1 00:00:16,740 --> 00:00:17,900 Thank you so much. 2 00:00:17,900 --> 00:00:21,905 You know, sometimes in our lives something happens to us 3 00:00:21,939 --> 00:00:26,319 that changes the way we think, that changes what we're going to do. 4 00:00:26,319 --> 00:00:29,940 And I wanted to start by telling you a story 5 00:00:29,956 --> 00:00:33,474 about something that happened to me almost five years ago 6 00:00:33,489 --> 00:00:36,791 which really set me off into thinking about this question 7 00:00:36,807 --> 00:00:40,189 of how do we regenerate ourselves. 8 00:00:40,189 --> 00:00:45,967 About four years ago I decided to take my younger son Dominic to Africa. 9 00:00:45,967 --> 00:00:49,679 You know he's like many teenagers in London 10 00:00:49,692 --> 00:00:52,639 spending lots of time hanging around, you know 11 00:00:52,639 --> 00:00:55,718 and I wanted him to really understand what was happening in Africa. 12 00:00:55,718 --> 00:00:59,142 And in particular you know he was just becoming a young 13 00:00:59,151 --> 00:01:02,835 adult, I wanted him to spend time with a Masai warriors. 14 00:01:02,835 --> 00:01:08,652 And so we took a plane - we took a little private plane - 15 00:01:08,732 --> 00:01:11,771 we got into a car and eventually 16 00:01:11,771 --> 00:01:13,615 - it took us about two and a half days - we ended up 17 00:01:13,615 --> 00:01:20,733 in a Masai village in the middle of the Masai Mara in Tanzania. 18 00:01:20,733 --> 00:01:24,233 And just as we had hoped there were a couple of 19 00:01:24,289 --> 00:01:27,757 Masai warriors that spent time with us over a couple of days 20 00:01:27,802 --> 00:01:29,763 talking to us about their rituals 21 00:01:29,769 --> 00:01:32,796 and so on, wonderful stuff. You know this was great 22 00:01:32,834 --> 00:01:37,347 for a teenager to really understand what it was like to be a warrior. 23 00:01:37,850 --> 00:01:41,705 And one morning he took us to the top of the hill 24 00:01:41,985 --> 00:01:44,238 and what he was doing is he was showing us 25 00:01:44,384 --> 00:01:48,690 his Masai territory and he was talking about how it was 26 00:01:48,902 --> 00:01:51,835 to be a Masai warrior and what it meant 27 00:01:51,835 --> 00:01:54,864 the implications, that they you know, had to live by. 28 00:01:55,117 --> 00:01:58,861 And there he was standing in his whole Masai wonderful red robes 29 00:02:01,385 --> 00:02:04,819 carrying a spear, a spear to kill lions with. 30 00:02:05,434 --> 00:02:07,060 This was an authentic moment. 31 00:02:07,060 --> 00:02:12,271 And as we stood there, there was a funny little sound. 32 00:02:13,748 --> 00:02:16,958 Can anyone imagine what that funny little sound was? 33 00:02:17,742 --> 00:02:18,949 (Audience: It was his phone) 34 00:02:18,949 --> 00:02:22,591 It's his mobile phone! So out of his pocket 35 00:02:22,591 --> 00:02:24,454 you know this sort of leopard skin pocket 36 00:02:24,454 --> 00:02:26,287 he gets his mobile phone. 37 00:02:26,287 --> 00:02:28,603 And like every 23 year-old 38 00:02:28,609 --> 00:02:31,911 he has a very excited conversation on his mobile phone. 39 00:02:31,911 --> 00:02:37,654 Well at that moment, I realized that my world had changed 40 00:02:37,664 --> 00:02:41,971 more than I ever imagined it would have done or could do. 41 00:02:42,001 --> 00:02:45,806 But that wasn't the only thing that happened that afternoon because 42 00:02:45,838 --> 00:02:49,756 when he put his phone down, being sort of an inquisitive professor 43 00:02:49,756 --> 00:02:52,327 at the London Business School I said to him, 44 00:02:52,339 --> 00:02:55,393 "What was the conversation about? Who were you talking to?" 45 00:02:55,413 --> 00:02:57,772 And he said "Ah! I was talking to my brother" 46 00:02:57,779 --> 00:03:03,145 Now he as a warrior, his job was to look after the cattle. 47 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:07,276 But his brother who was younger than my son a 12 year-old 48 00:03:07,339 --> 00:03:09,902 was looking after the goats and in fact his brother 49 00:03:09,940 --> 00:03:13,307 had gone out that morning, at six o'clock in the morning 50 00:03:13,307 --> 00:03:17,294 and had taken the goats out. This was about 12 o'clock by now. 51 00:03:17,339 --> 00:03:22,246 He said, "Well I was talking to my brother." 52 00:03:22,253 --> 00:03:24,429 I said, "Well what was the conversation [about]?" 53 00:03:24,429 --> 00:03:27,760 He said, "My brother had phoned me to tell me 54 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:31,583 that the goats had just found green grass" . 55 00:03:31,583 --> 00:03:35,592 Now you see that for me is the paradox of the future 56 00:03:35,623 --> 00:03:39,892 because in many ways things changed beyond imagination. 57 00:03:39,894 --> 00:03:42,683 Who would imagine that a Masai warrior four years ago 58 00:03:42,683 --> 00:03:44,597 would have a mobile phone? 59 00:03:44,597 --> 00:03:47,079 By the way he had no electricity, he had no car, 60 00:03:47,138 --> 00:03:49,776 he had no refrigerator, but he did have a mobile phone. 61 00:03:49,791 --> 00:03:53,315 But yet at the same time there were things about his life 62 00:03:53,315 --> 00:03:56,233 that had remained essentialy the same 63 00:03:56,248 --> 00:03:59,463 in terms of his values, his beliefs, and what was important to him. 64 00:03:59,463 --> 00:04:02,526 You know, I think the challenge that we face now 65 00:04:02,526 --> 00:04:06,493 is we are in the midst of the biggest transformation 66 00:04:06,579 --> 00:04:08,328 that the world had ever seen. 67 00:04:08,328 --> 00:04:11,147 When I wrote my book "The Shift" I said 68 00:04:11,147 --> 00:04:13,983 "The biggest transformation since the industrial revolution" . 69 00:04:13,983 --> 00:04:15,830 I don't think that's the case anymore. 70 00:04:15,838 --> 00:04:19,296 In the two years since that was written 71 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:22,434 I realized it's the biggest transformation ever. 72 00:04:22,434 --> 00:04:26,131 And one of the challenges that we face is to ask ourselves 73 00:04:26,149 --> 00:04:29,047 "What sort of a world do we want to construct?" 74 00:04:29,047 --> 00:04:32,973 And more importantly, what sort of a life do I want to construct? 75 00:04:32,973 --> 00:04:36,015 And there is no question that there are some 76 00:04:36,015 --> 00:04:39,664 pretty tough things happening to us in the future. 77 00:04:39,664 --> 00:04:43,114 If we look into the future what's clear is that 78 00:04:43,114 --> 00:04:46,913 you could walk into the future blindfold. 79 00:04:46,913 --> 00:04:48,650 You know you could walk into a default future 80 00:04:48,650 --> 00:04:52,791 where you don't make choices, you let the future unroll 81 00:04:52,791 --> 00:04:57,628 in front of you or you could be a lot more thoughtful 82 00:04:57,659 --> 00:04:59,555 about the future that you want to create. 83 00:04:59,555 --> 00:05:03,162 You can create in other words a "crafted future". 84 00:05:03,179 --> 00:05:06,455 Now to do that, I think you have to think about 85 00:05:06,504 --> 00:05:09,434 some of the things that are happening in our lives 86 00:05:09,434 --> 00:05:11,265 over the next couple of decades. 87 00:05:11,265 --> 00:05:15,827 Both in terms of the bright side and in terms of the side 88 00:05:15,827 --> 00:05:18,795 which is a dark side. 89 00:05:19,134 --> 00:05:22,983 You know, one of the things that's really clear about the future, 90 00:05:22,983 --> 00:05:26,250 about our lives, about the lives of our children 91 00:05:26,250 --> 00:05:29,138 is it could be a life of fragmentation, 92 00:05:29,138 --> 00:05:33,802 it could be a life where in fact everything is broken 93 00:05:33,802 --> 00:05:35,382 into three minute periods. 94 00:05:35,382 --> 00:05:40,160 If you look even now at your life you'll find that even now 95 00:05:40,179 --> 00:05:43,090 you're constantly interrupted by technology. 96 00:05:43,099 --> 00:05:45,643 It's sort of like a bad tempered two year-old. 97 00:05:45,700 --> 00:05:49,506 You know you can't really find the time within your life 98 00:05:49,508 --> 00:05:52,084 that allows you to be reflective, 99 00:05:52,084 --> 00:05:54,308 that allows you to be thoughtful. 100 00:05:54,308 --> 00:05:58,941 So isolation, fragmentation, is a really important part 101 00:05:58,981 --> 00:06:02,631 potentially of our lives. But yet it doesn't need to be like that. 102 00:06:02,631 --> 00:06:04,918 The very technology that interrupts you 103 00:06:04,918 --> 00:06:07,054 the very technology that behaves like 104 00:06:07,054 --> 00:06:09,298 the bad tempered two year-old 105 00:06:09,298 --> 00:06:13,436 can also provide enormous opportunities for co-creation. 106 00:06:13,436 --> 00:06:17,509 Right now across the world tens of thousands of people 107 00:06:17,509 --> 00:06:20,638 are joining together on platforms like InnoCentive 108 00:06:20,638 --> 00:06:24,201 to share ideas, to think through the opportunities, 109 00:06:24,245 --> 00:06:26,731 to solve problems, both in their own country 110 00:06:26,731 --> 00:06:28,982 and indeed in other countries. 111 00:06:28,982 --> 00:06:31,883 It could be a world of isolation. 112 00:06:32,687 --> 00:06:36,289 There is a potential for many of us 113 00:06:36,289 --> 00:06:39,327 to be living in small families. 114 00:06:39,339 --> 00:06:44,565 We've moved into the city, we've lost our family roots 115 00:06:44,565 --> 00:06:47,686 we're very mobile, we're working at home 116 00:06:47,686 --> 00:06:52,548 rather than in an office and it could be a really isolated future. 117 00:06:52,548 --> 00:06:55,826 It could be a future where it's hard for you to connect 118 00:06:55,826 --> 00:06:58,889 but at the same time you know there are 119 00:06:58,889 --> 00:07:01,990 opportunities as we've heard today to really connect 120 00:07:01,990 --> 00:07:05,146 into your societies to connect into your communities 121 00:07:05,177 --> 00:07:08,919 to be part of the place that you live. 122 00:07:08,919 --> 00:07:11,327 And it's a world of exclusion. 123 00:07:11,379 --> 00:07:14,052 It's a world where the rich get richer, 124 00:07:14,075 --> 00:07:16,443 where the poor become poorer, 125 00:07:16,443 --> 00:07:19,391 wherever they happen to be located. 126 00:07:19,391 --> 00:07:21,560 It's a world where if you don't 127 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:24,299 or you're not educated you can't join 128 00:07:24,299 --> 00:07:26,313 the global labor talent pool, 129 00:07:26,381 --> 00:07:28,894 you have no way of actually accessing 130 00:07:28,924 --> 00:07:31,443 the value that the world's creating. 131 00:07:31,443 --> 00:07:34,814 But it could be a world where you become engaged 132 00:07:34,859 --> 00:07:38,802 and where five billion people can connect to each other 133 00:07:38,802 --> 00:07:42,628 using the abundant knowledge that's available now 134 00:07:42,628 --> 00:07:47,968 through the sort of hand-held devices that my Masai warrior 135 00:07:47,968 --> 00:07:51,831 was holding that could create enormous amounts of engagement. 136 00:07:51,831 --> 00:07:55,502 And what I want to suggest is that the challenge 137 00:07:55,502 --> 00:07:59,482 that we face now is that we could walk into 138 00:07:59,482 --> 00:08:05,855 the future blindfolded or instead we could make some important shifts 139 00:08:05,855 --> 00:08:08,155 that change the way that we think, 140 00:08:08,155 --> 00:08:11,975 that change our behavior, that change some of the ways 141 00:08:12,032 --> 00:08:16,378 that we want our future to continue. 142 00:08:16,397 --> 00:08:21,268 And it seems to me, that right now, we are faced both with choices 143 00:08:21,273 --> 00:08:23,224 and with consequences. 144 00:08:23,224 --> 00:08:25,757 And I want to suggest three shifts 145 00:08:25,757 --> 00:08:29,029 I think each one of us should be thinking about 146 00:08:29,029 --> 00:08:32,267 in terms of how we create the sort of future 147 00:08:32,267 --> 00:08:34,975 that's going to be important to us. 148 00:08:34,975 --> 00:08:39,439 The first is about the way we think about our own skills. 149 00:08:39,439 --> 00:08:42,227 Now you know there was a time 150 00:08:42,227 --> 00:08:45,161 that you thought maybe, you know, to be a generalist 151 00:08:45,161 --> 00:08:47,290 would be wonderful. 152 00:08:47,290 --> 00:08:49,991 I just need to be like a T-shaped manager. 153 00:08:49,991 --> 00:08:53,339 I need to know a little about a lot of things. 154 00:08:53,669 --> 00:08:57,893 But frankly if you know a little about a lot of things 155 00:08:57,893 --> 00:09:04,295 you're competition is not those smart highly educated people in China. 156 00:09:04,303 --> 00:09:07,803 Your competition is Wikipedia and Google. 157 00:09:08,327 --> 00:09:11,979 So, you need to build mastery. 158 00:09:12,041 --> 00:09:17,345 You need to focus on areas that you love, that you're passionate about, 159 00:09:17,429 --> 00:09:20,726 because the future in my view is about hyperspecialization. 160 00:09:20,784 --> 00:09:25,184 And if can do two things, then that's even better. 161 00:09:25,184 --> 00:09:30,382 So, number one, first shift, think about what you love, 162 00:09:30,382 --> 00:09:34,355 what you're passionate about and really really focus on it. 163 00:09:35,012 --> 00:09:40,084 Number two. You know certainly when I was 164 00:09:40,084 --> 00:09:45,024 growing up what we thought was the way to get on was to compete. 165 00:09:45,060 --> 00:09:49,188 You know, that there was a rank and some people will be at the top 166 00:09:49,193 --> 00:09:51,189 and some people would be at the bottom. 167 00:09:51,189 --> 00:09:52,961 And the way to make sure that you were at the top 168 00:09:52,961 --> 00:09:56,158 was to compete with everybody else around you. 169 00:09:56,158 --> 00:09:59,583 and to be the best that you can be. 170 00:09:59,993 --> 00:10:03,285 What we're now realizing about the future 171 00:10:03,343 --> 00:10:07,072 is that there are incredible opportunities 172 00:10:07,072 --> 00:10:10,733 to build value through collaboration and through cooperation. 173 00:10:10,733 --> 00:10:13,449 Technology, those billions connected, 174 00:10:13,662 --> 00:10:17,198 abundant knowledge provides incredible opportunities 175 00:10:17,224 --> 00:10:20,741 not simply to compete but also to realize 176 00:10:20,741 --> 00:10:23,607 that networks are going to be important. 177 00:10:23,610 --> 00:10:26,111 And those could be the sort of networks 178 00:10:26,111 --> 00:10:30,764 that are the possy, you know those people who are really close to you 179 00:10:31,464 --> 00:10:34,141 who understand your knowledge who can ride with you 180 00:10:34,261 --> 00:10:36,991 it could be the regenerative community, 181 00:10:37,028 --> 00:10:40,764 those people who you're close to, who you give time to, 182 00:10:40,828 --> 00:10:44,198 who you can reflect to, it could be the big ideas crowd. 183 00:10:44,345 --> 00:10:46,910 The thousands of people you might know 184 00:10:46,910 --> 00:10:50,450 who between them have ideas that you can't even imagine 185 00:10:50,560 --> 00:10:54,541 but the combination with your ideas could be very valuable. 186 00:10:54,541 --> 00:10:57,166 And the final shift is this. 187 00:10:57,166 --> 00:11:00,386 You know when organizations began to industrialize 188 00:11:00,386 --> 00:11:04,426 the deal between the worker was very simple. 189 00:11:04,426 --> 00:11:11,339 You work to earn money to buy stuff that makes you happy. 190 00:11:12,145 --> 00:11:14,467 I don't think that's working anymore. 191 00:11:14,511 --> 00:11:17,118 I mean what we're beginning to realize 192 00:11:17,118 --> 00:11:21,488 is that there's very little correlation between higher standards of living 193 00:11:21,488 --> 00:11:24,514 and better feelings about happiness or quality of life. 194 00:11:24,514 --> 00:11:25,969 And what we're also realizing is that 195 00:11:25,981 --> 00:11:31,144 if we're going to be working until 75, which we will be, 196 00:11:31,144 --> 00:11:33,597 and if we're going to have work as a center 197 00:11:33,597 --> 00:11:36,147 of our life, which for most of us it will be, 198 00:11:36,147 --> 00:11:39,086 work is where we find meaning and I believe 199 00:11:39,086 --> 00:11:42,745 that in the future the shift comes less from thinking 200 00:11:42,745 --> 00:11:45,478 about work as a means of making money 201 00:11:45,546 --> 00:11:48,370 to buy stuff that you can consume 202 00:11:48,377 --> 00:11:52,955 but rather to see work itself as a source 203 00:11:52,955 --> 00:11:56,298 of enormous creativity and a source 204 00:11:56,298 --> 00:12:00,862 of enormous possibilities in terms of what would help 205 00:12:00,926 --> 00:12:04,556 each one of us to become the very best we can. 206 00:12:04,660 --> 00:12:08,056 You know human potential is indeed infinite. 207 00:12:08,060 --> 00:12:10,853 And I believe that whilst there are 208 00:12:10,853 --> 00:12:15,325 some very tough parts of the path ahead 209 00:12:15,325 --> 00:12:18,245 at the same time, we have opportunities 210 00:12:18,304 --> 00:12:23,562 for the next 10, 20 years to be incredibly exciting 211 00:12:23,624 --> 00:12:25,211 for every one of us. 212 00:12:25,211 --> 00:12:26,322 Thank you. 213 00:12:26,322 --> 00:12:28,073 (Applause)