WEBVTT 00:00:16.740 --> 00:00:17.900 Thank you so much. 00:00:17.900 --> 00:00:21.905 You know, sometimes in our lives something happens to us 00:00:21.939 --> 00:00:26.319 that changes the way we think, that changes what we're going to do. 00:00:26.319 --> 00:00:29.940 And I wanted to start by telling you a story 00:00:29.956 --> 00:00:33.474 about something that happened to me almost five years ago NOTE Paragraph 00:00:33.489 --> 00:00:36.791 which really set me off into thinking about this question 00:00:36.807 --> 00:00:40.189 of how do we regenerate ourselves. 00:00:40.189 --> 00:00:45.967 About four years ago I decided to take my younger son Dominic to Africa. 00:00:45.967 --> 00:00:49.679 You know he's like many teenagers in London 00:00:49.692 --> 00:00:52.639 spending lots of time hanging around, you know 00:00:52.639 --> 00:00:55.718 and I wanted him to really understand what was happening in Africa. 00:00:55.718 --> 00:00:59.142 And in particular you know he was just becoming a young 00:00:59.151 --> 00:01:02.835 adult, I wanted him to spend time with a Masai warriors. 00:01:02.835 --> 00:01:08.652 And so we took a plane - we took a little private plane - 00:01:08.732 --> 00:01:11.771 we got into a car and eventually 00:01:11.771 --> 00:01:13.615 - it took us about two and a half days - we ended up 00:01:13.615 --> 00:01:20.733 in a Masai village in the middle of the Masai Mara in Tanzania. 00:01:20.733 --> 00:01:24.233 And just as we had hoped there were a couple of 00:01:24.289 --> 00:01:27.757 Masai warriors that spent time with us over a couple of days 00:01:27.802 --> 00:01:29.763 talking to us about their rituals 00:01:29.769 --> 00:01:32.796 and so on, wonderful stuff. You know this was great 00:01:32.834 --> 00:01:37.347 for a teenager to really understand what it was like to be a warrior. 00:01:37.850 --> 00:01:41.705 And one morning he took us to the top of the hill 00:01:41.985 --> 00:01:44.238 and what he was doing is he was showing us 00:01:44.384 --> 00:01:48.690 his Masai territory and he was talking about how it was 00:01:48.902 --> 00:01:51.835 to be a Masai warrior and what it meant 00:01:51.835 --> 00:01:54.864 the implications, that they you know, had to live by. 00:01:55.117 --> 00:01:58.861 And there he was standing in his whole Masai wonderful red robes 00:02:01.385 --> 00:02:04.819 carrying a spear, a spear to kill lions with. 00:02:05.434 --> 00:02:07.060 This was an authentic moment. 00:02:07.060 --> 00:02:12.271 And as we stood there, there was a funny little sound. 00:02:13.748 --> 00:02:16.958 Can anyone imagine what that funny little sound was? 00:02:17.742 --> 00:02:18.949 (Audience: It was his phone) 00:02:18.949 --> 00:02:22.591 It's his mobile phone! So out of his pocket 00:02:22.591 --> 00:02:24.454 you know this sort of leopard skin pocket 00:02:24.454 --> 00:02:26.287 he gets his mobile phone. 00:02:26.287 --> 00:02:28.603 And like every 23 year-old 00:02:28.609 --> 00:02:31.911 he has a very excited conversation on his mobile phone. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:31.911 --> 00:02:37.654 Well at that moment, I realized that my world had changed 00:02:37.664 --> 00:02:41.971 more than I ever imagined it would have done or could do. 00:02:42.001 --> 00:02:45.806 But that wasn't the only thing that happened that afternoon because 00:02:45.838 --> 00:02:49.756 when he put his phone down, being sort of an inquisitive professor 00:02:49.756 --> 00:02:52.327 at the London Business School I said to him, 00:02:52.339 --> 00:02:55.393 "What was the conversation about? Who were you talking to?" 00:02:55.413 --> 00:02:57.772 And he said "Ah! I was talking to my brother" 00:02:57.779 --> 00:03:03.145 Now he as a warrior, his job was to look after the cattle. 00:03:03.160 --> 00:03:07.276 But his brother who was younger than my son a 12 year-old 00:03:07.339 --> 00:03:09.902 was looking after the goats and in fact his brother 00:03:09.940 --> 00:03:13.307 had gone out that morning, at six o'clock in the morning 00:03:13.307 --> 00:03:17.294 and had taken the goats out. This was about 12 o'clock by now. 00:03:17.339 --> 00:03:22.246 He said, "Well I was talking to my brother." 00:03:22.253 --> 00:03:24.429 I said, "Well what was the conversation [about]?" 00:03:24.429 --> 00:03:27.760 He said, "My brother had phoned me to tell me 00:03:27.760 --> 00:03:31.583 that the goats had just found green grass" . 00:03:31.583 --> 00:03:35.592 Now you see that for me is the paradox of the future 00:03:35.623 --> 00:03:39.892 because in many ways things changed beyond imagination. 00:03:39.894 --> 00:03:42.683 Who would imagine that a Masai warrior four years ago 00:03:42.683 --> 00:03:44.597 would have a mobile phone? 00:03:44.597 --> 00:03:47.079 By the way he had no electricity, he had no car, 00:03:47.138 --> 00:03:49.776 he had no refrigerator, but he did have a mobile phone. 00:03:49.791 --> 00:03:53.315 But yet at the same time there were things about his life 00:03:53.315 --> 00:03:56.233 that had remained essentialy the same 00:03:56.248 --> 00:03:59.463 in terms of his values, his beliefs, and what was important to him. 00:03:59.463 --> 00:04:02.526 You know, I think the challenge that we face now 00:04:02.526 --> 00:04:06.493 is we are in the midst of the biggest transformation 00:04:06.579 --> 00:04:08.328 that the world had ever seen. 00:04:08.328 --> 00:04:11.147 When I wrote my book "The Shift" I said 00:04:11.147 --> 00:04:13.983 "The biggest transformation since the industrial revolution" . 00:04:13.983 --> 00:04:15.830 I don't think that's the case anymore. 00:04:15.838 --> 00:04:19.296 In the two years since that was written 00:04:19.320 --> 00:04:22.434 I realized it's the biggest transformation ever. 00:04:22.434 --> 00:04:26.131 And one of the challenges that we face is to ask ourselves 00:04:26.149 --> 00:04:29.047 "What sort of a world do we want to construct?" 00:04:29.047 --> 00:04:32.973 And more importantly, what sort of a life do I want to construct? 00:04:32.973 --> 00:04:36.015 And there is no question that there are some 00:04:36.015 --> 00:04:39.664 pretty tough things happening to us in the future. 00:04:39.664 --> 00:04:43.114 If we look into the future what's clear is that 00:04:43.114 --> 00:04:46.913 you could walk into the future blindfold. 00:04:46.913 --> 00:04:48.650 You know you could walk into a default future 00:04:48.650 --> 00:04:52.791 where you don't make choices, you let the future unroll 00:04:52.791 --> 00:04:57.628 in front of you or you could be a lot more thoughtful 00:04:57.659 --> 00:04:59.555 about the future that you want to create. 00:04:59.555 --> 00:05:03.162 You can create in other words a "crafted future". 00:05:03.179 --> 00:05:06.455 Now to do that, I think you have to think about 00:05:06.504 --> 00:05:09.434 some of the things that are happening in our lives 00:05:09.434 --> 00:05:11.265 over the next couple of decades. 00:05:11.265 --> 00:05:15.827 Both in terms of the bright side and in terms of the side 00:05:15.827 --> 00:05:18.795 which is a dark side. 00:05:19.134 --> 00:05:22.983 You know, one of the things that's really clear about the future, 00:05:22.983 --> 00:05:26.250 about our lives, about the lives of our children 00:05:26.250 --> 00:05:29.138 is it could be a life of fragmentation, 00:05:29.138 --> 00:05:33.802 it could be a life where in fact everything is broken 00:05:33.802 --> 00:05:35.382 into three minute periods. 00:05:35.382 --> 00:05:40.160 If you look even now at your life you'll find that even now 00:05:40.179 --> 00:05:43.090 you're constantly interrupted by technology. 00:05:43.099 --> 00:05:45.643 It's sort of like a bad tempered two year-old. 00:05:45.700 --> 00:05:49.506 You know you can't really find the time within your life 00:05:49.508 --> 00:05:52.084 that allows you to be reflective, 00:05:52.084 --> 00:05:54.308 that allows you to be thoughtful. 00:05:54.308 --> 00:05:58.941 So isolation, fragmentation, is a really important part 00:05:58.981 --> 00:06:02.631 potentially of our lives. But yet it doesn't need to be like that. 00:06:02.631 --> 00:06:04.918 The very technology that interrupts you 00:06:04.918 --> 00:06:07.054 the very technology that behaves like 00:06:07.054 --> 00:06:09.298 the bad tempered two year-old 00:06:09.298 --> 00:06:13.436 can also provide enormous opportunities for co-creation. 00:06:13.436 --> 00:06:17.509 Right now across the world tens of thousands of people 00:06:17.509 --> 00:06:20.638 are joining together on platforms like InnoCentive 00:06:20.638 --> 00:06:24.201 to share ideas, to think through the opportunities, 00:06:24.245 --> 00:06:26.731 to solve problems, both in their own country 00:06:26.731 --> 00:06:28.982 and indeed in other countries. 00:06:28.982 --> 00:06:31.883 It could be a world of isolation. 00:06:32.687 --> 00:06:36.289 There is a potential for many of us 00:06:36.289 --> 00:06:39.327 to be living in small families. 00:06:39.339 --> 00:06:44.565 We've moved into the city, we've lost our family roots 00:06:44.565 --> 00:06:47.686 we're very mobile, we're working at home 00:06:47.686 --> 00:06:52.548 rather than in an office and it could be a really isolated future. 00:06:52.548 --> 00:06:55.826 It could be a future where it's hard for you to connect 00:06:55.826 --> 00:06:58.889 but at the same time you know there are 00:06:58.889 --> 00:07:01.990 opportunities as we've heard today to really connect 00:07:01.990 --> 00:07:05.146 into your societies to connect into your communities 00:07:05.177 --> 00:07:08.919 to be part of the place that you live. 00:07:08.919 --> 00:07:11.327 And it's a world of exclusion. 00:07:11.379 --> 00:07:14.052 It's a world where the rich get richer, 00:07:14.075 --> 00:07:16.443 where the poor become poorer, 00:07:16.443 --> 00:07:19.391 wherever they happen to be located. 00:07:19.391 --> 00:07:21.560 It's a world where if you don't 00:07:21.560 --> 00:07:24.299 or you're not educated you can't join 00:07:24.299 --> 00:07:26.313 the global labor talent pool, 00:07:26.381 --> 00:07:28.894 you have no way of actually accessing 00:07:28.924 --> 00:07:31.443 the value that the world's creating. 00:07:31.443 --> 00:07:34.814 But it could be a world where you become engaged 00:07:34.859 --> 00:07:38.802 and where five billion people can connect to each other 00:07:38.802 --> 00:07:42.628 using the abundant knowledge that's available now 00:07:42.628 --> 00:07:47.968 through the sort of hand-held devices that my Masai warrior 00:07:47.968 --> 00:07:51.831 was holding that could create enormous amounts of engagement. 00:07:51.831 --> 00:07:55.502 And what I want to suggest is that the challenge 00:07:55.502 --> 00:07:59.482 that we face now is that we could walk into 00:07:59.482 --> 00:08:05.855 the future blindfolded or instead we could make some important shifts 00:08:05.855 --> 00:08:08.155 that change the way that we think, 00:08:08.155 --> 00:08:11.975 that change our behavior, that change some of the ways 00:08:12.032 --> 00:08:16.378 that we want our future to continue. 00:08:16.397 --> 00:08:21.268 And it seems to me, that right now, we are faced both with choices 00:08:21.273 --> 00:08:23.224 and with consequences. 00:08:23.224 --> 00:08:25.757 And I want to suggest three shifts 00:08:25.757 --> 00:08:29.029 I think each one of us should be thinking about 00:08:29.029 --> 00:08:32.267 in terms of how we create the sort of future 00:08:32.267 --> 00:08:34.975 that's going to be important to us. NOTE Paragraph 00:08:34.975 --> 00:08:39.439 The first is about the way we think about our own skills. 00:08:39.439 --> 00:08:42.227 Now you know there was a time 00:08:42.227 --> 00:08:45.161 that you thought maybe, you know, to be a generalist 00:08:45.161 --> 00:08:47.290 would be wonderful. 00:08:47.290 --> 00:08:49.991 I just need to be like a T-shaped manager. 00:08:49.991 --> 00:08:53.339 I need to know a little about a lot of things. 00:08:53.669 --> 00:08:57.893 But frankly if you know a little about a lot of things 00:08:57.893 --> 00:09:04.295 you're competition is not those smart highly educated people in China. 00:09:04.303 --> 00:09:07.803 Your competition is Wikipedia and Google. NOTE Paragraph 00:09:08.327 --> 00:09:11.979 So, you need to build mastery. 00:09:12.041 --> 00:09:17.345 You need to focus on areas that you love, that you're passionate about, 00:09:17.429 --> 00:09:20.726 because the future in my view is about hyperspecialization. 00:09:20.784 --> 00:09:25.184 And if can do two things, then that's even better. 00:09:25.184 --> 00:09:30.382 So, number one, first shift, think about what you love, 00:09:30.382 --> 00:09:34.355 what you're passionate about and really really focus on it. 00:09:35.012 --> 00:09:40.084 Number two. You know certainly when I was 00:09:40.084 --> 00:09:45.024 growing up what we thought was the way to get on was to compete. 00:09:45.060 --> 00:09:49.188 You know, that there was a rank and some people will be at the top 00:09:49.193 --> 00:09:51.189 and some people would be at the bottom. 00:09:51.189 --> 00:09:52.961 And the way to make sure that you were at the top 00:09:52.961 --> 00:09:56.158 was to compete with everybody else around you. 00:09:56.158 --> 00:09:59.583 and to be the best that you can be. 00:09:59.993 --> 00:10:03.285 What we're now realizing about the future 00:10:03.343 --> 00:10:07.072 is that there are incredible opportunities 00:10:07.072 --> 00:10:10.733 to build value through collaboration and through cooperation. 00:10:10.733 --> 00:10:13.449 Technology, those billions connected, 00:10:13.662 --> 00:10:17.198 abundant knowledge provides incredible opportunities 00:10:17.224 --> 00:10:20.741 not simply to compete but also to realize 00:10:20.741 --> 00:10:23.607 that networks are going to be important. 00:10:23.610 --> 00:10:26.111 And those could be the sort of networks 00:10:26.111 --> 00:10:30.764 that are the possy, you know those people who are really close to you 00:10:31.464 --> 00:10:34.141 who understand your knowledge who can ride with you 00:10:34.261 --> 00:10:36.991 it could be the regenerative community, 00:10:37.028 --> 00:10:40.764 those people who you're close to, who you give time to, 00:10:40.828 --> 00:10:44.198 who you can reflect to, it could be the big ideas crowd. 00:10:44.345 --> 00:10:46.910 The thousands of people you might know 00:10:46.910 --> 00:10:50.450 who between them have ideas that you can't even imagine 00:10:50.560 --> 00:10:54.541 but the combination with your ideas could be very valuable. 00:10:54.541 --> 00:10:57.166 And the final shift is this. 00:10:57.166 --> 00:11:00.386 You know when organizations began to industrialize 00:11:00.386 --> 00:11:04.426 the deal between the worker was very simple. 00:11:04.426 --> 00:11:11.339 You work to earn money to buy stuff that makes you happy. 00:11:12.145 --> 00:11:14.467 I don't think that's working anymore. 00:11:14.511 --> 00:11:17.118 I mean what we're beginning to realize 00:11:17.118 --> 00:11:21.488 is that there's very little correlation between higher standards of living 00:11:21.488 --> 00:11:24.514 and better feelings about happiness or quality of life. 00:11:24.514 --> 00:11:25.969 And what we're also realizing is that 00:11:25.981 --> 00:11:31.144 if we're going to be working until 75, which we will be, 00:11:31.144 --> 00:11:33.597 and if we're going to have work as a center 00:11:33.597 --> 00:11:36.147 of our life, which for most of us it will be, 00:11:36.147 --> 00:11:39.086 work is where we find meaning and I believe 00:11:39.086 --> 00:11:42.745 that in the future the shift comes less from thinking 00:11:42.745 --> 00:11:45.478 about work as a means of making money 00:11:45.546 --> 00:11:48.370 to buy stuff that you can consume 00:11:48.377 --> 00:11:52.955 but rather to see work itself as a source 00:11:52.955 --> 00:11:56.298 of enormous creativity and a source 00:11:56.298 --> 00:12:00.862 of enormous possibilities in terms of what would help 00:12:00.926 --> 00:12:04.556 each one of us to become the very best we can. 00:12:04.660 --> 00:12:08.056 You know human potential is indeed infinite. 00:12:08.060 --> 00:12:10.853 And I believe that whilst there are 00:12:10.853 --> 00:12:15.325 some very tough parts of the path ahead 00:12:15.325 --> 00:12:18.245 at the same time, we have opportunities 00:12:18.304 --> 00:12:23.562 for the next 10, 20 years to be incredibly exciting 00:12:23.624 --> 00:12:25.211 for every one of us. 00:12:25.211 --> 00:12:26.322 Thank you. 00:12:26.322 --> 00:12:28.073 (Applause)