A provocative way to finance the fight against climate change

Will we do whatever it takes
to tackle climate change?

I come at this question
not as a green campaigner,

in fact I confess to be rather
hopeless at recycling.

I come at it as a professional observer
of financial policy making

and someone that wonders
how history will judge us.

One day,

this ring that belonged to my grandfather

will pass to my son, Charlie,

and I wonder what his generation,

and perhaps the one that follows,

will make of the two
lives this ring [worked].

My grandfather was a coal miner.

In his time,

burning fossil fuels for energy

and for allowing economies to develop,

was accepted.

We know now that that is not the case

because of the greenhouse
gases that coal produces.

But today,

I fear it's the industry in which I work
that will be judged more harshly

because of its impact on the climate --

more harshly than my
grandfather's industry even.

I work of course in the banking industry,

which will be remembered
for its crisis in 2008.

A crisis that diverted the attention
and finances of governments

away from some really, really
important promises.

Like promises made at the Cophenhagen
Climate Summit in 2009,

to mobilize 100 billion dollars a year

to help developing countries move
away from fossil fuels

and transition to using cleaner energy.

That promise is already in jeopardy.

And that's a real problem,

because that transition to cleaner energy
needs to happen sooner rather than later.

Firstly,

because greenhouse gases once released
stay in the atmosphere for decades.

And secondly,

if a developing economy builds
its power grid around fossil fuels today,

it's going to be way more costly
to change later on.

So for the climate,

history may judge that the banking
crisis happened at just the wrong time.

The story need not be this gloomy, though.

Three years ago,

I argue that governments could use

the same tools deployed
to save the financial system

to meet other global challenges.

And these arguments are getting stronger,

not weaker with time.

Let's take a brief reminder
of what those tools look like.

When the financial crisis hit in 2008,

the central banks of the US and UK
began buying bonds

issued by their own governments,

in a policy known as quantitative easing.

Depending on what happens
to those bonds when they mature,

this is money printing by another name,

and boy did they print.

The US alone created four trillion dollars
worth of its own currency.

This was not done in isolation.

In a remarkable act of cooperation,

the 188 countries that make up
the International Monetary Fund,

the IMF,

agreed to issue 250 billion dollars
worth of their own currency.

The special drawing right.

To boost reserves around the world.

When the financial crisis moved to Europe,

the European Central Bank President,

Mario Draghi,

promised to do whatever it takes --

and they did.

The bank in Japan repeated those words,

that exact same committment,

to do whatever it takes
to reflate their economy.

In both cases,

whatever it takes meant
trillions of dollars more

in money printing policies
that continue today.

What this shows is that when faced
with some global challenges,

policy makers are able
to act collectively,

with urgency

and run the risks of unconventional
policies like money printing.

So let's go back to that
original question.

Can we print money for climate finance?

So three years ago,

the idea of using money in this way,

it was something of a taboo.

Once you break down

and dismantle the idea
that money is a finite resource,

governments can quickly get overwhelmed

by demands from their people to print
more and more money for other causes:

education, health care, welfare,

even defense.

And there are some truly terrible
historical examples of money printing --

uncontrolled money printing --

leading to hyperinflation.

Think Weimar Republic in 1930.

Zimbabwe more recently, in 2008.

When the prices of basic goods
like bread are doubling every day.

But all of this is moving
the public debate forward,

so much so that money
pringting for the people

is now discussed openly
in the financial media,

and even in some political manifestos.

But it's important the debate
doesn't stop here,

with printing national currencies.

Because climate change
is a shared global problem,

there are some really compelling reasons

why we should be printing
that international currency

that's issued by the IMF,

to fund it.

The special drawing right,

or SDR,

is the IMF's electronic unit of account

that governments use to transfer
funds amongst each other.

Think of it as a peer-to-peer
payment network like bitcoin,

but for governments.

And it's truly global.

Each of the 188 members
of the IMF hold SDR quotas

as part of their foreign
exchange reserves.

These are national stores of wealth

that countries keep to protect
themselves against currency crises.

And that global nature is why,

at the height of the
financial crisis in 2009,

the IMF issued those extra
250 billion dollars,

because it served as
a collective global action

that safeguarded countries large
and small in one fell swoop.

But here --

here's the intriguing part.

More than half of those extra SDRs
that were printed in 2009 --

150 billion dollars worth --

went to developed market countries

who for the most part,

have a modest need for
these foreign exchange reserves,

because they have flexible exchange rates.

So those extra reserves
that were printed in 2009,

in the end,

for developed market countries at least,

weren't really needed.

And they remain unused today.

So here's an idea.

There's a first step:

why don't we start spending
those unused --

those extra SDRs that were printed in 2009

to combat climate change.

They could for example,

be used to buy bonds issued
by the UN's Green Climate Fund.

This was a fund created in 2009,

following that climate agreement
in Copenhagen.

And it was designed to channel funds
towards developing countries

to meet their climate projects.

It's been one of the most
successful funds of its type,

raising almost 10 billion dollars,

but if we use those extra
SDRs that were issued,

it helps governments get back on track,

to meet that promise
of 100 billion dollars a year

that was derailed by the financial crisis.

It could also --

it could also serve as a test case.

If the inflationary consequences
of using SDRs in this way are benign,

it could be used to justify the additional
extra [issued vest...]

say, every five years.

Again with the comittment

that developed market countries

would direct their share of new
reserves to the Green Climate Fund.

Printing international money in this way

has several advantages
over printing national currencies.

The first is it's really easy to argue

that spending money to mitigate
climate change benefits everyone.

No one section of society benefits
from the printing [press] over another.

That problem of competing
claims is mitigated.

It's also fair to say,

that because it takes so many countries
to agree to issue these extra SDRs,

it's highly unlikely that money
printing would get out of control.

What you end up with is a collective,
global action aimed --

and it's controlled global action --

aimed at a global good.

And ...

as we've learned with the money
printing schemes,

whatever concerns we have can
be allayed by rules.

So for example,

the issuance of these extra SDRs
every five years could be capped,

such that this international currency

is never more than five percent
of global foreign exchange reserves.

That's important because it would allay --

well let's say --

the ridiculous concerns
that the US might have

that the SDR could ever challenge

the dollar's dominant role
in international finance.

And in fact,

I think the only thing that the SDR
would likely steal from the dollar

under this scheme,

is its nickname --

the green[back].

Because even with that cap in place,

the IMF could have
followed up its issuance --

its massive issuance of SDRs in 2009 --

with a further 200 billion
dollars of SDRs in 2014.

So hypothetically,

that would mean that developed countries

could have contributed 300 billion dollars
worth of SDRs to Green Climate Fund.

That's 30 times what it has today.

And you know,

as spectacular as that sounds,

it's only just beginning to look
like whatever it takes.

And just to think what amazing things
could be done with that money --

consider this.

In 2009,

Norway promised one billions dollars
of its reserves to Brazil,

if they followed through on their
goals on deforestation.

That program has since delivered
a 70 percent reduction in deforestation

in the past decade.

That's saving 3.2 billion tons
of carbon dioxide emissions,

which is the equivalent of taking all
American cars off the roads

for the three whole years.

So what could we do

with 300 other pay-for-performance
climate projects like that --

organized on a global scale?

We could take cars off the roads
for a generation.

So let's not quibble about whether
we can afford to fund climate change.

The real question is,

do we care enough about future generations

to take the very same policy risks
we took to save the financial system?

After all,

we could do it,

we did do it

and we are doing it today.

We must, must, must do whatever it takes.

Thank you.

(Applause)