0:00:26.700,0:00:29.261
Het leven gaat over overleven...

0:00:30.111,0:00:32.604
We weten nooit helemaal precies...

0:00:32.604,0:00:35.097
hoe lang een ieder heeft op deze planeet.

0:00:35.097,0:00:37.590
Maar onze taak als mens is voort te leven,

0:00:37.810,0:00:41.860
en alles dat ons bedreigt te elimineren

0:00:42.095,0:00:44.830
Dus wat is de grootste dreiging die je kan bedenken?

0:00:45.120,0:00:48.805
Milieu-vervuiling? Ziekte? Natuurlijke rampen?

0:00:56.125,0:00:58.396
Als je rondkijkt, dan kan hebben de mensen met macht

0:00:58.396,0:01:01.517
een paar nare bedreigingen vast gesteld.

0:01:01.517,0:01:03.009
en zo is er de Oorlog tegen Terreur...

0:01:03.009,0:01:04.106
De Oorlog tegen Criminaliteit..

0:01:04.106,0:01:05.063
De Oorlog tegen Drugs..

0:01:05.063,0:01:06.410
De Oorlog tegen Kanker.

0:01:07.055,0:01:09.647
Maar wanneer denken we aan de eerste levensbehoeften?

0:01:10.336,0:01:12.432
De Oorlog tegen basis-grondstoffen?

0:01:13.122,0:01:15.100
Meestal hoeven we daar niet aan te denken...

0:01:15.100,0:01:16.302
want, gelukkig maar...

0:01:16.302,0:01:17.861
we hebben een systeem.

0:01:18.021,0:01:20.346
Een systeem waarin je levensonderhoud

0:01:20.346,0:01:22.021
kan 'verdienen'.

0:01:22.311,0:01:24.458
Je kan een baan krijgen en voor geld werken.

0:01:24.922,0:01:27.992
wat je tot toegang verschaft tot voedsel, water en onderdak

0:01:28.635,0:01:31.779
Want het is goed dat we zo'n systeem hebben, want...

0:01:31.779,0:01:33.325
zonder geld. Dan kan je net zo goed dood zijn.

0:01:35.339,0:01:37.409
Maar als je zonder werk zit dan hoef je je geen...

0:01:37.409,0:01:38.390
zorgen te maken.

0:01:38.968,0:01:41.161
Want ook hier hebben we een systeem voor.

0:01:42.461,0:01:45.633
Als je werkloos bent, voor welke reden dan ook...

0:01:45.821,0:01:47.384
vraag simpelweg de overheid om hulp.

0:01:47.624,0:01:51.524
Alle mensen met een baan betalen belasting

0:01:51.524,0:01:54.387
en omdat de overheid begrijpt dat een bepaald...

0:01:54.387,0:01:57.623
percentage werkloosheid wordt verwacht.

0:01:58.937,0:02:03.255
Een beetje van dat geld wordt gedeeld en gegeven aan...

0:02:03.255,0:02:05.825
de mensen zonder baan.

0:02:06.103,0:02:08.291
Een proces genaamd, hervedeling.

0:02:08.688,0:02:11.599
Maar je kan jezelf dan afvragen...

0:02:11.830,0:02:14.282
Als dit ons antwoord is op werkloosheid...

0:02:14.492,0:02:17.183
Wanneer is dan de druppel?

0:02:17.339,0:02:20.510
Hoeveel werkloosheid kunnen we aan?

0:02:20.706,0:02:23.751
En wat gebeurt er als...

0:02:24.031,0:02:26.958
al die banen ineens er niet meer zijn?

0:02:30.557,0:02:33.599
-De wereld staat voor een ongelooflijke uitdaging...

0:02:35.280,0:02:38.364
600 miljoen banen moeten er gecreëerd worden om...

0:02:38.608,0:02:39.150
groei te genereren...

0:02:39.576,0:02:40.855
en om sociale stabiliteit te behouden

0:02:47.292,0:02:51.649
Defensie reus, BAE Systems heeft bevestigd 3000 mensen te ontslaan

0:02:53.598,0:02:57.013
Tata Steel heeft 9000 mensen in dienst, zij ontslaan 900 mensen.

0:03:01.688,0:03:03.863
Nog een tegenslag voor de regio vandaag...

0:03:03.863,0:03:08.582
De energie reus EON heeft aangekodigd om 600 mensen te ontslaan.

0:03:09.433,0:03:13.237
De Pfizer fabriek in Kent, ´s werelds grootste farmaciebedrijf,

0:03:14.023,0:03:17.576
zal in z´n geheel worden gesloten, met een verlies van meer dan...

0:03:17.576,0:03:21.825
2400 banen.

0:03:22.142,0:03:27.074
Ford heeft aangekondigd dat ze stoppen met het fabriceren...

0:03:27.205,0:03:29.466
van auto's in de UK, na meer dan 100 jaar.

0:03:29.559,0:03:32.898
De Japanse fabrikant Honda gaan 800 banen wegdoen.

0:03:33.920,0:03:41.285
De BBC zal gaan snijden in banen om 20% te besparen.

0:03:42.769,0:03:46.084
Meer dan 100 banen bij de Politie zijn al gesneden en...

0:03:46.084,0:03:47.168
1000 worden er bedreigt.

0:03:47.645,0:03:52.223
Kodak dat de handheld camera uitvond, en één van de bekenste merknamen,

0:03:52.223,0:03:53.234
heeft faillisement aangevraagd.

0:03:53.506,0:03:58.235
Rangers Football club is onder curatele gesteld

0:03:59.810,0:04:03.482
Meer dan 300 van de 800 winkels van Woolworth staan..

0:04:03.482,0:04:06.644
na 1,5 jaar nog leeg

0:04:08.366,0:04:12.563
Steeds meer retailers verwachten failliet te gaan de komende maanden.

0:04:12.563,0:04:17.170
Alle 187 winkels zijn dicht met een verlies van bijna 1400 banen.

0:04:20.813,0:04:24.508
Het was ooit een van grootste Britse sportwinkels, maar vandaag...

0:04:24.508,0:04:26.873
hebben ze faiilisement aangevraagd.

0:04:27.586,0:04:32.592
6500 banen zijn in gevaar nadat Coment onder curatele is geplaatst

0:04:33.272,0:04:38.365
Meer dan 4000 banen zijn in gevaar nadat HMV onder curatele is geplaatst.

0:04:38.855,0:04:43.858
Blockbuster is het laatste slachtoffer van de crisis...

0:04:43.858,0:04:45.541
een kwart van de winkels wordt gesloten.

0:04:45.541,0:04:47.011
Meer dan 700 mensen zijn overbodig

0:04:47.730,0:04:54.008
Er is onzekerheid over de toekomst van meer dan 6000 banen in de UK

0:04:55.598,0:05:00.286
Voormalige werknemers van LaSenza hebben uit protest winkels bezet

0:05:00.986,0:05:07.265
Een koper is niet gevonden, een gevaar voor 4000 banen.

0:05:08.325,0:05:13.256
IT-gigant Foxconn zal meer dan een half miljoen werkers vervangen

0:05:13.256,0:05:14.287
met robots de komende 3 jaar.

0:05:15.434,0:05:18.599
Het heet Scan Terwijl je Winkelt. Het simpel en de klanten vinden het geweldig.

0:05:19.254,0:05:21.530
Elke lading is bijn 300 ton.

0:05:22.298,0:05:25.455
Maar kijk goed, er zit niemand achter het stuur.

0:05:26.377,0:05:28.467
De faciliteit komt met een robot-systeem.

0:05:28.813,0:05:32.624
Om zo goederen te leveren, zoals beddegoed en voedsel.

0:05:32.780,0:05:34.468
Een geautomatiseerd ziekenhuis als het ware.

0:06:15.579,0:06:17.260
Dit is niet de eerste keer dat werkloosheid

0:06:17.260,0:06:18.915
een bedreiging is voor dit systeem.

0:06:19.514,0:06:21.989
20 jaar geleden was de werkloosheid rond de 10% van de

0:06:21.989,0:06:24.068
beroepsbevolking in de UK

0:06:24.777,0:06:27.182
Het was een van de ergste recessies in de geschiedenis

0:06:27.428,0:06:29.531
Met golven van protesten en plunderingen.

0:06:30.077,0:06:32.906
Maar, in het jaar 1993 veranderde dat.

0:06:34.981,0:06:36.794
Op een een of andere manier

0:06:36.794,0:06:37.485
kwamen de banen terug

0:06:37.485,0:06:38.782
en werd alles beter.

0:06:39.156,0:06:39.925
Deze groei en iedereen aan het werk

0:06:39.925,0:06:40.727
was precies wat we nodig hadden

0:06:41.707,0:06:44.327
Maar dit duurde maar tot 2001

0:06:45.723,0:06:46.787
Toen stagneerde het allemaal

0:06:47.733,0:06:48.442
En toen nam het toe.

0:06:49.800,0:06:52.379
Rond 2009 waren we weer terug tot 8%

0:06:54.232,0:06:57.753
Maar sindsdien is de snelheid waarmee afgenomen.

0:06:59.305,0:07:01.418
Althans, dat klinkt mooi...

0:07:01.418,0:07:03.189
ware het niet voor deze grafiek

0:07:03.870,0:07:06.759
Deze grafiek laat het aantal mensen met werk zien

0:07:06.759,0:07:08.880
verdeeld over part-time en fulltime banen

0:07:09.436,0:07:11.525
Zie je dat de part-time banen zijn toegenomen

0:07:11.525,0:07:14.157
bijna precies zoveel als dat fulltime is afgenomen.

0:07:15.351,0:07:19.630
Waar 1 persoon een 40-uur werkweek had, hebben nu

0:07:19.630,0:07:23.088
2 mensen een werkweek van 20 uur.

0:07:24.682,0:07:26.298
En grappig genoeg,

0:07:26.298,0:07:28.217
De kruising van de lijnen op de grafiek

0:07:28.217,0:07:29.478
vond plaats in 2009.

0:07:30.947,0:07:33.516
Dus technisch gezien zijn er meer mensen aan het werk

0:07:33.947,0:07:36.830
Het percentage laat een afname zien in snelheid van

0:07:36.830,0:07:38.134
banen verlies

0:07:39.506,0:07:41.462
Maar in de realiteit:

0:07:41.462,0:07:43.769
Het aantal beschikbare banen neemt af

0:07:44.016,0:07:46.355
En de economie wordt alleen maar slechter

0:07:48.114,0:07:49.555
Dus wat gebeurde er de laatste keer dat

0:07:49.555,0:07:50.996
we in deze rotzooi zaten?

0:07:50.996,0:07:52.437
Laten we teruggaan naar 1993

0:07:52.824,0:07:53.644
Wat veranderde?

0:07:54.673,0:07:56.672
Was het een georganiseerde demonstratie dat

0:07:56.672,0:07:57.880
de banen terugbracht?

0:07:58.606,0:08:01.642
Misschien was het een weldoordacht plan van de overheid?

0:08:02.983,0:08:06.381
Misschien stopte iedereen met lui zijn, en

0:08:06.381,0:08:08.544
besloot aan het werk te gaan.

0:08:12.243,0:08:15.581
Maar misschien heeft het te maken met technologie?

0:08:16.008,0:08:19.044
In 1993 bracht Microsoft het besturingssysteem Windows NT uit.

0:08:19.380,0:08:22.406
Intel ontwikkelde de eerste Pentium processor.

0:08:22.704,0:08:25.394
Het Nationaal Centrum voor Supercomputer Applicaties

0:08:25.973,0:08:27.748
bracht versie 1 van Mosaic uit.

0:08:28.147,0:08:31.475
Dit werd de 's werelds eerste internet webbrowser.

0:08:32.131,0:08:33.152
Er wordt geschat dat

0:08:33.152,0:08:36.208
het internet met 100% per jaar

0:08:36.208,0:08:37.368
groeide.

0:08:37.992,0:08:39.766
Dit verbeterde global communicatie

0:08:39.766,0:08:41.288
en creëerde veel banen binnen de

0:08:41.288,0:08:42.596
ontwikkelde landen.

0:08:43.852,0:08:46.076
Om elke discussie te vermijden of dit nou wel

0:08:46.463,0:08:48.034
of niet tot de groei in banen leidde,

0:08:50.803,0:08:52.119
in de jaren 90 was onze werkloosheidheid

0:08:52.786,0:08:55.176
bijna dezelfde als de VS.

0:08:55.555,0:09:00.346
En een onderzoek uit 2007 door een team

0:09:00.655,0:09:02.256
van de Harvard Universiteit concludeerde:

0:09:02.553,0:09:03.890
De economische groei van de jaren 90 werd gestuurd

0:09:04.215,0:09:06.672
door de verbeteringen in de IT

0:09:07.081,0:09:11.185
waaronder computers, software en telecommunicatie.

0:09:11.583,0:09:14.154
De geboorte van het internet bracht ons

0:09:14.548,0:09:15.671
in een nieuw tijdperk.

0:09:15.967,0:09:18.115
Het redde ons van de ondergang.

0:09:18.509,0:09:22.016
Maar, hoewel nieuwe technologiëen verantwoordelijk zijn

0:09:22.306,0:09:23.982
voor het creëren van nieuwe banen,

0:09:24.525,0:09:25.982
technologie staat er ook om bekend

0:09:26.522,0:09:28.444
om banen te vervangen.

0:09:28.910,0:09:31.909
Toen in 2001 het aantal werkende stagneerde

0:09:32.273,0:09:35.185
kwam dit niet doordat technologie stopte

0:09:35.478,0:09:37.412
met groeien, of dat er geen nieuwe ideeën waren.

0:09:37.785,0:09:40.323
Dit kwam simpelweg door het feit dat

0:09:40.710,0:09:43.041
technologie altijd verbeterd.

0:09:43.383,0:09:46.060
Het aantal nieuwe banen dat er bij kwam was evenveel

0:09:46.440,0:09:48.179
als het aantal banen dat verloren ging.

0:09:48.584,0:09:52.274
Economen zullen altijd ontkennen dat technologie banen zal

0:09:52.515,0:09:53.378
innemen.

0:09:53.678,0:09:55.418
Dit wordt ook wel de 'Lump of Labour Fallacy' genoemd.

0:09:55.717,0:09:57.320
Er wordt in deze theorie uitgegaan van het feit

0:09:57.761,0:09:59.832
dat werknemers op andere plekken komen te werken,

0:10:00.349,0:10:03.010
de banen die overbodig of geautomatiseerd zijn,

0:10:03.354,0:10:05.780
zorgen ervoor dat mensen nieuwe sectoren kunnen ontdekken.

0:10:06.415,0:10:09.719
Misschien zelfs de kans krijgen om nieuwe industrieën te bedenken.

0:10:11.841,0:10:14.753
Dit idee werkte misschien gedeeltelijk in het verleden, dit

0:10:15.120,0:10:18.384
argument is niet meer houdbaar.

0:10:18.719,0:10:21.727
Computers vandaag de dag zijn veel kleiner, sneller en

0:10:22.228,0:10:25.179
gaan langer mee, dit zorgt voor mobiliteit, behendigheid en kunst-

0:10:25.616,0:10:28.705
matige intelligentie.

0:10:29.110,0:10:30.919
Ze worden ook steeds goedkoper.

0:10:31.181,0:10:33.416
De Wet van Moore laat zien dat de rekenkracht van

0:10:33.749,0:10:36.777
een computer 2x zo groot wordt elke 18 maanden.

0:10:37.050,0:10:39.150
Dus als we nieuwe banen creëren,

0:10:39.616,0:10:43.675
waarom doen we alsof we deze banen aan mensen gaan geven?

0:16:10.290,0:16:16.949


0:16:16.949,0:16:20.519


0:16:20.519,0:16:26.110


0:16:26.110,0:16:33.110


0:16:33.329,0:16:38.420


0:16:38.420,0:16:44.149


0:16:44.149,0:16:48.170


0:16:48.170,0:16:54.069


0:16:54.069,0:16:59.860


0:16:59.860,0:17:06.859


0:17:07.280,0:17:13.980


0:17:13.980,0:17:20.130


0:17:20.130,0:17:24.420


0:17:24.420,0:17:29.720


0:17:29.720,0:17:34.890


0:17:34.890,0:17:41.890


0:17:46.440,0:17:52.590


0:17:52.590,0:17:58.080


0:17:58.080,0:18:04.760


0:18:04.760,0:18:10.720


0:18:10.720,0:18:15.190


0:18:15.190,0:18:22.110


0:18:22.110,0:18:29.110


0:18:31.429,0:18:36.190


0:18:36.190,0:18:42.820


0:18:42.820,0:18:49.659


0:18:49.659,0:18:56.659


0:18:56.850,0:19:03.590


0:19:03.590,0:19:09.120


0:19:09.120,0:19:14.100


0:19:14.100,0:19:20.610


0:19:20.610,0:19:25.860


0:19:25.860,0:19:32.140


0:19:32.140,0:19:38.860


0:19:38.860,0:19:45.860


0:19:46.059,0:19:50.659


0:19:50.659,0:19:57.149


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0:20:03.350,0:20:09.580


0:20:09.580,0:20:16.279


0:20:16.279,0:20:22.899


0:20:22.899,0:20:28.659


0:20:28.659,0:20:35.399


0:20:35.399,0:20:41.130


0:20:41.130,0:20:48.130


0:20:49.500,0:20:55.820


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0:20:59.510,0:21:06.460


0:21:06.460,0:21:12.850


0:21:12.850,0:21:19.149


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0:21:25.639,0:21:30.090


0:21:30.090,0:21:36.649


0:21:36.649,0:21:42.789


0:21:42.789,0:21:49.409


0:21:49.409,0:21:54.980


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0:22:01.220,0:22:07.370


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0:22:11.539,0:22:16.889


0:22:16.889,0:22:23.889


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0:23:09.669,0:23:13.929


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0:23:27.750,0:23:34.260


0:23:34.260,0:23:40.590


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0:23:44.450,0:23:49.889


0:23:49.889,0:23:54.309


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0:24:04.210,0:24:11.009


0:24:11.009,0:24:17.909


0:24:17.909,0:24:23.909


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0:24:29.269,0:24:35.190


0:24:35.190,0:24:41.929


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0:24:47.899,0:24:53.080


0:24:53.080,0:25:00.080


0:25:00.700,0:25:05.330


0:25:05.330,0:25:09.450


0:25:09.450,0:25:15.090


0:25:15.090,0:25:21.559


0:25:21.559,0:25:27.429


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0:25:32.070,0:25:37.350


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0:25:49.480,0:25:55.320


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0:26:03.090,0:26:09.840


0:26:09.840,0:26:14.269


0:26:14.269,0:26:20.120


0:26:20.120,0:26:27.120


0:26:28.710,0:26:35.279


0:26:35.279,0:26:40.870


0:26:40.870,0:26:47.870


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0:27:00.610,0:27:07.600


0:27:07.600,0:27:13.860


0:27:13.860,0:27:20.269


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0:27:25.769,0:27:31.230


0:27:31.230,0:27:36.590


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0:27:42.049,0:27:47.820


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0:28:03.320,0:28:08.440


0:28:08.440,0:28:14.389


0:28:14.389,0:28:21.389


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0:28:27.980,0:28:33.200


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