1 00:00:15,108 --> 00:00:19,085 Why are gas stations always built right next to other gas stations? 2 00:00:19,109 --> 00:00:21,815 Why can I drive for a mile without finding a coffee shop 3 00:00:21,839 --> 00:00:24,143 and then stumble across three on the same corner? 4 00:00:24,167 --> 00:00:27,051 Why do grocery stores, auto repair shops and restaurants 5 00:00:27,075 --> 00:00:28,718 always seem to exist in groups 6 00:00:28,742 --> 00:00:31,901 instead of being spread evenly throughout a community? 7 00:00:31,925 --> 00:00:33,456 While there are several factors 8 00:00:33,480 --> 00:00:36,164 that might go into deciding where to place your business, 9 00:00:36,188 --> 00:00:39,796 clusters of similar companies can be explained by a very simple story 10 00:00:39,820 --> 00:00:42,292 called Hotelling's Model of Spatial Competition. 11 00:00:43,121 --> 00:00:45,217 Imagine that you sell ice cream at the beach. 12 00:00:45,241 --> 00:00:48,051 Your beach is one mile long and you have no competition. 13 00:00:48,075 --> 00:00:51,269 Where would you place your cart in order to sell the most product? 14 00:00:51,293 --> 00:00:52,368 In the middle. 15 00:00:52,392 --> 00:00:55,418 The one-half-mile walk may be too far for some people 16 00:00:55,442 --> 00:00:56,741 at each end of the beach, 17 00:00:56,765 --> 00:00:59,770 but your cart serves as many people as possible. 18 00:00:59,794 --> 00:01:01,118 One day you show up at work 19 00:01:01,142 --> 00:01:03,522 just as your cousin Teddy is arriving at the beach 20 00:01:03,546 --> 00:01:04,900 with his own ice cream cart. 21 00:01:04,925 --> 00:01:06,317 In fact, he's selling 22 00:01:06,341 --> 00:01:08,516 exactly the same type of ice cream as you are. 23 00:01:08,540 --> 00:01:10,793 You agree that you will split the beach in half. 24 00:01:10,817 --> 00:01:13,634 In order to ensure that customers don't have to walk too far 25 00:01:13,658 --> 00:01:16,572 you set up your cart a quarter mile south of the beach center, 26 00:01:16,596 --> 00:01:18,412 right in the middle of your territory. 27 00:01:18,436 --> 00:01:20,751 Teddy sets up a quarter mile north of the center, 28 00:01:20,775 --> 00:01:22,768 in the middle of Teddy territory. 29 00:01:22,792 --> 00:01:25,935 With this agreement, everyone south of you buys ice cream from you. 30 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:29,489 Everyone north of Teddy buys from him, and the 50% of beachgoers in between 31 00:01:29,513 --> 00:01:31,172 walk to the closest cart. 32 00:01:31,196 --> 00:01:33,751 No one walks more than a quarter of a mile, 33 00:01:33,775 --> 00:01:36,653 and both vendors sell to half of the beachgoers. 34 00:01:36,677 --> 00:01:40,836 Game theorists consider this a socially optimal solution. 35 00:01:40,860 --> 00:01:44,352 It minimizes the maximum number of steps any visitor must take 36 00:01:44,376 --> 00:01:46,352 in order to reach an ice cream cart. 37 00:01:46,376 --> 00:01:48,235 The next day, when you arrive at work, 38 00:01:48,259 --> 00:01:51,034 Teddy has set up his cart in the middle of the beach. 39 00:01:51,058 --> 00:01:54,301 You return to your location a quarter mile south of center 40 00:01:54,325 --> 00:01:57,069 and get the 25% of customers to the south of you. 41 00:01:57,093 --> 00:02:00,635 Teddy still gets all of the customers north in Teddy territory, 42 00:02:00,659 --> 00:02:04,702 but now you split the 25% of people in between the two carts. 43 00:02:04,726 --> 00:02:07,584 Day three of the ice cream wars, you get to the beach early, 44 00:02:07,608 --> 00:02:10,167 and set up right in the center of Teddy territory, 45 00:02:10,191 --> 00:02:13,632 assuming you'll serve the 75% of beachgoers to your south, 46 00:02:13,656 --> 00:02:17,026 leaving your cousin to sell to the 25% of customers to the north. 47 00:02:17,050 --> 00:02:20,520 When Teddy arrives, he sets up just south of you 48 00:02:20,544 --> 00:02:22,451 stealing all of the southerly customers, 49 00:02:22,475 --> 00:02:25,259 and leaving you with a small group of people to the north. 50 00:02:25,283 --> 00:02:29,336 Not to be outdone, you move 10 paces south of Teddy to regain your customers. 51 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:32,836 When you take a mid-day break, Teddy shuffles 10 paces south of you, 52 00:02:32,860 --> 00:02:36,535 and again, steals back all the customers to the far end of the beach. 53 00:02:36,559 --> 00:02:38,134 Throughout the course of the day, 54 00:02:38,158 --> 00:02:40,417 both of you continue to periodically move south 55 00:02:40,441 --> 00:02:42,836 towards the bulk of the ice cream buyers, 56 00:02:42,860 --> 00:02:45,860 until both of you eventually end up at the center of the beach, 57 00:02:45,884 --> 00:02:49,719 back to back, each serving 50% of the ice-cream-hungry beachgoers. 58 00:02:49,743 --> 00:02:51,935 At this point, you and your competitive cousin 59 00:02:51,959 --> 00:02:54,951 have reached what game theorists call a Nash Equilibrium - 60 00:02:54,975 --> 00:02:57,774 the point where neither of you can improve your position 61 00:02:57,798 --> 00:02:59,937 by deviating from your current strategy. 62 00:02:59,961 --> 00:03:01,398 Your original strategy, 63 00:03:01,422 --> 00:03:04,446 where you were each a quarter mile from the middle of the beach, 64 00:03:04,470 --> 00:03:07,086 didn't last, because it wasn't a Nash Equilibrium. 65 00:03:07,110 --> 00:03:10,936 Either of you could move your cart towards the other to sell more ice cream. 66 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:13,246 With both of you now in the center of the beach, 67 00:03:13,270 --> 00:03:16,902 you can't reposition your cart closer to your furthest customers 68 00:03:16,926 --> 00:03:19,212 without making your current customers worse off. 69 00:03:19,236 --> 00:03:22,568 However, you no longer have a socially optimal solution, 70 00:03:22,592 --> 00:03:24,592 since customers at either end of the beach 71 00:03:24,616 --> 00:03:27,602 have to walk further than necessary to get a sweet treat. 72 00:03:27,626 --> 00:03:29,570 Think about all the fast food chains, 73 00:03:29,594 --> 00:03:32,271 clothing boutiques, or mobile phone kiosks at the mall. 74 00:03:32,295 --> 00:03:33,879 Customers may be better served 75 00:03:33,903 --> 00:03:36,164 by distributing services throughout a community, 76 00:03:36,188 --> 00:03:39,520 but this leaves businesses vulnerable to aggressive competition. 77 00:03:39,544 --> 00:03:42,786 In the real world, customers come from more than one direction, 78 00:03:42,810 --> 00:03:45,715 and businesses are free to compete with marketing strategies, 79 00:03:45,739 --> 00:03:48,501 by differentiating their product line, and with price cuts, 80 00:03:48,525 --> 00:03:50,252 but at the heart of their strategy, 81 00:03:50,276 --> 00:03:53,621 companies like to keep their competition as close as possible.