1 00:00:00,371 --> 00:00:03,139 I'm afraid I'm one of those speakers 2 00:00:03,139 --> 00:00:06,354 you hope you're not going to meet at TED. 3 00:00:06,354 --> 00:00:07,690 First, I don't have a mobile, 4 00:00:07,690 --> 00:00:09,521 so I'm on the safe side. 5 00:00:09,521 --> 00:00:11,722 Secondly, a political theorist 6 00:00:11,722 --> 00:00:14,187 who's going to talk about the crisis of democracy 7 00:00:14,187 --> 00:00:18,259 is probably not the most exciting topic you can think about. 8 00:00:18,259 --> 00:00:20,742 And plus, I'm not going to give you any answers. 9 00:00:20,742 --> 00:00:24,576 I'm much more trying to add to some of the questions we're talking about. 10 00:00:24,576 --> 00:00:26,742 And one of the things that I want to question 11 00:00:26,742 --> 00:00:29,459 is this very popular hope these days 12 00:00:29,459 --> 00:00:31,393 that transparency and openness 13 00:00:31,393 --> 00:00:35,693 can restore the trust in democratic institutions. 14 00:00:35,693 --> 00:00:39,409 There is one more reason for you to be suspicious about me. 15 00:00:39,409 --> 00:00:43,386 You people, the Church of TED, are a very optimistic community. 16 00:00:43,386 --> 00:00:45,594 (Laughter) 17 00:00:45,594 --> 00:00:50,511 Basically you believe in complexity, but not in ambiguity. 18 00:00:50,511 --> 00:00:53,426 As you have been told, I'm Bulgarian. 19 00:00:53,426 --> 00:00:55,010 And according to the surveys, 20 00:00:55,010 --> 00:00:58,577 we are marked the most pessimistic people in the world. 21 00:00:58,577 --> 00:01:00,361 (Laughter) 22 00:01:00,361 --> 00:01:03,951 The Economist magazine recently wrote an article 23 00:01:03,951 --> 00:01:06,502 covering one of the recent studies on happiness, 24 00:01:06,502 --> 00:01:11,336 and the title was "The Happy, the Unhappy and the Bulgarians." 25 00:01:11,336 --> 00:01:12,936 (Laughter) 26 00:01:12,936 --> 00:01:16,783 So now when you know what to expect, 27 00:01:16,783 --> 00:01:18,219 let's give you the story. 28 00:01:18,219 --> 00:01:23,170 And this is a rainy election day in a small country -- 29 00:01:23,170 --> 00:01:26,502 that can be my country, but could be also your country. 30 00:01:26,502 --> 00:01:30,302 And because of the rain until four o'clock in the afternoon, 31 00:01:30,302 --> 00:01:32,987 nobody went to the polling stations. 32 00:01:32,987 --> 00:01:34,752 But then the rain stopped, 33 00:01:34,752 --> 00:01:36,986 people went to vote. 34 00:01:36,986 --> 00:01:40,136 And when the votes had been counted, 35 00:01:40,136 --> 00:01:47,452 three-fourths of the people have voted with a blank ballot. 36 00:01:47,452 --> 00:01:49,802 The government and the opposition, 37 00:01:49,802 --> 00:01:52,736 they have been simply paralyzed. 38 00:01:52,736 --> 00:01:54,853 Because you know what to do about the protests. 39 00:01:54,853 --> 00:01:56,837 You know who to arrest, who to negotiate with. 40 00:01:56,837 --> 00:02:02,185 But what to do about people who are voting with a blank ballot? 41 00:02:02,185 --> 00:02:06,518 So the government decided to have the elections once again. 42 00:02:06,518 --> 00:02:09,068 And this time even a greater number, 43 00:02:09,068 --> 00:02:14,251 83 percent of the people, voted with blank ballots. 44 00:02:14,251 --> 00:02:17,002 Basically they went to the ballot boxes 45 00:02:17,002 --> 00:02:20,068 to tell that they have nobody to vote for. 46 00:02:20,068 --> 00:02:25,100 This is the opening of a beautiful novel by Jose Saramago 47 00:02:25,100 --> 00:02:26,583 called "Seeing." 48 00:02:26,583 --> 00:02:28,833 But in my view it very well captures 49 00:02:28,833 --> 00:02:33,217 part of the problem that we have with democracy in Europe these days. 50 00:02:33,217 --> 00:02:35,885 On one level nobody's questioning 51 00:02:35,885 --> 00:02:39,784 that democracy is the best form of government. 52 00:02:39,784 --> 00:02:42,520 Democracy is the only game in town. 53 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:44,833 The problem is that many people start to believe 54 00:02:44,833 --> 00:02:47,535 that it is not a game worth playing. 55 00:02:47,535 --> 00:02:51,833 For the last 30 years, political scientists have observed 56 00:02:51,833 --> 00:02:56,383 that there is a constant decline in electoral turnout, 57 00:02:56,383 --> 00:03:00,301 and the people who are least interested to vote 58 00:03:00,301 --> 00:03:04,938 are the people whom you expect are going to gain most out of voting. 59 00:03:04,938 --> 00:03:08,363 I mean the unemployed, the under-privileged. 60 00:03:08,363 --> 00:03:10,055 And this is a major issue. 61 00:03:10,055 --> 00:03:12,786 Because especially now with the economic crisis, 62 00:03:12,786 --> 00:03:15,237 you can see that the trust in politics, 63 00:03:15,237 --> 00:03:17,819 that the trust in democratic institutions, 64 00:03:17,819 --> 00:03:19,738 was really destroyed. 65 00:03:19,738 --> 00:03:23,354 According to the latest survey being done by the European Commission, 66 00:03:23,354 --> 00:03:28,236 89 percent of the citizens of Europe believe that there is a growing gap 67 00:03:28,236 --> 00:03:34,562 between the opinion of the policy-makers and the opinion of the public. 68 00:03:34,562 --> 00:03:38,570 Only 18 percent of Italians and 15 percent of Greeks 69 00:03:38,570 --> 00:03:41,720 believe that their vote matters. 70 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:45,786 Basically people start to understand that they can change governments, 71 00:03:45,786 --> 00:03:48,288 but they cannot change policies. 72 00:03:48,288 --> 00:03:50,904 And the question which I want to ask is the following: 73 00:03:50,904 --> 00:03:54,820 How did it happen that we are living in societies 74 00:03:54,820 --> 00:03:57,370 which are much freer than ever before -- 75 00:03:57,370 --> 00:04:00,054 we have more rights, we can travel easier, 76 00:04:00,054 --> 00:04:02,403 we have access to more information -- 77 00:04:02,403 --> 00:04:05,787 at the same time that trust in our democratic institutions 78 00:04:05,787 --> 00:04:08,370 basically has collapsed? 79 00:04:08,370 --> 00:04:09,806 So basically I want to ask: 80 00:04:09,806 --> 00:04:14,655 What went right and what went wrong in these 50 years 81 00:04:14,655 --> 00:04:16,456 when we talk about democracy? 82 00:04:16,456 --> 00:04:20,339 And I'll start with what went right. 83 00:04:20,339 --> 00:04:23,401 And the first thing that went right was, of course, 84 00:04:23,401 --> 00:04:25,872 these five revolutions which, in my view, 85 00:04:25,872 --> 00:04:30,456 very much changed the way we're living and deepened our democratic experience. 86 00:04:30,456 --> 00:04:35,681 And the first was the cultural and social revolution of 1968 and 1970s, 87 00:04:35,681 --> 00:04:38,496 which put the individual at the center of politics. 88 00:04:38,496 --> 00:04:40,914 It was the human rights moment. 89 00:04:40,914 --> 00:04:44,764 Basically this was also a major outbreak, a culture of dissent, 90 00:04:44,764 --> 00:04:48,630 a culture of basically non-conformism, 91 00:04:48,630 --> 00:04:50,931 which was not known before. 92 00:04:50,931 --> 00:04:53,280 So I do believe that even things like that 93 00:04:53,280 --> 00:04:56,732 are very much the children of '68 -- 94 00:04:56,732 --> 00:05:00,147 nevertheless that most of us had been even not born then. 95 00:05:00,147 --> 00:05:03,196 But after that you have the market revolution of the 1980s. 96 00:05:03,196 --> 00:05:06,830 And nevertheless that many people on the left try to hate it, 97 00:05:06,830 --> 00:05:11,447 the truth is that it was very much the market revolution that sent the message: 98 00:05:11,447 --> 00:05:13,124 "The government does not know better." 99 00:05:13,124 --> 00:05:16,031 And you have more choice-driven societies. 100 00:05:16,031 --> 00:05:22,598 And of course, you have 1989 -- the end of Communism, the end of the Cold War. 101 00:05:22,598 --> 00:05:24,898 And it was the birth of the global world. 102 00:05:24,898 --> 00:05:27,030 And you have the Internet. 103 00:05:27,030 --> 00:05:29,997 And this is not the audience to which I'm going to preach 104 00:05:29,997 --> 00:05:32,414 to what extent the Internet empowered people. 105 00:05:32,414 --> 00:05:35,247 It has changed the way we are communicating 106 00:05:35,247 --> 00:05:36,997 and basically we are viewing politics. 107 00:05:36,997 --> 00:05:40,015 The very idea of political community totally has changed. 108 00:05:40,015 --> 00:05:42,330 And I'm going to name one more revolution, 109 00:05:42,330 --> 00:05:44,163 and this is the revolution in brain sciences, 110 00:05:44,163 --> 00:05:46,064 which totally changed the way 111 00:05:46,064 --> 00:05:49,400 we understand how people are making decisions. 112 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:52,364 So this is what went right. 113 00:05:52,364 --> 00:05:54,698 But if we're going to see what went wrong, 114 00:05:54,698 --> 00:05:58,130 we're going to end up with the same five revolutions. 115 00:05:58,130 --> 00:06:01,631 Because first you have the 1960s and 1970s, 116 00:06:01,631 --> 00:06:03,497 cultural and social revolution, 117 00:06:03,497 --> 00:06:07,064 which in a certain way destroyed the idea of a collective purpose. 118 00:06:07,064 --> 00:06:11,900 The very idea, all these collective nouns that we have been taught about -- 119 00:06:11,900 --> 00:06:14,697 nation, class, family. 120 00:06:14,697 --> 00:06:17,181 We start to like divorcing, if we're married at all. 121 00:06:17,181 --> 00:06:20,530 All this was very much under attack. 122 00:06:20,530 --> 00:06:24,881 And it is so difficult to engage people in politics 123 00:06:24,881 --> 00:06:27,580 when they believe that what really matters 124 00:06:27,580 --> 00:06:29,749 is where they personally stand. 125 00:06:29,749 --> 00:06:33,499 And you have the market revolution of the 1980s 126 00:06:33,499 --> 00:06:39,460 and the huge increase of inequality in societies. 127 00:06:39,460 --> 00:06:41,366 Remember, until the 1970s, 128 00:06:41,366 --> 00:06:45,106 the spread of democracy has always been accompanied 129 00:06:45,106 --> 00:06:48,566 by the decline of inequality. 130 00:06:48,566 --> 00:06:50,732 The more democratic our societies have been, 131 00:06:50,732 --> 00:06:54,765 the more equal they have been becoming. 132 00:06:54,765 --> 00:06:57,099 Now we have the reverse tendency. 133 00:06:57,099 --> 00:06:59,799 The spread of democracy now is very much accompanied 134 00:06:59,799 --> 00:07:01,683 by the increase in inequality. 135 00:07:01,683 --> 00:07:04,917 And I find this very much disturbing 136 00:07:04,917 --> 00:07:08,865 when we're talking about what's going on right and wrong 137 00:07:08,865 --> 00:07:10,749 with democracy these days. 138 00:07:10,749 --> 00:07:12,751 And if you go to 1989 -- 139 00:07:12,751 --> 00:07:16,265 something that basically you don't expect that anybody's going to criticize -- 140 00:07:16,265 --> 00:07:20,216 but many are going to tell you, "Listen, it was the end of the Cold War 141 00:07:20,216 --> 00:07:25,516 that tore the social contract between the elites and the people in Western Europe." 142 00:07:25,516 --> 00:07:27,433 When the Soviet Union was still there, 143 00:07:27,433 --> 00:07:30,816 the rich and the powerful, they needed the people, 144 00:07:30,816 --> 00:07:33,099 because they feared them. 145 00:07:33,099 --> 00:07:36,400 Now the elites basically have been liberated. 146 00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:38,565 They're very mobile. You cannot tax them. 147 00:07:38,565 --> 00:07:40,899 And basically they don't fear the people. 148 00:07:40,899 --> 00:07:43,916 So as a result of it, you have this very strange situation 149 00:07:43,916 --> 00:07:48,433 in which the elites basically got out of the control of the voters. 150 00:07:48,433 --> 00:07:49,932 So this is not by accident 151 00:07:49,932 --> 00:07:52,918 that the voters are not interested to vote anymore. 152 00:07:52,918 --> 00:07:55,032 And when we talk about the Internet, 153 00:07:55,032 --> 00:07:57,533 yes, it's true, the Internet connected all of us, 154 00:07:57,533 --> 00:08:04,216 but we also know that the Internet created these echo chambers and political ghettos 155 00:08:04,216 --> 00:08:09,318 in which for all your life you can stay with the political community you belong to. 156 00:08:09,318 --> 00:08:11,250 And it's becoming more and more difficult 157 00:08:11,250 --> 00:08:14,016 to understand the people who are not like you. 158 00:08:14,016 --> 00:08:15,884 I know that many people here 159 00:08:15,884 --> 00:08:20,648 have been splendidly speaking about the digital world and the possibility for cooperation, 160 00:08:20,648 --> 00:08:24,682 but [have you] seen what the digital world has done to American politics these days? 161 00:08:24,682 --> 00:08:28,533 This is also partly a result of the Internet revolution. 162 00:08:28,533 --> 00:08:31,199 This is the other side of the things that we like. 163 00:08:31,199 --> 00:08:33,217 And when you go to the brain sciences, 164 00:08:33,217 --> 00:08:37,583 what political consultants learned from the brain scientists 165 00:08:37,583 --> 00:08:40,935 is don't talk to me about ideas anymore, 166 00:08:40,935 --> 00:08:43,200 don't talk to me about policy programs. 167 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:48,967 What really matters is basically to manipulate the emotions of the people. 168 00:08:48,967 --> 00:08:51,034 And you have this very strongly 169 00:08:51,034 --> 00:08:55,435 to the extent that, even if you see when we talk about revolutions these days, 170 00:08:55,435 --> 00:09:01,434 these revolutions are not named anymore around ideologies or ideas. 171 00:09:01,434 --> 00:09:03,900 Before, revolutions used to have ideological names. 172 00:09:03,900 --> 00:09:05,833 They could be communist, they could be liberal, 173 00:09:05,833 --> 00:09:07,618 they could be fascist or Islamic. 174 00:09:07,618 --> 00:09:11,866 Now the revolutions are called under the medium which is most used. 175 00:09:11,866 --> 00:09:15,000 You have Facebook revolutions, Twitter revolutions. 176 00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:19,400 The content doesn't matter anymore, the problem is the media. 177 00:09:19,400 --> 00:09:21,935 I'm saying this because one of my major points 178 00:09:21,935 --> 00:09:26,734 is what went right is also what went wrong. 179 00:09:26,734 --> 00:09:30,467 And when we're now trying to see how we can change the situation, 180 00:09:30,467 --> 00:09:33,416 when basically we're trying to see what can be done about democracy, 181 00:09:33,416 --> 00:09:35,983 we should keep this ambiguity in mind. 182 00:09:35,983 --> 00:09:39,001 Because probably some of the things that we love most 183 00:09:39,001 --> 00:09:42,202 are going to be also the things that can hurt us most. 184 00:09:42,202 --> 00:09:45,386 These days it's very popular to believe 185 00:09:45,386 --> 00:09:47,700 that this push for transparency, 186 00:09:47,700 --> 00:09:54,085 this kind of a combination between active citizens, new technologies 187 00:09:54,085 --> 00:09:57,749 and much more transparency-friendly legislation 188 00:09:57,749 --> 00:10:00,817 can restore trust in politics. 189 00:10:00,817 --> 00:10:04,500 You believe that when you have these new technologies and people who are ready to use this, 190 00:10:04,500 --> 00:10:08,184 it can make it much more difficult for the governments to lie, 191 00:10:08,184 --> 00:10:10,699 it's going to be more difficult for them to steal 192 00:10:10,699 --> 00:10:14,384 and probably even going to be more difficult for them to kill. 193 00:10:14,384 --> 00:10:16,400 This is probably true. 194 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:19,450 But I do believe that we should be also very clear 195 00:10:19,450 --> 00:10:24,717 that now when we put the transparency at the center of politics 196 00:10:24,717 --> 00:10:28,316 where the message is, "It's transparency, stupid." 197 00:10:28,316 --> 00:10:31,899 Transparency is not about restoring trust in institutions. 198 00:10:31,899 --> 00:10:36,618 Transparency is politics' management of mistrust. 199 00:10:36,618 --> 00:10:41,150 We are assuming that our societies are going to be based on mistrust. 200 00:10:41,150 --> 00:10:43,976 And by the way, mistrust was always very important for democracy. 201 00:10:43,976 --> 00:10:46,116 This is why you have checks and balances. 202 00:10:46,116 --> 00:10:50,267 This is why basically you have all this creative mistrust 203 00:10:50,267 --> 00:10:53,351 between the representatives and those whom they represent. 204 00:10:53,351 --> 00:10:58,250 But when politics is only management of mistrust, 205 00:10:58,250 --> 00:11:01,333 then -- I'm very glad that "1984" has been mentioned -- 206 00:11:01,333 --> 00:11:05,083 now we're going to have "1984" in reverse. 207 00:11:05,083 --> 00:11:07,200 It's not going to be the Big Brother watching you, 208 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:09,500 it's going to be we being the Big Brother 209 00:11:09,500 --> 00:11:11,250 watching the political class. 210 00:11:11,250 --> 00:11:14,866 But is this the idea of a free society? 211 00:11:14,866 --> 00:11:16,400 For example, can you imagine 212 00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:22,518 that decent, civic, talented people are going to run for office 213 00:11:22,518 --> 00:11:24,300 if they really do believe 214 00:11:24,300 --> 00:11:28,100 that politics is also about managing mistrust? 215 00:11:28,100 --> 00:11:31,134 Are you not afraid with all these technologies 216 00:11:31,134 --> 00:11:33,134 that are going to track down 217 00:11:33,134 --> 00:11:36,749 any statement the politicians are going to make on certain issues, 218 00:11:36,749 --> 00:11:40,616 are you not afraid that this is going to be a very strong signal to politicians 219 00:11:40,616 --> 00:11:45,250 to repeat their positions, even the very wrong positions, 220 00:11:45,250 --> 00:11:49,267 because consistency is going to be more important than common sense? 221 00:11:49,267 --> 00:11:50,949 And the Americans who are in the room, 222 00:11:50,949 --> 00:11:54,001 are you not afraid that your presidents are going to govern 223 00:11:54,001 --> 00:11:57,376 on the basis of what they said in the primary elections? 224 00:11:57,376 --> 00:11:59,367 I find this extremely important, 225 00:11:59,367 --> 00:12:03,399 because democracy is about people changing their views 226 00:12:03,399 --> 00:12:06,549 based on rational arguments and discussions. 227 00:12:06,549 --> 00:12:10,033 And we can lose this with the very noble idea 228 00:12:10,033 --> 00:12:12,049 to keep people accountable 229 00:12:12,049 --> 00:12:14,667 for showing the people that we're not going to tolerate 230 00:12:14,667 --> 00:12:17,385 politicians the opportunism in politics. 231 00:12:17,385 --> 00:12:19,717 So for me this is extremely important. 232 00:12:19,717 --> 00:12:22,983 And I do believe that when we're discussing politics these days, 233 00:12:22,983 --> 00:12:25,182 probably it makes sense 234 00:12:25,182 --> 00:12:28,584 to look also at this type of a story. 235 00:12:28,584 --> 00:12:32,134 But also don't forget, any unveiling is also veiling. 236 00:12:32,134 --> 00:12:35,899 [Regardless of] how transparent our governments want to be, 237 00:12:35,899 --> 00:12:38,301 they're going to be selectively transparent. 238 00:12:38,301 --> 00:12:40,333 In a small country that could be my country, 239 00:12:40,333 --> 00:12:41,766 but could be also your country, 240 00:12:41,766 --> 00:12:43,951 they took a decision -- it is a real case story -- 241 00:12:43,951 --> 00:12:46,566 that all of the governmental decisions, 242 00:12:46,566 --> 00:12:49,132 discussions of the council of ministers, 243 00:12:49,132 --> 00:12:52,433 were going to be published on the Internet 244 00:12:52,433 --> 00:12:56,833 24 hours after the council discussions took place. 245 00:12:56,833 --> 00:12:59,001 And the public was extremely all for it. 246 00:12:59,001 --> 00:13:01,452 So I had the opportunity to talk to the prime minister, 247 00:13:01,452 --> 00:13:03,050 why he made this decision. 248 00:13:03,050 --> 00:13:04,766 He said, "Listen, this is the best way 249 00:13:04,766 --> 00:13:09,394 to keep the mouths of my ministers closed. 250 00:13:09,394 --> 00:13:12,479 Because it's going to be very difficult for them to dissent 251 00:13:12,479 --> 00:13:14,661 knowing that 24 hours after 252 00:13:14,661 --> 00:13:16,565 this is going to be on the public space, 253 00:13:16,565 --> 00:13:20,511 and this is in a certain way going to be a political crisis." 254 00:13:20,511 --> 00:13:21,978 So when we talk about transparency, 255 00:13:21,978 --> 00:13:23,577 when we talk about openness, 256 00:13:23,577 --> 00:13:25,694 I really do believe that what we should keep in mind 257 00:13:25,694 --> 00:13:29,444 is that what went right is what went wrong. 258 00:13:29,444 --> 00:13:33,628 And this is Goethe, who is neither Bulgarian nor a political scientist, 259 00:13:33,628 --> 00:13:36,110 some centuries ago he said, 260 00:13:36,110 --> 00:13:39,447 "There is a big shadow where there is much light." 261 00:13:39,447 --> 00:13:40,979 Thank you very much. 262 00:13:40,979 --> 00:13:42,629 (Applause)