WEBVTT 00:00:00.765 --> 00:00:04.367 So let me start by taking you back, 00:00:04.367 --> 00:00:06.603 back into the mists of your memory 00:00:06.603 --> 00:00:10.116 to perhaps the most anticipated year in your life, 00:00:10.116 --> 00:00:12.752 but certainly the most anticipated year 00:00:12.752 --> 00:00:14.730 in all human history: 00:00:14.730 --> 00:00:17.668 the year 2000. Remember that? 00:00:17.668 --> 00:00:21.221 Y2K, the dotcom bubble, 00:00:21.221 --> 00:00:23.618 stressing about whose party you're going to go to 00:00:23.618 --> 00:00:25.840 as the clock strikes midnight, 00:00:25.840 --> 00:00:27.882 before the champagne goes flat, 00:00:27.882 --> 00:00:31.201 and then there's that inchoate yearning 00:00:31.201 --> 00:00:34.440 that was felt, I think, by many, that the millennium, 00:00:34.440 --> 00:00:36.956 that the year 2000, should mean more, 00:00:36.956 --> 00:00:40.175 more than just a two and some zeroes. NOTE Paragraph 00:00:40.175 --> 00:00:43.933 Well, amazingly, for once, our world leaders 00:00:43.933 --> 00:00:46.555 actually lived up to that millennium moment 00:00:46.555 --> 00:00:48.704 and back in 2000 agreed to some 00:00:48.704 --> 00:00:51.111 pretty extraordinary stuff: 00:00:51.111 --> 00:00:54.557 visionary, measurable, long-term targets 00:00:54.557 --> 00:00:57.290 called the Millennium Development Goals. NOTE Paragraph 00:00:57.290 --> 00:00:59.535 Now, I'm sure you all keep a copy of the goals 00:00:59.535 --> 00:01:02.317 under your pillow, or by the bedside table, 00:01:02.317 --> 00:01:04.403 but just in case you don't, 00:01:04.403 --> 00:01:06.233 and your memory needs some jogging, 00:01:06.233 --> 00:01:08.855 the deal agreed then goes like this: 00:01:08.855 --> 00:01:11.430 developing countries promised to at least halve 00:01:11.430 --> 00:01:14.828 extreme poverty, hunger and deaths from disease, 00:01:14.828 --> 00:01:17.608 alongside some other targets, by 2015, 00:01:17.608 --> 00:01:20.463 and developed nations promised to help them 00:01:20.463 --> 00:01:22.861 get that done by dropping debts, 00:01:22.861 --> 00:01:25.582 increasing smart aid, and trade reform. NOTE Paragraph 00:01:25.582 --> 00:01:27.831 Well, we're approaching 2015, 00:01:27.831 --> 00:01:30.630 so we'd better assess, how are we doing on these goals? 00:01:30.630 --> 00:01:34.392 But we've also got to decide, do we like such global goals? 00:01:34.392 --> 00:01:37.631 Some people don't. And if we like them, we've got to decide 00:01:37.631 --> 00:01:40.864 what we want to do on these goals going forward. 00:01:40.864 --> 00:01:43.043 What does the world want to do together? 00:01:43.043 --> 00:01:45.566 We've got to decide a process by which we decide. NOTE Paragraph 00:01:45.566 --> 00:01:48.464 Well, I definitely think these goals are worth building on 00:01:48.464 --> 00:01:52.265 and seeing through, and here's just a few reasons why. 00:01:52.265 --> 00:01:55.382 Incredible partnerships between the private sector, 00:01:55.382 --> 00:01:57.586 political leaders, philanthropists 00:01:57.586 --> 00:01:59.615 and amazing grassroots activists 00:01:59.615 --> 00:02:01.344 across the developing world, 00:02:01.344 --> 00:02:05.878 but also 250,000 people marched in the streets 00:02:05.878 --> 00:02:08.314 of Edinburgh outside this very building 00:02:08.314 --> 00:02:09.658 for Make Poverty History. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:09.658 --> 00:02:12.349 All together, they achieved these results: 00:02:12.349 --> 00:02:15.441 increased the number of people on anti-retrovirals, 00:02:15.441 --> 00:02:17.614 life-saving anti-AIDS drugs; 00:02:17.614 --> 00:02:20.302 nearly halved deaths from malaria; 00:02:20.302 --> 00:02:25.064 vaccinated so many that 5.4 million lives will be saved. 00:02:25.064 --> 00:02:27.367 And combined, this is going to result 00:02:27.367 --> 00:02:30.450 in two million fewer children dying every year, 00:02:30.450 --> 00:02:32.495 last year, than in the year 2000. 00:02:32.495 --> 00:02:35.430 That's 5,000 fewer kids dying every day, 00:02:35.430 --> 00:02:38.974 ten times you lot not dead every day, 00:02:38.974 --> 00:02:40.956 because of all of these partnerships. 00:02:40.956 --> 00:02:44.059 So I think this is amazing living proof of progress 00:02:44.059 --> 00:02:46.016 that more people should know about, 00:02:46.016 --> 00:02:48.423 but the challenge of communicating this kind of good news 00:02:48.423 --> 00:02:51.463 is probably the subject of a different TEDTalk. 00:02:51.463 --> 00:02:53.981 Anyway, for now, anyone involved in getting these results, 00:02:53.981 --> 00:02:57.192 thank you. I think this proved these goals are worth it. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:57.192 --> 00:02:59.809 But there's still a lot of unfinished business. 00:02:59.809 --> 00:03:04.411 Still, 7.6 million children die every year of preventable, 00:03:04.411 --> 00:03:06.482 treatable diseases, 00:03:06.482 --> 00:03:09.215 and 178 million kids are malnourished 00:03:09.215 --> 00:03:10.645 to the point of stunting, a horrible term 00:03:10.645 --> 00:03:14.423 which means physical and cognitive lifelong impairment. 00:03:14.423 --> 00:03:16.911 So there's plainly a lot more to do on the goals we've got. NOTE Paragraph 00:03:16.911 --> 00:03:19.959 But then, a lot of people think there are things 00:03:19.959 --> 00:03:21.872 that should have been in the original package 00:03:21.872 --> 00:03:24.144 that weren't agreed back then that should now be included, 00:03:24.144 --> 00:03:26.674 like sustainable development targets, 00:03:26.674 --> 00:03:28.936 natural resource governance targets, 00:03:28.936 --> 00:03:31.131 access to opportunity, to knowledge, 00:03:31.131 --> 00:03:33.121 equity, fighting corruption. 00:03:33.121 --> 00:03:35.777 All of this is measurable and could be in the new goals. NOTE Paragraph 00:03:35.777 --> 00:03:37.745 But the key thing here is, 00:03:37.745 --> 00:03:39.860 what do you think should be in the new goals? 00:03:39.860 --> 00:03:41.772 What do you want? 00:03:41.772 --> 00:03:44.216 Are you annoyed that I didn't talk about gender equality 00:03:44.216 --> 00:03:46.093 or education? 00:03:46.093 --> 00:03:48.479 Should those be in the new package of goals? NOTE Paragraph 00:03:48.479 --> 00:03:50.493 And quite frankly, that's a good question, 00:03:50.493 --> 00:03:52.439 but there's going to be some tough tradeoffs 00:03:52.439 --> 00:03:54.395 and choices here, so you want to hope 00:03:54.395 --> 00:03:56.332 that the process by which the world decides 00:03:56.332 --> 00:03:59.571 these new goals is going to be legitimate, right? NOTE Paragraph 00:03:59.571 --> 00:04:01.597 Well, as we gather here in Edinburgh, 00:04:01.597 --> 00:04:04.579 technocrats appointed by the U.N. and certain governments, 00:04:04.579 --> 00:04:07.042 with the best intentions, are busying themselves 00:04:07.042 --> 00:04:09.441 designing a new package of goals, 00:04:09.441 --> 00:04:12.761 and currently they're doing that through pretty much the same old 00:04:12.761 --> 00:04:16.494 late-20th-century, top-down, elite, closed process. NOTE Paragraph 00:04:16.494 --> 00:04:20.296 But, of course, since then, the Web and mobile telephony, 00:04:20.296 --> 00:04:23.038 along with ubiquitous reality TV formats 00:04:23.038 --> 00:04:25.155 have spread all around the world. 00:04:25.155 --> 00:04:27.939 So what we'd like to propose is that we use them 00:04:27.939 --> 00:04:30.961 to involve people from all around the world 00:04:30.961 --> 00:04:34.730 in an historic first: the world's first truly global 00:04:34.730 --> 00:04:38.320 poll and consultation, where everyone everywhere 00:04:38.320 --> 00:04:41.668 has an equal voice for the very first time. NOTE Paragraph 00:04:41.668 --> 00:04:45.203 I mean, wouldn't it be a huge historic missed opportunity 00:04:45.203 --> 00:04:47.851 not to do this, given that we can? 00:04:47.851 --> 00:04:52.750 There's hundreds of billions of your aid dollars at stake, 00:04:52.750 --> 00:04:56.696 tens of millions of lives, or deaths, at stake, 00:04:56.696 --> 00:04:59.043 and, I'd argue, the security and future 00:04:59.043 --> 00:05:01.506 of you and your family is also at stake. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:01.506 --> 00:05:05.095 So, if you're with me, I'd say there's three essential steps 00:05:05.095 --> 00:05:07.450 in this crowdsourcing campaign: 00:05:07.450 --> 00:05:10.327 collecting, connecting and committing. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:10.327 --> 00:05:12.499 So first of all, we've got to ground this campaign 00:05:12.499 --> 00:05:14.623 in core polling data. 00:05:14.623 --> 00:05:16.737 Let's go into every country that will let us in, 00:05:16.737 --> 00:05:19.325 ask 1,001 people what they want 00:05:19.325 --> 00:05:21.385 the new goals to be, making special efforts 00:05:21.385 --> 00:05:23.624 to reach the poorest, those without access 00:05:23.624 --> 00:05:26.673 to modern technology, and let's make sure that their views 00:05:26.673 --> 00:05:28.957 are at the center of the goals going forward. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:28.957 --> 00:05:33.052 Then, we've got to commission a baseline survey 00:05:33.052 --> 00:05:35.292 to make sure we can monitor and progress the goals 00:05:35.292 --> 00:05:37.318 going forward. The original goals didn't really have 00:05:37.318 --> 00:05:39.192 good baseline survey data, 00:05:39.192 --> 00:05:43.584 and we're going to need the help of big data through all of this process to make sure 00:05:43.584 --> 00:05:45.656 we can really monitor the progress. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:45.656 --> 00:05:48.361 And then we've got to connect with the big crowd. 00:05:48.361 --> 00:05:51.478 Now here, we see the role for an unprecedented coalition 00:05:51.478 --> 00:05:54.448 of social media giants and upstarts, 00:05:54.448 --> 00:05:58.397 telecoms companies, reality TV show formats, 00:05:58.397 --> 00:06:01.895 gaming companies, telecoms, all of them together 00:06:01.895 --> 00:06:05.336 in kind of their "We Are The World" moment. 00:06:05.336 --> 00:06:07.643 Could they come together and help 00:06:07.643 --> 00:06:10.424 the Millennium Development Goals get rebranded 00:06:10.424 --> 00:06:13.448 into the Millennial Generation's Goals? 00:06:13.448 --> 00:06:16.261 And if just five percent of the five billion plus 00:06:16.261 --> 00:06:19.508 who are currently connected made a comment, 00:06:19.508 --> 00:06:21.830 and that comment turned into a commitment, 00:06:21.830 --> 00:06:24.966 we could crowdsource a force of 300 million people 00:06:24.966 --> 00:06:28.384 around the world to help see these goals through. NOTE Paragraph 00:06:28.384 --> 00:06:31.886 If we have this collected data, and this connected crowd, 00:06:31.886 --> 00:06:33.615 based upon our experience of campaigning 00:06:33.615 --> 00:06:35.256 and getting world leaders to commit, 00:06:35.256 --> 00:06:36.697 I think world leaders will commit 00:06:36.697 --> 00:06:39.104 to most of the crowdsourced recommendations. NOTE Paragraph 00:06:39.104 --> 00:06:41.727 But the question really is, through this process 00:06:41.727 --> 00:06:44.415 will we all have become committed? 00:06:44.415 --> 00:06:47.316 And if we are, are we ready to iterate, monitor 00:06:47.316 --> 00:06:49.580 and provide feedback, make sure these promises 00:06:49.580 --> 00:06:51.563 are really delivering results? NOTE Paragraph 00:06:51.563 --> 00:06:54.764 Well, there's some fantastic examples here to scale up, 00:06:54.764 --> 00:06:57.476 mostly piloted within Africa, actually. 00:06:57.476 --> 00:06:59.715 There's Open Data Kenya, which geocodes 00:06:59.715 --> 00:07:02.167 and crowdsources information about where projects are, 00:07:02.167 --> 00:07:03.754 are they delivering results. 00:07:03.754 --> 00:07:05.530 Often, they're not in the right place. 00:07:05.530 --> 00:07:08.984 And Ushahidi, which means "witness" in Swahili, 00:07:08.984 --> 00:07:11.382 which geocodes and crowdsources information 00:07:11.382 --> 00:07:15.295 in complex emergencies to help target responses. 00:07:15.295 --> 00:07:18.704 This is some of the most exciting stuff 00:07:18.704 --> 00:07:20.563 in development and democracy, 00:07:20.563 --> 00:07:22.662 where citizens on the edge of a network 00:07:22.662 --> 00:07:24.603 are helping to force open the process 00:07:24.603 --> 00:07:27.314 to make sure that the big global aid promises 00:07:27.314 --> 00:07:30.768 and vague stuff up at the top really delivers for people 00:07:30.768 --> 00:07:34.924 at a grassroots level and inverts that pyramid. 00:07:34.924 --> 00:07:38.436 This openness, this forcing openness, is key, 00:07:38.436 --> 00:07:41.372 and if it wasn't entirely transparent already, 00:07:41.372 --> 00:07:46.016 I should be open: I've got a completely transparent agenda. NOTE Paragraph 00:07:46.016 --> 00:07:48.423 Long-term trends suggest that this century 00:07:48.423 --> 00:07:50.679 is going to be a tough place to live, 00:07:50.679 --> 00:07:54.576 with population increases, consumption patterns increasing, 00:07:54.576 --> 00:07:58.010 and conflict over scarce natural resources. 00:07:58.010 --> 00:08:01.654 And look at the state of global politics today. 00:08:01.654 --> 00:08:04.755 Look at the Rio Earth Summit that happened just last week, 00:08:04.755 --> 00:08:07.109 or the Mexican G20, also last week. 00:08:07.109 --> 00:08:10.020 Both, if we're honest, a bust. 00:08:10.020 --> 00:08:12.183 Our world leaders, our global politics, 00:08:12.183 --> 00:08:14.872 currently can't get it done. 00:08:14.872 --> 00:08:18.245 They need our help. They need the cavalry, 00:08:18.245 --> 00:08:20.478 and the cavalry's not going to come from Mars. 00:08:20.478 --> 00:08:23.713 It's got to come from us, and I see this process 00:08:23.713 --> 00:08:26.664 of deciding democratically in a bottom-up fashion 00:08:26.664 --> 00:08:29.058 what the world wants to work on together 00:08:29.058 --> 00:08:32.425 as one vital means by which we can crowdsource 00:08:32.425 --> 00:08:35.753 the force to really build that constituency 00:08:35.753 --> 00:08:38.184 that's going to reinvigorate global governance 00:08:38.184 --> 00:08:40.175 in the 21st century. NOTE Paragraph 00:08:40.175 --> 00:08:45.304 I started in 2000. Let me finish in 2030. NOTE Paragraph 00:08:45.304 --> 00:08:48.803 Many people made fun of a big campaign a few years ago 00:08:48.803 --> 00:08:50.946 we had called Make Poverty History. 00:08:50.946 --> 00:08:54.236 It was a naive thought in many people's minds, 00:08:54.236 --> 00:08:57.005 and it's true, it was just a t-shirt slogan 00:08:57.005 --> 00:09:00.235 that worked for the moment. But look. 00:09:00.235 --> 00:09:04.380 The empirical condition of living under a dollar and 25 00:09:04.380 --> 00:09:07.524 is trending down, and look where it gets to by 2030. 00:09:07.524 --> 00:09:09.851 It's getting near zero. 00:09:09.851 --> 00:09:12.091 Now sure, progress in China and India 00:09:12.091 --> 00:09:14.313 and poverty reduction there was key to that, 00:09:14.313 --> 00:09:17.446 but recently also in Africa, poverty rates are being reduced. 00:09:17.446 --> 00:09:20.280 It will get harder as we get towards zero, 00:09:20.280 --> 00:09:22.418 as the poor will be increasingly located 00:09:22.418 --> 00:09:24.708 in post-conflict, fragile states, 00:09:24.708 --> 00:09:26.684 or maybe in middle income states 00:09:26.684 --> 00:09:29.338 where they don't really care about the marginalized. 00:09:29.338 --> 00:09:33.285 But I'm confident, with the right kind of political campaigning 00:09:33.285 --> 00:09:36.447 and creative and technological innovation combined 00:09:36.447 --> 00:09:38.866 working together more and more as one, 00:09:38.866 --> 00:09:42.489 I think we can get this and other goals done. NOTE Paragraph 00:09:42.489 --> 00:09:45.175 Thank you. (Applause) NOTE Paragraph 00:09:45.175 --> 00:09:50.500 (Applause) NOTE Paragraph 00:09:50.500 --> 00:09:52.660 Chris Anderson: Jamie, here's the puzzle to me. 00:09:52.660 --> 00:09:56.436 If there was an incident today where a hundred kids 00:09:56.436 --> 00:09:59.961 died in some tragedy or where, say, a hundred kids 00:09:59.961 --> 00:10:02.852 were kidnapped and then rescued by special forces, 00:10:02.852 --> 00:10:06.106 I mean, it would be all over the news for a week, right? 00:10:06.106 --> 00:10:08.726 You just put up, just as one of your numbers there, 00:10:08.726 --> 00:10:11.808 that 5,000 -- is that the number? NOTE Paragraph 00:10:11.808 --> 00:10:13.800 Jamie Drummond: Fewer children every day. NOTE Paragraph 00:10:13.800 --> 00:10:15.471 CA: Five thousand fewer children dying every day. 00:10:15.471 --> 00:10:18.784 I mean, it dwarfs, dwarfs everything 00:10:18.784 --> 00:10:22.136 that is actually on our news agenda, and it's invisible. 00:10:22.136 --> 00:10:23.970 This must drive you crazy. NOTE Paragraph 00:10:23.970 --> 00:10:26.809 JD: It does, and we're having a huge debate in this country 00:10:26.809 --> 00:10:29.324 about aid levels, for example, and aid alone is not 00:10:29.324 --> 00:10:31.642 the whole solution. Nobody thinks it is. 00:10:31.642 --> 00:10:36.196 But, you know, if people saw the results of this smart aid, 00:10:36.196 --> 00:10:38.665 I mean, they'd be going crazy for it. 00:10:38.665 --> 00:10:42.296 I wish the 250,000 people who really did march 00:10:42.296 --> 00:10:45.550 outside this very building knew these results. 00:10:45.550 --> 00:10:48.429 Right now they don't, and it would be great to find a way 00:10:48.429 --> 00:10:50.681 to better communicate it, because we have not. 00:10:50.681 --> 00:10:53.963 Creatively, we've failed to communicate this success so far. 00:10:53.963 --> 00:10:57.171 If those kinds of efforts just could multiply their voice 00:10:57.171 --> 00:10:59.680 and amplify it at the key moments, I know for a fact 00:10:59.680 --> 00:11:01.681 we'd get better policy. 00:11:01.681 --> 00:11:04.202 The Mexican G20 need not have been a bust. 00:11:04.202 --> 00:11:06.743 Rio, if anyone cares about the environment, 00:11:06.743 --> 00:11:09.085 need not have been a bust, okay? 00:11:09.085 --> 00:11:10.955 But these conferences are going on, 00:11:10.955 --> 00:11:12.652 and I know people get skeptical and cynical 00:11:12.652 --> 00:11:14.428 about the big global summits and the promises 00:11:14.428 --> 00:11:16.175 and their never being kept, but actually, 00:11:16.175 --> 00:11:18.558 the bits that are, are making a difference, 00:11:18.558 --> 00:11:20.007 and what the politicians need 00:11:20.007 --> 00:11:22.248 is more permission from the public. NOTE Paragraph 00:11:22.248 --> 00:11:24.337 CA: But you haven't fully worked out the Web mechanisms, etc. 00:11:24.337 --> 00:11:26.297 by which this might happen. 00:11:26.297 --> 00:11:28.184 I mean, if the people here who've had experience 00:11:28.184 --> 00:11:31.344 using open platforms, you're interested to talk with them 00:11:31.344 --> 00:11:32.970 this week and try to take this forward. NOTE Paragraph 00:11:32.970 --> 00:11:34.940 JD: Absolutely. CA: All right, well I must say, 00:11:34.940 --> 00:11:37.552 if this conference led in some way 00:11:37.552 --> 00:11:40.561 to advancing that idea, that's a huge idea, 00:11:40.561 --> 00:11:42.918 and if you carry that forward, that is really awesome, 00:11:42.918 --> 00:11:44.359 so thank you. JD: I'd love your help. NOTE Paragraph 00:11:44.359 --> 00:11:46.307 CA: Thank you, thank you. NOTE Paragraph 00:11:46.307 --> 00:11:49.380 (Applause)