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Paul Krugman the Nobel Prize in economics
once wrote,
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"Productivity is not everything,
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but in the long run,
it is almost everything."
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So this is serious.
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You know there are not that many
things on Earth
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that are almost everything.
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Productivity is the principal driver
of the prosperity of a society.
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So we have a problem.
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In the largest European economies,
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productivity used to grow five percent
per annum in the 50s, 60s, early 70s.
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From '73 to '83: three percent
per annum.
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From '83 to '95: two percent per annum.
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Since 1995, less than one percent
per annum --
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the same profile in Japan,
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the same profile in the US,
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despite a momentary rebound
15 years ago
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and despite all the
technological innovations
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around us --
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the internet, the information,
the new information
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and communication technologies.
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You know, when productivity grows
three percent per annum,
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you double the standard of living
every generation.
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Every generation is twice as well off
as its parents.
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When it grows one percent per annum,
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it takes three generations
to double the standards of living.
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And in this process, many people
will be less well off then their parents.
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They will have less of everything:
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smaller roofs, or perhaps no roof at all.
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Less access to education, to vitamins,
to antibiotics, to vaccination, everything.
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Think of all the problems that
we're facing at the moment, all.
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Chances are that they're rooted
in the productivity crisis.
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Why this crisis?
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Because the basic tenants
about efficiency, effectiveness
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in organizations, in management
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have become counterproductive
for human efforts.
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Everywhere in public services,
in companies
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in the way we work,
in the way we innovate,
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invest, try to learn to work better.
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Take the holy trinity of efficiency:
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clarity, measurement, accountability.
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They make human efforts derail.
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There are two ways to look at it,
to prove it.
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One, the one I prefer, is rigorous,
elegant, nice math.
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But the full math version takes
a little while,
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so there is another one,
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it is to look at a relay race.
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This is what we will do today.
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It's a bit more animated, more visual,
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and also faster; it's a race.
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Hopefully, it's faster.
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(Laughter)
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World championship final, women
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eight teams in the final.
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The fastest team is the US team.
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They have the fastest women on earth.
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They are the favorite team to win.
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Notably, if you compare them
to an average team, say the French team,
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(Laughter)
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based on their best performance
in the 100-meter race,
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if you add the individual times
of the US runners,
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they arrive at the finish line 3.2 meters
ahead of the French team.
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And this year, the US team
is in great shape.
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Based on their best performance this year,
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they arrive 6.4 meters ahead
of the French team
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based on the data.
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We are going to look at the race.
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At some point you will see,
towards the end,
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(?), the US runner, the fourth US runner,
is ahead -- not surprising.
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This year she got the gold medal
in the 100-meter race.
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And by the way, Chryste Gaines,
the second runner in the US team,
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is the fastest woman on earth.
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So there are 3.5 billion women on earth,
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where are the two fastest on the US team?
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And the two other runners on the US team
are not bad either.
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(Laughter)
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So clearly, the US team has won
the war for talents.
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But behind, the average team
is trying to catch up.
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Let's watch the race.