Will Work For Free | OFFICIAL RELEASE | 2013
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0:17 - 0:34Животът.. всичко е за оцеляването и никой
от нас не знае колко му остава на тази планета. -
0:34 - 0:38Нашата задача, като вид е да предвиждаме и
-
0:38 - 0:40елиминираме заплахите за нашето
оцеляване. -
0:40 - 0:47Коя ли е най-голямата заплаха?
Замърсяването? Болестите? Природните бедствия? -
0:57 - 1:01Вглеждайки се сме открили и идентифицирали
доста потенциални заплахи, -
1:01 - 1:07и затова имаме "война срещу тероризма", "война
срещу престъпленията", наркотиците, ракът... -
1:07 - 1:13но замисляме ли се над основните
ни животоподържащи нужди? -
1:13 - 1:19По принцип не е нужно, защото за щастие
имаме система, система при която -
1:19 - 1:24цената на тези нужди може да се плати. Можеш
да работиш за пари, които -
1:24 - 1:29да ти осигурят храна, вода и
дом, и е добре, че имаме такава -
1:29 - 1:36система, защото без пари си
загубен. А, ако останеш без работа -
1:36 - 1:43пак няма нужда да се притесняваш, защото
имаме и друга система. Ако не си на работа, -
1:43 - 1:48независимо защо, просто кандидатстваш
за социална помощ. -
1:48 - 1:54Понеже всички работещи плащат данъци, а
правителството разбира, че определен -
1:54 - 2:00процент безработица е нормално да се
очаква, те просто отделят част от парите -
2:00 - 2:06от данъци и ги прехвърлят към безработните
хора, чрез магическия процес на преразпределението. -
2:06 - 2:13Но това те кара да се замислиш. Ако това
е голямото ни решение, то къде е границата? -
2:16 - 2:23Какво ниво на безработица можем да подържаме?
И какво би се случило, ако изведнъж работните места -
2:27 - 2:30изчезнат?
-
2:30 - 2:34Светът е изправен пред огромно предизвикателство
и е нужно да се открият, чуйте това, -
2:34 - 2:37шестотин милиона работни позиции, за да
има икономически растеж и социална сплотеност. -
2:37 - 2:40____________
-
2:40 - 2:43Maveric Media представя:
-
2:43 - 2:50Defence giant BAE SYSTEMS has confirmed its
cutting almost three thousand jobs at sites -
2:52 - 2:56across the country.
Tata Steel which employs nineteen thousand -
2:56 - 3:01people in its UK steel business has announced
it is cutting nine hundred jobs around the -
3:01 - 3:03UK
Another blow to the region's economy today -
3:03 - 3:08as the energy giant EON has announced that
six hundred jobs are to go at a call centre -
3:08 - 3:12in Essox
The Phyzer facility in Kent, the world's -
3:12 - 3:17biggest drugs company runs the UKs largest
foreign owned research and developments facility. -
3:17 - 3:22It will close entirely with the loss of most
of two thousand four hundred jobs. -
3:22 - 3:26Ford has announced to trade union representatives
that it will cease manufacturing cars in the -
3:26 - 3:31UK after more than one hundred years.
Japans Honda is to cut around eight hundred -
3:31 - 3:35jobs at its plant near Swindon in south-west
England. -
3:35 - 3:39And we start tonight with news at the BBC
has announced cuts and job losses across the -
3:39 - 3:42region as part of a plan to make twenty percent
savings -
3:42 - 3:47Hundreds of police jobs have already been
slashed with thousands more under threat -
3:47 - 3:51Kodak the firm that invented the handheld
camera and remains one of Americas best known -
3:51 - 3:57brands has filed for bankruptcy protection.
Rangers football club one of the most famous -
3:57 - 4:01in Britain has announced its gone into administration.
More than three hundred of the eight hundred -
4:01 - 4:06stores that Woolworths use to occupy are still
standing empty more than a year and a half -
4:06 - 4:10after it collapsed at the end of 2008.
More retailers are expected to go bust over -
4:10 - 4:14the next few months.
All one hundred and eighty seven outlets are -
4:14 - 4:18to be shut with the loss of almost fourteen
hundred jobs, the administrator said that -
4:18 - 4:23it is apparent we cannot continue to trade.
It was once Britain's biggest sports retailer -
4:23 - 4:27but today JJB SPORTS announced plans to go
into administration. -
4:27 - 4:31Six and a half thousand jobs are at risk after
electrical retailer Comet announced it's -
4:31 - 4:35going into administration.
More than four thousand jobs at risk after -
4:35 - 4:37HMV announced that it was going into administration,
it follows other chains. -
4:37 - 4:43Its Blockbuster, its become the latest casualty
on the high-street this week, a quarter of -
4:43 - 4:47its stores are going to close, more than seven
hundred people are going to be made redundant. -
4:47 - 4:51There's serious doubts now about the future
of around six thousand jobs around the UK -
4:51 - 4:52after the company asked for its shares to
be suspended last Wednesday. -
4:52 - 4:54Former LaSenza employees have come to the
decision to occupy the store as a direct consequence -
4:54 - 5:00of the actions of management.
A buyer hasn't been found with the group -
5:00 - 5:07currently employs a total of nearly four thousand
staff. -
5:07 - 5:12Taiwan's IT giant FOXCONN announced its
plans to replace up to half a million human -
5:12 - 5:16workers with robots in the next three years.
It's called "scan as you shop" customers -
5:16 - 5:22love it. It's a very simple system.
Each load is almost three hundred tons, but -
5:22 - 5:25look closely. There's no one behind the
wheel. -
5:25 - 5:30The facility boasts the first robotics system
in the UK to deliver supplies such as linen -
5:30 - 5:37and food and an automated robotic pharmacy.
-
5:40 - 5:47A Sam Vallely FILM
-
5:50 - 5:57Will work for food
-
6:03 - 6:10Will work for free
-
6:15 - 6:19This isn't the first time unemployment has
been a threat to this system. -
6:19 - 6:2520 years ago, UK unemployment accounted for
10% of the population. It marked one of the -
6:25 - 6:32worst recessions in our history with significant
waves of rioting. However in ninety three, -
6:33 - 6:37unemployment took a turn, somehow the jobs
came back and things got better. -
6:37 - 6:44This growth in employment is just what we
needed, however it only lasted till two thousand -
6:45 - 6:52one. Then the rates stagnated, the increased.
By two thousand nine we were back to around -
6:53 - 6:58eight percent. But it's reassuring to see
the recent trends of unemployment have slowed -
6:58 - 7:05since then. Or at least it would be reassuring,
if it weren't for this. This chart shows -
7:05 - 7:11the trends of part time versus full time employment.
Notice how the increase in part time employment -
7:11 - 7:16runs almost parallel to the decrease of full
time employment. So, where one person may -
7:16 - 7:23have been working say, a 40 hours week contract...
now, two people would each be contracted 20 -
7:24 - 7:31hour, and funnily enough, this cross over
section occurred in two thousand nine. So -
7:31 - 7:37because technically more people are employed,
the rates falsely imply a slight slowing down -
7:37 - 7:44of job loss, but in reality, the amount of
avalible work is shrinking and the economy -
7:45 - 7:49is only getting worse.
Sso what happened last time we were in this -
7:49 - 7:56mess going? let's go back to 93, what changed?
Was it an orderly street protest which brought -
7:57 - 8:00back the jobs?
Perhaps it was some well thought out policy -
8:00 - 8:06from parliament that changed things.
Maybe everyone just stopped being lazy and -
8:06 - 8:13simultaneously arrived at the decision to
go out there and get a job. But maybe it has -
8:13 - 8:18something to do with technology.
In 93 Microsoft realised their Windows NT -
8:18 - 8:23operating system, Intel developed the first
Pentium processor and the National Centre -
8:23 - 8:29for Supercomputing Applications released version
1 of "Mosaic" which was to be world's -
8:29 - 8:34first internet web browser. It is estimated
the Internet grew throughout the 90's at -
8:34 - 8:41a rate of 100% per year. Subsequently improving
global communication and creating many jobs -
8:41 - 8:47within developed countries. Now to remove
any speculation as to whether or not this -
8:47 - 8:51was the reason for the growth in jobs, it
should be noted that throughout the nineties, -
8:51 - 8:58our employment trends were almost identical
to the U.S. trends and in a 2007 paper, a -
8:58 - 9:04team of Harvard economists found "the economic
expansion of the nineties was in fact driven -
9:04 - 9:11by the increased efficiency in the production
of IT, including computing, software and telecommunication. -
9:12 - 9:17The birth of the internet had propelled us
in to a new age and saved us from further -
9:17 - 9:23degradation. However, while emerging technology
is responsible for having created many new -
9:23 - 9:29jobs, technology has been known to replace
jobs throughout history. -
9:29 - 9:34When employment stagnated in two thousand
one, this wasn't because technology had -
9:34 - 9:41stopped expanding or that there weren't
any new ideas, the stagnation is simply because -
9:41 - 9:47technology is ever improving, and the numbers
of new jobs were being matched by the number -
9:47 - 9:49of job losses.
-
9:49 - 9:54Economists will always deny that technology
replaces jobs. It's called the Lump of labour -
9:54 - 10:01fallacy. Essentially it's the notion that
technology merely redistributes human workers, -
10:01 - 10:06the jobs which become obsolete or automated
simply allow humans to explore new sectors, -
10:06 - 10:13perhaps even invent new industries which have
yet to be conceived of. Well, while this idea -
10:13 - 10:18may have been partially true in the past,
the argument simply doesn't hold up anymore. -
10:18 - 10:24Computers these days are much smaller, faster
and durable, with ever increasing mobility, -
10:24 - 10:30dexterity and artificial intelligence. They
also become cheaper as time goes on. Moore's -
10:30 - 10:36law demonstrates how computer processing power
doubles approximately every eighteen months. -
10:36 - 10:42So even if we were to create new jobs... why
are we pretending we would give these jobs -
10:42 - 10:43to humans?
-
10:43 - 10:50So what does the government have to say about
all this? Well In June of 2011 not knowing -
10:51 - 10:58what to do with the increasing unemployment,
they invested ВЈ5B in the welfare to work -
10:58 - 11:05scheme, also known as the work program. This
five year program promises to help 2.4 million -
11:05 - 11:11people, find and secure long term employment
by paying private companies to do the work -
11:11 - 11:17of actually looking for jobs on behalf of
their unemployed clients. -
11:17 - 11:22One year later the department for work and
pensions released the figures. Turns out the -
11:22 - 11:29work program was a complete failure... only
3.4% of all those who signed up to the program -
11:29 - 11:36actually found work. 3.4%! Let's just put
that into context. What percentage of people -
11:38 - 11:45looking for work, gained employment without
the help of the program? 1%? 2%? Well the -
11:47 - 11:54figures from the same period showed 5.5%...
That's right; if you are assigned to a program -
11:55 - 12:01you are statistically less likely to find
a job. Now, the failure of the work program -
12:01 - 12:07can be largely attributed to the lack of available
jobs, but perhaps there's another factor, -
12:07 - 12:14in joining the program, if you find a job,
you forfeit your right to minimum wage employment -
12:15 - 12:20and in place you are subsidised with an amount
equivalent to job seekers allowance. Making -
12:20 - 12:27the work program essentially a paid slavery
scheme, excused under the guise of gaining -
12:28 - 12:35experience. In late 2012, university graduate
Cait Reilly disputed the legality of the program -
12:36 - 12:42after being assigned to stacking shelves in
Poundland. Initially the appeal was rejected; -
12:42 - 12:48however after further appeal by 2013 three
judges had ruled "the regulations, under -
12:48 - 12:53which most of the back-to-work schemes were
created, are unlawful" -
12:53 - 12:59Whatever the government's response to this
ruling will be, they will not stop in their -
12:59 - 13:06efforts to resolve the threat of unemployment,
but let's face it. Unemployment is not a -
13:06 - 13:10threat to this system for the reasons we are
usually given by mainstream outlets. Forget -
13:10 - 13:17all the noise about the recession, benefit
cheats, immigration or this idea that people -
13:17 - 13:21are simply too lazy to look for a job.
-
13:21 - 13:28Atomisation, thus technological unemployment
is a mathematical inevitability of a system -
13:28 - 13:35based on perpetual growth. And this pending
eventuality is vastly misunderstood by the -
13:35 - 13:41majority. And not just the majority of voters,
there isn't a single politician who acknowledges -
13:41 - 13:48let alone understands the implications of
technological unemployment. And what's worse, -
13:48 - 13:55when human beings don't understand something,
that's where fear comes from. We fear what -
13:55 - 13:59we don't understand, and we fight what we
don't understand. -
13:59 - 14:03Ok I have a very concrete question for you
because you're getting wrapped up in this -
14:03 - 14:08money and regulators and who is at fault.
Technological automation is replacing jobs -
14:08 - 14:12at the moment and it has been forever, it's
doubling every year, that's the rate regardless -
14:12 - 14:16of what financial system you have and what
regulators you put in their place. So, without -
14:16 - 14:21jobs as a basis for the economy, it's not
really a question more of a statement, your -
14:21 - 14:22system is going to be obsolete and in fact
your very lucky that you've been working -
14:22 - 14:25this long because you get to get out at the
last floor, its going away. -
14:25 - 14:32Yeah but on the other side of the coin I fear
for my children. Absolutely, absolutely so -
14:51 - 14:57why are you a fan of the banks then?
-
14:57 - 14:57Retail
High-street -
14:57 - 15:01In recent times high street shops have been
disappearing at staggering rates, taking thousands -
15:01 - 15:05of jobs with them.
1998 - 2009 First Quench Retailing -
15:05 - 15:061909 - 2009 Woolworths
1973 - 2011 Hawkin's Bazaar -
15:06 - 15:091999 - 2011 D2 Jeans
1990 - 2011 Officers Club -
15:09 - 15:111987 - 2011 Focus DIY
1931 - 2012 Blacks -
15:11 - 15:131990 - 2012 La Senza
2008 - 2012 Best Buy Europe -
15:13 - 15:141968 - 2012 Clinton Cards
1903 - 2012 Barratts -
15:14 - 15:161993 - 2012 Gamestation
1933 - 2012 Comet -
15:16 - 15:171991 - 2012 Optical Express
1971 - 2012 JJB Sports -
15:17 - 15:191963 - 2012 Oddbins
1992 - 2012 Game Group -
15:19 - 15:201921 - 2012 HMV
1935 - 2013 Jessops -
15:20 - 15:231934 - 2013 Ethel Austin
1985 - 2013 Blockbuster and more. -
15:23 - 15:28Now, it's obvious some of these stores have
not disappeared entirely. Many have moved -
15:28 - 15:34into warehouse distribution and their stores
still exist in the form of websites; you may -
15:34 - 15:38also be wondering why I have included companies
like Game in this list, since there are in -
15:38 - 15:45fact GAME stores on the high street today.
Well I do so to make a point, see in 2012 -
15:46 - 15:50when GAME went bust, the Swedish "Nordic Games"
acquiesced the GAME Group, they acquired the -
15:50 - 15:56brand as well as the companies stores and
employee contracts. But this is actually a -
15:56 - 16:03different company altogether. GAME wasn't
resurrected through strategical advertising, -
16:03 - 16:10market booms or stern administrative decisions.
The company we all knew as "GAME" went -
16:10 - 16:17bust... It lost. But GAME still had brand
status. If it didn't, these shops fronts -
16:17 - 16:21would read "Nordic Games".
-
16:21 - 16:26So why is there so much failure in retail?
Are we merely witnessing the natural boom -
16:26 - 16:33and bust cycles of free market economics?
Or are we actually witnessing a retail transition? -
16:33 - 16:38Looking back, our high streets were consisted
of small family owned businesses, but the -
16:38 - 16:44more companies grows, mergers and acquisitions
become inevitable and the smaller stores get -
16:44 - 16:48phased out as they struggle to compete for
market share, eventually being replaced by -
16:48 - 16:54conglomerates.
In much the same way, a natural evolution -
16:54 - 17:00of retail is occurring again. Only this time
the shops are being phased out and the replacement -
17:00 - 17:07is coming in the form of websites. And software
applications, which are conveniently accessible -
17:07 - 17:14with smart phones, are subsequently reduce
our dependency on outlets such as high-street -
17:14 - 17:20banks, betting shops and travel agencies.
You've probably already witnessed technological -
17:20 - 17:24unemployment on some level. For camera and
film orientated shops like Jessops, it's -
17:24 - 17:30not so hard to understand. Barely anyone with
a modern phone is going to buy a disposable -
17:30 - 17:35camera and pay money to have film developed;
and there probably aren't too many people -
17:35 - 17:42with 8-megapixle camera phones who also require
digital cameras. Due to advancing technology -
17:46 - 17:53these stores had suddenly become "specialist
stores" their customers now having to mainly -
17:53 - 17:58consist of serious photographers.
-
17:58 - 18:05Entertainment
For music, video and games stores, there are -
18:05 - 18:11five main threats here.
One -- Supermarkets, supermarkets are selling -
18:11 - 18:15a lot of the same products and most of the
time cheaper. -
18:15 - 18:22Two - On-line Stores like Amazon, they also
offer good deals with the added comfort twenty -
18:22 - 18:29four hour browsing and of course, item delivery.
Three - Pawn shops like cash converters, they -
18:31 - 18:36get away with selling entertainment at a second
hand rate making them even cheaper than the -
18:36 - 18:43supermarkets.
Four -- On-line digital downloads and streaming, -
18:43 - 18:50with apps like iTunes and Netflix conveniently
accessible through smart TV's, gaming consoles, -
18:50 - 18:57PC, and most phone and tablet devices. But
let's not forget about five. Good old fashion -
18:57 - 19:04piracy. With the advancements of fibre optic
broadband, you can now download entire movies -
19:04 - 19:09in a matter of minutes. Not that I'm suggesting
you do that of course. That would be illegal. -
19:09 - 19:14I'm just saying it's easier and faster
than going to the shops, waiting on the post -
19:14 - 19:21man or signing in the Netflix account on the
PS3. As an aside, if any part of you is enraged -
19:21 - 19:26at the thought of all these immoral people
illegally sharing media. Why not aim some -
19:26 - 19:32of that authentic aggression at the idea of
a society which distributes digital entertainment -
19:32 - 19:39in physical form. The wastefulness of this
would be equivalent to having a unique physical -
19:39 - 19:46address in order to access each and every
website in existence. But perhaps you li the -
19:46 - 19:51plastic cases... and what's wrong with the
plastic cases? Well, the case itself is made -
19:51 - 19:57from polypropylene, while the clear film sleeve
is made from polyester. By bonding these different -
19:57 - 20:03plastic materials together, it makes them
almost impossible to properly recycle on large -
20:03 - 20:10scale, so when the plastic rips, breaks or
even just gets old and wasted.. They have -
20:10 - 20:16to be either buried in landfills or incinerated
which of course produces toxic chemicals. -
20:16 - 20:23and this is the system we support by the way
we choose to purchase entertainment, despite -
20:23 - 20:29having had the possibility of digital alternatives
for over a decade. -
20:29 - 20:35Asking people to shop in these stores is asking
us to live in an unnatural counter progressive -
20:35 - 20:41way.
So perhaps the failure of these stores is -
20:41 - 20:48a good thing. But good or bad, a digital acquisition
is upon us and the failures of these stores -
20:50 - 20:56are simply a matter of time. And yes, even
if they sell their brand status, they are -
20:56 - 21:00failing. Nordic GAME won't be too far behind
either. -
21:00 - 21:06But what about book stores like Waterstones?
Well the increase of tablets and e-book readers -
21:06 - 21:13certainly poses a threat. However I can imagine
the feel of a book, which people are oh so -
21:13 - 21:19nostalgic about, will be used as a "justification"
argument for the continued stifling of a successful -
21:19 - 21:26digital transition. But, even without a digital
alternative, Waterstone's in particular -
21:26 - 21:30is facing the same threat of on-line distribution
as well as competition from supermarkets. -
21:30 - 21:37As are almost all product based stores - products
to do with body care, cosmetics, clothing, -
21:37 - 21:43mobile phones, electronic appliances and even
musical equipment. However there is an argument -
21:43 - 21:49to be made that physical stores are different,
perhaps better than a website or a supermarket, -
21:49 - 21:55in that they provide "knowledgeable staff".
Perhaps you're not sure what product is -
21:55 - 22:01best for you. In these shops, you can interact
with friendly sales people who are qualified -
22:01 - 22:07to offer advice and help you make the right
decision. Well, while it is true that retail -
22:07 - 22:12employees are trained to help customers and
they are required to have a certain level -
22:12 - 22:17of knowledge about the product. They also
have something which no one really questions. -
22:17 - 22:24Sales targets, either the staff or the store
itself will have target requirements. If i -
22:25 - 22:29wandered into a phone shop unsure of what
to buy and make the mistake of telling the -
22:29 - 22:34sales person that I'm not too familiar with
the differences I leave myself open to a product -
22:34 - 22:40sale bias, in this scenario the store has
no problems selling the "best" products. -
22:40 - 22:46So instead I might be presented with an inferior
product which the store is struggling to offload, -
22:46 - 22:52the sales person's job here becomes distorted,
and I the customer will most likely be subjected -
22:52 - 22:56to an eager sales pitch as opposed to honest
insight. -
22:56 - 23:00You are going to get whats ever in this box
for ВЈ24.99 Oh No! NO! He's put three bottles -
23:00 - 23:07of "sex in the City" for twenty six pounds
ninety nine! At thirty six quid each! You -
23:10 - 23:14need to buy...
Boys please! Please! -
23:14 - 23:20No! NO! No! NO! You need to buy now.
-
23:20 - 23:27In our current system, money is the driving
force and as such the advice and intent to -
23:28 - 23:34help a consumer make the right decision, is
only a conditionality when required. But the -
23:34 - 23:41main priority is always profit.
I know this is designed for kids, we've... -
23:41 - 23:44I've had some fun with this thing.
This is amazing, whats so great about this -
23:44 - 23:50is kids love tablets, they love playing with
tablets, they love the games, the love the -
23:50 - 23:54educational games but mom and dad want them
to be safe, they want them they want to do, -
23:54 - 24:01ya know everything on, but ya know... its...mmmm
You ok? Ok... -
24:04 - 24:11What it does is it gives us an opportunity
for us to be able to offer a piece of electronic -
24:11 - 24:18equipment that is simple for children to operate
but also, mom and dad can operate it as well. -
24:18 - 24:24At ВЈ149.94 the secret of it is that it has
all the technology that mom and dad's tablet -
24:24 - 24:29has, it's got the android operating system
4.0, it's got all. -
24:29 - 24:35Now, had we instead used the internet as a
guide, either through social media or public -
24:35 - 24:42forums, we would obtain better and more accurate
advice. The usefulness of these "sales people" -
24:42 - 24:48which we have all grown accustomed to, pale
in comparison to the advice found on-line... -
24:48 - 24:53The rating systems found on public forums
are in fact designed to weed out any bad or -
24:53 - 25:00incorrect information and without it we are
all vulnerable to the biases, lies and manipulation -
25:01 - 25:05of self-righteous profit seekers.
-
25:05 - 25:09But perhaps there's another element to the
physical shopping experience that I'm missing? -
25:09 - 25:15What about the clothing shops? I have to admit
even I thought they wouldn't be as affected -
25:15 - 25:22by on-line alternatives for the simple fact
that most people like to try before they buy. -
25:22 - 25:27Who buys clothes without trying them on first?
Well, I mean... I do but maybe that's because -
25:27 - 25:32I'm a guy... When i buy a t-shirt i look
for the ones with the big "L" and they -
25:32 - 25:37never let me down... Maybe being male i don't
have to account for boob size when evaluating -
25:37 - 25:43comfort. But surly women don't prefer buying
on-line without getting to try the clothes -
25:43 - 25:49on first? Well, surprisingly when women's
clothing store "Internacionale" launched their -
25:49 - 25:55on-line store in 2012. They took in more profit
in that one day from the website than all -
25:55 - 26:02their retail outlets combined. That surprised
me. Clothing doesn't seem to have any intrinsic -
26:03 - 26:10immunity to the threat of on-line alternatives.
-
26:10 - 26:14Taking a look at retail outside of on-line
threats, perhaps there is also something to -
26:14 - 26:20be said about specialist shops in times of
recession, shops which specialise in ties -
26:20 - 26:27for instance or underwear, shoes, jeans, suits,
exercise clothing and outdoor clothing. If -
26:29 - 26:35we had a store dedicated to just socks. would
that work? Maybe in these hard times it's -
26:35 - 26:41not surprising why all-in-one stores like
Primark seem to be staying afloat. You want -
26:41 - 26:48a shirt? Primark. You want a dress? Primark.
shoes, costume jewellery, candles, cushions, -
26:50 - 26:55towels....even a mankini!? And the comfort
of finding everything under one roof also -
26:55 - 27:01stretches out to supermarkets. And speaking
of supermarkets, what happened when they began -
27:01 - 27:08to implement self-service tills? In this Tesco's
the nine items or less section has been completely -
27:08 - 27:14replaced with self-scanning. So now, only
one job is required to assist those unfamiliar -
27:14 - 27:20with the process or those trying to purchase
items which require age verification. When -
27:20 - 27:26this technology extends to the larger conveyor
belt sections as it has been in pockets. or -
27:26 - 27:31more importantly, when high street stores
like Primark adopt self-serving systems, Retail -
27:31 - 27:37will undergo yet another transitionary phase
resulting in thousands of redundancies and -
27:37 - 27:42these job losses will not be temporary, for
once this process is in place there is no -
27:42 - 27:48reasonable argument to go back to having lines
of paid humans who are in fact now more expensive -
27:48 - 27:55in the long run... and this new self-service
revolution doesn't end there... -
28:00 - 28:03Vending
-
28:03 - 28:08General convenience stores are now entirely
replaceable with vending machine kiosks. -
28:08 - 28:14A company called "Shop 24" has over 190
locations in Europe and they have already -
28:14 - 28:21begun UK implementation, and as the name suggests,
these vending stores are open all hours, giving -
28:22 - 28:28them an even greater advantage over conventional
human required methods. Vending machine stores -
28:28 - 28:33will also start to crop up in the form of
sweet shops and "on-the-go" cuisine, offering -
28:33 - 28:40hot drinks, soft drinks, desserts, chips,
noodles, hot dogs and even pizza. Complete -
28:42 - 28:48vending machine integration of cafГ©s and
lunch bars are on the horizon, as well as -
28:48 - 28:54local pubs consisting of alcohol, cigarette
and "pub food" vending. The only human -
28:54 - 29:01required job here would be a moderator/bouncer
hybrid, ensuring no one under the legal drinking -
29:01 - 29:08age gains access. But even the need for human
age verification is threatened by technology. -
29:09 - 29:15Today we have the "iSample", a vending
machine developed by Intel & Krafts with built -
29:15 - 29:21in optical sensors it is capable of reading
the face and determining gender and age, all -
29:21 - 29:23within a fraction of a second.
-
29:23 - 29:27Pawn Shops
Earlier I mentioned pawn shops such as Cash -
29:27 - 29:31Converters and it's interesting to know
how these shops actually tend to profit in -
29:31 - 29:37times of economic recession, for the more
we struggle to get by, the more likely we -
29:37 - 29:42are to entertain leasing our goods at interest,
despite the risk of losing them if we fail -
29:42 - 29:48to buy them back within a certain time constraint.
However there are items which we would pawn -
29:48 - 29:54with no intention of buying back and I guess
for that area of sales more and more people -
29:54 - 29:56are now turning to eBay.
-
29:56 - 30:03But how about charity shops? I believe they
have longevity as they provide a unique service. -
30:03 - 30:08If you have old clothes or trinkets which
you no longer need, but don't feel they -
30:08 - 30:13are valuable enough for the likes of eBay,
charity shop donations are a morally viable -
30:13 - 30:18way of discarding items no longer needed.
And this product "recycling" process is -
30:18 - 30:24far less wasteful than taking your old things
to the skip. However, we are focusing on the -
30:24 - 30:29relevance of a job loss and its effects on
the economy. Since most charity shops are -
30:29 - 30:35run by volunteers and their profits are in
some part donated to charity, I fail to see -
30:35 - 30:37their economic relevance here.
-
30:37 - 30:44Throughout the high street the only shops
which seem to have immunity are the ones which -
30:44 - 30:51require actual human performed services, such
as tattooing or hair dressing. But just for -
30:52 - 30:57fun, let's see if tattoo artists really
are impervious to automation. In 2012, a guy -
30:57 - 31:04named Chris Eckert developed the Auto Ink
tattoo machine. Now, for demonstration purposes -
31:04 - 31:10it uses a ball point pen instead of a needle,
however the implication of this machines potential -
31:10 - 31:16is obvious. If it were ever to take off pre-programmed
designs could eliminate the need for any human -
31:16 - 31:20involvement in the tattooing process.
-
31:20 - 31:26Earlier I highlighted the fact that a lot
of high street stores now occupy warehouses -
31:26 - 31:31and sell their products on-line. This may
lead some of you to assume that the economy -
31:31 - 31:37will at least be helped in some part with
all these new warehouse jobs. Well it seems -
31:37 - 31:44even these jobs are under attack, for example,
Amazon is the world's largest online retailer -
31:45 - 31:51and currently has twelve fulfilment centres
across the UK. But in May of 2012 Amazon purchased -
31:51 - 31:56the American "Kiva Systems" for seven
hundred and seventy five million dollars. -
31:56 - 32:03What is Kiva? Kiva is an autonomous robot
which uses optical sensors to navigate through -
32:03 - 32:09a warehouse. It reads inventory items as bits
of digital information which is then organised -
32:09 - 32:14through complex algorithms in much the same
way that Google organizes web pages. They -
32:14 - 32:21can pick, pack, and ship anything sold online
faster and for a lot less money than a human. -
32:22 - 32:27These efficiencies allow Kiva to gather goods
within minutes of an order, allowing the remaining -
32:27 - 32:33human workers to ship up to four times more
packages in an hour. Similarly, the Spanish -
32:33 - 32:39"Bonnysa" Group have incorporated two
automised facilities. The first stores products -
32:39 - 32:44directly as they are unloaded from delivery
vehicles, guaranteeing complete control and -
32:44 - 32:49traceability of goods, and in the second,
once products have been calibrated and classified, -
32:49 - 32:54they are placed on double depth shelving which
allows for twice the storage capacity without -
32:54 - 32:59having to increase the amount of stacker cranes
used. Since Bonnysa switched to using the -
32:59 - 33:05high-speed automised facilities they have
eliminated the need for human operator intervention -
33:05 - 33:10and have increased their product control and
warehouse security to the extent that output -
33:10 - 33:17is now five times the amount of a conventional
warehouse. -
33:25 - 33:32Manufacturing
According to the Organisation for Economic -
33:39 - 33:45Co-operation and Development the manufacturing
sector's share of both employment and GDP -
33:45 - 33:50has gradually declined since the sixty's,
although manufacturing output in terms of -
33:50 - 33:57both production and value has steadily increased
since 1945. The reason of course is technology, -
33:57 - 34:03and looking at the production of an automobile
it's easy to see why we prefer using machines. -
34:03 - 34:09If these trends continue it is not far-fetched
to think most if not all factory workers will -
34:09 - 34:15eventually be replaced by machines. Now, there's
three main reasons as to why factory automation -
34:15 - 34:17has yet to be fully integrated across the
board. -
34:17 - 34:24One: Vulnerability: An automated system usually
has to be pre-programed for each specific -
34:24 - 34:29task which makes them susceptible to committing
errors outside of their immediate scope of -
34:29 - 34:35knowledge. This makes them typically unable
to apply simple rules of logic to general -
34:35 - 34:41propositions. However, machines today have
far more mobility and dexterity than ever -
34:41 - 34:48imagined and instead of having to be preprogramed
for each motion, machines are gradually gaining -
34:48 - 34:55autonomy, being able to detect objects and
predict movement. The second reason is due -
34:55 - 35:01to unpredictable, excessive developmental
costs. The research and development cost of -
35:01 - 35:07automating a specific task, can often exceed
the cost saved by the automation itself. The -
35:07 - 35:13third reason also has to do with affordability,
high initial costs. Automating a new product -
35:13 - 35:18requires an initial investment which is usually
quite expensive when compared with the unit -
35:18 - 35:22cost of the product, even though the cost
of automation may be spread among many products -
35:22 - 35:28over time. The decision to automate is therefore
reserved for products which have proven to -
35:28 - 35:34be profitable and unlikely to change, as any
alterations could require the re-programing -
35:34 - 35:39of machines.
These three problems have been an issue since -
35:39 - 35:45factory automation began, but as time goes
on, the machines improve and the cost of automating -
35:45 - 35:50declines. For simple assembly line tasks,
it's certainly been cheaper to have human -
35:50 - 35:56workers. However, in mid-2012, an American
company called "Rethink Robotics" launched -
35:56 - 36:02the Baxter robot. Baxter is a revolution in
assembly line manufacturing as it can be programed -
36:02 - 36:09to perform a multitude of tasks and the best
part is you don't even have to be a programmer. -
36:09 - 36:13Simply grab his arms, guide him through the
motions of the required task and then leave -
36:13 - 36:19him to get on with it. If another task is
required later on, simply grab his arms again -
36:19 - 36:24and re-program the motions. Baxter is currently
on the market for around fourteen thousand -
36:24 - 36:29pounds which is an extremely affordable initial
investment cost and taking into account the -
36:29 - 36:35average life span it works for less than three
pounds an hour, twenty four hours a day, seven -
36:35 - 36:41days a week and doesn't require tea breaks.
This robot is set to revolutionise the entire -
36:41 - 36:44manufacturing industry.
-
36:44 - 36:49Application
Aside from factory jobs being replaced by -
36:49 - 36:55machines, there are many products today which
are quickly becoming altogether irrelevant. -
36:55 - 37:00For those of us with smart phones and tablets,
the following examples may appear too obvious -
37:00 - 37:06to require a detailed analysis. But for those
of you who have yet to acknowledge this trend, -
37:06 - 37:11let's take a look at the implied future
of the smart phone "App". Currently Apps -
37:11 - 37:16are in the process of killing a vast range
of physical products. Most obviously, paper -
37:16 - 37:23products; novels, comic books, cook books,
puzzle books, phone books & yellow pages, -
37:23 - 37:28dictionaries, encyclopaedias, magazines, newspapers,
shopping catalogues, road maps, photo albums, -
37:28 - 37:35calendars, diaries and of course, many products
associated with stationary. Then there are -
37:35 - 37:41electrical products such as calculators, radios,
alarm clocks, camcorders, voice recorders, -
37:41 - 37:46remote controls, karaoke machines, guitar
tuners, amplifiers and effects peddles, GPS -
37:46 - 37:51navigation, video game cartridges and even
board games are having their physical necessity -
37:51 - 37:53challenged by software.
-
37:53 - 38:00Personal Computer
Now what about desktop computers? Most people -
38:01 - 38:07only really use their PC's for surfing the
web, socialising, listening to music and watching -
38:07 - 38:13videos. All of which can now be done on those
same smart phones and tablets. PC's, while -
38:13 - 38:19not disappearing entirely, will decline in
numbers because of this, effecting many jobs -
38:19 - 38:23associated with producing not only the computers
themselves, but think of all those peripheral -
38:23 - 38:30devices associated with them, the keyboard,
mouse and webcam. As well as hardware components -
38:30 - 38:37such as ram chips and graphics cards.
Now, this might seem overly pessimistic. However -
38:38 - 38:43a survey by the International Data Corporation
showed tablets to account for a third of all -
38:43 - 38:49computing sales in 2012 and even Microsoft
are acknowledging the inevitable outcome, -
38:49 - 38:54and with the advent of 4G wireless networking
which allows for high speed internet on our -
38:54 - 39:00mobile devices, we can now use applications
like Skype and Face time to make phone calls -
39:00 - 39:06to and from anywhere in the world for free,
the implication being the demise of traditional -
39:06 - 39:12land line phones and mobile tariffs. British
Telecom has been preparing for this and have -
39:12 - 39:19already launched their cloud network.
Now, digital alternatives may not yet be adopted -
39:19 - 39:24by the majority, perhaps mostly because of
nostalgia rather than efficiency. But the -
39:24 - 39:30children of the future are not going to care
about the toys of the past. -
39:30 - 39:37Media Products & Appliances
VHS, CD and DVD players as well as free-view, -
39:40 - 39:47sky and virgin media boxes are all facing
redundancy by the advancements of the smart -
39:47 - 39:54TV. Why? Because smart TV's stream content
from the internet, making it possible for -
39:54 - 40:01Sky and virgin media to exist entirely in
app form. So what of all those lavish book, -
40:03 - 40:10CD and DVD collections which most of us equate
to our status and identity? These erroneous -
40:10 - 40:15collections are no longer optimal as we now
have digital media libraries, with the likes -
40:15 - 40:21of iTunes and iBooks. And when digital libraries
are rehomed to our TV's as well as our phones -
40:21 - 40:27and tablets. Just as VHS collections were
phased out by the improved format of the DVD, -
40:27 - 40:34our current wasteful, vanity orientated physical
media collections will be phased out and replaced -
40:36 - 40:43with non-physical digital formats, alongside
their required physical media players. In -
40:43 - 40:50fact, in January of 2013, tech giant "Philips"
gave in and sold their home entertainment -
40:50 - 40:56appliances division and now only producing
coffee machines, juicer's, toasters and -
40:56 - 40:57electric razors.
-
40:57 - 41:02The rise of high speed fibre optic broadband
will also extend the extinction of irrelevant -
41:02 - 41:08peripherals to Blu-ray players and video game
consoles. That's right, even video games -
41:08 - 41:14will be played via internet streaming. Sound
far-fetched? Well Sony entertainment doesn't -
41:14 - 41:21think so. In July of 2012 they spent $380
million purchasing the cloud-based video game -
41:21 - 41:28streaming network "Gaika". Even Xbox co-founder
Nat Brown has expressed his concerns over -
41:28 - 41:33the implications of Apple entering the games
industry, acknowledging the potential of their -
41:33 - 41:40already established infrastructure to easily
replace the Xbox, Playstation and Nintendo -
41:40 - 41:42consoles.
-
41:42 - 41:483D-Printing
Now, obviously there are many physical products -
41:48 - 41:53on the market which aren't threatened by
digital downloading. -
41:53 - 41:59However in October of 2012, the city of London
was host to the world's first-ever consumer -
41:59 - 42:063D print show, displaying how 3D printing
can allow consumers to download and print -
42:06 - 42:12a vast range of products as and when they
need them. This is not merely a glimpse into -
42:12 - 42:19a hypothetical future; 3D printers can already
build products from a range of materials including -
42:19 - 42:26plastic, chocolate, glass, concrete and even
metal. So what products could be printed? -
42:27 - 42:33Well, just about any basic household items
from plates, bowls, mugs, bottles, cutlery, -
42:33 - 42:40tupperware, lamp shades, photo frames, furniture,
musical instruments, figurines, even a wrench -
42:42 - 42:48printed with fully moving parts. So you may
be wondering just how far in the future 3D -
42:48 - 42:53printing is, and how expensive these things
are going to be? Well let's look at the -
42:53 - 43:00Rep-Rap project. Rep-Rap is a self-replicating
3D printer. Meaning it can print most of its -
43:00 - 43:04own parts, so if you have one, you can make
another one. And the great thing about rep-rap -
43:04 - 43:11is that it is open source, meaning its design
is not owned or constrained by copy write. -
43:11 - 43:17It's completely free for anyone to use and
improve. Today, 3D printers can be purchased -
43:17 - 43:24from open source groups like reprap and fab@home,
or commercially through pp3dp.com & cubify. -
43:26 - 43:32Perhaps you don't have the room for a home
3D printer? Well there is the option of ordering -
43:32 - 43:393D printed products online through services
such as shapeways, sculpteo and i.materialise. -
43:39 - 43:43Companies can also employ the mass producing
of 3D printed products through organizations -
43:43 - 43:47such as Thingiverse and kraftwurx.
-
43:47 - 43:52The world of 3D printing is huge and it's
here today. And just like every other technological -
43:52 - 43:58advancement - as time goes on these things
will become more and more affordable. And -
43:58 - 44:03every company which currently produces all
those house hold items will simply become -
44:03 - 44:10financially unsustainable.
Pay It Forward -
44:10 - 44:17A group called PIF3D aim to exploit the replicating
ability of RepRap by taking the machine to -
44:18 - 44:22universities and hosting twenty-four hour
3D printing parties, where they give people -
44:22 - 44:27the skills to build one of these things. The
objective being that those people can "Pay -
44:27 - 44:33it forward". Once they have built two or
three RepRap printers, they repeat the process -
44:33 - 44:38of taking it to schools and showing others
how to make their own, and the process repeats. -
44:38 - 44:44The idea of paying it forward could easily
spread like wildfire. Meaning just about everyone -
44:44 - 44:51in the world could own a 3D printer for next
to nothing. Now, as 3D-Printers become more -
44:51 - 44:56mainstream, there will most likely be attempts
to patent certain design elements and sell -
44:56 - 45:03each downloadable product commercially. However
once a product is on a CAD file, there's -
45:03 - 45:10no real reason 3D designs would be immune
to internet piracy. -
45:11 - 45:13Transport
-
45:13 - 45:20Around 2.5% of the UK population have jobs
which require a driving licence. -
45:43 - 45:48The first autonomous driverless vehicle was
developed by, Sebastian Thrun director of -
45:48 - 45:49the Stanford Artificial Intelligence Laboratory
and co-inventor of Google Street View. In -
45:48 - 45:552005 the Google car won the DARPA Grand Challenge
and since then, Google have been developing -
46:07 - 46:14a commercial system.
However progress has been held back due to -
46:21 - 46:22legal liabilities, for example if there was
an accident, who would be at fault? The car -
46:22 - 46:28owner? the manufacturer? What if the accident
was a result of a lost signal? Would the internet -
46:28 - 46:33providers be accountable? Filtering through
legislation is a lengthy process, but they've -
46:33 - 46:36come a long way.
In August 2012, the Google team announced -
46:36 - 46:41that they have completed over 300,000 miles
of autonomous-driving, all without a single -
46:41 - 46:44accident. Nevada, Florida and California all
passed laws allowing driverless cars. -
46:44 - 46:44Although it's hard to invasion a timeline,
the remaining united states and the UK will -
46:44 - 46:51eventually pass similar legislations, and
driverless cars will explode on to the market. -
46:54 - 47:01As well as the American based Google car which
most of us are probably aware of, there is -
47:04 - 47:08also a German creation from "autonomous
labs" at the Free University of Berlin. -
47:08 - 47:10The project has already been given approval
to run a driverless taxi services throughout -
47:10 - 47:11Berlin and Brandenburg.
For those of you who feel hesitant about assigning -
47:11 - 47:18the control of your vehicle to a machine,
know that the kiva systems mentioned earlier -
47:21 - 47:28have essentially the same autonomy, and they
too have yet to witness a single accident. -
47:29 - 47:36Compare that with the UK's current yearly
rates of 3,000 motor vehicle incidents resulting -
47:36 - 47:43in fatalities, 35,000 resulting serious accidents
and a total 276,000 severities. Clearly it -
47:45 - 47:52would be societally irresponsible to maintain
human drivers while the safer option is available. -
47:56 - 48:03And in making a safer society all jobs associated
with public transport and delivery of goods, -
48:12 - 48:19could be achieved without human involvement.
-
48:25 - 48:30Agriculture
Dairy -
48:30 - 48:37GEA farm technologies' provides technological
solutions to livestock farming, including -
48:40 - 48:46the development of a fully automatic milking
system for dairy farms. Dairy cows are guided -
48:46 - 48:52into these Mi1 milking units, the cows electronic
tag is identified and their pre-allocated -
48:52 - 48:59amount of food is dispensed. A 3D camera scans
and identifies the udders, then attaches to -
49:00 - 49:07the t-cups. It washes dries and pre-milks
the cows. This amazing technology reduces -
49:07 - 49:14labour, increases milk production, lowers
stress of both the cows and farmers, and electric -
49:14 - 49:21tagging allows for the ability to manage cows
individually. So when is this technology being -
49:22 - 49:29implemented? Well looking at the UK alone,
it's actually already been in use since -
49:32 - 49:332011.
-
49:33 - 49:40Precision Farming
EGNOS Precision Farming is a system which -
49:42 - 49:48uses GPS guidance technology for crop cultivation.
The auto track technology sends signals to -
49:48 - 49:54the tractors steering system via a GPS receiver.
The resulting navigation is so precise that -
49:54 - 50:01Farmers can actually treat soil and crops
in a site specific manner and ensure optimum -
50:01 - 50:06chemical doses are applied to the right places.
The system has been shown to cut costs on -
50:06 - 50:13fertilisation and fuel, reducing the environmental
impact, and because the tractors steer themselves -
50:13 - 50:18it also reduces operator fatigue. As you've
probably already guessed, it is only a matter -
50:18 - 50:24of time before these tractors are also equipped
with autonomous driving technology, spelling -
50:24 - 50:30the end of this particular human required
task and allowing for the full automation -
50:30 - 50:32of crop cultivation.
-
50:32 - 50:39Vertical farming
But why limit crop cultivation to fields? -
50:40 - 50:45In 1999 a professor of environmental health
sciences at Columbia University in New York, -
50:45 - 50:50Dickson Despommier challenged his students
to feed the entire population of Manhattan -
50:50 - 50:57using 13 acres of usable rooftop gardens.
The class calculated that only 2% of all the -
50:57 - 51:03people could be fed using this method. Unsatisfied
with the results, Despommier made an off-the-cuff -
51:03 - 51:10suggestion of growing plants indoors and vertically.
The idea sparked interests and by 2001 the -
51:11 - 51:18first outline of a vertical farm was introduced.
Today scientists, architects, and
investors worldwide are working together to -
51:24 - 51:31make the concept of vertical farming a reality.
Unlike, traditional agriculture, a controlled -
51:45 - 51:50indoor environment is not susceptible to crop
loss from severe weather conditions nor is -
51:50 - 51:54it limited by seasonal crop production.
-
51:54 - 52:00Using the method of hydroponics which doesn't
require soil, water is preserved in a closed -
52:00 - 52:07loop system, eliminating the concern of agricultural
runoff, and since it is continually recycled, -
52:08 - 52:13the total water usage is 70% less than current
requirements. Without soil this system is -
52:13 - 52:18immune to pesticides, meaning we could also
do away with having to spray agrochemicals -
52:18 - 52:22on our food.
-
52:22 - 52:28For those of you sceptical about the limitations
of hydroponic farming, here is a list of already -
52:28 - 52:35commercially available products from hydroponically
produced plants. -
52:40 - 52:47Health Care
Cardiology -
53:05 - 53:11Up next it sounds like science fiction but
Dr Nancy Snyderman reports on how your smart -
53:11 - 53:18phone may change medicine including warning
you of a heart attack. By modifying an iPhone -
53:22 - 53:29with this ECG attachment and using the AliveECG
app, your heart rate, temperature, oxygen -
53:29 - 53:35and fluid levels can all be recorded with
the results directly upload able to your Cardiologist. -
53:35 - 53:40Blood, saliva, urine and even sweat can all
be tested with this device. Combined with -
53:40 - 53:47a wireless ultrasound, full physical check-ups
can be carried out remotely from anywhere -
53:47 - 53:51in the world.
There's twenty million, over twenty million -
53:51 - 53:55echocardiograms done a year. That's twenty
million times eight hundred dollars that's -
53:55 - 54:01a lot of money. Probably seventy to eighty
percent we can get rid of, just by having -
54:01 - 54:04this part of the physical exam.
-
54:04 - 54:08Medicine
As for prescription medicine, perhaps the -
54:08 - 54:15biggest threat is not with technology but
rather in the curing of illnesses. Fifteen -
54:15 - 54:19year veteran of the pharmaceutical industry
Gwen Olsen, stated "the pharmaceutical industry -
54:19 - 54:24is in the business of disease maintenance
and symptoms management, The are not in the -
54:24 - 54:30business of curing cancer, Alzheimer's or
heart disease, because if they were, they -
54:30 - 54:35would be in the business of putting themselves
out of business." -
54:35 - 54:39For those of you who doubt the medical establishment
would knowingly put profitability ahead of -
54:39 - 54:45actually helping people, you need look for
no further evidence than a 2002 UK clinical -
54:45 - 54:51trial which found most anti-depressants to
be as effective as sugar pills, giving the -
54:51 - 54:55effects of a working drug through nothing
more than a placebo. -
54:55 - 55:02It's not hard to see why the medical industry
would chose to promote the constant reselling -
55:02 - 55:07of pharmaceuticals. If for example a cure
for cancer was discovered and adopted by the -
55:07 - 55:13mainstream, it would cause considerable losses
in profits generated through radiotherapy, -
55:13 - 55:20chemotherapy, hormone therapy, gene therapy
and Immunotherapy. Not to mention the surgical -
55:20 - 55:25costs of removing tumours. So, what does it
mean for their industry when a fifteen year -
55:25 - 55:30old boy from Maryland, discovers a new way
of detecting cancer? Which studies have shown -
55:30 - 55:37to be potentially 99% accurate, 168 times
faster and 26,000 times cheaper than our current -
55:39 - 55:45methods? Make no mistake, this amazing achievement,
will be seen by the cancer profiteers as a -
55:45 - 55:52blow to the industry. But regardless of their
somewhat corrupt profit driven mentality, -
55:52 - 55:59technology moves on and even when pharmaceuticals
are the only option. Technology is yet again -
55:59 - 56:06providing solutions.
Organic Chemists make molecules very complicated -
56:09 - 56:14molecules by chopping up a big molecule into
smaller molecules and doing reverse engineering. -
56:14 - 56:20As a chemist one of the things I wanted to
ask my research group a couple of years ago -
56:20 - 56:26is, could we make a really cool universal
chemistry set? In essence could we "App" -
56:26 - 56:31chemistry?
Well to start to do this we took a 3D printer -
56:31 - 56:38and we started to print our beakers and our
test tubes on one side and then print the -
56:38 - 56:42molecule at the same time on the other side
and combine them together in what we call -
56:42 - 56:47"Reaction ware" and so by printing the
vessel and doing the chemistry at the same -
56:47 - 56:53time we may start to access this universal
toolkit of chemistry. Now what could this -
56:53 - 57:00mean? Well if we can bed biological and chemical
networks like a search engine, so if you have -
57:00 - 57:05a cell that's ill that you need to cure
or bacteria you want to kill, if you have -
57:05 - 57:10this embedded in your device at the same time
and you do the chemistry, you make be able -
57:10 - 57:17to make drugs in a new way.
So how are we doing this in the lab? Well -
57:17 - 57:21it requires software, it requires hardware,
and it requires chemical inks, and so the -
57:21 - 57:27really cool bit is the idea to have a universal
set of inks which we put out with the printer -
57:27 - 57:33and you download the blue print, the organic
chemistry for that molecule and you make it -
57:33 - 57:40in the device. So you can make your molecule
in the printer using this software. So what -
57:41 - 57:46could this mean? You don't have to go to
the chemist anymore. We can print drugs at -
57:46 - 57:52point of need. We can download new diagnostics,
say a new superbug has emerged; you put it -
57:52 - 57:58in your search engine and you create the drug
to treat the threat. So this allows you on -
57:58 - 58:03the fly molecular assembly but perhaps for
me the cool bit going in to the future is -
58:03 - 58:09this idea of taking your own stem cells with
your genes and your environment and you print -
58:09 - 58:15your own personal medicine. And if that doesn't
seem fanciful enough where do u think we're -
58:15 - 58:22goanna go? Ur goanna have your own personal
matter fabricator. -
58:22 - 58:29As well as using bio-printing for binding
molecules into medicine, bio-printing is also -
58:29 - 58:36being used to construct organs.
Today we can print an entire lung. -
58:38 - 58:45Hospitals
Now looking at hospital care, I'm sure most -
58:49 - 58:54of you are now aware of these "tele presence"
robots which allows intensive care specialists -
58:54 - 58:59to remotely communicate with patients across
multiple hospitals and as the robots have -
58:59 - 59:05the ability to transmit information regarding
the heart and breathing, examinations can -
59:05 - 59:11occur much faster, while actually reducing
the work load of hospital staff since it eliminates -
59:11 - 59:18the need for patients to be transferred to
intensive care units in some cases. The hospital's -
59:18 - 59:23workload is also being reduced by "Aethon"
TUG System in which an Autonomous robotic -
59:23 - 59:29courier can make their rounds, carrying prescriptions,
medical waste, food trays and up to two hundred -
59:29 - 59:36pounds of laundry.
-
59:37 - 59:44Home Care
As for home care, meet Asimo, Asimo is a humanoid -
59:47 - 59:54robot created by Honda, with the aspiration
of helping people who lack full mobility. -
59:54 - 60:01Since he was first introduced in 2000, he
has gradually improved in mobility and communication. -
60:15 - 60:22(Thank you)
Eventually Asimo will be capable of performing -
60:49 - 60:53most takes typically required of home-care
staff. -
60:53 - 60:59Now, there are many people who irrationally
fear technology, with their frame of reference -
60:59 - 61:05limited to what they see in movies. But in
reality technology is the provider of many -
61:05 - 61:09solutions across the full spectrum of health
and illnesses. -
61:09 - 61:16When she was born her legs were up by her
ears and her shoulders were internally rotated -
61:16 - 61:23and she had ulnar deviation on her hands and
rocker bottom feet. The geneticist came upstairs -
61:23 - 61:27and told us that she had arthrogryposis multiplex
congenital. They brought her legs down and -
61:27 - 61:34they casted her and slowly and surly she started
to develop. Our first year with Emma we found -
61:41 - 61:45out that there was goanna be a conference
and it was in Philadelphia. -
61:45 - 61:51It was an arthrogryposis family meeting in
Philadelphia where I described the WREX. -
61:51 - 61:57We watched a presentation on the WREX.
And that's how it all started. We ended -
61:57 - 62:03up in Terick and Whitney's workshop.
The WREX was attached to a stand and she was -
62:03 - 62:10able to put her arms into the WREX and for
the first time be able to lift her hand up -
62:10 - 62:13towards her mouth.
She just started throwing her hands around -
62:13 - 62:16and playing.
We were bringing candy up for her to eat and -
62:16 - 62:21we were bringing toys up there and it was
so fun for us to go up there and see her play -
62:21 - 62:28The existing WREX is all metal parts and it's
kinda big and Emma was too small for that -
62:29 - 62:35so we required something light and small and
would attach to her body and go with her. -
62:35 - 62:38So that's where we had this "Stratasys
3D printing machine" and we thought well -
62:38 - 62:45we could print it out for her.
And he did it and the weight difference is -
62:45 - 62:50significant and for a child who only weight
twenty five pounds it makes a big difference. -
62:50 - 62:56Whitney and Terick put their minds together
and came up with a jacket and they would put -
62:56 - 63:00the WREX on that and were on our second jacket,
she outgrew the first one and now we're -
63:00 - 63:07on our second one and its still evolving it's
still growing into this incredible prosthetic -
63:07 - 63:14which helps her to use her arms.
Without the 3D printer we would not be in -
63:14 - 63:19a position we're in with these younger kids
making them a WREX device that can go with -
63:19 - 63:23them.
This is one of those industries that matches -
63:23 - 63:29perfectly with 3D printing additive manufacturing
because we need custom everything. -
63:29 - 63:35I think 3D scanning and printing technology
is the future for this field. -
63:35 - 63:40The ABS plastic that they use is the same
plastic they use in LEGO its human friendly -
63:40 - 63:45if you will, its really strong and durable
to handle the abuse, we can answer a need -
63:45 - 63:48in a heartbeat.
If the WREX breaks all I have to do is take -
63:48 - 63:53a picture and email it to whiney, he knows
exactly what the piece is, he prints it out -
63:53 - 63:56I go to the hospital or he's even mailed
them. -
63:56 - 64:02I don't have to worry about D-time to machine
something or order supplies. I can just basically -
64:02 - 64:05go back to my program and print out another
one. -
64:05 - 64:11And it's back together and it's working.
When she started to express herself we would -
64:11 - 64:16go upstairs and we would say Emma ya know
were gonna put the WREX on and she called -
64:16 - 64:20them her magic arms and everyone in the room
cried. -
64:20 - 64:25We took it off of her on this one occasion
to make some adjustments to it and as we took -
64:25 - 64:32it off she cried out "I want that" and
we didn't think all that much of it but -
64:32 - 64:38when mom started to cry and uh. We look over
and ask mom why she's crying and she kind -
64:38 - 64:45of takes a moment to recompose herself and
tell us that that was her first complete sentence. -
64:45 - 64:52To be a part of that made it a little special
moment for somebody else ya know can't help -
65:09 - 65:16but uh kinda tug at your heart strings.
-
65:26 - 65:28Food & Accommodation
The fast food industry for one is heavily -
65:28 - 65:34under threat by the same self-serving processes
mentioned earlier. In May of 2011, McDonald's -
65:34 - 65:40announced its plans to install touch-screen
technology across 7,000 restaurants in Europe. -
65:40 - 65:47Parts of the UK have already begun implementation
and in some states in America, voice recognition -
65:47 - 65:54has replaced the drive thru.
Can I get, can I get a twenty piece? -
65:54 - 65:59A twenty piece chicken nugget, what kind of
sauces would you like? -
65:59 - 66:05Uh what is it?
What kind of sauce do we have? -
66:05 - 66:11We got that honey mustard barbecue sweet and
source we got honey style hot sauce that burns -
66:11 - 66:18for hours, we got that buffalo ranch if you
need more ask chipotle barbecue ask me for -
66:20 - 66:20more and I'll tell you.
-
66:20 - 66:26As for the kitchen staff, automated systems
are already being used such processes as draining -
66:26 - 66:32and refilling deep fat fryers, making many
human tasks redundant. But perhaps the largest -
66:32 - 66:37implied threat has to do with the American
robotics company, "Momentum Machines" -
66:37 - 66:42which is predicted to revolutionise the fast
food industry. They are currently preparing -
66:42 - 66:47to open the world's first "smart restaurant"
with its automated burger machine. Capable -
66:47 - 66:51of dispensing around three hundred and sixty
burgers an hour. Not only does their machine -
66:51 - 66:57construct and cook patties but it also slices
the toppings to order and the technology even -
66:57 - 67:02allows for customisation, composed of meat
ground to order and assembled in whatever -
67:02 - 67:07combination the customer desires.
-
67:07 - 67:13Restaurants
Restaurant jobs are also threated by atomisation, -
67:13 - 67:20whether it's assisting chefs
or replacing them completely. -
67:37 - 67:44Waiters
What about the job of the restaurant waiter? -
68:24 - 68:29Well aside from using robots, Germany is pioneering
a different approach. You make your order -
68:29 - 68:33from a touch screen situated at your table
and the food is dispensed via a railing system -
68:33 - 68:40and delivered to your table when ready.
-
68:40 - 68:47Hotels
Hotel services are a little harder to automate, -
68:51 - 68:55but obviously there are elements of automation
which do reduce the workload. -
68:55 - 69:02Straight away you have automatic check in
and a restaurant which turns into a dance -
69:05 - 69:12floor.
Were at Yotel New York which opened in June -
69:13 - 69:192011, Yotel is a fun and futuristic brand.
Some of the things we have in the hotel are -
69:19 - 69:21motorised beds in the rooms and we have Yobot
which is our answer to futuristic luggage -
69:21 - 69:28handling. At the moment what we do is we take
people's luggage and they store it in the -
69:34 - 69:39bins provided and Yobot takes it and stores
it up on the wall. What we've done now is -
69:39 - 69:42we've agreed with the airports for example
like the jet-blue terminal you'll be able -
69:42 - 69:47to choose which airport you want to go to,
say JFK or Newark, the bin will come down, -
69:47 - 69:52you'll put the luggage in there and then
Yobot will shift your luggage through tunnels -
69:52 - 69:59in new York and you'll be able to pick it
up at each of the airport terminals. Also -
70:05 - 70:10were looking at a luggage tracker which we'll
be able to download on our mobile app so youll -
70:10 - 70:15be able to follow your luggage form its journey
here at the hotel all the way to the airport -
70:15 - 70:20and were also even looking at being able to
sip people and the luggage for yotel new York -
70:20 - 70:24to one of our airport hotels in the future.
-
70:24 - 70:28Even cleaning and maintenance is potentially
threatened by a series of robots such as the -
70:28 - 70:35Roomba autonomous hoover and the Winbot autonomous
window cleaner. But perhaps there are some -
70:37 - 70:44non-automated threats to the traditional process
of accommodation. Couchsurfing.com is a sort -
70:44 - 70:50of social network community, where people
register their hospitality. The idea being, -
70:50 - 70:55if you want to travel, you simply type where
you want to go, specify how many of you are -
70:55 - 71:00going, and then search from a list of willing
participants. Within this type of community, -
71:00 - 71:07you could potentially travel the world without
any need for paid accommodation. -
71:10 - 71:17Mining and Quarrying
The Sandvik Group are currently the leading -
71:29 - 71:34global suppliers of service and technical
solutions for the mining industry. Sandvik -
71:34 - 71:39Automine has focused its efforts on developing
a comprehensive solution for improving the -
71:39 - 71:46safety, efficiency and productivity of underground
mining operations, using autonomous trucks -
71:46 - 71:50for loading and hauling they have created
a flexible system which can be adapted to -
71:50 - 71:55the unique working environment of individual
operations, even processing ore to high grade -
71:55 - 72:01copper concentrate on site. Through automation
they have eliminated many human required jobs, -
72:01 - 72:05while increasing production with improved
drilling accuracy which has also been shown -
72:05 - 72:11to lower the risk of damage incurred by machines.
Currently Sandvik Automine are optimistic -
72:11 - 72:18about achieving 100% automation of mining.
Similarly, since 2009 the Australian mining -
72:19 - 72:25company Rio Tinto has been using a fleet of
Komatsu trucks. The trucks are over twenty -
72:25 - 72:32feet tall, weigh over ten tons, and are capable
of carrying over three hundred tons of material. -
72:32 - 72:37The trucks are fitted with Komatsu's Autonomous
Haulage System which allows navigation from -
72:37 - 72:44loading units to dump locations, including
waste dumps, stockpiles and crushers. -
72:44 - 72:49However let's take a step back. Looking
at the end product of a mining operation, -
72:49 - 72:54the reason we associate gold and silver with
such a high value, is because of the difficulty -
72:54 - 73:00in obtaining and processing these materials
coupled with the time it takes for the earth -
73:00 - 73:06to naturally produce a diamond for example.
The ability to produce a diamond in a lab -
73:06 - 73:12has been around for a long time; however gem-quality
results have only been achievable in the last -
73:12 - 73:18few years. Specifically the American company
"Gemesis" have made huge advancement in -
73:18 - 73:25the production of synthetic diamonds, with
an output of up to forty rare gems each day. -
73:25 - 73:30As for the cost, a one-carat yellow diamond
from nature equates to about thirteen point -
73:30 - 73:37five thousand pounds whereas and a synthetic
replica costs just four thousand pounds. -
73:37 - 73:42So when we begin to speculate about the future
of synthetic materials perhaps it's not -
73:42 - 73:48too farfetched to think we could create copper,
coltan, gold and silver and bring these materials -
73:48 - 73:53to market for a much lower cost than they
are today, which would, invariably reduce -
73:53 - 74:00the costs of all technological applications
which depend on these materials. -
74:10 - 74:17Construction
Construction employs over 2 million people -
74:25 - 74:32in the UK and accounts for just under seven
pecent of the nation's GDP. -
74:32 - 74:39Firstly let's look at construction as it
is today. Because of all the different trades -
74:39 - 74:46involved, Construction is prone to management
inefficiency and corruption. The actual process -
74:46 - 74:53itself is slow, labour intensive & inefficient
as well as being costly and usually over budget -
74:53 - 74:58it is also highly wasteful of resources and
responsible for producing vast amounts of -
74:58 - 75:05carbon emission. As far as safety is concerned,
construction is more dangerous than both mining -
75:05 - 75:10and agriculture. Each year an average of sixty
workers are fatally injured with seventy four -
75:10 - 75:17thousand non-fatal injuries.
Now let's look at the alternative. Contour -
75:20 - 75:26Crafting is a process developed by the University
of Southern California's Information Sciences -
75:26 - 75:31Institute. Though initially conceived as a
method to construct moulds for industrial -
75:31 - 75:37parts, the technology of rapid home construction
was proposed as a way to rebuild cities after -
75:37 - 75:42natural disasters occurred. Currently it uses
a computer-controlled crane to distribute -
75:42 - 75:48concrete layer by layer incorporating, plumbing
and electrical network installation. With -
75:48 - 75:54Contour Crafting buildings are rapidly and
efficiently constructed with zero manual labour, -
75:54 - 76:00zero waste and little emission. It is estimated
an average family home could be built in less -
76:00 - 76:06than twenty hours. However the homes of the
future will not be constrained by today's -
76:06 - 76:13architectural limitations for these machines
can extrude intricate and complex designs. -
76:13 - 76:19Perhaps the design of your home will only
be limited by your imagination. Now Contour -
76:19 - 76:25Crafting is still relatively new, however,
it is easy to see how in the near future this -
76:25 - 76:31project could be commercialized as a means
of streamlining the entire construction industry. -
76:31 - 76:38Destroying a numbers of not only those associated
with construction but also those of plumbers, -
76:39 - 76:46electricians and perhaps even architects.
-
76:49 - 76:56Education
Today -
77:03 - 77:10The mainstream method of education currently
requires an all knowing authority figure fulfilling -
77:21 - 77:27the role of teacher and relaying imperial
information to student's after which said -
77:27 - 77:32teacher will then review and grade the work
of the students. This traditional approach -
77:32 - 77:38to learning has been widely criticised throughout
recent years, as it relies on rote memorisation, -
77:38 - 77:43teaching students what to think as opposed
to how to think. And using the grading system -
77:43 - 77:50has also been shown to create structural classism.
Sugata Mitra is a Professor of Educational -
77:58 - 78:04Technology at the University of Newcastle.
His first experiment in child learning began -
78:04 - 78:09in 1999 with the hole in the wall project.
Initially, a computer was placed in a kiosk -
78:09 - 78:14built within a wall in a slum at New Delhi
and children were allowed to use the computer -
78:14 - 78:19freely. The experiment aimed to show that
kids could be taught by computers very easily -
78:19 - 78:25without any formal training and independent
of adult supervision. Mitra termed this approach -
78:25 - 78:32"Minimally Invasive Education". The experiment
grew and was repeated in many places, currently -
78:32 - 78:38there are more than twenty three hole in the
wall kiosks in rural India and in 2004 was -
78:38 - 78:44extended to Cambodia. The results have now
demonstrated that groups of children, irrespective -
78:44 - 78:49of who they are or where they are, can learn
to use computers and the Internet on their -
78:49 - 78:55own, using public computers in open spaces
such as streets and playgrounds, even without -
78:55 - 79:02initially knowing any English.
I wanted to test the limits of this system. -
79:02 - 79:07The first experiment I did out of Newcastle
was actually done in India and I set myself -
79:07 - 79:14an impossible target. Can Tamel speaking twelve
year old children in a south Indian village -
79:17 - 79:23teach themselves biotechnology in English
on their own? I thought I'll test them, -
79:23 - 79:27they'll get a zero, I'll give them material,
I'll come back and test them, they'll -
79:27 - 79:33get another zero, I'll go back and say yes
we need teachers for certain things. I called -
79:33 - 79:37in twenty six children they all came in there,
I told them that there's some really difficult -
79:37 - 79:41stuff on this computer I wouldn't be surprised
if you didn't understand anything. It's -
79:41 - 79:47all in English and I'm going. I came back
after two months, the twenty six children -
79:47 - 79:52marched in looking very, very quiet. I said
well, did you look at any of the steps, they -
79:52 - 79:59said yes we did, did you understand anything,
they said no, nothing. So I said, well, how -
79:59 - 80:04long did you practice on it before you decided
you understood nothing, they said we look -
80:04 - 80:08at it every day, so I said for two months
you are looking at stuff you didn't understand, -
80:08 - 80:13so a twelve year old girl raises her hand
and says, apart from the fact improper replication -
80:13 - 80:17of the DNA molecule causes genetic disease
we've understood nothing else (crowd laughs). -
80:17 - 80:24So the schools have gone up from 0% to 30%
which is an educational impossibility under -
80:30 - 80:36the circumstances, but 30% is not a pass.
So I found that they had a friend, a local -
80:36 - 80:42accountant, a young girl, and they play football
with her. I asked that girl if they would -
80:42 - 80:45teach them enough Biotechnology to pass and
she said how would I do that, I don't know -
80:45 - 80:48the subject, and I said no, use the method
of the Grandmother, she said what's that -
80:48 - 80:55and I said what you've got to do is stand
behind them, and admire them all the time -
80:56 - 81:00(crowd laughs), just say to them, that's
cool, that's fantastic, what is that, can -
81:00 - 81:04you do that again, can you show me some more.
She did that for 2 months, the score went -
81:04 - 81:10up to 50% which is what the posh schools of
New Dehli with the trained Biotechnology teachers -
81:10 - 81:17were getting. So I came back to Newcastle
with these results and decided that there -
81:17 - 81:24was something happening here that definitely
was getting very serious. Across the River -
81:24 - 81:29Thames, five thousand miles from Dehli, is
the little town of Gateshead, in Gateshead -
81:29 - 81:36I took thirty two children and I started to
fine tune the method, I made them into groups -
81:36 - 81:41of four, I said you make your own groups of
four, each group of four can use one computer, -
81:41 - 81:47and not four computers. You can exchange groups,
you can walk across to another group if you -
81:47 - 81:52don't like your group etc. You can go to
another group, peer over their shoulder, see -
81:52 - 81:59what they're doing, come back to your own
group and claim it as your own work. The children -
81:59 - 82:02enthusiastically got up to me and said what
do you want us to do? I gave them six GCSE -
82:02 - 82:09questions. The first group, the best one solved
everything, in twenty minutes, the worst, -
82:09 - 82:14in forty five, they used everything that they
knew: Newsgroups, Google, Wikipedia, Ask Jeeves -
82:14 - 82:21etc. The teachers said, is this deep learning,
I said well, let's try it. I'll come back -
82:21 - 82:26after two months, we'll give them a paper
test, no computers, no talking to each other -
82:26 - 82:30etc. The average score when I done it with
the computers and the groups was 76%. When -
82:30 - 82:37I did the experiment, when I did the test
after two months, the score was... 76%. There -
82:40 - 82:45was photographic recall inside the children;
I suspect because they were discussing with -
82:45 - 82:51each other, a single child in front of a single
computer will not do that, I have further -
82:51 - 82:57results which are, almost unbelievable of
scores which go up with time, because the -
82:57 - 83:02teachers say after the session is over, the
children continue to Google further. Here -
83:02 - 83:09in Britain I've put in a call for British
Grandmothers, after my Kupum experiment, the -
83:10 - 83:17deal was they would give me one hour of broadband
time sitting at their homes, one day in a -
83:17 - 83:24week. So they did that and over the last two
years, over six hundred hours of instructions -
83:24 - 83:30have been over Skype, using what my students
call, the Granny Cloud. (Girl in class talking) -
83:30 - 83:37Back in Gateshead, a ten year old girl gets
into the heart of Hinduism, in fifteen minutes, -
83:37 - 83:44you know stuff which don't know, anything
about (crowd laughs), Two children watch a -
83:45 - 83:51TED talk, they wanted to be footballers before,
after watching eight TED talks, he wants to -
83:51 - 83:58become Leonardo Da Vinci (crowd laughs) (applause),
it's pretty simple stuff. This is what I'm -
84:00 - 84:07building now, they are called SOLEs, Self-Organised
Learning Environments, the furniture is designed -
84:08 - 84:14so children can sit in front of big, powerful
screens, big broadband connections but in -
84:14 - 84:20groups. If they want they can call the Granny
Cloud, this is a SOLE in Newcastle, the mediator -
84:20 - 84:27is from Umea, India. So how far can we go,
I think we've just stumbled across a self-organising -
84:27 - 84:33system. A self-organising system is one where
a structure appears without explicit intervention -
84:33 - 84:38from the outside, self-organising systems
also always show emergence, which is when -
84:38 - 84:44the system starts to do things which it was
never designed for, which is why you react -
84:44 - 84:50the way you do because it looks impossible.
I think I can make a guess now, education -
84:50 - 84:55is organising system, where learning is an
emergent phenomenon, it will take a few years -
84:55 - 84:59to prove it experimentally but I'm going
to try but in the meanwhile there is a method -
84:59 - 85:04available. One billion children, we will need
one hundred million mediators, there are many -
85:04 - 85:10more than that on the planet, ten million
SOLEs, one hundred and eighty billion dollars -
85:10 - 85:13and ten years, we could change everything!
-
85:13 - 85:20So, children left to their own devices are
capable of self-learning, perhaps limited -
85:21 - 85:27only by their ability to search for information.
But what if this process was made easier? -
85:27 - 85:33What if there was a website which consolidated
a vast range of subjects with short educational -
85:33 - 85:40explanatory videos, detailing almost every
aspect of mathematics, history, healthcare, -
85:40 - 85:47medicine, finance, physics, chemistry, biology,
astronomy, economics, cosmology, civics and -
85:48 - 85:54computer science. Well that website exists;
it's called the Kahn academy, developed -
85:54 - 85:59by Salman Kahn in 2006. The site currently
has more than 4,000 micro lectures and has -
85:59 - 86:05delivered over two hundred and forty million
lessons worldwide. In fact the Kahn academy -
86:05 - 86:11has been so successful it is likely the primary
inspiration behind Academic Earth, which has -
86:11 - 86:18evolved the concept to include actual lectures
form more than forty top US colleges including -
86:18 - 86:25Harvard, MIT, Princeton, Stanford, and Yale.
Since Academic Earth, a group of educators -
86:25 - 86:31from Stanford University have formed Coursea.
Adopting the same premise as Kahn and Academic -
86:31 - 86:38Earth, However, with Coursea upon the completion
of on-line courses, students are awarded certificates -
86:38 - 86:44which can and indeed have been used to gain
employment and in some cases, as a substitute -
86:44 - 86:51for credit in real world educational institutions.
-
86:54 - 87:01Arts & Entertainment
Incentive -
87:07 - 87:14In looking at the future of the arts in relation
to jobs, I feel an important distinction must -
87:15 - 87:19be drawn.
There are really two concepts of employment -
87:19 - 87:25which tends to go unacknowledged. The first
is driven by financial necessity. This version -
87:25 - 87:31makes employment something we submit to in
order to gain access to our life supporting -
87:31 - 87:36needs; the other is driven by passion, making
employment a creative outlet where financial -
87:36 - 87:44stability is a by-product and not the primary
motivation. In fact when it comes to art, -
87:44 - 87:51or any process involving creativity, monetary
rewards are actually in-verse to productivity. -
87:56 - 88:01Our motivations are unbelievably interesting.
The science is really surprising. The science -
88:01 - 88:08is a little bit freaky, okay. We are not as
endlessly manipulable and predictable as you -
88:08 - 88:13would think. There's a whole set of unbelievably
interesting studies. I want to give you two -
88:13 - 88:17that call into question this whole idea that
if you reward something you get more of the -
88:17 - 88:20behaviour you want, if you punish something
you get less of it. -
88:20 - 88:26So let's go from London to the mean streets
of Cambridge, Massachusetts, in the northeastern -
88:26 - 88:29part of the United States, and let's talk
about a study done at MIT -- Massachusetts -
88:29 - 88:33Institute of Technology. Here's what they
did: they took a whole group of students and -
88:33 - 88:39gave them a set of challenges. Things like
memorizing a string of digits, solving word -
88:39 - 88:44puzzles, other kinds of spatial puzzles, even
physical tasks like throwing a ball through -
88:44 - 88:48a hoop. They gave 'em these challenges and
they said to incentivize their performance, -
88:48 - 88:53they gave them three levels of rewards, okay.
So if you did pretty well you got a small -
88:53 - 88:59monetary reward, if you did medium well you
got a medium reward, and if you did really -
88:59 - 89:04well, if you were one of the top performers,
you got a large cash prize. We've seen this -
89:04 - 89:09movie before. This is a typical motivation
scheme within organizations. Right? We reward -
89:09 - 89:15the very top performers, we ignore the low
performers, and the folks in the middle...okay, -
89:15 - 89:21you get a little. So what happens? They do
the test, they have these incentives, and -
89:21 - 89:26here's what they found out:
(1) As long as the task involved only mechanical -
89:26 - 89:32skill, bonuses worked as would be expected:
the higher the pay, the better the performance. -
89:32 - 89:38That makes sense. But here's what happened:
once the test called for even rudimentary -
89:38 - 89:45cognitive skill, a larger reward led to poorer
performance! Now this is strange...a larger -
89:45 - 89:50reward led to poorer performance. How can
that possibly be? Now what's interesting about -
89:50 - 89:55this is that the folks who did it are all
economists -- two at MIT, one at the University -
89:55 - 89:59of Chicago, one at Carnegie Mellon -- okay,
the top tier of the economics profession, -
89:59 - 90:05and they're reaching this conclusion that
seems contrary to what most of us learned -
90:05 - 90:09in economics, which is that the higher the
reward, the better the performance. And they're -
90:09 - 90:16saying, once you get above rudimentary cognitive
skill, it's the other way around. The idea -
90:16 - 90:22that these rewards don't work that way seems
vaguely left wing and socialist, doesn't it? -
90:22 - 90:27It's this weird, socialist conspiracy. For
those of you who have those conspiracy theories, -
90:27 - 90:32I want to point out the notoriously left-wing
socialist group that financed the research: -
90:32 - 90:37the Federal Reserve Bank -- the most mainstream
of the mainstream coming to a conclusion that -
90:37 - 90:43seems to defy the laws of behavioural physics!
So this is strange, strange findings. So what -
90:43 - 90:50do they do? They say let's go test it somewhere
else. Maybe that $50, $60 prize isn't sufficiently -
90:50 - 90:57motivating for MIT students. Let's go to a
place where $50 is more significant relatively. -
90:57 - 91:01So we're gonna take the experiment and go
to Madurai, India -- rural India -- where -
91:01 - 91:06$50, $60, whatever the number was is actually
a significant sum of money. So they replicated -
91:06 - 91:11the experiment in India roughly as follows:
the small rewards were roughly the equivalent -
91:11 - 91:18of two weeks' salary; medium performance,
about a month's salary; high performance, -
91:20 - 91:26about two months' salary. Those are good incentives,
so you're probably goanna get a different -
91:26 - 91:31result here. But what happened was that, the
people offered the medium reward did no better -
91:31 - 91:35than the people offered the small reward.
But this time around the people offered the -
91:35 - 91:40highest reward did worst of all! Higher incentives
led to worse performances. What's interesting -
91:40 - 91:45about this is it isn't all that anomalous.
This has been replicated over and over and -
91:45 - 91:51over again by psychologists, by sociologists,
and by economists -- over and over and over -
91:51 - 91:56again. For simple, straightforward tasks,
these kinds of incentives -- "If you do -
91:56 - 92:00this then you get that" -- they're great.
For tasks that are algorithmic, you just follow -
92:00 - 92:07a set of rules; get a right answer, if then,
carrots and sticks...outstanding. But when -
92:09 - 92:14a task gets more complicated, when it requires
some conceptual, creative thinking, those -
92:14 - 92:21kinds of motivators demonstrably don't work.
Fact: money is a motivator at work, but in -
92:21 - 92:26a slightly strange way. If you don't pay people
enough they won't be motivated. What's curious -
92:26 - 92:30is there's another paradox here, that the
best use of money as a motivator is to pay -
92:30 - 92:35people enough to take the issue of money off
the table. Pay people enough that they're -
92:35 - 92:38not thinking about money, they're thinking
about the work. Once you do that, it turns -
92:38 - 92:44out there are three factors that science shows
lead to better performance, not to mention -
92:44 - 92:48personal satisfaction: autonomy, mastery,
and purpose. -
92:48 - 92:53Autonomy is our desire to be self-directed
-- to direct our own lives. In many ways, -
92:53 - 92:58traditional notions of management runs afoul
of that. Management is great if you want compliance; -
92:58 - 93:01but if you want engagement, which is what
we want in the workplace today as people are -
93:01 - 93:06doing more complicated, sophisticated things,
self-direction is better. Let me give you -
93:06 - 93:11some examples of this. One of the most radical
forms of self-direction in the workplace that -
93:11 - 93:16leads to good results. Let's start with Atlassian
-- an Australian software company, and they -
93:16 - 93:21do something really cool. Once a
quarter on a Thursday afternoon, they say -
93:21 - 93:26to their developers, "For the next 24 hours
you can work anything you want. You can work -
93:26 - 93:29on it the way you want, you can work on it
with whoever you want. All we ask is that -
93:29 - 93:33you show those results to the company at the
end of the 24 hours." And it's a fun kind -
93:33 - 93:40of meeting, with beer and cake, and fun, and
other things like that. It turns out that -
93:40 - 93:47that one day of pure, undiluted autonomy has
led to a whole array of fixes for existing -
93:47 - 93:52software, a whole array of ideas for new products
that otherwise would have never emerged. One -
93:52 - 93:54day!
Now this is not an "if then" incentive. -
93:54 - 93:57This is not the sort of thing I would have
done three years ago, before I heard this -
93:57 - 94:02research. I would've said, you want people
to be creative and innovative? Give 'em a -
94:02 - 94:05freakin innovation bonus. "If you can do
something cool, I'll give you $2,500." They're -
94:05 - 94:09not doing this at all. They're essentially
saying, you probably wanna do something interesting, -
94:09 - 94:14let me just get out of your way. One day of
autonomy produces things that would never -
94:14 - 94:17emerge.
Now let's talk about mastery. Mastery is our -
94:17 - 94:22urge to get better at stuff. We like to get
better at stuff. This is why people play musical -
94:22 - 94:27instruments on the weekend. These people act
in ways that don't make any sense economically. -
94:27 - 94:33They play musical instruments on the weekends.
Why? It's not gonna make them any money. 'Cause -
94:33 - 94:38it's fun. 'Cause you get better at it, and
that's satisfying. Go back in time a little -
94:38 - 94:43bit. Imagine. I imagine if I went to my first
economics professor, a woman named Mary Alice -
94:43 - 94:49Shulman, if I went to her in 1983 and said,
"Professor Shulman, can I talk to you after -
94:49 - 94:54class a minute? I got this inkling...I've
got this idea for a business model; I just -
94:54 - 95:00wanna run it past you. Here's how it would
work: you get a bunch of people around the -
95:00 - 95:06world that are doing highly skilled work,
but they're willing to do it for free and -
95:06 - 95:11volunteer their time -- twenty, sometimes
thirty hours a week." She's looking at me -
95:11 - 95:17somewhat skeptically now. "Oh, but I'm not
done! Then, what they create, they give it -
95:17 - 95:24away rather than sell it. It's gonna be huge!"
She would have thought I was insane. It seems -
95:25 - 95:30to fly in the face of so many things. But
you have Linux powering servers in one out -
95:30 - 95:36of four Fortune 500 companies. You have Apache
powering more than the majority of web servers. -
95:36 - 95:41You have Wikipedia. What's going on? Why are
people doing this? Why are these people, many -
95:41 - 95:47of whom are technically sophisticated, highly
skilled people--who have jobs, they have jobs, -
95:47 - 95:54they're working at jobs for pay doing sophisticated
technical work -- and yet, during their limited -
95:54 - 96:01discretionary time, they do equally if not
more technically sophisticated work, not for -
96:01 - 96:06their employer, but for someone else for free!
That's a strange economic behavior! Economists -
96:06 - 96:12have looked into it: why are they doing this?
It's overwhelmingly clear: challenge and mastery, -
96:12 - 96:15along with making a contribution, that's it.
What you're seeing, more and more, what's -
96:15 - 96:21arising is what you might call the purpose
motive. Organizations want to have some kind -
96:21 - 96:25of transcendent purpose -- partly because
it makes coming to work better, partly because -
96:25 - 96:32that's the way to get better talent. And what
we're seeing now is when the profit motive -
96:32 - 96:38becomes unmoored from the purpose motive,
bad things happen. Bad things ethically sometimes, -
96:38 - 96:45but also bad things like just like not good
stuff. Like crappy products, like lame services, -
96:45 - 96:50like uninspiring places to work. When the
profit motive is paramount or when it becomes -
96:50 - 96:56completely unhitched from the purpose motive,
people don't do great things. -
96:56 - 97:00More and more organizations are realizing
this, sort of disturbing the categories between -
97:00 - 97:05what's profit and what's purpose. And I think
that heralds something interesting. I think -
97:05 - 97:10the companies that are flourishing, whether
they're non-profit, for profit, or somewhere -
97:10 - 97:14in between, are animated by this purpose model.
Let me give you a few examples: Here's the -
97:14 - 97:19founder of Skype. He says our goal is to be
disruptive but in the cause of making the -
97:19 - 97:25world a better place, pretty good purpose.
Here's Steve Jobs. I wanna put a ding in the -
97:25 - 97:30universe. Alright, that's the kind of thing
that might get you up in the morning racing -
97:30 - 97:35to go to work.
So I think we are purpose maximizers, not -
97:35 - 97:40only profit maximizers. The science shows
that we care very, very deeply about mastery, -
97:40 - 97:44and the science shows that we want to be self-
directed. So I think the big takeaway here -
97:44 - 97:51is that if we start treating people like people,
and not assuming they're simply horses -- slower, -
97:51 - 97:56smaller, better smelling horses -- if we
get past this ideology of carrots and sticks -
97:56 - 98:01and look at the science, I think we can actually
build organizations and work lives that make -
98:01 - 98:05us better off, and I think we also have the
promise to make our world just a little bit -
98:05 - 98:07better.
-
98:07 - 98:14So, while the all the mundane repetitive jobs
are being assigned to machines, the jobs which -
98:17 - 98:24exist outside of a computer's creative capabilities,
are in fact jobs which would exist regardless -
98:24 - 98:31of financial reward and in fact produce better
results without the incentive. -
98:31 - 98:38Media
Earlier we looked at the possibility of certain -
98:39 - 98:43media companies becoming exclusive to app
form, but what would the future of media look -
98:43 - 98:50like if a website such as Youtube, decided
to adopt the same feature of paid-subscription -
98:50 - 98:57viewing? Incorporating say, an embedded planner
interface? Well for one, YouTube would have -
98:57 - 99:02an immediate advantage as their planer could
be customizable, and rather than having pay -
99:02 - 99:08for an entire package of channels, users would
have the option of paying for individual programing. -
99:08 - 99:12The programs themselves would no longer be
constrained by the time slot limitations of -
99:12 - 99:19a typical TV network, for each program could
have its own channel. But this is all merely -
99:19 - 99:26speculation right? Well no, turns out YouTube
are currently preparing to switch on live -
99:26 - 99:29stream subscription viewing.
-
99:29 - 99:34Film
The most profitable sector in the entertainment -
99:34 - 99:41business is the film industry. One of the
reasons is due to just how expensive it is -
99:41 - 99:46to actually make a film, accounting for the
sheer amount of people involved in production. -
99:46 - 99:52But many production elements are quickly becoming
redundant by the ever improving capabilities -
99:52 - 99:59of GCI. If filming outside; you only have
a few of hours of light each day to maintain -
100:03 - 100:10continuity. With CGI, backdrops and lighting
can be controlled in a green lit studio. As -
100:14 - 100:21far as on screen performance, movies tend
to have dozens of actors each requiring multiple -
100:21 - 100:28takes of a scene and character CGI has typically
been reserved for cartoonish features. Well, -
100:31 - 100:37as the technology advances CGI is getting
ever closer to reflecting reality. -
100:37 - 100:44Ok first thing smile, frown, look mean, eyebrows
up, eyebrows down, move your mouth around -
100:49 - 100:56like this, now go A, A, E, E, I, I, O, U,
very good. -
101:00 - 101:07With CGI an actor could perform every scene
of a movie inside a green lit studio and since -
101:07 - 101:14his image is rendered, you could have a single
actor performing multiple rolls. perhaps every -
101:14 - 101:20roll in the entire movie could be performed
by just 4 or 5 actors and since their emotions -
101:20 - 101:25would be captured and stored on the computers,
in the future, rather than having to shoot -
101:25 - 101:31a scene over and over until finally getting
the desired emotional response, perhaps directors -
101:31 - 101:37will have the option of choosing from a database
of preprogramed actions. -
101:37 - 101:43All of this implying mass reduction in the
volume of people needed to make a film. Now, -
101:43 - 101:47I'm sure many will see the lump of labour
fallacy here, and point out that new jobs -
101:47 - 101:54would emerge in the form building the CGI,
however, video games are entirely CGI, and -
101:55 - 102:02the development of a game currently cost between
$500k--$5M compared that with the starting -
102:02 - 102:08price of two hundred million dollars for a
Hollywood movie. And then there's the open -
102:08 - 102:14source community. Blender for one is an open
source 3D modelling program. Since the blender -
102:14 - 102:20project began, a community of volunteers have
downloaded the source code and over time, -
102:20 - 102:26made gradual improvements to the programs
functionality. Today blender is capable of -
102:26 - 102:30producing this.
Why don't you just admit that you're freaked -
102:30 - 102:37out by my robot hand?
Ahggg c'mon -
102:42 - 102:48Human!
This is pretty freaky -
102:59 - 103:06"Tears of Steel"
-
103:10 - 103:17Professional, Scientific & Technical
-
103:21 - 103:25This sector covers a vast range of jobs and
I feel it would be far too time consuming -
103:25 - 103:31to address each in great detail. So let's
run through these quickly. The workload typically -
103:31 - 103:36required with legal advice and representation,
is now being diminished through the use of -
103:36 - 103:42e-discovery, which enables 1 lawyer to do
the work of 500 -
103:42 - 103:46Accounting services are being replaced with
software such as KashFlow which can actually -
103:46 - 103:53track bank transactions, obviating the need
for manual input accounting. -
103:54 - 103:59Translation and interpretation services are
also replaceable with software such as Lingual -
103:59 - 104:06which uses apple's Siri technology to translate
between 35 languages in real-time. -
104:18 - 104:22Architectural work may over time become less
of a specialist subject. As computers grew -
104:22 - 104:27throughout the 90's necessity demanded the
majority of us familiarize ourselves with -
104:27 - 104:33operating systems. I believe the advancements
in 3D printing will demand that people become -
104:33 - 104:38failure with computer aided design. And as
the software improves, much of the architectural -
104:38 - 104:45process could be constructed in a program
similar to a Sims game. -
104:46 - 104:53Engineering, Computer system design, Photography
and Scientific research all seem to fall under -
104:55 - 105:02the umbrella of creativity which as demonstrated
earlier would exist regardless of paid employment. -
105:05 - 105:09Advertising services may be under threat if
YouTube were to eliminate their competition -
105:09 - 105:16and also incorporate a paid viewing feature
which disables advertising. -
105:16 - 105:23Consulting services I think can easily be
replaced with advanced voice recognition software. -
105:28 - 105:35Administrative & Support Services
-
105:48 - 105:55The core job of an administrator is to process,
filter, organize and categorise personal data. -
105:55 - 106:01Facebook has recently shown the potential
of account synchronization. Instead of having -
106:01 - 106:07to fill out a form every time we register
to a new website, Now we have the single click -
106:07 - 106:12option of "register through Facebook",
where all the user has to do I click this -
106:12 - 106:18button and the website dose the rest. Of course
Facebook is a social network and likely contains -
106:18 - 106:24information not necessarily relevant to third
party organizations. But if the government -
106:24 - 106:30were to further the train of thought here,
we could instate a nationalised social HUB, -
106:30 - 106:35whereby those of us with say a national insurance
number, could at least have the option of -
106:35 - 106:40having our relevant details authenticated
and synced with our national insurance accounts, -
106:40 - 106:45and once the information has been submitted
and synced, applying for government benefits, -
106:45 - 106:50bank loans, college placements or even making
a dentist appointment, could all be achieved -
106:50 - 106:56much faster through the on-line hub, reducing
our dependency on the processing requirements -
106:56 - 107:02of these time consuming middlemen, and having
a regulated information HUB could also extend -
107:02 - 107:07to the elimination or at the very least a
downgrading of the postal service, for all -
107:07 - 107:14forms of documentation could be securely transferred
electronically to authenticated email addresses. -
107:23 - 107:30Financial & Insurance
-
107:44 - 107:49The world of finances and insurance is obviously
dependent upon the circulation of money. So -
107:49 - 107:54rather than address specific elements of this
sector, it's perhaps easier to simply look -
107:54 - 108:01at the root cause of our pending financial
collapse. Far from automated systems the fall -
108:01 - 108:08of the global financial economy, will result
from simple causation principles in mathematics. -
108:08 - 108:12Almost every form of trade in the world is
represented through currency. Currency is -
108:12 - 108:19a proclamation where a certain value is identified
by a number. One pound will represent a value, -
108:20 - 108:25which can differ slightly between traders
but generally holds an accepted range, and -
108:25 - 108:31this ranging value is not determined or decided
by politicians or bankers, it's a value -
108:31 - 108:38derived from the market. When calculating
the cost of housing, energy, transportation, -
108:38 - 108:44as well as goods and services, we are presented
with a consumer price index and thus derive -
108:44 - 108:50the overall market value of the pound. The
markets themselves are predicated on consumer -
108:50 - 108:56spending. So if all consumers continually
spend the same amount, the markets prices -
108:56 - 109:03would stabilize and the economy could potentially
function harmoniously, neither growing nor -
109:03 - 109:08contracting. But let's step back and look
at where money actually comes from in the -
109:08 - 109:15first place. All money in circulation was
created by and is the property of the central -
109:16 - 109:23bank, in our case the bank of England. This
bank loans money to the commercial and investment -
109:23 - 109:30banks, which then issue loans themselves to
rival banks, consumers and businesses, so -
109:30 - 109:36since we are all trading borrowed money, cyclical
consumption is not only a necessity for ensuring -
109:36 - 109:43the integrity of the pound, it is also a requirement
for the banks, thus the currency, to remain -
109:43 - 109:50operational. Only one problem with this, this
borrowing from the banks process isn't quite -
109:50 - 109:55the same as a game of Monopoly where a friend
might loan you some cash until you pass go! -
109:55 - 110:00All the money borrowed from both the central
and commercial banks, has to be paid back -
110:00 - 110:07with interest, but since the interest is in
fact NOT created alongside the initial loan, -
110:07 - 110:13the ability to pay back more money than exists
in principle is a mathematical impossibility -
110:13 - 110:20if the goal was maintaining economic harmony.
So instead we try to resolve the problem generated -
110:21 - 110:26with interest, through a process called quantitative
easing, in which the banks may temporarily -
110:26 - 110:31lower interest rates and the government will
often borrow even more money at interest, -
110:31 - 110:36in an effort to grow the economy.
See rather than address the fundamental flaw -
110:36 - 110:43of this system, we instead perpetuate an infinite
growth paradigm, which of course, is ultimately -
110:44 - 110:51unsustainable on a finite planet, and in looking
at the numbers it doesn't seem this quantitative -
110:51 - 110:57easing has had much effect, here's the average
monthly consumer costs in 2008, compared with -
110:57 - 111:04today, we have an overall price increase of
25% while wages during the same time only -
111:05 - 111:12rose by 6%. These results are simply because
perpetual growth is unsustainable and Bankruptcy, -
111:13 - 111:19redundancy, foreclosure, administrations,
liquidations, loan defaults and the raising -
111:19 - 111:24of a country's debt ceiling, are all built
in consequential and we should expect nothing -
111:24 - 111:31ells of this system.
-
111:39 - 111:46Other
Having looked at each sector of employment, -
111:56 - 112:02it appears we are heading towards a fully
automated economy, some might say this would -
112:02 - 112:08still require lots of human workers? Machines
after all do have at least one constraint, -
112:08 - 112:14while they can work without a monetary incentive,
the do require energy. -
112:14 - 112:19Our current methods of energy cultivation
result in the depletion of natural oil and -
112:19 - 112:25the burning of CO2 emitting fossil fuels,
but these methods are wasteful, cumbersome -
112:25 - 112:30and quite frankly out-dated. Solutions to
the energy crisis are often cited in the form -
112:30 - 112:36of nuclear power, but after the disasters
in Japan, perhaps we should be looking to -
112:36 - 112:42cleaner, safer solutions.
Solar energy is gradually becoming more and -
112:42 - 112:46more accepted by the mainstream, even the
government are incentivising home owners to -
112:46 - 112:52adopt solar panels with the Feed-In Tariffs
scheme, where participants will be compensated -
112:52 - 112:58for any surplus energy generated. While an
initial solar panel investment may deter some -
112:58 - 113:03of us, it's reassuring to know that the
cost of solar is currently dropping at a rate -
113:03 - 113:10of 30% per year. But could we really sustain
our energy needs on solar panels alone? Well -
113:10 - 113:14firstly, solar technology is not limited to
buildings. -
113:14 - 113:20An American company called solar roadways
are developing photovoltaic solar roads. With -
113:20 - 113:25current technology it is estimated that full
integration of solar roads across the US, -
113:25 - 113:30would generate enough power to satisfy the
current energy usage of the entire planet. -
113:30 - 113:36These roads also incorporate LED displays
which could probably be programed to coincide -
113:36 - 113:41with autonomous vehicles ensuring even greater
road safety. The roads in colder climates -
113:41 - 113:46would be installed with embedded heating elements,
eliminating ice and snow hazards as well as -
113:46 - 113:53the required jobs of snow ploughs and gritters.
Solar energy aside, how about wind? According -
113:55 - 114:01to the US department of energy, if wind turbines
were fully harvested in just 3 of Americas -
114:01 - 114:0850 states, the energy cultivated would be
enough to power the whole of the USA. But -
114:08 - 114:13wind farming is also not limited to the gigantic
turbines which most of us are aware of. We -
114:13 - 114:19could be utilizing vertical axis wind turbines
with magnetic bearings, which cause the wind -
114:19 - 114:25vain to levitate. Reducing the friction and
cut-in wind speed usually hindered by gears. -
114:25 - 114:29You could literally blow on these things and
create energy, -
114:29 - 114:36So what happens when we placed vertical axis
turbines inside street lamps? Well, when a -
114:36 - 114:41vehicle drives past it creates a gust of wind
and in turn powers the lights. -
114:41 - 114:48Then we have tidal power. According to Crown
Estate, the UK has the potential to harness -
114:48 - 114:55up to 153 gigawatts, accounting for more than
20% of our current energy usage. They also -
114:56 - 115:02found a potential 27 gigawatts from wave energy.
And then of course we have geothermal power. -
115:04 - 115:09So here's the earth, in countries like Canada
and the United States seasons come and go. -
115:09 - 115:13In the summer months it can be quite warm
and in the winter very cold, while the temperature -
115:13 - 115:17of the surface for the earth changes with
the seasons, the temperature of the ground -
115:17 - 115:21below the surface does not. Even at just two
meters or six feet under the ground it is -
115:21 - 115:27about fifteen degrees Celsius or sixty degrees
farenheight all year round. Geothermal takes -
115:27 - 115:31advantage of this consistent temperature and
uses it to heat and cool homes. So how does -
115:31 - 115:35it work? First, a large hole is made into
the ground and filled with a series of pipes -
115:35 - 115:40a special heat absorbing fluid constantly
runs through the pipes. In the winter, heat -
115:40 - 115:44from the ground is absorbed into the pipes
and pushed upwards where it can be circulated -
115:44 - 115:49throughout the house. In the summer the process
is reversed, heat from the house is absorbed -
115:49 - 115:53into the pipes and pushed downwards where
it can be stores within the cooler earth. -
115:53 - 115:58So what are the benefits of geothermal heating?
Well for one you can save a lot of money geothermal -
115:58 - 116:02uses way less energy to operate and this means
a heating bill that is up to eighty percent -
116:02 - 116:07lower than that of a traditional heating system,
secondly geothermal doesn't run on fossil -
116:07 - 116:12fuels like oil or gas and therefore produces
significantly less greenhouse gasses. So, -
116:12 - 116:19look into geothermal today for a cleaner and
sustainable source of energy. -
116:21 - 116:28As well as heating homes, geothermal is being
used to convert heat in to energy. And in -
116:28 - 116:34a 2006 MIT study, geothermal was found to
have an energy potential of two thousand zenojules. -
116:34 - 116:41The total global energy consumption is currently
around one half a zenejule per year, signifying -
116:41 - 116:47four thousand years of planetary power from
geothermal alone. Meaning the powering of -
116:47 - 116:54an automated economy is simply a non-issue.
But then there's the other argument regarding -
116:54 - 117:01machine maintenance. It is now a general assumption
that all machines are in constant need repairs. -
117:01 - 117:08And well, this is true, at least with respects
to market products. See within the market -
117:08 - 117:14there is planned obsolescence, in order to
maintain cyclical consumption of goods, it -
117:14 - 117:21is crucial that products have a short lifespan.
The biggest issue or potential flaw to me -
117:21 - 117:28over this invention is the fact, that it's
not an invention or a product that actually -
117:28 - 117:34will be purchased more than once, you kind
of almost want your product to break occasionally. -
117:34 - 117:41If we were to removed our dependency on cyclical
consumption we could create products to last, -
117:42 - 117:49and the only threat to a machines lifespan,
would be atmospheric erosion. This is why -
117:49 - 117:55in the future all machine parts will be treated
with a super hydrophobic coating, which uses -
117:55 - 118:02nanotechnology to repel water and refined
oils. -
118:39 - 118:46Problem
-
119:19 - 119:24Even when we do recognize the implications
of mass mechanisation, people tend to think -
119:24 - 119:31"not my job, not the job I happen to have
spent four years studying for, the business -
119:31 - 119:37my family left me, the product I invested
my life savings in, that job will be around -
119:37 - 119:44forever". I'm sorry to tell you that is
merely wishful thinking, and yes your job -
119:44 - 119:51is vulnerable; even if not directly threatened
by atomisation; we are all affected by the -
119:53 - 119:54mechanisms of causation.
-
119:53 - 120:00When a store fails the products on those shelves
thus manufacturing is affected, just as when -
120:00 - 120:07a product becomes obsolete, the stores in
turn suffer. Also, when 50% of household products -
120:07 - 120:13are either redundant or freely downloadable,
what do you think will happen to the world -
120:13 - 120:18of advertising? Autonomous cars eliminate
the need for a driving licences thus the need -
120:18 - 120:24for driving schools and instructors, and since
accidents are near impossible, there will -
120:24 - 120:30be a reduction in time with car insurance
companies, repair shops and of course, taxable -
120:30 - 120:37offenses relating to speeding fines and the
like. And as the overall state of the economy -
120:38 - 120:43weakens, commercial banks, real estate and
government funded institutions such as education -
120:43 - 120:46and healthcare all be affected.
-
120:46 - 120:53If by now you are asking "what's the real
solution to the unemployment problem?" Well -
120:54 - 121:01my question is what's the problem? The loss
of a job is historically synonymous with degradation -
121:01 - 121:07and poverty. Yet we are looking at a future
in which organic food and clean energy are -
121:07 - 121:12cultivated with levels of abundance never
before seen. Homes can be constructed within -
121:12 - 121:19a day without any human involvement. All tools,
aesthetic objects and even medicine are designed, -
121:20 - 121:26downloaded, customized and printed on demand,
either made from in your in the home or delivered -
121:26 - 121:33via autonomous vehicles, which have improved
road safety and reduced travel time. Then -
121:33 - 121:38of course there's better healthcare, free
education, less waste and this is all to say -
121:38 - 121:45nothing of the explosion in entertainment.
The real solution would have nothing to do -
121:46 - 121:52with capitalism, socialism, communism, the
free enterprise system or any other sub related -
121:52 - 121:59group. For these are market economies. And
as the financial market dies, we need to transition -
121:59 - 122:06into a new sustainable economy, one which
is designed around ensuring our survival, -
122:06 - 122:12meaning we must all have equal access to life
supporting needs without the ridiculous number -
122:12 - 122:19game or any monetary exchange.
We have the technology and the understanding -
122:19 - 122:26today of how to scientifically orient our
resource distribution. But of course transitions -
122:27 - 122:34are never easy. There is nothing preventing
a period of mass poverty and starvation. In -
122:35 - 122:40fact there is nothing preventing us from holding
on to this out-dated, competition based, infinite -
122:40 - 122:44growth market economy, until we have nothing
left. -
122:44 - 122:50By raising awareness of our technological
potential and having the population understand -
122:50 - 122:57the imminent need to transition, we can alleviate
the fear usually generated through ignorance -
122:57 - 123:03and allow the change to happen with little
opposition. Luckily for us, I don't have -
123:03 - 123:10to sit here and propose setting up a mass
awareness raising campaign, it already exists. -
123:11 - 123:16With over half a million members and hundreds
of chapter's world-wide the zeitgeist movement -
123:16 - 123:21is the largest grassroots movement in history,
and has set out to raise awareness as to our -
123:21 - 123:27true potential on this planet while at the
same time advocating a transition in to a -
123:27 - 123:30new sustainable global paradigm.
- Title:
- Will Work For Free | OFFICIAL RELEASE | 2013
- Description:
-
Will Work For Free is a documentary by Sam Vallely on the subject of technological unemployment.
this work is protected under fair use and will always be free.Facebook:
https://www.facebook.com/willworkforfreeMuse - Madness
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ek0SgwWmF9wGEA Farm Technologies MIone robotic milking system for dairy cows:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NGSc5ZTU57EEGNOS for precision farming:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r365Qw77JcELee Cronin: Print your own medicine:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mAEqvn7B2QgSugata Mitra's new experiments in self-teaching:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dk60sYrU2RURSA Animate - Drive: The surprising truth about what motivates us:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u6XAPnuFjJcUltra-Ever Dry - Superhydrophobic coating:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IPM8OR6W6WESolar Roadways: The Prototype:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ep4L18zOEYIGeothermal Heating:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ajqiPe_9KoFor information on RBE(Resource-Based Economy):
http://www.thevenusproject.com/Sign up to the TZM Mailing List:
http://www.thezeitgeistmovement.com/ - Video Language:
- English
- Duration:
- 02:06:36
Andrey Angelov edited Bulgarian subtitles for Will Work For Free | OFFICIAL RELEASE | 2013 |