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The next 60 minutes,
I'm going to take you on a journey
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that is probably the biggest dream
of humanity:
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to understand the code of life.
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So for me, everything started
many, many years ago
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when I met the first 3D printer.
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The concept was fascinating,
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a 3D printer needed three elements:
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a bit of information, some raw material,
some energy,
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and it can produce any object
that was not there before.
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I was doing physics, I was coming back
home
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and I realized that I actually always knew
a 3D printer and everyone does.
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It was my mom.
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(Laughter)
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My mom takes three elements:
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a bit of information, which is between
my father and my mom in this case,
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raw elements and energy
in the same medium, that is food.
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And after several months, produces me,
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and I was not existent before.
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So a part from the shock of my mom
discovering that she's a 3D priner,
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I immediately got mesmerized
by that piece, the first one, the information.
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What amount of information takes
to build and asemble a human?
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Is it much? Is it little?
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How many thumb drives can you fill?
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Well, I was studying physics
in the beginning
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and I took this approximation
of a human
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as a gigantic lego piece.
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You can imagine that the building blocks
are little atoms
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and there is a hydrogen here, a carbon here,
a nitrogen here.
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So in the first approximation,
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if I can list the number of atoms
that compose a human being,
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I can build it.
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Now you can round some numbers
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and that happens to be
quite an astonishing number.
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So the number of atoms,
the file that I will save in my thumb drive
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to assemble a little baby
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will actually fill an entire Titanic
of thumb drives.
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Multiplied 2,000 times, this is
the miracle of life.
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Every time you see from now on
a pregnant lady,
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she's assembling the biggest
amount of information
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that you will ever encounter.
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Forget big data, forget anything
you heard of.
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This is the biggest amount
of information that exists.
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(Applause)
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But nature, fortunately, is much smarter
than a young physicist
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and in 4 billion years, managed
to pack this information
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in a small crystal we call DNA.
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We met it for the first time in 1950
when Rosalind Franklin,
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an amazing scientist,
a woman,
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took a picture of it.
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But it took us more than 40 years
to finally poke inside a human cell,
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take out this crystal,
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unroll it, and read it for the first time.
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While the code comes out to be
a fairly simple alphabet,
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four letters: A,T,C and G.
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And to build a human,
you need 3 billion of them.
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3 billion, how many are 3 billion?
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Doesn't really make
much sense as a number?
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So I was thinking how
I could explain myself better
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about how big and enormous
is this code.
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But there is...I'm going
to have some help
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and the best person who is
going to help me introduce the code
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is actually the first man
to sequence it, Dr. Craig Venter.
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So welcome on stage Dr. Craig Venter.
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(Applause)
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Not the man in his flesh,
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but for the first time in history
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this is the genome of a specific human
printed page -by-page, letter-by-letter,
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262,000 pages of information,
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450 kilograms shipped from
the United States to Canada
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all the thanks to ?,
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it was an amazing feat.
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But this is the visual perception
of what is the code of life,
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and now, for the first time,
I can do something funny.
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I can actually poke inside it
and read.
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So let me take some interesting book
like this one.
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I have an annotation, it's a
fairly big book.
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So just to let you see
what is the code of life.
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Thousands and thousands
and thousands
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and millions of letters.
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And they apparently
make any sense.
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Let's get to a specific part.
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Let em read it to you:
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(Laughter)
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"AAGAATATA."
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To you it sounds like mute letters,
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but this sequence gives
the color of the eyes to Craig.
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I'll show you another part
of the book.
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It's actually a little more
complicated.
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Chromosome 14, book 132:
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(Laughter)
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As you might expect.
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(Laughter)
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"ATTCTTGATT."
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This human is lucky, because if
you miss just two letters in this position,
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two letters out of 3 billion,
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he will condemned to
a terrible disease:
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cystic fibrosis.
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We have no cure for it, we don't
know how to solve it,
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and it's just two letter of difference
from what we are.
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A wonderful book, a mighty book,
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a mighty book that helped me understand
and show you something quite remarkable.
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Every one of you, what makes me, me
and you, you
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is just bout 5 million of these,
half a book.
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For the rest, we all absolutely
identical.
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500 pages if the miracle
of life that you are.
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The rest, we all share it.
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So think about that again
when you think you are different.
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This is the amount that we share.
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So now that I have your attention,
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the next question is,
how do I read it?
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How do I make sense of it?
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Well, for how good you can be
at assembling Swedish furnitures,
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this instruction manual is nothing
crack in your life.
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(Laughter)
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And so, in 2014, two famous TEDsters
Peter Diamandis and Craig Venture himself
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decided to assemble a new company
and Human Longevity was born,
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with one mission;
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trying everything we can try and learning
everything we can learn from these books
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with one target; making real
the dream of personalized medicine.
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And understanding what things
should be done to have better health
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and what are the secrets in these books.
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An amazing team, 14 other scientists
and many, many more people,
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a pleasure to work with,
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the ceoncept is actually very simple.
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We're going to use a technology
called machine learning.
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On one side, we have genomes,
thousands of them.
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On the other side, we collected
the biggest database of human beings:
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phenotypes, 3D scan, MRI, everything
you can think of.
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Inside there, on the two opposite sides,
there is the secret the translation.
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And in the middle, we build a machine.
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We build a machine
and we train a machine --
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well, not exactly one machine,
many, many machines --
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to try to understand and translate
the genome in a phenotype.
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What are those letters and what
do they do?
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It's an approach that can be used
for everything,
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but using it in genomics is particularly
complicated.
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Little by little we grew and we wanted
to build different challenges.
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We start from the beginning
from common traits.
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Common traits are comfortable
because they are common,
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everyone has them.
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So we started to ask our question,
can we predict height?
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Can we read the books and predict
your height?
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We actually can, with
5 centimeters of precision.
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BMI is fairly connected
to your lifestyle,
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but we still can, we get in the ballpark,
kilograms of precision.
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Can we predict the eye color?
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Yeah, we can.
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80 percent accuracy.
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Can we predict the skin color?
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Yeah we can, 80 percent accuracy.
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Can we predict age?
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We can, because apparently the code
changes during your life.
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It gets shorter, you loose pieces,
it gets insertions.
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We read the signals
and we make a model.
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Now, an interesting challenge.
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Can we predict a human face?
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It's a little complicated because
a human face
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is scattered among millions
of these letters
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and a human face is not
a very well-defined object.
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So, we had to build an entire tier of it
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to learn and teach a machine
what is a face
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and embed and compress it,
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and if you're comfortable with
machine learning,
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you understand what is the challenge.
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Now, after 15 years, 15 years after
we read the first sequence,
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this October, we started to see
some ?
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and it was a very emotional moment.
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What you see here is a subject
coming in our lab.
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This is a face for us.
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So we take the real face of a subject,
we reduce the complecity
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because not everything is in your face,
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lots of features and defects
and asymmetries are coming from your life.
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We symetrize the face and we run
our algorithm.
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The results I show you right now,
this is the prediction we have
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from the blot.
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(Applause)
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Wait a second.
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In these seconds, your eyes are watching,
left and right, left and right,
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and your brain wants those pictures
to be identical.
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So I ask you to do another exercise
to be honest.
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please search for the differences,
which are many.
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The biggest amount of signal
comes from gender,
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then there is age, BMI,
the ethnicity component of a human.
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And scaling up after that signal
is much more complicated.
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What you see here, even in the
differences,
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let's you understand that we are
in the right ballpark.
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That we are getting closer
and it's already giving you some emotions.
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This is another subject that
comes in our lab
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and this is a prediction.
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A little smaller face, we didn't get
the complete cranial structure,
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but still, it's in the ballpark.
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This is a subject that comes in our lab,
and this is the prediction.
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So these people have never been seen
in the training of the machine,
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these are the "held out set" ?
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But these are, as well, people that you'll
probably never believe.
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We are publishing everything
in a scientific publication,
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you can read it.
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Since we are onstage,
Chris challeneged me.
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I probably exposed myself
and tried to predict
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someone that you might recognize.
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In this vile of blood, and believe me,
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you had no idea what we had to do
to have blood now, here.
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In this vile of blood, there is mountain
of biological information
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that we need to do
a full genome sequence on.
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We just need this amount.
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We ran this sequence and I'm
going to do it with you.
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And we start to layer up
all the understanding we have.
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In the vile of blood, we predicted
he's a male, the subject is a male.
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We predict that he's a meter and 76,
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the subject is a meter and 77.
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We predict that he's 76,
the subject is 82.
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We predict his age, 38.
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The subject is 35.
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Predict his eye color?
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Too dark.
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Predict his skin color?
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We are almost there.
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That's his face.
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Now, the reveal moment
that the subject is this person.
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And I did that intentionally.
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I am a very particular
and peculiar ethnicity.
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Southern European Italians, they never
fit in models.
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And it's particular that ethnicity
is a complex corner case for our model.
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But there is another point.
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So, one of the things that we
use a lot to recognize poeple
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will never be written in the genome,
it's our free will.
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Not my haircut in this case,
but my beard cut.
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So I'm going to show you, I"m going to,
in this case, transfer it --
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and this is nothing more than photoshop,
no modeling -- the beard on the subject.
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And immediately, we get
much, much better and filling.
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So, why do we do this?
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We certainly don't do it
for predicting the height
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or taking a beautiful picture
out of your blood.
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We do it because the same technology
and the same approach,
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the machine learning of this code
is helping us to understand how we work,
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how your body works,
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how your body ages,
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how disease generates in your body,
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how your cancer develops,
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how drugs work and if they work
on your body.
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This is a huge challenge,
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this is a challenge that we share with
thousands of other researchers
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around the world.
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It's called personalized medicine.
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It's the ability to move from
a statistical appraoch
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where you're a dot in the ocean,
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to a personalized approach,
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where we read all these books
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and we get an understanding of exactly
how you are.
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But it is a particularly
complicated challenge
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because of all these books,
as of today,
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we probably know just 2 percent:
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4 books out of 175.
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And this is not the topic of my talk
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because we will learn more.
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There are the best minds in the world
on this topic.
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The prediction will better,
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the model will get more precise.
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And the more we will learn,
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the more we will be confronted
with decisions
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that we never had to face before
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about life, about death,
about parenting.
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So, this conversation....we are touching
the very inner detail of how life works.
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And ti's a revolution
that cannot be confined
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in the domain of science or technology.
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This must be a global conversation.
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We must start to think of the future
we're building as a humanity.
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We need to interact creatives,
with artists, with philosophers,
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with politicians,
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everyone is involved because it's
the future of our species.
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Without fear, but with the understanding
that the decisions
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that we will take in the next year
will change the course of history forever.
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Thank you.
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(Applause)