WEBVTT 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:02.763 ♪ [music] ♪ 00:00:09.046 --> 00:00:11.000 - [Prof. Alex Tabarrok] In previous videos, 00:00:11.000 --> 00:00:13.740 we've emphasized that a price is a signal 00:00:13.740 --> 00:00:16.010 wrapped up in an incentive, 00:00:16.010 --> 00:00:18.340 and that prices coming out of free markets 00:00:18.340 --> 00:00:20.428 coordinate individual actions 00:00:20.428 --> 00:00:22.958 in just such a way that the outcome 00:00:22.958 --> 00:00:27.028 looks as if it were created by a benevolent invisible hand. 00:00:27.738 --> 00:00:30.980 We've shown how price controls can impede this process. 00:00:31.260 --> 00:00:32.780 And what we want to show now 00:00:32.780 --> 00:00:34.840 is that even with the free market, 00:00:34.840 --> 00:00:37.580 sometimes the price isn't right. 00:00:37.790 --> 00:00:40.560 In particular, when we have externalities -- 00:00:40.560 --> 00:00:43.160 external costs, and external benefits, 00:00:43.160 --> 00:00:45.470 which I'll define more in just a few minutes -- 00:00:45.470 --> 00:00:47.800 then the price isn't right. 00:00:48.220 --> 00:00:49.890 So what we want to do in this video 00:00:49.890 --> 00:00:52.890 is show both the causes and the consequences 00:00:52.890 --> 00:00:55.958 of external costs and external benefits. 00:00:56.215 --> 00:00:57.375 Let's get going. 00:01:00.740 --> 00:01:03.570 Let's begin with the rise of the super bugs. 00:01:03.570 --> 00:01:07.720 These are bacteria which are now resistant to our antibiotics. 00:01:08.330 --> 00:01:10.870 Before the age of the antibiotic, 00:01:10.870 --> 00:01:14.590 even a simple skin cut or a bruise or scrape 00:01:14.590 --> 00:01:17.350 could kill people due to the infection. 00:01:17.350 --> 00:01:19.310 And people who were more seriously injured, 00:01:19.310 --> 00:01:20.930 for example in battle, 00:01:20.930 --> 00:01:22.550 most of them died 00:01:22.550 --> 00:01:24.300 not because of their battle wounds, 00:01:24.300 --> 00:01:28.260 but because of infection which took place after the wound, 00:01:28.260 --> 00:01:29.650 because of the wound. 00:01:29.890 --> 00:01:31.610 In the 20th century, 00:01:31.610 --> 00:01:35.930 the miracle of antibiotics meant that far, far fewer people 00:01:35.930 --> 00:01:37.770 died from these infections. 00:01:37.770 --> 00:01:41.320 But that miracle is now coming to an end, 00:01:41.320 --> 00:01:42.830 as our antibiotics 00:01:42.830 --> 00:01:46.070 are no longer as effective as they once were. 00:01:46.070 --> 00:01:47.640 Why is this happening? 00:01:48.360 --> 00:01:49.930 Well, part of the problem 00:01:49.930 --> 00:01:53.920 is that no antibiotic is always 100% effective. 00:01:53.920 --> 00:01:56.960 And bacteria, like people, are diverse. 00:01:56.960 --> 00:01:59.840 They have different strengths and different weaknesses. 00:02:00.610 --> 00:02:03.830 The bacteria which are not killed by an antibiotic -- 00:02:03.830 --> 00:02:06.370 which happen to have certain characteristics 00:02:06.370 --> 00:02:09.560 which make them strong against that antibiotic -- 00:02:09.560 --> 00:02:12.160 those bacteria propagate and survive 00:02:12.160 --> 00:02:14.380 and become more dominant. 00:02:14.380 --> 00:02:18.790 So, the evolutionary process has led to resistance. 00:02:19.650 --> 00:02:23.300 We, however, are not entirely innocent in this process. 00:02:23.300 --> 00:02:28.690 Resistance has been helped by the overuse of antibiotics. 00:02:29.430 --> 00:02:32.220 So why are antibiotics overused? 00:02:32.220 --> 00:02:33.620 The fundamental reason 00:02:33.620 --> 00:02:35.880 is that users get all the benefits 00:02:35.880 --> 00:02:39.820 but do not bear all of the costs of antibiotic use. 00:02:39.820 --> 00:02:41.760 Each use of an antibiotic 00:02:41.760 --> 00:02:44.950 creates a small increase in bacterial resistance, 00:02:44.950 --> 00:02:47.120 at least in a probabilistic sense. 00:02:47.120 --> 00:02:50.620 But bacteria don't stay in one place or one body. 00:02:50.620 --> 00:02:52.620 They spread throughout the environment 00:02:52.620 --> 00:02:54.470 and indeed throughout that world. 00:02:54.470 --> 00:02:58.670 So an increase, that cost, that increase in bacterial resistance 00:02:58.670 --> 00:03:01.270 is a cost borne by everyone, 00:03:01.270 --> 00:03:04.270 not just the user of the antibiotic. 00:03:04.640 --> 00:03:06.910 We can think of using an antibiotic 00:03:06.910 --> 00:03:09.100 as creating a little bit of pollution, 00:03:09.100 --> 00:03:11.190 of polluting the environment 00:03:11.190 --> 00:03:14.480 with more resistant and stronger bacteria. 00:03:14.480 --> 00:03:16.520 This is true when somebody, for example, 00:03:16.520 --> 00:03:19.250 uses an antibiotic when they have a virus 00:03:19.250 --> 00:03:21.210 which the antibiotic doesn't help with, 00:03:21.210 --> 00:03:23.730 rather than when they have bacteria. 00:03:23.730 --> 00:03:25.110 That's a cost. 00:03:25.110 --> 00:03:27.840 It's a cost because that use of the antibiotic 00:03:27.840 --> 00:03:30.500 then generates more resistance, 00:03:30.500 --> 00:03:33.240 and that resistance spreads around the world. 00:03:33.240 --> 00:03:35.610 Farmers who use antibiotics, 00:03:35.610 --> 00:03:38.490 not to combat disease in their livestock, 00:03:38.490 --> 00:03:41.070 but to help the livestock grow faster, 00:03:41.070 --> 00:03:44.590 also create more bacterial resistance. 00:03:45.020 --> 00:03:48.660 But that resistance is something they don't include 00:03:48.660 --> 00:03:50.710 in their calculus of costs. 00:03:50.710 --> 00:03:52.000 They don't pay attention 00:03:52.000 --> 00:03:54.780 to those costs which are borne by other people. 00:03:55.710 --> 00:03:57.360 When antibiotic users 00:03:57.360 --> 00:04:01.820 ignore the external costs of their choices, 00:04:01.820 --> 00:04:03.710 we get overuse. 00:04:03.710 --> 00:04:07.000 Since some costs are ignored by the decision makers, 00:04:07.000 --> 00:04:10.250 we get overuse of antibiotics. 00:04:10.480 --> 00:04:12.390 Okay, well, with that as an introduction, 00:04:12.390 --> 00:04:14.110 let's define some terms. 00:04:14.110 --> 00:04:15.409 Private cost -- 00:04:15.409 --> 00:04:18.779 this is the cost paid by the consumer or the producer. 00:04:18.779 --> 00:04:20.779 External cost -- 00:04:20.779 --> 00:04:23.800 this is a cost paid by bystanders, 00:04:23.800 --> 00:04:27.000 by people other than the consumer or the producer. 00:04:27.000 --> 00:04:30.000 It's a cost paid by people other than those 00:04:30.000 --> 00:04:31.690 who are buying or selling 00:04:31.690 --> 00:04:33.540 in this particular market. 00:04:34.070 --> 00:04:36.760 The social cost is the cost to everyone -- 00:04:36.760 --> 00:04:39.020 the cost when we take into account 00:04:39.020 --> 00:04:42.460 consumers, producers and bystanders. 00:04:42.460 --> 00:04:43.530 In other words, 00:04:43.530 --> 00:04:47.080 it's the private cost plus the external cost. 00:04:47.780 --> 00:04:49.330 Externalities -- 00:04:49.330 --> 00:04:52.000 this is simply another word for external costs 00:04:52.000 --> 00:04:53.860 or external benefits. 00:04:53.860 --> 00:04:57.010 We'll talk more about external benefits in a future talk. 00:04:57.010 --> 00:04:59.620 In other words, externalities is just another word 00:04:59.620 --> 00:05:04.300 for costs or benefits that fall on bystanders. 00:05:04.760 --> 00:05:07.110 When there are significant external costs 00:05:07.110 --> 00:05:08.760 or external benefits, 00:05:08.760 --> 00:05:11.980 a market will not maximize social surplus. 00:05:11.980 --> 00:05:13.740 Now, remember we showed earlier 00:05:13.740 --> 00:05:16.510 that a market maximizes consumer surplus 00:05:16.510 --> 00:05:18.986 plus producer surplus. 00:05:18.986 --> 00:05:21.630 That's always true for a free market. 00:05:21.630 --> 00:05:23.323 However, what we've just learned 00:05:23.323 --> 00:05:27.570 is that an external cost is a cost that falls on bystanders, 00:05:27.570 --> 00:05:30.420 not on consumers or producers. 00:05:30.420 --> 00:05:33.920 So social surplus, which is consumer surplus 00:05:33.920 --> 00:05:37.470 plus producer surplus plus bystander surplus -- 00:05:37.470 --> 00:05:39.520 that's ultimately really what we care about. 00:05:39.520 --> 00:05:42.140 We care about not just about consumers and producers, 00:05:42.140 --> 00:05:45.720 we care about everyone including bystanders. 00:05:45.720 --> 00:05:48.700 So we want to maximize social surplus. 00:05:48.700 --> 00:05:50.050 However, 00:05:50.050 --> 00:05:52.780 when there are significant external costs or benefits, 00:05:52.780 --> 00:05:55.870 the market is not going to maximize social surplus. 00:05:55.870 --> 00:05:57.890 It's going to maximize consumer surplus 00:05:57.890 --> 00:05:59.640 plus producer surplus. 00:05:59.640 --> 00:06:01.630 But that's not everything. 00:06:01.630 --> 00:06:04.840 When the costs and the benefits to bystanders 00:06:04.840 --> 00:06:06.570 are not counted, 00:06:06.570 --> 00:06:10.110 then we're not going to maximize social surplus. 00:06:10.110 --> 00:06:13.120 In fact, we can say things a little bit more precisely, 00:06:13.120 --> 00:06:16.570 and we'll do that next with a supply and demand diagram. 00:06:16.570 --> 00:06:18.700 Okay, here's our standard diagram 00:06:18.700 --> 00:06:21.460 with the quantity of antibiotics on the horizontal axis 00:06:21.460 --> 00:06:23.910 and prices and costs on the vertical axis. 00:06:23.910 --> 00:06:26.340 As usual, the equilibrium is found 00:06:26.340 --> 00:06:28.090 where demand intersects supply, 00:06:28.090 --> 00:06:31.270 or where quantity demanded is equal to quantity supplied. 00:06:31.270 --> 00:06:32.930 Now the key point here 00:06:32.930 --> 00:06:36.680 is that the supply curve is based on private cost -- 00:06:36.680 --> 00:06:40.360 basically the cost of producing the antibiotic. 00:06:40.360 --> 00:06:41.850 But there's another cost. 00:06:41.850 --> 00:06:46.350 Every time an antibiotic is produced and consumed 00:06:46.350 --> 00:06:49.490 there's a cost of bacterial resistance, 00:06:49.490 --> 00:06:53.000 a cost borne by all of us, by bystanders. 00:06:53.000 --> 00:06:54.830 There's an external cost 00:06:54.830 --> 00:06:59.260 and that is not taken into account by the suppliers. 00:06:59.260 --> 00:07:02.760 So this external cost doesn't go into the price. 00:07:02.760 --> 00:07:05.800 Nevertheless, what we really care about 00:07:05.800 --> 00:07:08.910 is the social cost of antibiotic use, 00:07:08.910 --> 00:07:11.860 not just the cost of producing the antibiotic, 00:07:11.860 --> 00:07:14.070 but also the cost of actually using it, 00:07:14.070 --> 00:07:16.290 including the external cost. 00:07:16.290 --> 00:07:19.760 So, the market equilibrium, the market quantity, 00:07:19.760 --> 00:07:23.430 is found where the market demand and supply curves intersect. 00:07:23.430 --> 00:07:26.400 But the true efficient equilibrium, 00:07:26.400 --> 00:07:29.240 the equilibrium we would like to be at, 00:07:29.240 --> 00:07:33.760 is where the demand curve intersects the social cost curve. 00:07:33.760 --> 00:07:35.730 So, the efficient quantity 00:07:35.730 --> 00:07:41.090 is less than the market quantity, thus we have overuse. 00:07:41.490 --> 00:07:44.450 The market doesn't take into account 00:07:44.450 --> 00:07:47.860 all of the costs of antibiotic use 00:07:47.860 --> 00:07:49.800 so we get overuse 00:07:49.800 --> 00:07:52.480 relative to the efficient equilibrium. 00:07:53.070 --> 00:07:55.490 Now we can actually show this in another way. 00:07:55.490 --> 00:07:59.870 Let's look at the value of the marginal unit, 00:07:59.870 --> 00:08:02.360 the value of the unit, the market unit, 00:08:02.360 --> 00:08:04.620 the last unit the market produces. 00:08:04.620 --> 00:08:08.270 What's the private value, what's the value of this unit? 00:08:08.270 --> 00:08:10.950 Well, it's given by the height of the demand curve. 00:08:10.950 --> 00:08:14.290 Now, what is the cost of that marginal unit, 00:08:14.290 --> 00:08:16.510 of that last unit consumed? 00:08:17.060 --> 00:08:20.460 Well, the private cost is given by the private supply curve, 00:08:20.460 --> 00:08:26.740 but the social cost is given by the much higher social cost curve. 00:08:26.740 --> 00:08:29.339 So notice on that last unit, 00:08:29.339 --> 00:08:34.889 the cost of that last unit is much larger than the value. 00:08:34.889 --> 00:08:37.509 That's the sense in which we have overuse. 00:08:37.509 --> 00:08:40.260 We don't really want to produce this last unit 00:08:40.260 --> 00:08:44.280 because the cost is greater than the value. 00:08:44.280 --> 00:08:46.770 Indeed, if we don't want to produce this unit, 00:08:46.770 --> 00:08:48.910 we don't to produce any unit 00:08:48.910 --> 00:08:53.330 where the social cost is greater than the value. 00:08:53.330 --> 00:08:54.470 So in other words, 00:08:54.470 --> 00:08:57.750 this area right here is a deadweight loss. 00:08:57.750 --> 00:08:59.230 These are the units 00:08:59.230 --> 00:09:03.560 for which the social cost is greater than the private value. 00:09:03.560 --> 00:09:06.130 Therefore, these are the units we don't want to produce -- 00:09:06.130 --> 00:09:07.740 this is the deadweight loss 00:09:07.740 --> 00:09:12.470 and this is the overuse of the antibiotic. 00:09:14.150 --> 00:09:16.190 What conclusions can we make? 00:09:16.190 --> 00:09:17.710 When there are external costs, 00:09:17.710 --> 00:09:21.110 output should be reduced to maximize social surplus. 00:09:21.820 --> 00:09:23.650 Another way of thinking about this 00:09:23.650 --> 00:09:26.370 is for determining the efficient level of output, 00:09:26.370 --> 00:09:28.340 who bears the cost is irrelevant. 00:09:28.340 --> 00:09:31.600 The fact that these costs are borne by bystanders 00:09:31.600 --> 00:09:32.850 is irrelevant -- 00:09:32.850 --> 00:09:35.120 we want to take into account all costs, 00:09:35.120 --> 00:09:37.640 not just the cost to the suppliers. 00:09:37.640 --> 00:09:40.520 The problem is, is that when other people 00:09:40.520 --> 00:09:42.950 bear some of the cost of production, 00:09:42.950 --> 00:09:44.750 the price is too low. 00:09:44.750 --> 00:09:49.150 Not all of the costs are reflected in the price. 00:09:49.520 --> 00:09:53.130 As a result, the price is sending the wrong signal. 00:09:53.130 --> 00:09:55.880 It's incentivizing too much production. 00:09:55.880 --> 00:09:57.970 Because the price is too low, 00:09:57.970 --> 00:10:01.000 antibiotic users purchase too many antibiotics 00:10:01.000 --> 00:10:03.050 and we get overuse. 00:10:03.730 --> 00:10:06.550 The solution to this, or one solution to this, 00:10:06.550 --> 00:10:09.550 is in what's called a Pigouvian tax -- 00:10:09.550 --> 00:10:12.400 a tax on a good with external costs. 00:10:12.400 --> 00:10:14.370 Let's take a look at how that works. 00:10:14.800 --> 00:10:16.590 The idea of a Pigouvian tax, 00:10:16.590 --> 00:10:20.330 after the economist Arthur Pigou first talked about these ideas, 00:10:20.330 --> 00:10:21.600 is pretty simple. 00:10:21.600 --> 00:10:24.180 The market equilibrium is down here. 00:10:24.180 --> 00:10:27.280 The efficient equilibrium is here. 00:10:27.280 --> 00:10:29.910 The problem is that the suppliers 00:10:29.910 --> 00:10:34.050 aren't taking into account all the costs of their production. 00:10:34.050 --> 00:10:36.960 They're not taking into account these external costs. 00:10:36.960 --> 00:10:38.890 So how could we get these suppliers 00:10:38.890 --> 00:10:42.760 to take into account all of the costs of their production? 00:10:43.400 --> 00:10:46.610 Well, one way of doing it is to tax them. 00:10:46.610 --> 00:10:50.990 A Pigouvian tax equal to the external cost 00:10:50.990 --> 00:10:53.720 makes the private cost plus the tax, 00:10:53.720 --> 00:10:57.010 the total private cost, equal to the social cost. 00:10:57.930 --> 00:11:00.720 Let's remember how we can analyze a tax. 00:11:00.720 --> 00:11:03.130 Remember that one of the ways to analyze a tax 00:11:03.130 --> 00:11:07.290 is to shift the supply curve up by the amount of the tax. 00:11:07.290 --> 00:11:10.380 So, if we impose a tax on the suppliers 00:11:10.380 --> 00:11:12.590 equal to the external cost 00:11:12.590 --> 00:11:15.340 the supply curve will shift up 00:11:15.340 --> 00:11:18.910 until the private cost plus the tax 00:11:18.910 --> 00:11:21.310 is equal to the social cost. 00:11:21.310 --> 00:11:22.850 In this case, 00:11:22.850 --> 00:11:25.470 we will now have the efficient equilibrium 00:11:25.470 --> 00:11:28.320 will be the same as the market equilibrium. 00:11:28.320 --> 00:11:31.850 The market will internalize the externality. 00:11:31.850 --> 00:11:33.430 All of the costs, 00:11:33.430 --> 00:11:37.000 private cost plus the tax equal to the external cost, 00:11:37.000 --> 00:11:39.640 will come to be reflected in the price. 00:11:39.640 --> 00:11:42.740 And because all of the costs are reflected in the price, 00:11:42.740 --> 00:11:46.640 consumers will buy the efficient quantity of the good. 00:11:47.190 --> 00:11:52.190 So, that's one way to handle an external cost problem. 00:11:52.190 --> 00:11:53.870 In the next couple of lectures 00:11:53.870 --> 00:11:55.900 we'll be talking about external benefits, 00:11:55.900 --> 00:11:58.120 and we'll also illustrate some other ways 00:11:58.120 --> 00:12:00.700 in which externalities can be handled. 00:12:02.030 --> 00:12:03.380 - [Narrator] If you want to test yourself 00:12:03.380 --> 00:12:05.260 click “Practice Questions.” 00:12:05.930 --> 00:12:09.264 Or, if you're ready to move on just click “Next Video.” 00:12:09.614 --> 00:12:12.336 ♪ [music] ♪