1 00:00:00,765 --> 00:00:04,367 So let me start by taking you back, 2 00:00:04,367 --> 00:00:06,603 back into the mists of your memory 3 00:00:06,603 --> 00:00:10,116 to perhaps the most anticipated year in your life, 4 00:00:10,116 --> 00:00:12,752 but certainly the most anticipated year 5 00:00:12,752 --> 00:00:14,730 in all human history: 6 00:00:14,730 --> 00:00:17,668 the year 2000. Remember that? 7 00:00:17,668 --> 00:00:21,221 Y2K, the dotcom bubble, 8 00:00:21,221 --> 00:00:23,618 stressing about whose party you're going to go to 9 00:00:23,618 --> 00:00:25,840 as the clock strikes midnight, 10 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:27,882 before the champagne goes flat, 11 00:00:27,882 --> 00:00:31,201 and then there's that inchoate yearning 12 00:00:31,201 --> 00:00:34,440 that was felt, I think, by many, that the millennium, 13 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:36,956 that the year 2000, should mean more, 14 00:00:36,956 --> 00:00:40,175 more than just a two and some zeroes. 15 00:00:40,175 --> 00:00:43,933 Well, amazingly, for once, our world leaders 16 00:00:43,933 --> 00:00:46,555 actually lived up to that millennium moment 17 00:00:46,555 --> 00:00:48,704 and back in 2000 agreed to some 18 00:00:48,704 --> 00:00:51,111 pretty extraordinary stuff: 19 00:00:51,111 --> 00:00:54,557 visionary, measurable, long-term targets 20 00:00:54,557 --> 00:00:57,290 called the Millennium Development Goals. 21 00:00:57,290 --> 00:00:59,535 Now, I'm sure you all keep a copy of the goals 22 00:00:59,535 --> 00:01:02,317 under your pillow, or by the bedside table, 23 00:01:02,317 --> 00:01:04,403 but just in case you don't, 24 00:01:04,403 --> 00:01:06,233 and your memory needs some jogging, 25 00:01:06,233 --> 00:01:08,855 the deal agreed then goes like this: 26 00:01:08,855 --> 00:01:11,430 developing countries promised to at least halve 27 00:01:11,430 --> 00:01:14,828 extreme poverty, hunger and deaths from disease, 28 00:01:14,828 --> 00:01:17,608 alongside some other targets, by 2015, 29 00:01:17,608 --> 00:01:20,463 and developed nations promised to help them 30 00:01:20,463 --> 00:01:22,861 get that done by dropping debts, 31 00:01:22,861 --> 00:01:25,582 increasing smart aid, and trade reform. 32 00:01:25,582 --> 00:01:27,831 Well, we're approaching 2015, 33 00:01:27,831 --> 00:01:30,630 so we'd better assess, how are we doing on these goals? 34 00:01:30,630 --> 00:01:34,392 But we've also got to decide, do we like such global goals? 35 00:01:34,392 --> 00:01:37,631 Some people don't. And if we like them, we've got to decide 36 00:01:37,631 --> 00:01:40,864 what we want to do on these goals going forward. 37 00:01:40,864 --> 00:01:43,043 What does the world want to do together? 38 00:01:43,043 --> 00:01:45,566 We've got to decide a process by which we decide. 39 00:01:45,566 --> 00:01:48,464 Well, I definitely think these goals are worth building on 40 00:01:48,464 --> 00:01:52,265 and seeing through, and here's just a few reasons why. 41 00:01:52,265 --> 00:01:55,382 Incredible partnerships between the private sector, 42 00:01:55,382 --> 00:01:57,586 political leaders, philanthropists 43 00:01:57,586 --> 00:01:59,615 and amazing grassroots activists 44 00:01:59,615 --> 00:02:01,344 across the developing world, 45 00:02:01,344 --> 00:02:05,878 but also 250,000 people marched in the streets 46 00:02:05,878 --> 00:02:08,314 of Edinburgh outside this very building 47 00:02:08,314 --> 00:02:09,658 for Make Poverty History. 48 00:02:09,658 --> 00:02:12,349 All together, they achieved these results: 49 00:02:12,349 --> 00:02:15,441 increased the number of people on anti-retrovirals, 50 00:02:15,441 --> 00:02:17,614 life-saving anti-AIDS drugs; 51 00:02:17,614 --> 00:02:20,302 nearly halved deaths from malaria; 52 00:02:20,302 --> 00:02:25,064 vaccinated so many that 5.4 million lives will be saved. 53 00:02:25,064 --> 00:02:27,367 And combined, this is going to result 54 00:02:27,367 --> 00:02:30,450 in two million fewer children dying every year, 55 00:02:30,450 --> 00:02:32,495 last year, than in the year 2000. 56 00:02:32,495 --> 00:02:35,430 That's 5,000 fewer kids dying every day, 57 00:02:35,430 --> 00:02:38,974 ten times you lot not dead every day, 58 00:02:38,974 --> 00:02:40,956 because of all of these partnerships. 59 00:02:40,956 --> 00:02:44,059 So I think this is amazing living proof of progress 60 00:02:44,059 --> 00:02:46,016 that more people should know about, 61 00:02:46,016 --> 00:02:48,423 but the challenge of communicating this kind of good news 62 00:02:48,423 --> 00:02:51,463 is probably the subject of a different TEDTalk. 63 00:02:51,463 --> 00:02:53,981 Anyway, for now, anyone involved in getting these results, 64 00:02:53,981 --> 00:02:57,192 thank you. I think this proved these goals are worth it. 65 00:02:57,192 --> 00:02:59,809 But there's still a lot of unfinished business. 66 00:02:59,809 --> 00:03:04,411 Still, 7.6 million children die every year of preventable, 67 00:03:04,411 --> 00:03:06,482 treatable diseases, 68 00:03:06,482 --> 00:03:09,215 and 178 million kids are malnourished 69 00:03:09,215 --> 00:03:10,645 to the point of stunting, a horrible term 70 00:03:10,645 --> 00:03:14,423 which means physical and cognitive lifelong impairment. 71 00:03:14,423 --> 00:03:16,911 So there's plainly a lot more to do on the goals we've got. 72 00:03:16,911 --> 00:03:19,959 But then, a lot of people think there are things 73 00:03:19,959 --> 00:03:21,872 that should have been in the original package 74 00:03:21,872 --> 00:03:24,144 that weren't agreed back then that should now be included, 75 00:03:24,144 --> 00:03:26,674 like sustainable development targets, 76 00:03:26,674 --> 00:03:28,936 natural resource governance targets, 77 00:03:28,936 --> 00:03:31,131 access to opportunity, to knowledge, 78 00:03:31,131 --> 00:03:33,121 equity, fighting corruption. 79 00:03:33,121 --> 00:03:35,777 All of this is measurable and could be in the new goals. 80 00:03:35,777 --> 00:03:37,745 But the key thing here is, 81 00:03:37,745 --> 00:03:39,860 what do you think should be in the new goals? 82 00:03:39,860 --> 00:03:41,772 What do you want? 83 00:03:41,772 --> 00:03:44,216 Are you annoyed that I didn't talk about gender equality 84 00:03:44,216 --> 00:03:46,093 or education? 85 00:03:46,093 --> 00:03:48,479 Should those be in the new package of goals? 86 00:03:48,479 --> 00:03:50,493 And quite frankly, that's a good question, 87 00:03:50,493 --> 00:03:52,439 but there's going to be some tough tradeoffs 88 00:03:52,439 --> 00:03:54,395 and choices here, so you want to hope 89 00:03:54,395 --> 00:03:56,332 that the process by which the world decides 90 00:03:56,332 --> 00:03:59,571 these new goals is going to be legitimate, right? 91 00:03:59,571 --> 00:04:01,597 Well, as we gather here in Edinburgh, 92 00:04:01,597 --> 00:04:04,579 technocrats appointed by the U.N. and certain governments, 93 00:04:04,579 --> 00:04:07,042 with the best intentions, are busying themselves 94 00:04:07,042 --> 00:04:09,441 designing a new package of goals, 95 00:04:09,441 --> 00:04:12,761 and currently they're doing that through pretty much the same old 96 00:04:12,761 --> 00:04:16,494 late-20th-century, top-down, elite, closed process. 97 00:04:16,494 --> 00:04:20,296 But, of course, since then, the Web and mobile telephony, 98 00:04:20,296 --> 00:04:23,038 along with ubiquitous reality TV formats 99 00:04:23,038 --> 00:04:25,155 have spread all around the world. 100 00:04:25,155 --> 00:04:27,939 So what we'd like to propose is that we use them 101 00:04:27,939 --> 00:04:30,961 to involve people from all around the world 102 00:04:30,961 --> 00:04:34,730 in an historic first: the world's first truly global 103 00:04:34,730 --> 00:04:38,320 poll and consultation, where everyone everywhere 104 00:04:38,320 --> 00:04:41,668 has an equal voice for the very first time. 105 00:04:41,668 --> 00:04:45,203 I mean, wouldn't it be a huge historic missed opportunity 106 00:04:45,203 --> 00:04:47,851 not to do this, given that we can? 107 00:04:47,851 --> 00:04:52,750 There's hundreds of billions of your aid dollars at stake, 108 00:04:52,750 --> 00:04:56,696 tens of millions of lives, or deaths, at stake, 109 00:04:56,696 --> 00:04:59,043 and, I'd argue, the security and future 110 00:04:59,043 --> 00:05:01,506 of you and your family is also at stake. 111 00:05:01,506 --> 00:05:05,095 So, if you're with me, I'd say there's three essential steps 112 00:05:05,095 --> 00:05:07,450 in this crowdsourcing campaign: 113 00:05:07,450 --> 00:05:10,327 collecting, connecting and committing. 114 00:05:10,327 --> 00:05:12,499 So first of all, we've got to ground this campaign 115 00:05:12,499 --> 00:05:14,623 in core polling data. 116 00:05:14,623 --> 00:05:16,737 Let's go into every country that will let us in, 117 00:05:16,737 --> 00:05:19,325 ask 1,001 people what they want 118 00:05:19,325 --> 00:05:21,385 the new goals to be, making special efforts 119 00:05:21,385 --> 00:05:23,624 to reach the poorest, those without access 120 00:05:23,624 --> 00:05:26,673 to modern technology, and let's make sure that their views 121 00:05:26,673 --> 00:05:28,957 are at the center of the goals going forward. 122 00:05:28,957 --> 00:05:33,052 Then, we've got to commission a baseline survey 123 00:05:33,052 --> 00:05:35,292 to make sure we can monitor and progress the goals 124 00:05:35,292 --> 00:05:37,318 going forward. The original goals didn't really have 125 00:05:37,318 --> 00:05:39,192 good baseline survey data, 126 00:05:39,192 --> 00:05:43,584 and we're going to need the help of big data through all of this process to make sure 127 00:05:43,584 --> 00:05:45,656 we can really monitor the progress. 128 00:05:45,656 --> 00:05:48,361 And then we've got to connect with the big crowd. 129 00:05:48,361 --> 00:05:51,478 Now here, we see the role for an unprecedented coalition 130 00:05:51,478 --> 00:05:54,448 of social media giants and upstarts, 131 00:05:54,448 --> 00:05:58,397 telecoms companies, reality TV show formats, 132 00:05:58,397 --> 00:06:01,895 gaming companies, telecoms, all of them together 133 00:06:01,895 --> 00:06:05,336 in kind of their "We Are The World" moment. 134 00:06:05,336 --> 00:06:07,643 Could they come together and help 135 00:06:07,643 --> 00:06:10,424 the Millennium Development Goals get rebranded 136 00:06:10,424 --> 00:06:13,448 into the Millennial Generation's Goals? 137 00:06:13,448 --> 00:06:16,261 And if just five percent of the five billion plus 138 00:06:16,261 --> 00:06:19,508 who are currently connected made a comment, 139 00:06:19,508 --> 00:06:21,830 and that comment turned into a commitment, 140 00:06:21,830 --> 00:06:24,966 we could crowdsource a force of 300 million people 141 00:06:24,966 --> 00:06:28,384 around the world to help see these goals through. 142 00:06:28,384 --> 00:06:31,886 If we have this collected data, and this connected crowd, 143 00:06:31,886 --> 00:06:33,615 based upon our experience of campaigning 144 00:06:33,615 --> 00:06:35,256 and getting world leaders to commit, 145 00:06:35,256 --> 00:06:36,697 I think world leaders will commit 146 00:06:36,697 --> 00:06:39,104 to most of the crowdsourced recommendations. 147 00:06:39,104 --> 00:06:41,727 But the question really is, through this process 148 00:06:41,727 --> 00:06:44,415 will we all have become committed? 149 00:06:44,415 --> 00:06:47,316 And if we are, are we ready to iterate, monitor 150 00:06:47,316 --> 00:06:49,580 and provide feedback, make sure these promises 151 00:06:49,580 --> 00:06:51,563 are really delivering results? 152 00:06:51,563 --> 00:06:54,764 Well, there's some fantastic examples here to scale up, 153 00:06:54,764 --> 00:06:57,476 mostly piloted within Africa, actually. 154 00:06:57,476 --> 00:06:59,715 There's Open Data Kenya, which geocodes 155 00:06:59,715 --> 00:07:02,167 and crowdsources information about where projects are, 156 00:07:02,167 --> 00:07:03,754 are they delivering results. 157 00:07:03,754 --> 00:07:05,530 Often, they're not in the right place. 158 00:07:05,530 --> 00:07:08,984 And Ushahidi, which means "witness" in Swahili, 159 00:07:08,984 --> 00:07:11,382 which geocodes and crowdsources information 160 00:07:11,382 --> 00:07:15,295 in complex emergencies to help target responses. 161 00:07:15,295 --> 00:07:18,704 This is some of the most exciting stuff 162 00:07:18,704 --> 00:07:20,563 in development and democracy, 163 00:07:20,563 --> 00:07:22,662 where citizens on the edge of a network 164 00:07:22,662 --> 00:07:24,603 are helping to force open the process 165 00:07:24,603 --> 00:07:27,314 to make sure that the big global aid promises 166 00:07:27,314 --> 00:07:30,768 and vague stuff up at the top really delivers for people 167 00:07:30,768 --> 00:07:34,924 at a grassroots level and inverts that pyramid. 168 00:07:34,924 --> 00:07:38,436 This openness, this forcing openness, is key, 169 00:07:38,436 --> 00:07:41,372 and if it wasn't entirely transparent already, 170 00:07:41,372 --> 00:07:46,016 I should be open: I've got a completely transparent agenda. 171 00:07:46,016 --> 00:07:48,423 Long-term trends suggest that this century 172 00:07:48,423 --> 00:07:50,679 is going to be a tough place to live, 173 00:07:50,679 --> 00:07:54,576 with population increases, consumption patterns increasing, 174 00:07:54,576 --> 00:07:58,010 and conflict over scarce natural resources. 175 00:07:58,010 --> 00:08:01,654 And look at the state of global politics today. 176 00:08:01,654 --> 00:08:04,755 Look at the Rio Earth Summit that happened just last week, 177 00:08:04,755 --> 00:08:07,109 or the Mexican G20, also last week. 178 00:08:07,109 --> 00:08:10,020 Both, if we're honest, a bust. 179 00:08:10,020 --> 00:08:12,183 Our world leaders, our global politics, 180 00:08:12,183 --> 00:08:14,872 currently can't get it done. 181 00:08:14,872 --> 00:08:18,245 They need our help. They need the cavalry, 182 00:08:18,245 --> 00:08:20,478 and the cavalry's not going to come from Mars. 183 00:08:20,478 --> 00:08:23,713 It's got to come from us, and I see this process 184 00:08:23,713 --> 00:08:26,664 of deciding democratically in a bottom-up fashion 185 00:08:26,664 --> 00:08:29,058 what the world wants to work on together 186 00:08:29,058 --> 00:08:32,425 as one vital means by which we can crowdsource 187 00:08:32,425 --> 00:08:35,753 the force to really build that constituency 188 00:08:35,753 --> 00:08:38,184 that's going to reinvigorate global governance 189 00:08:38,184 --> 00:08:40,175 in the 21st century. 190 00:08:40,175 --> 00:08:45,304 I started in 2000. Let me finish in 2030. 191 00:08:45,304 --> 00:08:48,803 Many people made fun of a big campaign a few years ago 192 00:08:48,803 --> 00:08:50,946 we had called Make Poverty History. 193 00:08:50,946 --> 00:08:54,236 It was a naive thought in many people's minds, 194 00:08:54,236 --> 00:08:57,005 and it's true, it was just a t-shirt slogan 195 00:08:57,005 --> 00:09:00,235 that worked for the moment. But look. 196 00:09:00,235 --> 00:09:04,380 The empirical condition of living under a dollar and 25 197 00:09:04,380 --> 00:09:07,524 is trending down, and look where it gets to by 2030. 198 00:09:07,524 --> 00:09:09,851 It's getting near zero. 199 00:09:09,851 --> 00:09:12,091 Now sure, progress in China and India 200 00:09:12,091 --> 00:09:14,313 and poverty reduction there was key to that, 201 00:09:14,313 --> 00:09:17,446 but recently also in Africa, poverty rates are being reduced. 202 00:09:17,446 --> 00:09:20,280 It will get harder as we get towards zero, 203 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:22,418 as the poor will be increasingly located 204 00:09:22,418 --> 00:09:24,708 in post-conflict, fragile states, 205 00:09:24,708 --> 00:09:26,684 or maybe in middle income states 206 00:09:26,684 --> 00:09:29,338 where they don't really care about the marginalized. 207 00:09:29,338 --> 00:09:33,285 But I'm confident, with the right kind of political campaigning 208 00:09:33,285 --> 00:09:36,447 and creative and technological innovation combined 209 00:09:36,447 --> 00:09:38,866 working together more and more as one, 210 00:09:38,866 --> 00:09:42,489 I think we can get this and other goals done. 211 00:09:42,489 --> 00:09:45,175 Thank you. (Applause) 212 00:09:45,175 --> 00:09:50,500 (Applause) 213 00:09:50,500 --> 00:09:52,660 Chris Anderson: Jamie, here's the puzzle to me. 214 00:09:52,660 --> 00:09:56,436 If there was an incident today where a hundred kids 215 00:09:56,436 --> 00:09:59,961 died in some tragedy or where, say, a hundred kids 216 00:09:59,961 --> 00:10:02,852 were kidnapped and then rescued by special forces, 217 00:10:02,852 --> 00:10:06,106 I mean, it would be all over the news for a week, right? 218 00:10:06,106 --> 00:10:08,726 You just put up, just as one of your numbers there, 219 00:10:08,726 --> 00:10:11,808 that 5,000 -- is that the number? 220 00:10:11,808 --> 00:10:13,800 Jamie Drummond: Fewer children every day. 221 00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:15,471 CA: Five thousand fewer children dying every day. 222 00:10:15,471 --> 00:10:18,784 I mean, it dwarfs, dwarfs everything 223 00:10:18,784 --> 00:10:22,136 that is actually on our news agenda, and it's invisible. 224 00:10:22,136 --> 00:10:23,970 This must drive you crazy. 225 00:10:23,970 --> 00:10:26,809 JD: It does, and we're having a huge debate in this country 226 00:10:26,809 --> 00:10:29,324 about aid levels, for example, and aid alone is not 227 00:10:29,324 --> 00:10:31,642 the whole solution. Nobody thinks it is. 228 00:10:31,642 --> 00:10:36,196 But, you know, if people saw the results of this smart aid, 229 00:10:36,196 --> 00:10:38,665 I mean, they'd be going crazy for it. 230 00:10:38,665 --> 00:10:42,296 I wish the 250,000 people who really did march 231 00:10:42,296 --> 00:10:45,550 outside this very building knew these results. 232 00:10:45,550 --> 00:10:48,429 Right now they don't, and it would be great to find a way 233 00:10:48,429 --> 00:10:50,681 to better communicate it, because we have not. 234 00:10:50,681 --> 00:10:53,963 Creatively, we've failed to communicate this success so far. 235 00:10:53,963 --> 00:10:57,171 If those kinds of efforts just could multiply their voice 236 00:10:57,171 --> 00:10:59,680 and amplify it at the key moments, I know for a fact 237 00:10:59,680 --> 00:11:01,681 we'd get better policy. 238 00:11:01,681 --> 00:11:04,202 The Mexican G20 need not have been a bust. 239 00:11:04,202 --> 00:11:06,743 Rio, if anyone cares about the environment, 240 00:11:06,743 --> 00:11:09,085 need not have been a bust, okay? 241 00:11:09,085 --> 00:11:10,955 But these conferences are going on, 242 00:11:10,955 --> 00:11:12,652 and I know people get skeptical and cynical 243 00:11:12,652 --> 00:11:14,428 about the big global summits and the promises 244 00:11:14,428 --> 00:11:16,175 and their never being kept, but actually, 245 00:11:16,175 --> 00:11:18,558 the bits that are, are making a difference, 246 00:11:18,558 --> 00:11:20,007 and what the politicians need 247 00:11:20,007 --> 00:11:22,248 is more permission from the public. 248 00:11:22,248 --> 00:11:24,337 CA: But you haven't fully worked out the Web mechanisms, etc. 249 00:11:24,337 --> 00:11:26,297 by which this might happen. 250 00:11:26,297 --> 00:11:28,184 I mean, if the people here who've had experience 251 00:11:28,184 --> 00:11:31,344 using open platforms, you're interested to talk with them 252 00:11:31,344 --> 00:11:32,970 this week and try to take this forward. 253 00:11:32,970 --> 00:11:34,940 JD: Absolutely. CA: All right, well I must say, 254 00:11:34,940 --> 00:11:37,552 if this conference led in some way 255 00:11:37,552 --> 00:11:40,561 to advancing that idea, that's a huge idea, 256 00:11:40,561 --> 00:11:42,918 and if you carry that forward, that is really awesome, 257 00:11:42,918 --> 00:11:44,359 so thank you. JD: I'd love your help. 258 00:11:44,359 --> 00:11:46,307 CA: Thank you, thank you. 259 00:11:46,307 --> 00:11:49,380 (Applause)