0:00:00.506,0:00:01.913 So, how many of you have ever 0:00:01.913,0:00:03.568 gotten behind the wheel of a car 0:00:03.568,0:00:09.255 when you really shouldn't have been driving? 0:00:09.255,0:00:11.160 Maybe you're out on the road for a long day, 0:00:11.160,0:00:12.650 and you just wanted to get home. 0:00:12.650,0:00:15.297 You were tired, but you felt you could drive a few more miles. 0:00:15.297,0:00:16.496 Maybe you thought, 0:00:16.496,0:00:18.513 I've had less to drink than everybody else, 0:00:18.513,0:00:20.249 I should be the one to go home. 0:00:20.249,0:00:24.840 Or maybe your mind was just entirely elsewhere. 0:00:24.840,0:00:26.294 Does this sound familiar to you? 0:00:26.294,0:00:29.192 Now, in those situations, wouldn't it be great 0:00:29.192,0:00:30.785 if there was a button on your dashboard 0:00:30.785,0:00:37.128 that you could push, and the car would get you home safely? 0:00:37.128,0:00:39.421 Now, that's been the promise of the self-driving car, 0:00:39.421,0:00:42.048 the autonomous vehicle, and it's been the dream 0:00:42.048,0:00:45.297 since at least 1939, when General Motors showcased 0:00:45.297,0:00:48.599 this idea at their Futurama booth at the World's Fair. 0:00:48.599,0:00:50.542 Now, it's been one of those dreams 0:00:50.542,0:00:54.756 that's always seemed about 20 years in the future. 0:00:54.756,0:00:57.439 Now, two weeks ago, that dream took a step forward, 0:00:57.439,0:01:00.704 when the state of Nevada granted Google's self-driving car 0:01:00.704,0:01:04.304 the very first license for an autonomous vehicle, 0:01:04.304,0:01:06.549 clearly establishing that it's legal for them 0:01:06.549,0:01:08.359 to test it on the roads in Nevada. 0:01:08.359,0:01:12.086 Now, California's considering similar legislation, 0:01:12.086,0:01:14.494 and this would make sure that the autonomous car 0:01:14.494,0:01:17.471 is not one of those things that has to stay in Vegas. 0:01:17.471,0:01:19.567 (Laughter) 0:01:19.567,0:01:23.351 Now, in my lab at Stanford, we've been working on 0:01:23.351,0:01:26.838 autonomous cars too, but with a slightly different spin 0:01:26.838,0:01:31.086 on things. You see, we've been developing robotic race cars, 0:01:31.086,0:01:35.206 cars that can actually push themselves to the very limits 0:01:35.206,0:01:37.446 of physical performance. 0:01:37.446,0:01:40.059 Now, why would we want to do such a thing? 0:01:40.059,0:01:42.159 Well, there's two really good reasons for this. 0:01:42.159,0:01:46.118 First, we believe that before people turn over control 0:01:46.118,0:01:48.952 to an autonomous car, that autonomous car should be 0:01:48.952,0:01:52.206 at least as good as the very best human drivers. 0:01:52.206,0:01:55.511 Now, if you're like me, and the other 70 percent of the population 0:01:55.511,0:01:57.704 who know that we are above-average drivers, 0:01:57.704,0:02:00.879 you understand that's a very high bar. 0:02:00.879,0:02:03.271 There's another reason as well. 0:02:03.271,0:02:06.847 Just like race car drivers can use all of the friction 0:02:06.847,0:02:08.127 between the tire and the road, 0:02:08.127,0:02:11.304 all of the car's capabilities to go as fast as possible, 0:02:11.304,0:02:14.649 we want to use all of those capabilities to avoid 0:02:14.649,0:02:16.237 any accident we can. 0:02:16.237,0:02:18.287 Now, you may push the car to the limits 0:02:18.287,0:02:20.254 not because you're driving too fast, 0:02:20.254,0:02:22.414 but because you've hit an icy patch of road, 0:02:22.414,0:02:24.118 conditions have changed. 0:02:24.118,0:02:26.879 In those situations, we want a car 0:02:26.879,0:02:30.599 that is capable enough to avoid any accident 0:02:30.599,0:02:33.277 that can physically be avoided. 0:02:33.277,0:02:37.544 I must confess, there's kind of a third motivation as well. 0:02:37.544,0:02:39.800 You see, I have a passion for racing. 0:02:39.800,0:02:42.564 In the past, I've been a race car owner, 0:02:42.564,0:02:45.119 a crew chief and a driving coach, 0:02:45.119,0:02:48.974 although maybe not at the level that you're currently expecting. 0:02:48.974,0:02:51.678 One of the things that we've developed in the lab -- 0:02:51.678,0:02:53.382 we've developed several vehicles -- 0:02:53.382,0:02:55.617 is what we believe is the world's first 0:02:55.617,0:02:57.982 autonomously drifting car. 0:02:57.982,0:03:00.495 It's another one of those categories 0:03:00.495,0:03:02.918 where maybe there's not a lot of competition. 0:03:02.918,0:03:04.326 (Laughter) 0:03:04.326,0:03:08.148 But this is P1. It's an entirely student-built electric vehicle, 0:03:08.148,0:03:10.226 which through using its rear-wheel drive 0:03:10.226,0:03:11.791 and front-wheel steer-by-wire 0:03:11.791,0:03:13.858 can drift around corners. 0:03:13.858,0:03:16.058 It can get sideways like a rally car driver, 0:03:16.058,0:03:17.773 always able to take the tightest curve, 0:03:17.773,0:03:21.077 even on slippery, changing surfaces, 0:03:21.077,0:03:22.693 never spinning out. 0:03:22.693,0:03:25.061 We've also worked with Volkswagen Oracle, 0:03:25.061,0:03:28.485 on Shelley, an autonomous race car that has raced 0:03:28.485,0:03:31.555 at 150 miles an hour through the Bonneville Salt Flats, 0:03:31.555,0:03:36.026 gone around Thunderhill Raceway Park in the sun, 0:03:36.026,0:03:38.665 the wind and the rain, 0:03:38.665,0:03:43.683 and navigated the 153 turns and 12.4 miles 0:03:43.683,0:03:45.245 of the Pikes Peak Hill Climb route 0:03:45.245,0:03:48.718 in Colorado with nobody at the wheel. 0:03:48.718,0:03:50.166 (Laughter) 0:03:50.166,0:03:55.732 (Applause) 0:03:55.732,0:03:59.011 I guess it goes without saying that we've had a lot of fun 0:03:59.011,0:04:00.315 doing this. 0:04:00.315,0:04:03.972 But in fact, there's something else that we've developed 0:04:03.972,0:04:07.027 in the process of developing these autonomous cars. 0:04:07.027,0:04:10.898 We have developed a tremendous appreciation 0:04:10.898,0:04:14.715 for the capabilities of human race car drivers. 0:04:14.715,0:04:19.060 As we've looked at the question of how well do these cars perform, 0:04:19.060,0:04:22.339 we wanted to compare them to our human counterparts. 0:04:22.339,0:04:28.019 And we discovered their human counterparts are amazing. 0:04:28.019,0:04:32.042 Now, we can take a map of a race track, 0:04:32.042,0:04:34.412 we can take a mathematical model of a car, 0:04:34.412,0:04:37.315 and with some iteration, we can actually find 0:04:37.315,0:04:38.940 the fastest way around that track. 0:04:38.940,0:04:41.473 We line that up with data that we record 0:04:41.473,0:04:42.906 from a professional driver, 0:04:42.906,0:04:47.013 and the resemblance is absolutely remarkable. 0:04:47.013,0:04:50.225 Yes, there are subtle differences here, 0:04:50.225,0:04:53.352 but the human race car driver is able to go out 0:04:53.352,0:04:55.687 and drive an amazingly fast line, 0:04:55.687,0:04:58.017 without the benefit of an algorithm that compares 0:04:58.017,0:05:00.625 the trade-off between going as fast as possible 0:05:00.625,0:05:02.662 in this corner, and shaving a little bit of time 0:05:02.662,0:05:04.564 off of the straight over here. 0:05:04.564,0:05:08.021 Not only that, they're able to do it lap 0:05:08.021,0:05:10.396 after lap after lap. 0:05:10.396,0:05:13.308 They're able to go out and consistently do this, 0:05:13.308,0:05:17.436 pushing the car to the limits every single time. 0:05:17.436,0:05:20.605 It's extraordinary to watch. 0:05:20.605,0:05:22.671 You put them in a new car, 0:05:22.671,0:05:26.573 and after a few laps, they've found the fastest line in that car, 0:05:26.573,0:05:30.450 and they're off to the races. 0:05:30.450,0:05:31.596 It really makes you think, 0:05:31.596,0:05:36.467 we'd love to know what's going on inside their brain. 0:05:36.467,0:05:41.008 So as researchers, that's what we decided to find out. 0:05:41.008,0:05:42.820 We decided to instrument not only the car, 0:05:42.820,0:05:45.315 but also the race car driver, 0:05:45.315,0:05:48.084 to try to get a glimpse into what was going on 0:05:48.084,0:05:50.270 in their head as they were doing this. 0:05:50.270,0:05:54.220 Now, this is Dr. Lene Harbott applying electrodes 0:05:54.220,0:05:55.452 to the head of John Morton. 0:05:55.452,0:05:58.441 John Morton is a former Can-Am and IMSA driver, 0:05:58.441,0:06:00.241 who's also a class champion at Le Mans. 0:06:00.241,0:06:03.737 Fantastic driver, and very willing to put up with graduate students 0:06:03.737,0:06:05.592 and this sort of research. 0:06:05.592,0:06:08.264 She's putting electrodes on his head 0:06:08.264,0:06:10.376 so that we can monitor the electrical activity 0:06:10.376,0:06:13.208 in John's brain as he races around the track. 0:06:13.208,0:06:16.403 Now, clearly we're not going to put a couple of electrodes on his head 0:06:16.403,0:06:19.673 and understand exactly what all of his thoughts are on the track. 0:06:19.673,0:06:23.080 However, neuroscientists have identified certain patterns 0:06:23.080,0:06:26.841 that let us tease out some very important aspects of this. 0:06:26.841,0:06:28.688 For instance, the resting brain 0:06:28.688,0:06:30.843 tends to generate a lot of alpha waves. 0:06:30.843,0:06:34.595 In contrast, theta waves are associated with 0:06:34.595,0:06:37.779 a lot of cognitive activity, like visual processing, 0:06:37.779,0:06:40.827 things where the driver is thinking quite a bit. 0:06:40.827,0:06:42.490 Now, we can measure this, 0:06:42.490,0:06:44.475 and we can look at the relative power 0:06:44.475,0:06:46.675 between the theta waves and the alpha waves. 0:06:46.675,0:06:49.117 This gives us a measure of mental workload, 0:06:49.117,0:06:52.684 how much the driver is actually challenged cognitively 0:06:52.684,0:06:54.470 at any point along the track. 0:06:54.470,0:06:57.412 Now, we wanted to see if we could actually record this 0:06:57.412,0:07:00.450 on the track, so we headed down south to Laguna Seca. 0:07:00.450,0:07:02.466 Laguna Seca is a legendary raceway 0:07:02.466,0:07:04.767 about halfway between Salinas and Monterey. 0:07:04.767,0:07:06.854 It has a curve there called the Corkscrew. 0:07:06.854,0:07:09.571 Now, the Corkscrew is a chicane, followed by a quick 0:07:09.571,0:07:12.317 right-handed turn as the road drops three stories. 0:07:12.317,0:07:16.083 Now, the strategy for driving this as explained to me was, 0:07:16.083,0:07:18.105 you aim for the bush in the distance, 0:07:18.105,0:07:21.130 and as the road falls away, you realize it was actually the top of a tree. 0:07:21.130,0:07:24.434 All right, so thanks to the Revs Program at Stanford, 0:07:24.434,0:07:25.907 we were able to take John there 0:07:25.907,0:07:26.871 and put him behind the wheel 0:07:26.871,0:07:29.310 of a 1960 Porsche Abarth Carrera. 0:07:29.310,0:07:33.008 Life is way too short for boring cars. 0:07:33.008,0:07:34.767 So, here you see John on the track, 0:07:34.767,0:07:36.951 he's going up the hill -- Oh! Somebody liked that -- 0:07:36.951,0:07:39.416 and you can see, actually, his mental workload 0:07:39.416,0:07:41.569 -- measuring here in the red bar -- 0:07:41.569,0:07:43.912 you can see his actions as he approaches. 0:07:43.912,0:07:47.142 Now watch, he has to downshift. 0:07:47.142,0:07:47.903 And then he has to turn left. 0:07:47.903,0:07:51.896 Look for the tree, and down. 0:07:51.896,0:07:54.734 Not surprisingly, you can see this is a pretty challenging task. 0:07:54.734,0:07:57.710 You can see his mental workload spike as he goes through this, 0:07:57.710,0:07:59.774 as you would expect with something that requires 0:07:59.774,0:08:02.583 this level of complexity. 0:08:02.583,0:08:05.999 But what's really interesting is to look at areas of the track 0:08:05.999,0:08:08.845 where his mental workload doesn't increase. 0:08:08.845,0:08:10.340 I'm going to take you around now 0:08:10.340,0:08:11.429 to the other side of the track. 0:08:11.429,0:08:13.765 Turn three. And John's going to go into that corner 0:08:13.765,0:08:16.316 and the rear end of the car is going to begin to slide out. 0:08:16.316,0:08:18.333 He's going to have to correct for that with steering. 0:08:18.333,0:08:20.564 So watch as John does this here. 0:08:20.564,0:08:22.886 Watch the mental workload, and watch the steering. 0:08:22.886,0:08:26.558 The car begins to slide out, dramatic maneuver to correct it, 0:08:26.558,0:08:30.081 and no change whatsoever in the mental workload. 0:08:30.081,0:08:32.913 Not a challenging task. 0:08:32.913,0:08:36.113 In fact, entirely reflexive. 0:08:36.113,0:08:39.756 Now, our data processing on this is still preliminary, 0:08:39.756,0:08:42.428 but it really seems that these phenomenal feats 0:08:42.428,0:08:44.038 that the race car drivers are performing 0:08:44.038,0:08:45.948 are instinctive. 0:08:45.948,0:08:49.338 They are things that they have simply learned to do. 0:08:49.338,0:08:51.620 It requires very little mental workload 0:08:51.620,0:08:54.444 for them to perform these amazing feats. 0:08:54.444,0:08:57.579 And their actions are fantastic. 0:08:57.579,0:09:00.190 This is exactly what you want to do on the steering wheel 0:09:00.190,0:09:03.527 to catch the car in this situation. 0:09:03.527,0:09:06.972 Now, this has given us tremendous insight 0:09:06.972,0:09:10.094 and inspiration for our own autonomous vehicles. 0:09:10.094,0:09:12.022 We've started to ask the question: 0:09:12.022,0:09:14.275 Can we make them a little less algorithmic 0:09:14.275,0:09:16.724 and a little more intuitive? 0:09:16.724,0:09:19.005 Can we take this reflexive action 0:09:19.005,0:09:21.292 that we see from the very best race car drivers, 0:09:21.292,0:09:22.941 introduce it to our cars, 0:09:22.941,0:09:24.925 and maybe even into a system that could 0:09:24.925,0:09:26.893 get onto your car in the future? 0:09:26.893,0:09:28.504 That would take us a long step 0:09:28.504,0:09:31.013 along the road to autonomous vehicles 0:09:31.013,0:09:32.925 that drive as well as the best humans. 0:09:32.925,0:09:36.365 But it's made us think a little bit more deeply as well. 0:09:36.365,0:09:39.333 Do we want something more from our car 0:09:39.333,0:09:41.173 than to simply be a chauffeur? 0:09:41.173,0:09:45.408 Do we want our car to perhaps be a partner, a coach, 0:09:45.408,0:09:48.495 someone that can use their understanding of the situation 0:09:48.495,0:09:52.751 to help us reach our potential? 0:09:52.751,0:09:55.024 Can, in fact, the technology not simply replace humans, 0:09:55.024,0:09:59.599 but allow us to reach the level of reflex and intuition 0:09:59.599,0:10:03.024 that we're all capable of? 0:10:03.024,0:10:04.947 So, as we move forward into this technological future, 0:10:04.947,0:10:07.768 I want you to just pause and think of that for a moment. 0:10:07.768,0:10:11.543 What is the ideal balance of human and machine? 0:10:11.543,0:10:13.252 And as we think about that, 0:10:13.252,0:10:14.983 let's take inspiration 0:10:14.983,0:10:18.312 from the absolutely amazing capabilities 0:10:18.312,0:10:21.128 of the human body and the human mind. 0:10:21.128,0:10:22.864 Thank you. 0:10:22.864,0:10:27.468 (Applause)