0:00:00.000,0:00:02.763 ♪ [music] ♪ 0:00:09.046,0:00:11.000 - [Prof. Alex Tabarrok][br]In previous videos, 0:00:11.000,0:00:13.740 we've emphasized[br]that a price is a signal 0:00:13.740,0:00:16.010 wrapped up in an incentive, 0:00:16.010,0:00:18.340 and that prices[br]coming out of free markets 0:00:18.340,0:00:20.428 coordinate individual actions 0:00:20.428,0:00:22.958 in just such a way[br]that the outcome 0:00:22.958,0:00:27.028 looks as if it were created[br]by a benevolent invisible hand. 0:00:27.738,0:00:30.980 We've shown how price controls[br]can impede this process. 0:00:31.260,0:00:32.780 And what we want to show now 0:00:32.780,0:00:34.840 is that even with the free market, 0:00:34.840,0:00:37.580 sometimes the price isn't right. 0:00:37.790,0:00:40.560 In particular,[br]when we have externalities -- 0:00:40.560,0:00:43.160 external costs,[br]and external benefits, 0:00:43.160,0:00:45.470 which I'll define more[br]in just a few minutes -- 0:00:45.470,0:00:47.800 then the price isn't right. 0:00:48.220,0:00:49.890 So what we want to do in this video 0:00:49.890,0:00:52.890 is show both the causes[br]and the consequences 0:00:52.890,0:00:55.958 of external costs[br]and external benefits. 0:00:56.215,0:00:57.375 Let's get going. 0:01:00.740,0:01:03.570 Let's begin with the rise[br]of the super bugs. 0:01:03.570,0:01:07.720 These are bacteria which are now[br]resistant to our antibiotics. 0:01:08.330,0:01:10.870 Before the age of the antibiotic, 0:01:10.870,0:01:14.590 even a simple skin cut[br]or a bruise or scrape 0:01:14.590,0:01:17.350 could kill people[br]due to the infection. 0:01:17.350,0:01:19.310 And people[br]who were more seriously injured, 0:01:19.310,0:01:20.930 for example in battle, 0:01:20.930,0:01:22.550 most of them died 0:01:22.550,0:01:24.300 not because of their battle wounds, 0:01:24.300,0:01:28.260 but because of infection[br]which took place after the wound, 0:01:28.260,0:01:29.650 because of the wound. 0:01:29.890,0:01:31.610 In the 20th century, 0:01:31.610,0:01:35.930 the miracle of antibiotics[br]meant that far, far fewer people 0:01:35.930,0:01:37.770 died from these infections. 0:01:37.770,0:01:41.320 But that miracle[br]is now coming to an end, 0:01:41.320,0:01:42.830 as our antibiotics 0:01:42.830,0:01:46.070 are no longer as effective[br]as they once were. 0:01:46.070,0:01:47.640 Why is this happening? 0:01:48.360,0:01:49.930 Well, part of the problem 0:01:49.930,0:01:53.920 is that no antibiotic[br]is always 100% effective. 0:01:53.920,0:01:56.960 And bacteria,[br]like people, are diverse. 0:01:56.960,0:01:59.840 They have different strengths[br]and different weaknesses. 0:02:00.610,0:02:03.830 The bacteria which are[br]not killed by an antibiotic -- 0:02:03.830,0:02:06.370 which happen to have[br]certain characteristics 0:02:06.370,0:02:09.560 which make them strong[br]against that antibiotic -- 0:02:09.560,0:02:12.160 those bacteria[br]propagate and survive 0:02:12.160,0:02:14.380 and become more dominant. 0:02:14.380,0:02:18.790 So, the evolutionary process[br]has led to resistance. 0:02:19.650,0:02:23.300 We, however, are not[br]entirely innocent in this process. 0:02:23.300,0:02:28.690 Resistance has been helped[br]by the overuse of antibiotics. 0:02:29.430,0:02:32.220 So why are antibiotics overused? 0:02:32.220,0:02:33.620 The fundamental reason 0:02:33.620,0:02:35.880 is that users get all the benefits 0:02:35.880,0:02:39.820 but do not bear all of the costs[br]of antibiotic use. 0:02:39.820,0:02:41.760 Each use of an antibiotic 0:02:41.760,0:02:44.950 creates a small increase[br]in bacterial resistance, 0:02:44.950,0:02:47.120 at least in a probabilistic sense. 0:02:47.120,0:02:50.620 But bacteria don't stay[br]in one place or one body. 0:02:50.620,0:02:52.620 They spread[br]throughout the environment 0:02:52.620,0:02:54.470 and indeed throughout that world. 0:02:54.470,0:02:58.670 So an increase, that cost,[br]that increase in bacterial resistance 0:02:58.670,0:03:01.270 is a cost borne by everyone, 0:03:01.270,0:03:04.270 not just the user[br]of the antibiotic. 0:03:04.640,0:03:06.910 We can think of using an antibiotic 0:03:06.910,0:03:09.100 as creating a little bit of pollution, 0:03:09.100,0:03:11.190 of polluting the environment 0:03:11.190,0:03:14.480 with more resistant[br]and stronger bacteria. 0:03:14.480,0:03:16.520 This is true when somebody,[br]for example, 0:03:16.520,0:03:19.250 uses an antibiotic[br]when they have a virus 0:03:19.250,0:03:21.210 which the antibiotic[br]doesn't help with, 0:03:21.210,0:03:23.730 rather than[br]when they have bacteria. 0:03:23.730,0:03:25.110 That's a cost. 0:03:25.110,0:03:27.840 It's a cost because[br]that use of the antibiotic 0:03:27.840,0:03:30.500 then generates more resistance, 0:03:30.500,0:03:33.240 and that resistance[br]spreads around the world. 0:03:33.240,0:03:35.610 Farmers who use antibiotics, 0:03:35.610,0:03:38.490 not to combat disease[br]in their livestock, 0:03:38.490,0:03:41.070 but to help[br]the livestock grow faster, 0:03:41.070,0:03:44.590 also create more[br]bacterial resistance. 0:03:45.020,0:03:48.660 But that resistance[br]is something they don't include 0:03:48.660,0:03:50.710 in their calculus of costs. 0:03:50.710,0:03:52.000 They don't pay attention 0:03:52.000,0:03:54.780 to those costs[br]which are borne by other people. 0:03:55.710,0:03:57.360 When antibiotic users 0:03:57.360,0:04:01.820 ignore the external costs[br]of their choices, 0:04:01.820,0:04:03.710 we get overuse. 0:04:03.710,0:04:07.000 Since some costs are ignored[br]by the decision makers, 0:04:07.000,0:04:10.250 we get overuse of antibiotics. 0:04:10.480,0:04:12.390 Okay, well,[br]with that as an introduction, 0:04:12.390,0:04:14.110 let's define some terms. 0:04:14.110,0:04:15.409 Private cost -- 0:04:15.409,0:04:18.779 this is the cost paid[br]by the consumer or the producer. 0:04:18.779,0:04:20.779 External cost -- 0:04:20.779,0:04:23.800 this is a cost paid by bystanders, 0:04:23.800,0:04:27.000 by people other than[br]the consumer or the producer. 0:04:27.000,0:04:30.000 It's a cost paid by people[br]other than those 0:04:30.000,0:04:31.690 who are buying or selling 0:04:31.690,0:04:33.540 in this particular market. 0:04:34.070,0:04:36.760 The social cost[br]is the cost to everyone -- 0:04:36.760,0:04:39.020 the cost when we take into account 0:04:39.020,0:04:42.460 consumers, producers[br]and bystanders. 0:04:42.460,0:04:43.530 In other words, 0:04:43.530,0:04:47.080 it's the private cost[br]plus the external cost. 0:04:47.780,0:04:49.330 Externalities -- 0:04:49.330,0:04:52.000 this is simply another word[br]for external costs 0:04:52.000,0:04:53.860 or external benefits. 0:04:53.860,0:04:57.010 We'll talk more about[br]external benefits in a future talk. 0:04:57.010,0:04:59.620 In other words, externalities[br]is just another word 0:04:59.620,0:05:04.300 for costs or benefits[br]that fall on bystanders. 0:05:04.760,0:05:07.110 When there are[br]significant external costs 0:05:07.110,0:05:08.760 or external benefits, 0:05:08.760,0:05:11.980 a market will not[br]maximize social surplus. 0:05:11.980,0:05:13.740 Now, remember we showed earlier 0:05:13.740,0:05:16.510 that a market maximizes[br]consumer surplus 0:05:16.510,0:05:18.986 plus producer surplus. 0:05:18.986,0:05:21.630 That's always true[br]for a free market. 0:05:21.630,0:05:23.323 However, what we've just learned 0:05:23.323,0:05:27.570 is that an external cost[br]is a cost that falls on bystanders, 0:05:27.570,0:05:30.420 not on consumers or producers. 0:05:30.420,0:05:33.920 So social surplus,[br]which is consumer surplus 0:05:33.920,0:05:37.470 plus producer surplus[br]plus bystander surplus -- 0:05:37.470,0:05:39.520 that's ultimately[br]really what we care about. 0:05:39.520,0:05:42.140 We care about not just[br]about consumers and producers, 0:05:42.140,0:05:45.720 we care about everyone[br]including bystanders. 0:05:45.720,0:05:48.700 So we want[br]to maximize social surplus. 0:05:48.700,0:05:50.050 However, 0:05:50.050,0:05:52.780 when there are significant[br]external costs or benefits, 0:05:52.780,0:05:55.870 the market is not going to[br]maximize social surplus. 0:05:55.870,0:05:57.890 It's going to maximize[br]consumer surplus 0:05:57.890,0:05:59.640 plus producer surplus. 0:05:59.640,0:06:01.630 But that's not everything. 0:06:01.630,0:06:04.840 When the costs[br]and the benefits to bystanders 0:06:04.840,0:06:06.570 are not counted, 0:06:06.570,0:06:10.110 then we're not going to[br]maximize social surplus. 0:06:10.110,0:06:13.120 In fact, we can say things[br]a little bit more precisely, 0:06:13.120,0:06:16.570 and we'll do that next[br]with a supply and demand diagram. 0:06:16.570,0:06:18.700 Okay, here's our standard diagram 0:06:18.700,0:06:21.460 with the quantity of antibiotics[br]on the horizontal axis 0:06:21.460,0:06:23.910 and prices and costs[br]on the vertical axis. 0:06:23.910,0:06:26.340 As usual, the equilibrium is found 0:06:26.340,0:06:28.090 where demand intersects supply, 0:06:28.090,0:06:31.270 or where quantity demanded[br]is equal to quantity supplied. 0:06:31.270,0:06:32.930 Now the key point here 0:06:32.930,0:06:36.680 is that the supply curve[br]is based on private cost -- 0:06:36.680,0:06:40.360 basically the cost[br]of producing the antibiotic. 0:06:40.360,0:06:41.850 But there's another cost. 0:06:41.850,0:06:46.350 Every time an antibiotic[br]is produced and consumed 0:06:46.350,0:06:49.490 there's a cost[br]of bacterial resistance, 0:06:49.490,0:06:53.000 a cost borne by all of us,[br]by bystanders. 0:06:53.000,0:06:54.830 There's an external cost 0:06:54.830,0:06:59.260 and that is not taken[br]into account by the suppliers. 0:06:59.260,0:07:02.760 So this external cost[br]doesn't go into the price. 0:07:02.760,0:07:05.800 Nevertheless,[br]what we really care about 0:07:05.800,0:07:08.910 is the social cost[br]of antibiotic use, 0:07:08.910,0:07:11.860 not just the cost[br]of producing the antibiotic, 0:07:11.860,0:07:14.070 but also the cost[br]of actually using it, 0:07:14.070,0:07:16.290 including the external cost. 0:07:16.290,0:07:19.760 So, the market equilibrium,[br]the market quantity, 0:07:19.760,0:07:23.430 is found where the market[br]demand and supply curves intersect. 0:07:23.430,0:07:26.400 But the true efficient equilibrium, 0:07:26.400,0:07:29.240 the equilibrium[br]we would like to be at, 0:07:29.240,0:07:33.760 is where the demand curve[br]intersects the social cost curve. 0:07:33.760,0:07:35.730 So, the efficient quantity 0:07:35.730,0:07:41.090 is less than the market quantity,[br]thus we have overuse. 0:07:41.490,0:07:44.450 The market doesn't[br]take into account 0:07:44.450,0:07:47.860 all of the costs of antibiotic use 0:07:47.860,0:07:49.800 so we get overuse 0:07:49.800,0:07:52.480 relative to[br]the efficient equilibrium. 0:07:53.070,0:07:55.490 Now we can actually show this[br]in another way. 0:07:55.490,0:07:59.870 Let's look at the value[br]of the marginal unit, 0:07:59.870,0:08:02.360 the value of the unit,[br]the market unit, 0:08:02.360,0:08:04.620 the last unit the market produces. 0:08:04.620,0:08:08.270 What's the private value,[br]what's the value of this unit? 0:08:08.270,0:08:10.950 Well, it's given by the height[br]of the demand curve. 0:08:10.950,0:08:14.290 Now, what is the cost[br]of that marginal unit, 0:08:14.290,0:08:16.510 of that last unit consumed? 0:08:17.060,0:08:20.460 Well, the private cost is given[br]by the private supply curve, 0:08:20.460,0:08:26.740 but the social cost is given[br]by the much higher social cost curve. 0:08:26.740,0:08:29.339 So notice on that last unit, 0:08:29.339,0:08:34.889 the cost of that last unit[br]is much larger than the value. 0:08:34.889,0:08:37.509 That's the sense[br]in which we have overuse. 0:08:37.509,0:08:40.260 We don't really want[br]to produce this last unit 0:08:40.260,0:08:44.280 because the cost[br]is greater than the value. 0:08:44.280,0:08:46.770 Indeed, if we don't[br]want to produce this unit, 0:08:46.770,0:08:48.910 we don't to produce any unit 0:08:48.910,0:08:53.330 where the social cost[br]is greater than the value. 0:08:53.330,0:08:54.470 So in other words, 0:08:54.470,0:08:57.750 this area right here[br]is a deadweight loss. 0:08:57.750,0:08:59.230 These are the units 0:08:59.230,0:09:03.560 for which the social cost[br]is greater than the private value. 0:09:03.560,0:09:06.130 Therefore, these are the units[br]we don't want to produce -- 0:09:06.130,0:09:07.740 this is the deadweight loss 0:09:07.740,0:09:12.470 and this is the overuse[br]of the antibiotic. 0:09:14.150,0:09:16.190 What conclusions can we make? 0:09:16.190,0:09:17.710 When there are external costs, 0:09:17.710,0:09:21.110 output should be reduced[br]to maximize social surplus. 0:09:21.820,0:09:23.650 Another way of thinking about this 0:09:23.650,0:09:26.370 is for determining[br]the efficient level of output, 0:09:26.370,0:09:28.340 who bears the cost is irrelevant. 0:09:28.340,0:09:31.600 The fact that these costs[br]are borne by bystanders 0:09:31.600,0:09:32.850 is irrelevant -- 0:09:32.850,0:09:35.120 we want to take[br]into account all costs, 0:09:35.120,0:09:37.640 not just the cost to the suppliers. 0:09:37.640,0:09:40.520 The problem is,[br]is that when other people 0:09:40.520,0:09:42.950 bear some[br]of the cost of production, 0:09:42.950,0:09:44.750 the price is too low. 0:09:44.750,0:09:49.150 Not all of the costs[br]are reflected in the price. 0:09:49.520,0:09:53.130 As a result, the price[br]is sending the wrong signal. 0:09:53.130,0:09:55.880 It's incentivizing[br]too much production. 0:09:55.880,0:09:57.970 Because the price is too low, 0:09:57.970,0:10:01.000 antibiotic users[br]purchase too many antibiotics 0:10:01.000,0:10:03.050 and we get overuse. 0:10:03.730,0:10:06.550 The solution to this,[br]or one solution to this, 0:10:06.550,0:10:09.550 is in what's called a Pigouvian tax -- 0:10:09.550,0:10:12.400 a tax on a good[br]with external costs. 0:10:12.400,0:10:14.370 Let's take a look[br]at how that works. 0:10:14.800,0:10:16.590 The idea of a Pigouvian tax, 0:10:16.590,0:10:20.330 after the economist Arthur Pigou[br]first talked about these ideas, 0:10:20.330,0:10:21.600 is pretty simple. 0:10:21.600,0:10:24.180 The market equilibrium[br]is down here. 0:10:24.180,0:10:27.280 The efficient equilibrium is here. 0:10:27.280,0:10:29.910 The problem is that the suppliers 0:10:29.910,0:10:34.050 aren't taking into account[br]all the costs of their production. 0:10:34.050,0:10:36.960 They're not taking into account[br]these external costs. 0:10:36.960,0:10:38.890 So how could we get[br]these suppliers 0:10:38.890,0:10:42.760 to take into account all[br]of the costs of their production? 0:10:43.400,0:10:46.610 Well, one way[br]of doing it is to tax them. 0:10:46.610,0:10:50.990 A Pigouvian tax[br]equal to the external cost 0:10:50.990,0:10:53.720 makes the private cost[br]plus the tax, 0:10:53.720,0:10:57.010 the total private cost,[br]equal to the social cost. 0:10:57.930,0:11:00.720 Let's remember[br]how we can analyze a tax. 0:11:00.720,0:11:03.130 Remember that one of the ways[br]to analyze a tax 0:11:03.130,0:11:07.290 is to shift the supply curve up[br]by the amount of the tax. 0:11:07.290,0:11:10.380 So, if we impose[br]a tax on the suppliers 0:11:10.380,0:11:12.590 equal to the external cost 0:11:12.590,0:11:15.340 the supply curve will shift up 0:11:15.340,0:11:18.910 until the private cost plus the tax 0:11:18.910,0:11:21.310 is equal to the social cost. 0:11:21.310,0:11:22.850 In this case, 0:11:22.850,0:11:25.470 we will now have[br]the efficient equilibrium 0:11:25.470,0:11:28.320 will be the same[br]as the market equilibrium. 0:11:28.320,0:11:31.850 The market[br]will internalize the externality. 0:11:31.850,0:11:33.430 All of the costs, 0:11:33.430,0:11:37.000 private cost plus the tax[br]equal to the external cost, 0:11:37.000,0:11:39.640 will come to be[br]reflected in the price. 0:11:39.640,0:11:42.740 And because all of the costs[br]are reflected in the price, 0:11:42.740,0:11:46.640 consumers will buy[br]the efficient quantity of the good. 0:11:47.190,0:11:52.190 So, that's one way to handle[br]an external cost problem. 0:11:52.190,0:11:53.870 In the next couple of lectures 0:11:53.870,0:11:55.900 we'll be talking[br]about external benefits, 0:11:55.900,0:11:58.120 and we'll also illustrate[br]some other ways 0:11:58.120,0:12:00.700 in which externalities[br]can be handled. 0:12:02.030,0:12:03.380 - [Narrator][br]If you want to test yourself 0:12:03.380,0:12:05.260 click “Practice Questions.” 0:12:05.930,0:12:09.264 Or, if you're ready to move on[br]just click “Next Video.” 0:12:09.614,0:12:12.336 ♪ [music] ♪