0:00:00.498,0:00:03.097 Five years ago, I was a Ph.D. student 0:00:03.097,0:00:04.741 living two lives. 0:00:04.741,0:00:07.057 In one, I used NASA supercomputers 0:00:07.057,0:00:09.785 to design next-generation spacecraft, 0:00:09.785,0:00:12.364 and in the other I was a data scientist 0:00:12.364,0:00:14.783 looking for potential smugglers 0:00:14.783,0:00:18.022 of sensitive nuclear technologies. 0:00:18.022,0:00:20.881 As a data scientist, I did a lot of analyses, 0:00:20.881,0:00:22.348 mostly of facilities, 0:00:22.348,0:00:24.619 industrial facilities around the world. 0:00:24.619,0:00:27.307 And I was always looking for a better canvas 0:00:27.307,0:00:29.373 to tie these all together. 0:00:29.373,0:00:31.239 And one day, I was thinking about how 0:00:31.239,0:00:33.363 all data has a location, 0:00:33.363,0:00:35.096 and I realized that the answer 0:00:35.096,0:00:36.984 had been staring me in the face. 0:00:36.984,0:00:39.622 Although I was a satellite engineer, 0:00:39.622,0:00:42.793 I hadn't thought about using satellite imagery 0:00:42.793,0:00:44.359 in my work. 0:00:44.359,0:00:46.306 Now, like most of us, I'd been online, 0:00:46.306,0:00:48.088 I'd see my house, so I thought, 0:00:48.088,0:00:50.386 I'll hop in there and I'll start looking up 0:00:50.386,0:00:51.803 some of these facilities. 0:00:51.803,0:00:53.772 And what I found really surprised me. 0:00:53.772,0:00:55.446 The pictures that I was finding 0:00:55.446,0:00:57.347 were years out of date, 0:00:57.347,0:00:58.415 and because of that, 0:00:58.415,0:01:00.086 it had relatively little relevance 0:01:00.086,0:01:02.546 to the work that I was doing today. 0:01:02.546,0:01:04.007 But I was intrigued. 0:01:04.007,0:01:07.243 I mean, satellite imagery is pretty amazing stuff. 0:01:07.243,0:01:09.546 There are millions and millions of sensors 0:01:09.546,0:01:10.990 surrounding us today, 0:01:10.990,0:01:13.950 but there's still so much we[br]don't know on a daily basis. 0:01:13.950,0:01:17.703 How much oil is stored in all of China? 0:01:17.703,0:01:20.636 How much corn is being produced? 0:01:20.636,0:01:24.707 How many ships are in all of our world's ports? 0:01:24.707,0:01:27.266 Now, in theory, all of these questions 0:01:27.266,0:01:29.510 could be answered by imagery, 0:01:29.510,0:01:31.237 but not if it's old. 0:01:31.237,0:01:33.695 And if this data was so valuable, 0:01:33.695,0:01:35.627 then how come I couldn't get my hands 0:01:35.627,0:01:38.177 on more recent pictures? 0:01:38.177,0:01:41.312 So the story begins over 50 years ago 0:01:41.312,0:01:43.183 with the launch of the first generation 0:01:43.183,0:01:46.783 of U.S. government photo reconnaissance satellites. 0:01:46.783,0:01:48.479 And today, there's a handful 0:01:48.479,0:01:50.674 of the great, great grandchildren 0:01:50.674,0:01:52.339 of these early Cold War machines 0:01:52.339,0:01:54.348 which are now operated by private companies 0:01:54.348,0:01:57.057 and from which the vast majority of satellite imagery 0:01:57.057,0:01:59.882 that you and I see on a daily basis comes. 0:01:59.882,0:02:02.796 During this period, launching things into space, 0:02:02.796,0:02:05.473 just the rocket to get the satellite up there, 0:02:05.473,0:02:10.074 has cost hundreds of millions of dollars each, 0:02:10.074,0:02:11.826 and that's created tremendous pressure 0:02:11.826,0:02:14.115 to launch things infrequently 0:02:14.115,0:02:15.459 and to make sure that when you do, 0:02:15.459,0:02:19.098 you cram as much functionality in there as possible. 0:02:19.098,0:02:20.709 All of this has only made satellites 0:02:20.709,0:02:23.126 bigger and bigger and bigger 0:02:23.126,0:02:24.724 and more expensive, 0:02:24.724,0:02:29.761 now nearly a billion, with a b, dollars per copy. 0:02:29.761,0:02:31.460 Because they are so expensive, 0:02:31.460,0:02:32.927 there aren't very many of them. 0:02:32.927,0:02:34.272 Because there aren't very many of them, 0:02:34.272,0:02:36.728 the pictures that we see on a daily basis 0:02:36.728,0:02:38.232 tend to be old. 0:02:38.232,0:02:41.514 I think a lot of people actually[br]understand this anecdotally, 0:02:41.514,0:02:44.053 but in order to visualize just how sparsely 0:02:44.053,0:02:45.937 our planet is collected, 0:02:45.937,0:02:48.003 some friends and I put together a dataset 0:02:48.003,0:02:50.590 of the 30 million pictures that have been gathered 0:02:50.590,0:02:54.074 by these satellites between 2000 and 2010. 0:02:54.074,0:02:56.829 As you can see in blue, huge areas of our world 0:02:56.829,0:02:59.619 are barely seen, less than once a year, 0:02:59.619,0:03:01.891 and even the areas that are seen most frequently, 0:03:01.891,0:03:05.639 those in red, are seen at best once a quarter. 0:03:05.639,0:03:08.555 Now as aerospace engineering grad students, 0:03:08.555,0:03:11.983 this chart cried out to us as a challenge. 0:03:11.983,0:03:15.438 Why do these things have to be so expensive? 0:03:15.438,0:03:18.173 Does a single satellite really have to cost 0:03:18.173,0:03:22.936 the equivalent of three 747 jumbo jets? 0:03:22.936,0:03:25.099 Wasn't there a way to build a smaller, 0:03:25.099,0:03:28.271 simpler, new satellite design that could enable 0:03:28.271,0:03:30.289 more timely imaging? 0:03:30.289,0:03:33.740 I realize that it does sound a little bit crazy 0:03:33.740,0:03:35.251 that we were going to go out and just 0:03:35.251,0:03:37.098 begin designing satellites, 0:03:37.098,0:03:39.061 but fortunately we had help. 0:03:39.061,0:03:41.996 In the late 1990s, a couple of professors 0:03:41.996,0:03:45.477 proposed a concept for radically reducing the price 0:03:45.477,0:03:47.249 of putting things in space. 0:03:47.249,0:03:49.360 This was hitchhiking small satellites 0:03:49.360,0:03:52.376 alongside much larger satellites. 0:03:52.376,0:03:55.285 This dropped the cost of putting objects up there 0:03:55.285,0:03:57.283 by over a factor of 100, 0:03:57.283,0:04:00.369 and suddenly we could afford to experiment, 0:04:00.369,0:04:01.837 to take a little bit of risk, 0:04:01.837,0:04:04.103 and to realize a lot of innovation. 0:04:04.103,0:04:07.192 And a new generation of engineers and scientists, 0:04:07.192,0:04:08.791 mostly out of universities, 0:04:08.791,0:04:11.134 began launching these very small, 0:04:11.134,0:04:13.725 breadbox-sized satellites called CubeSats. 0:04:13.725,0:04:16.128 And these were built with electronics obtained 0:04:16.128,0:04:20.026 from RadioShack instead of Lockheed Martin. 0:04:20.026,0:04:22.866 Now it was using the lessons[br]learned from these early missions 0:04:22.866,0:04:25.561 that my friends and I began a series of sketches 0:04:25.561,0:04:27.250 of our own satellite design. 0:04:27.250,0:04:30.034 And I can't remember a specific day 0:04:30.034,0:04:31.894 where we made a conscious decision 0:04:31.894,0:04:34.529 that we were actually going to[br]go out and build these things, 0:04:34.529,0:04:36.959 but once we got that idea in our minds 0:04:36.959,0:04:39.120 of the world as a dataset, 0:04:39.120,0:04:41.610 of being able to capture millions of data points 0:04:41.610,0:04:44.663 on a daily basis describing the global economy, 0:04:44.663,0:04:47.183 of being able to unearth billions of connections 0:04:47.183,0:04:50.348 between them that had never before been found, 0:04:50.348,0:04:51.996 it just seemed boring 0:04:51.996,0:04:54.903 to go work on anything else. 0:04:54.903,0:04:57.876 And so we moved into a cramped, 0:04:57.876,0:05:00.855 windowless office in Palo Alto, 0:05:00.855,0:05:02.822 and began working to take our design 0:05:02.822,0:05:05.760 from the drawing board into the lab. 0:05:05.760,0:05:08.418 The first major question we had to tackle 0:05:08.418,0:05:10.752 was just how big to build this thing. 0:05:10.752,0:05:13.935 In space, size drives cost, 0:05:13.935,0:05:15.948 and we had worked with these very small, 0:05:15.948,0:05:18.042 breadbox-sized satellites in school, 0:05:18.042,0:05:20.593 but as we began to better[br]understand the laws of physics, 0:05:20.593,0:05:22.715 we found that the quality of pictures 0:05:22.715,0:05:25.799 those satellites could take was very limited, 0:05:25.799,0:05:27.503 because the laws of physics dictate 0:05:27.503,0:05:30.609 that the best picture you[br]can take through a telescope 0:05:30.609,0:05:32.848 is a function of the diameter of that telescope, 0:05:32.848,0:05:34.510 and these satellites had a very small, 0:05:34.510,0:05:36.216 very constrained volume. 0:05:36.216,0:05:38.011 And we found that the best picture we would 0:05:38.011,0:05:40.496 have been able to get looked something like this. 0:05:40.496,0:05:42.741 Although this was the low-cost option, 0:05:42.741,0:05:44.414 quite frankly it was just too blurry 0:05:44.414,0:05:47.983 to see the things that make[br]satellite imagery valuable. 0:05:47.983,0:05:50.129 So about three or four weeks later, 0:05:50.129,0:05:52.946 we met a group of engineers randomly 0:05:52.946,0:05:54.587 who had worked on the first 0:05:54.587,0:05:57.028 private imaging satellite ever developed, 0:05:57.028,0:05:59.146 and they told us that back in the 1970s, 0:05:59.146,0:06:01.328 the U.S. government had found a powerful 0:06:01.328,0:06:02.971 optimal tradeoff -- 0:06:02.971,0:06:06.059 that in taking pictures at right[br]about one meter resolution, 0:06:06.059,0:06:08.943 being able to see objects one meter in size, 0:06:08.943,0:06:11.634 they had found that they could not[br]just get very high-quality images, 0:06:11.634,0:06:14.527 but get a lot of them at an affordable price. 0:06:14.527,0:06:16.503 From our own computer simulations, 0:06:16.503,0:06:18.508 we quickly found that one meter really was 0:06:18.508,0:06:20.272 the minimum viable product 0:06:20.272,0:06:23.351 to be able to see the drivers of our global economy, 0:06:23.351,0:06:24.912 for the first time, being able to count 0:06:24.912,0:06:27.633 the ships and cars and shipping[br]containers and trucks 0:06:27.633,0:06:30.457 that move around our world on a daily basis, 0:06:30.457,0:06:34.261 while conveniently still not[br]being able to see individuals. 0:06:34.261,0:06:35.882 We had found our compromise. 0:06:35.882,0:06:37.486 We would have to build something larger 0:06:37.486,0:06:39.049 than the original breadbox, 0:06:39.049,0:06:40.700 now more like a mini-fridge, 0:06:40.700,0:06:43.461 but we still wouldn't have to build a pickup truck. 0:06:43.461,0:06:46.085 So now we had our constraint. 0:06:46.085,0:06:47.842 The laws of physics dictated 0:06:47.842,0:06:51.166 the absolute minimum-sized[br]telescope that we could build. 0:06:51.166,0:06:54.220 What came next was making the rest of the satellite 0:06:54.220,0:06:55.961 as small and as simple as possible, 0:06:55.961,0:06:58.613 basically a flying telescope with four walls 0:06:58.613,0:07:01.554 and a set of electronics smaller than a phone book 0:07:01.554,0:07:04.992 that used less power than a 100 watt lightbulb. 0:07:04.992,0:07:06.892 The big challenge became actually taking 0:07:06.892,0:07:09.090 the pictures through that telescope. 0:07:09.090,0:07:12.134 Traditional imaging satellites use a line scanner, 0:07:12.134,0:07:13.895 similar to a Xerox machine, 0:07:13.895,0:07:16.295 and as they traverse the Earth, they take pictures, 0:07:16.295,0:07:18.491 scanning row by row by row 0:07:18.491,0:07:20.166 to build the complete image. 0:07:20.166,0:07:23.170 Now people use these because they get a lot of light, 0:07:23.170,0:07:25.001 which means less of the noise you see 0:07:25.016,0:07:27.752 in a low-cost cell phone image. 0:07:27.752,0:07:30.113 The problem with them is they require 0:07:30.113,0:07:32.353 very sophisticated pointing. 0:07:32.353,0:07:34.899 You have to stay focused on a 50-centimeter target 0:07:34.899,0:07:36.651 from over 600 miles away 0:07:36.651,0:07:38.883 while moving at more than[br]seven kilometers a second, 0:07:38.883,0:07:41.632 which requires an awesome degree of complexity. 0:07:41.632,0:07:45.069 So instead, we turned to a new[br]generation of video sensors, 0:07:45.069,0:07:48.160 originally created for use in night vision goggles. 0:07:48.160,0:07:51.059 Instead of taking a single, high quality image, 0:07:51.059,0:07:52.446 we could take a videostream 0:07:52.446,0:07:55.369 of individually noisier frames, 0:07:55.369,0:07:57.113 but then we could recombine 0:07:57.113,0:07:58.579 all of those frames together 0:07:58.579,0:08:00.575 into very high-quality images 0:08:00.575,0:08:03.168 using sophisticated pixel processing techniques 0:08:03.168,0:08:04.689 here on the ground, 0:08:04.689,0:08:07.826 at a cost of one one hundredth a traditional system. 0:08:07.826,0:08:08.979 And we applied this technique 0:08:08.979,0:08:11.953 to many of the other systems on the satellite as well, 0:08:11.953,0:08:14.793 and day by day, our design evolved 0:08:14.793,0:08:18.282 from CAD to prototypes 0:08:18.282,0:08:21.170 to production units. 0:08:21.170,0:08:22.827 A few short weeks ago, 0:08:22.827,0:08:24.678 we packed up SkySat 1, 0:08:24.678,0:08:26.451 put our signatures on it, 0:08:26.451,0:08:28.674 and waved goodbye for the last time on Earth. 0:08:28.674,0:08:32.155 Today, it's sitting in its final launch configuration 0:08:32.155,0:08:35.216 ready to blast off in a few short weeks. 0:08:35.216,0:08:37.558 And soon, we'll turn our attention to launching 0:08:37.558,0:08:40.589 a constellation of 24 or more of these satellites 0:08:40.589,0:08:43.139 and beginning to build the scalable analytics 0:08:43.139,0:08:45.478 that will allow us to unearth the insights 0:08:45.478,0:08:48.667 in the petabytes of data we will collect. 0:08:48.667,0:08:52.640 So why do all of this? Why build these satellites? 0:08:52.640,0:08:55.251 Well, it turns out imaging satellites 0:08:55.251,0:08:58.961 have a unique ability to provide global transparency, 0:08:58.961,0:09:01.587 and providing that transparency on a timely basis 0:09:01.587,0:09:04.998 is simply an idea whose time has come. 0:09:04.998,0:09:08.521 We see ourselves as pioneers of a new frontier, 0:09:08.521,0:09:10.285 and beyond economic data, 0:09:10.285,0:09:13.886 unlocking the human story, moment by moment. 0:09:13.886,0:09:15.449 For a data scientist 0:09:15.449,0:09:18.199 that just happened to go to space camp as a kid, 0:09:18.199,0:09:20.914 it just doesn't get much better than that. 0:09:20.914,0:09:23.129 Thank you. 0:09:23.129,0:09:27.263 (Applause)