    wind farming is also not limited to the gigantic
    turbines which most of us are aware of. We
  • 114:13 - 114:19
    could be utilizing vertical axis wind turbines
    with magnetic bearings, which cause the wind
  • 114:19 - 114:25
    vain to levitate. Reducing the friction and
    cut-in wind speed usually hindered by gears.
  • 114:25 - 114:29
    You could literally blow on these things and
    create energy,
  • 114:29 - 114:36
    So what happens when we placed vertical axis
    turbines inside street lamps? Well, when a
  • 114:36 - 114:41
    vehicle drives past it creates a gust of wind
    and in turn powers the lights.
  • 114:41 - 114:48
    Then we have tidal power. According to Crown
    Estate, the UK has the potential to harness
  • 114:48 - 114:55
    up to 153 gigawatts, accounting for more than
    20% of our current energy usage. They also
  • 114:56 - 115:02
    found a potential 27 gigawatts from wave energy.
    And then of course we have geothermal power.
  • 115:04 - 115:09
    So here's the earth, in countries like Canada
    and the United States seasons come and go.
  • 115:09 - 115:13
    In the summer months it can be quite warm
    and in the winter very cold, while the temperature
  • 115:13 - 115:17
    of the surface for the earth changes with
    the seasons, the temperature of the ground
  • 115:17 - 115:21
    below the surface does not. Even at just two
    meters or six feet under the ground it is
  • 115:21 - 115:27
    about fifteen degrees Celsius or sixty degrees
    farenheight all year round. Geothermal takes
  • 115:27 - 115:31
    advantage of this consistent temperature and
    uses it to heat and cool homes. So how does
  • 115:31 - 115:35
    it work? First, a large hole is made into
    the ground and filled with a series of pipes
  • 115:35 - 115:40
    a special heat absorbing fluid constantly
    runs through the pipes. In the winter, heat
  • 115:40 - 115:44
    from the ground is absorbed into the pipes
    and pushed upwards where it can be circulated
  • 115:44 - 115:49
    throughout the house. In the summer the process
    is reversed, heat from the house is absorbed
  • 115:49 - 115:53
    into the pipes and pushed downwards where
    it can be stores within the cooler earth.
  • 115:53 - 115:58
    So what are the benefits of geothermal heating?
    Well for one you can save a lot of money geothermal
  • 115:58 - 116:02
    uses way less energy to operate and this means
    a heating bill that is up to eighty percent
  • 116:02 - 116:07
    lower than that of a traditional heating system,
    secondly geothermal doesn't run on fossil
  • 116:07 - 116:12
    fuels like oil or gas and therefore produces
    significantly less greenhouse gasses. So,
  • 116:12 - 116:19
    look into geothermal today for a cleaner and
    sustainable source of energy.
  • 116:21 - 116:28
    As well as heating homes, geothermal is being
    used to convert heat in to energy. And in
  • 116:28 - 116:34
    a 2006 MIT study, geothermal was found to
    have an energy potential of two thousand zenojules.
  • 116:34 - 116:41
    The total global energy consumption is currently
    around one half a zenejule per year, signifying
  • 116:41 - 116:47
    four thousand years of planetary power from
    geothermal alone. Meaning the powering of
  • 116:47 - 116:54
    an automated economy is simply a non-issue.
    But then there's the other argument regarding
  • 116:54 - 117:01
    machine maintenance. It is now a general assumption
    that all machines are in constant need repairs.
  • 117:01 - 117:08
    And well, this is true, at least with respects
    to market products. See within the market
  • 117:08 - 117:14
    there is planned obsolescence, in order to
    maintain cyclical consumption of goods, it
  • 117:14 - 117:21
    is crucial that products have a short lifespan.
    The biggest issue or potential flaw to me
  • 117:21 - 117:28
    over this invention is the fact, that it's
    not an invention or a product that actually
  • 117:28 - 117:34
    will be purchased more than once, you kind
    of almost want your product to break occasionally.
  • 117:34 - 117:41
    If we were to removed our dependency on cyclical
    consumption we could create products to last,
  • 117:42 - 117:49
    and the only threat to a machines lifespan,
    would be atmospheric erosion. This is why
  • 117:49 - 117:55
    in the future all machine parts will be treated
    with a super hydrophobic coating, which uses
  • 117:55 - 118:02
    nanotechnology to repel water and refined
    oils.
  • 118:39 - 118:46
    Problem
  • 119:19 - 119:24
    Even when we do recognize the implications
    of mass mechanisation, people tend to think
  • 119:24 - 119:31
    "not my job, not the job I happen to have
    spent four years studying for, the business
  • 119:31 - 119:37
    my family left me, the product I invested
    my life savings in, that job will be around
  • 119:37 - 119:44
    forever". I'm sorry to tell you that is
    merely wishful thinking, and yes your job
  • 119:44 - 119:51
    is vulnerable; even if not directly threatened
    by atomisation; we are all affected by the
  • 119:53 - 119:54
    mechanisms of causation.
  • 119:53 - 120:00
    When a store fails the products on those shelves
    thus manufacturing is affected, just as when
  • 120:00 - 120:07
    a product becomes obsolete, the stores in
    turn suffer. Also, when 50% of household products
  • 120:07 - 120:13
    are either redundant or freely downloadable,
    what do you think will happen to the world
  • 120:13 - 120:18
    of advertising? Autonomous cars eliminate
    the need for a driving licences thus the need
  • 120:18 - 120:24
    for driving schools and instructors, and since
    accidents are near impossible, there will
  • 120:24 - 120:30
    be a reduction in time with car insurance
    companies, repair shops and of course, taxable
  • 120:30 - 120:37
    offenses relating to speeding fines and the
    like. And as the overall state of the economy
  • 120:38 - 120:43
    weakens, commercial banks, real estate and
    government funded institutions such as education
  • 120:43 - 120:46
    and healthcare all be affected.
  • 120:46 - 120:53
    If by now you are asking "what's the real
    solution to the unemployment problem?" Well
  • 120:54 - 121:01
    my question is what's the problem? The loss
    of a job is historically synonymous with degradation
  • 121:01 - 121:07
    and poverty. Yet we are looking at a future
    in which organic food and clean energy are
  • 121:07 - 121:12
    cultivated with levels of abundance never
    before seen. Homes can be constructed within
  • 121:12 - 121:19
    a day without any human involvement. All tools,
    aesthetic objects and even medicine are designed,
  • 121:20 - 121:26
    downloaded, customized and printed on demand,
    either made from in your in the home or delivered
  • 121:26 - 121:33
    via autonomous vehicles, which have improved
    road safety and reduced travel time. Then
  • 121:33 - 121:38
    of course there's better healthcare, free
    education, less waste and this is all to say
  • 121:38 - 121:45
    nothing of the explosion in entertainment.
    The real solution would have nothing to do
  • 121:46 - 121:52
    with capitalism, socialism, communism, the
    free enterprise system or any other sub related
  • 121:52 - 121:59
    group. For these are market economies. And
    as the financial market dies, we need to transition
  • 121:59 - 122:06
    into a new sustainable economy, one which
    is designed around ensuring our survival,
  • 122:06 - 122:12
    meaning we must all have equal access to life
    supporting needs without the ridiculous number
  • 122:12 - 122:19
    game or any monetary exchange.
    We have the technology and the understanding
  • 122:19 - 122:26
    today of how to scientifically orient our
    resource distribution. But of course transitions
  • 122:27 - 122:34
    are never easy. There is nothing preventing
    a period of mass poverty and starvation. In
  • 122:35 - 122:40
    fact there is nothing preventing us from holding
    on to this out-dated, competition based, infinite
  • 122:40 - 122:44
    growth market economy, until we have nothing
    left.
  • 122:44 - 122:50
    By raising awareness of our technological
    potential and having the population understand
  • 122:50 - 122:57
    the imminent need to transition, we can alleviate
    the fear usually generated through ignorance
  • 122:57 - 123:03
    and allow the change to happen with little
    opposition. Luckily for us, I don't have
  • 123:03 - 123:10
    to sit here and propose setting up a mass
    awareness raising campaign, it already exists.
  • 123:11 - 123:16
    With over half a million members and hundreds
    of chapter's world-wide the zeitgeist movement
  • 123:16 - 123:21
    is the largest grassroots movement in history,
    and has set out to raise awareness as to our
  • 123:21 - 123:27
    true potential on this planet while at the
    same time advocating a transition in to a
  • 123:27 - 123:30
    new sustainable global paradigm.
Title:
Will Work For Free | OFFICIAL RELEASE | 2013
Description:

Will Work For Free is a documentary by Sam Vallely on the subject of technological unemployment.
this work is protected under fair use and will always be free.

Facebook:
https://www.facebook.com/willworkforfree

Muse - Madness
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ek0SgwWmF9w

GEA Farm Technologies MIone robotic milking system for dairy cows:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NGSc5ZTU57E

EGNOS for precision farming:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r365Qw77JcE

Lee Cronin: Print your own medicine:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mAEqvn7B2Qg

Sugata Mitra's new experiments in self-teaching:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dk60sYrU2RU

RSA Animate - Drive: The surprising truth about what motivates us:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u6XAPnuFjJc

Ultra-Ever Dry - Superhydrophobic coating:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IPM8OR6W6WE

Solar Roadways: The Prototype:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ep4L18zOEYI

Geothermal Heating:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ajqiPe_9Ko

For information on RBE(Resource-Based Economy):
http://www.thevenusproject.com/

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http://www.thezeitgeistmovement.com/

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Video Language:
English
Duration:
02:06:36

Bulgarian subtitles

Incomplete

Revisions