1 00:00:09,480 --> 00:00:11,974 It is a delight to be here. 2 00:00:11,994 --> 00:00:15,101 I worked on my speech at 4 in the morning last night. 3 00:00:15,176 --> 00:00:16,415 (Laughter) 4 00:00:16,436 --> 00:00:19,202 And I think it's part of this criptic code. 5 00:00:20,008 --> 00:00:21,719 I want to talk about technology. 6 00:00:21,739 --> 00:00:24,815 Technology surround us, it's everywhere, 7 00:00:24,834 --> 00:00:26,660 it fills our lives, 8 00:00:26,681 --> 00:00:29,867 a lot of us work at making more tachnology. 9 00:00:30,393 --> 00:00:34,131 The first [letter] of this conference, TED, 10 00:00:34,152 --> 00:00:36,084 stands for technology. 11 00:00:36,104 --> 00:00:38,529 And yet, I don't think we really know what it is. 12 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:41,599 I want to talk about my investigations 13 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:45,685 into what technology means in our lives - 14 00:00:45,767 --> 00:00:48,766 not just our immediate life, but in the cosmic sense, 15 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:51,799 in the kind of long history of the world 16 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:54,779 and our place in the world: 17 00:00:54,780 --> 00:00:56,779 What is this stuff? 18 00:00:56,800 --> 00:00:58,799 What is the significance? 19 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:00,799 And so, I want to kind of go through 20 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:02,799 my little story of what I found out. 21 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:05,658 And one of the first things that I started to investigate was 22 00:01:05,678 --> 00:01:08,799 the history of the name of technology. 23 00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:11,705 And in the United States there is a State of the Union address 24 00:01:11,725 --> 00:01:14,360 given by every president since 1790. 25 00:01:14,380 --> 00:01:19,558 So we have 220 State of the Union addresses. 26 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:22,679 And each one of those is really kind of 27 00:01:22,700 --> 00:01:24,699 summing up the most important things 28 00:01:24,700 --> 00:01:26,699 for the United States at that time. 29 00:01:27,303 --> 00:01:30,438 If you search for the word "technology," 30 00:01:30,478 --> 00:01:32,679 it was not used until 1952. 31 00:01:33,684 --> 00:01:37,155 So, technology was sort of absent from everybody's thinking 32 00:01:37,181 --> 00:01:39,746 until 1952, which happened to be the year of my birth. 33 00:01:39,746 --> 00:01:41,270 And obviously, technology 34 00:01:41,311 --> 00:01:44,004 had existed before then, but we weren't aware of it, 35 00:01:44,036 --> 00:01:46,129 and so it was sort of an awakening 36 00:01:46,130 --> 00:01:48,699 of this force in our life. 37 00:01:49,900 --> 00:01:54,662 I actually did research to find that the first use of the word "technology" 38 00:01:54,701 --> 00:01:56,963 was in 1829, 39 00:01:57,319 --> 00:02:01,422 and it was invented by a guy who was starting a curriculum, 40 00:02:01,500 --> 00:02:03,499 a course, bringing together all the kinds 41 00:02:03,500 --> 00:02:06,499 of arts and crafts, and industry - 42 00:02:06,500 --> 00:02:08,499 and he called it "Technology." 43 00:02:08,500 --> 00:02:10,500 And that's the very first use of the word. 44 00:02:10,912 --> 00:02:14,563 Obviously this thing in our life has been going on a lot earlier. 45 00:02:14,620 --> 00:02:16,599 So, what is this stuff 46 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:19,599 that we're all consumed by, 47 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:21,916 and bothered by? 48 00:02:22,068 --> 00:02:24,384 Alan Kay calls it, "Technology is anything 49 00:02:24,424 --> 00:02:26,599 that was invented after you were born." 50 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:27,599 (Laughter) 51 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:31,599 Which is sort of the idea that we normally have about what technology is: 52 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:33,599 It's all that new stuff. 53 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:35,599 It's not roads, or penicillin, 54 00:02:36,330 --> 00:02:39,599 or factory tires; it's the new stuff. 55 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:42,574 My friend Danny Hillis says kind of a similar one, 56 00:02:42,629 --> 00:02:45,510 he says, "Technology is anything that doesn't work yet." 57 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:47,648 Which is, again, a sense that it's all new. 58 00:02:47,668 --> 00:02:49,599 But we know that it's just not new. 59 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:52,077 It actually goes way back, and what I want to suggest 60 00:02:52,097 --> 00:02:55,599 is it goes a long way back. 61 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:58,348 So, another way to think about technology, what it means, 62 00:02:58,348 --> 00:03:00,359 is to imagine a world without technology. 63 00:03:00,359 --> 00:03:03,934 If we were to eliminate every single bit of technology in the world today - 64 00:03:03,934 --> 00:03:05,479 and I mean everything, 65 00:03:05,479 --> 00:03:09,199 from blades to scrapers to cloth - 66 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:12,199 we as a species would not live very long. 67 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:15,199 We would die by the billions, and very quickly: 68 00:03:16,846 --> 00:03:20,243 The wolves would get us, we would be defenseless, 69 00:03:20,300 --> 00:03:23,299 we would be unable to grow enough food, or find enough food. 70 00:03:23,300 --> 00:03:27,299 Even the hunter-gatherers used some elementary tools. 71 00:03:27,300 --> 00:03:29,299 And so, they had minimal technology, 72 00:03:29,300 --> 00:03:31,299 but they had some technology. 73 00:03:31,300 --> 00:03:34,299 And if we study those hunter-gatherer tribes 74 00:03:34,300 --> 00:03:38,122 and the Neanderthal, which are very similar to early man, 75 00:03:38,143 --> 00:03:41,539 we find out a very curious thing about this world without technology, 76 00:03:41,559 --> 00:03:44,299 and this is a kind of a curve of their average age. 77 00:03:44,300 --> 00:03:48,130 There are no Neanderthal fossils that are older than 40 years old 78 00:03:48,599 --> 00:03:50,099 that we've ever found, 79 00:03:50,100 --> 00:03:52,099 and the average age of most of these 80 00:03:52,100 --> 00:03:54,503 hunter-gatherer tribes is 20 to 30. 81 00:03:54,524 --> 00:03:57,523 There are very few young infants 82 00:03:57,544 --> 00:04:00,973 because they die - high mortality rate - and there's very few old people. 83 00:04:01,017 --> 00:04:04,813 And so the profile is sort of for your average San Francisco neighborhood: 84 00:04:04,845 --> 00:04:06,115 a lot of young people. 85 00:04:06,147 --> 00:04:09,184 And if you go there, you say, "Hey, everybody's really healthy." 86 00:04:09,184 --> 00:04:11,094 Well, that's because they're all young. 87 00:04:11,094 --> 00:04:14,144 And the same thing with the hunter-gatherer tribes and early man 88 00:04:14,144 --> 00:04:16,299 is that you didn't live beyond the age of 30. 89 00:04:16,299 --> 00:04:18,279 So, it was a world without grandparents. 90 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:20,073 And grandparents are very important, 91 00:04:20,073 --> 00:04:23,440 because they are the transmitter of cultural evolution and information. 92 00:04:23,461 --> 00:04:26,460 Imagine a world and basically everybody was 20 to 30 years old. 93 00:04:26,486 --> 00:04:28,317 How much learning can you do? 94 00:04:28,317 --> 00:04:30,638 You can't do very much learning in your own life, 95 00:04:30,659 --> 00:04:31,915 it's so short, 96 00:04:31,949 --> 00:04:34,740 and there's nobody to pass on what you do learn. 97 00:04:36,134 --> 00:04:37,333 So, that's one aspect. 98 00:04:37,354 --> 00:04:38,627 It was a very short life. 99 00:04:38,675 --> 00:04:41,511 But at the same time anthropologists know 100 00:04:41,624 --> 00:04:44,134 that most hunter-gatherer tribes of the world, 101 00:04:44,219 --> 00:04:46,931 with that very little technology, actually did not spend 102 00:04:46,989 --> 00:04:49,844 a very long time gathering the food that they needed: 103 00:04:49,865 --> 00:04:52,044 three to six hours a day. 104 00:04:52,100 --> 00:04:55,942 Some anthropologists call that the original affluent society. 105 00:04:56,649 --> 00:04:59,038 Because they had banker hours basically. 106 00:04:59,101 --> 00:05:02,602 So, it was possible to get enough food. 107 00:05:03,500 --> 00:05:05,499 But when the scarcity came 108 00:05:05,500 --> 00:05:07,643 when the highs and lows and the droughts came, 109 00:05:07,663 --> 00:05:10,499 then people went into starvation. 110 00:05:10,500 --> 00:05:12,500 And that's why they didn't live very long. 111 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:14,499 So, what technology brought, 112 00:05:14,500 --> 00:05:19,499 through the very simple tools like these stone tools here - 113 00:05:19,500 --> 00:05:21,499 even something as small as this - 114 00:05:21,500 --> 00:05:23,548 the early bands of humans were actually able 115 00:05:23,568 --> 00:05:26,499 to eliminate to extinction 116 00:05:26,500 --> 00:05:30,499 about 250 megafauna animals 117 00:05:30,499 --> 00:05:33,927 in North America when they first arrived 10,000 years ago. 118 00:05:33,948 --> 00:05:36,512 So, within several generations, 119 00:05:36,532 --> 00:05:38,532 a couple thousands of years, 120 00:05:38,552 --> 00:05:42,515 that little bit of technology eliminated all those animals, 121 00:05:42,535 --> 00:05:46,380 so we've been actually affecting the planet on a grand scale 122 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:48,400 from a very early age. 123 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:53,479 So, long before the industrial age 124 00:05:53,500 --> 00:05:56,499 we've been affecting the planet on a global scale, 125 00:05:56,500 --> 00:05:58,499 with just a small amount of technology. 126 00:05:58,500 --> 00:06:01,499 The other thing that the early man invented was fire. 127 00:06:02,500 --> 00:06:04,500 And fire was used to clear out, and again, 128 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:08,499 affected the ecology of grass and whole continents, 129 00:06:08,500 --> 00:06:10,472 and was used in cooking. 130 00:06:10,507 --> 00:06:13,083 It enabled us to actually eat all kinds of things. 131 00:06:13,104 --> 00:06:15,773 It was sort of, in a certain sense, in a McLuhan sense, 132 00:06:15,773 --> 00:06:17,313 an external stomach, 133 00:06:17,334 --> 00:06:20,959 in the sense that it was cooking food that we could not eat otherwise. 134 00:06:21,004 --> 00:06:23,970 And if we don't have fire, we actually could not live. 135 00:06:24,094 --> 00:06:27,499 Our bodies have adapted to these new diets. 136 00:06:27,500 --> 00:06:30,499 Our bodies have changed in the last 10,000 years. 137 00:06:30,500 --> 00:06:33,248 So, with that little bit of technology, 138 00:06:33,317 --> 00:06:35,629 humans went from a small band of 10,000 or so - 139 00:06:35,692 --> 00:06:37,740 the same number as Neanderthals everywhere - 140 00:06:37,760 --> 00:06:39,499 and we suddenly exploded. 141 00:06:39,500 --> 00:06:42,109 With the invention of language around 50,000 years ago, 142 00:06:42,109 --> 00:06:43,829 the number of humans exploded, 143 00:06:43,829 --> 00:06:46,879 and very quickly became the dominant species on the planet. 144 00:06:46,879 --> 00:06:50,499 And they migrated into the rest of the world at two kilometers per year 145 00:06:50,500 --> 00:06:53,499 until, within several tens of thousands of years, 146 00:06:53,500 --> 00:06:55,787 we occupied every single watershed on the planet 147 00:06:55,787 --> 00:06:57,619 and became the most dominant species, 148 00:06:57,619 --> 00:06:59,499 with a very small amount of technology. 149 00:06:59,500 --> 00:07:02,499 And even at that time, with the introduction of agriculture, 150 00:07:02,500 --> 00:07:04,499 8,000, 10,000 years ago 151 00:07:04,500 --> 00:07:06,499 we started to see climate change. 152 00:07:06,500 --> 00:07:08,499 So, climate change is not a new thing. 153 00:07:08,500 --> 00:07:10,499 What's new is just the degree of it. 154 00:07:10,500 --> 00:07:13,499 Even during the agricultural age there was climate change. 155 00:07:13,500 --> 00:07:15,500 And so, already small amounts of technology 156 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:17,499 were transforming the world. 157 00:07:17,500 --> 00:07:19,616 And what this means, and where I'm going, 158 00:07:19,616 --> 00:07:23,499 is that technology has become the most powerful force in the world. 159 00:07:23,500 --> 00:07:25,499 All the things that we see today 160 00:07:25,500 --> 00:07:28,006 that are changing our lives, we can always trace back 161 00:07:28,006 --> 00:07:30,098 to the introduction of some new technology. 162 00:07:30,098 --> 00:07:33,499 So, it's a force that is the most powerful force 163 00:07:33,500 --> 00:07:36,383 that has been unleashed on this planet, 164 00:07:37,251 --> 00:07:40,788 and in such a degree that I think 165 00:07:40,979 --> 00:07:45,474 that it's become who we are. 166 00:07:46,150 --> 00:07:49,513 In fact, our humanity, and everything that we think about ourselves 167 00:07:49,513 --> 00:07:51,132 is something that we've invented. 168 00:07:51,158 --> 00:07:52,596 So, we've invented ourselves. 169 00:07:52,596 --> 00:07:54,746 Of all the animals that we have domesticated, 170 00:07:54,746 --> 00:07:57,082 the most important animal that we've domesticated 171 00:07:57,082 --> 00:07:58,319 has been us. Okay? 172 00:07:58,319 --> 00:08:01,271 So, humanity is our greatest invention. 173 00:08:01,500 --> 00:08:03,499 But of course we're not done yet. 174 00:08:03,500 --> 00:08:06,929 We're still inventing, and this is what technology is allowing us to do - 175 00:08:06,949 --> 00:08:09,499 it's continually to reinvent ourselves. 176 00:08:09,500 --> 00:08:12,044 It's a very, very strong force. 177 00:08:12,092 --> 00:08:15,282 I call this entire thing - us humans as our technology, 178 00:08:15,353 --> 00:08:19,064 everything that we've made, gadgets in our lives - 179 00:08:19,064 --> 00:08:20,404 we call that the technium. 180 00:08:20,404 --> 00:08:22,116 That's this world. 181 00:08:22,936 --> 00:08:24,819 My working definition of technology 182 00:08:24,830 --> 00:08:27,829 is "anything useful that a human mind makes." 183 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:33,679 It's not just hammers and gadgets, like laptops. 184 00:08:33,759 --> 00:08:35,499 But it's also law. 185 00:08:35,519 --> 00:08:38,158 The system of law is a kind of technology. 186 00:08:38,179 --> 00:08:43,378 And of course cities are ways to make things more useful to us. 187 00:08:44,154 --> 00:08:47,525 But - and this is the point of my talk - 188 00:08:48,299 --> 00:08:50,585 While this is something that comes from our mind, 189 00:08:50,606 --> 00:08:53,299 it also has its roots deeply 190 00:08:53,300 --> 00:08:55,299 into the cosmos. 191 00:08:55,300 --> 00:08:56,639 It goes back. 192 00:08:56,639 --> 00:08:59,489 The origins and roots of technology go back to the Big Bang, 193 00:08:59,489 --> 00:09:03,285 in this way, in that they are part of this self-organizing thread 194 00:09:03,300 --> 00:09:05,299 that starts at the Big Bang 195 00:09:05,300 --> 00:09:08,299 and goes through galaxies and stars, 196 00:09:08,300 --> 00:09:10,010 into life, into us. 197 00:09:10,041 --> 00:09:12,359 And the three major phases of the early universe 198 00:09:12,383 --> 00:09:14,584 was energy, when the dominant force was energy; 199 00:09:14,605 --> 00:09:17,492 then as it cooled the dominant force became matter; 200 00:09:17,512 --> 00:09:21,030 and then, with the invention of life, four billion years ago, 201 00:09:21,030 --> 00:09:23,809 the dominant force in our neighborhood became information. 202 00:09:23,809 --> 00:09:26,069 That's what life is: It's an information process 203 00:09:26,069 --> 00:09:28,299 that was restructuring and making new order. 204 00:09:28,300 --> 00:09:31,965 So, those energy, matter Einstein show were equivalent, 205 00:09:31,965 --> 00:09:35,059 and now new sciences of quantum computing 206 00:09:35,059 --> 00:09:39,165 show that entropy and information and matter and energy 207 00:09:39,165 --> 00:09:42,492 are all interrelated, so it's one long continuum. 208 00:09:43,300 --> 00:09:46,299 You put energy into the right kind of system 209 00:09:46,300 --> 00:09:49,299 and out comes wasted heat, entropy 210 00:09:49,300 --> 00:09:52,299 and extropy, which is order. 211 00:09:52,300 --> 00:09:54,299 It's the increased order. 212 00:09:54,300 --> 00:09:56,872 Where does this order come from? Its roots go way back. 213 00:09:56,892 --> 00:09:58,299 We actually don't know. 214 00:09:58,300 --> 00:10:01,299 But we do know that the self-organization trend 215 00:10:01,300 --> 00:10:03,299 throughout the universe is long, 216 00:10:03,300 --> 00:10:05,299 and it began with things like galaxies; 217 00:10:05,300 --> 00:10:08,299 they maintained their order for billions of years. 218 00:10:08,300 --> 00:10:12,299 Stars are basically nuclear fusion machines 219 00:10:12,300 --> 00:10:15,539 that self-organize and self-sustain themselves for billions of years, 220 00:10:15,540 --> 00:10:17,958 this order against the entropy of the world. 221 00:10:18,375 --> 00:10:23,299 And flowers and plants are the same thing, extended, 222 00:10:23,300 --> 00:10:27,019 and technology is basically an extension of life. 223 00:10:29,226 --> 00:10:32,273 One trend that we notice in all those things is that 224 00:10:32,300 --> 00:10:34,726 the amount of energy per gram per second 225 00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:37,799 that flows through this, is actually increasing. 226 00:10:37,800 --> 00:10:42,132 The amount of energy is increasing through this little sequence. 227 00:10:42,153 --> 00:10:46,180 And that the amount of energy per gram per second that flows through life 228 00:10:46,196 --> 00:10:48,172 is actually greater than a star - 229 00:10:48,204 --> 00:10:51,203 because of the star's long lifespan, 230 00:10:51,308 --> 00:10:54,497 the energy density in life is actually higher than a star. 231 00:10:54,553 --> 00:10:57,552 And the energy density that we see in the greatest 232 00:10:57,585 --> 00:11:00,090 of anywhere in the universe is actually in a PC chip. 233 00:11:00,149 --> 00:11:03,148 There is more energy flowing through, per gram per second, 234 00:11:03,212 --> 00:11:06,211 than anything that we have any other experience with. 235 00:11:06,315 --> 00:11:09,314 What I would suggest is that if you want to see 236 00:11:09,335 --> 00:11:13,781 where technology is going, we continue that trajectory, 237 00:11:13,781 --> 00:11:17,005 and we say, "Well what's going to become more energy-dense, 238 00:11:17,053 --> 00:11:18,283 that's where it's going." 239 00:11:18,304 --> 00:11:21,219 And so what I've done is, I've taken the same kinds of things 240 00:11:21,243 --> 00:11:22,799 and looked at other aspects 241 00:11:22,800 --> 00:11:24,502 of evolutionary life and say, 242 00:11:24,542 --> 00:11:27,034 "What are the general trends in evolutionary life?" 243 00:11:27,074 --> 00:11:29,232 And there are things moving towards 244 00:11:29,300 --> 00:11:32,177 greater complexity, moving towards greater diversity, 245 00:11:32,225 --> 00:11:34,727 moving towards greater specialization, 246 00:11:34,791 --> 00:11:38,974 sentience, ubiquity and most important, evolvability: 247 00:11:39,148 --> 00:11:42,609 Those very same things are also present in technology. 248 00:11:42,630 --> 00:11:44,629 That's where technology is going. 249 00:11:44,648 --> 00:11:48,730 It is moving towards more complexity, diversity, specialization, 250 00:11:48,751 --> 00:11:50,751 more mindfulness 251 00:11:51,001 --> 00:11:52,771 more evolvability. 252 00:11:52,810 --> 00:11:57,161 In fact, technology is accelerating all the aspects of life, 253 00:11:57,522 --> 00:12:00,570 and we can see that happening; just as there's diversity in life, 254 00:12:00,613 --> 00:12:03,178 there's more diversity in things we make. 255 00:12:03,178 --> 00:12:05,310 Things in life start out being general cell, 256 00:12:05,319 --> 00:12:07,728 and they become specialized: you have tissue cells, 257 00:12:07,728 --> 00:12:09,200 you have muscle, brain cells. 258 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:12,521 And same things happens with, say a hammer, which is general at first 259 00:12:12,521 --> 00:12:13,921 and becomes more specific. 260 00:12:13,921 --> 00:12:17,501 So, I would like to say that while there is six kingdoms of life, 261 00:12:17,522 --> 00:12:19,513 we can think of technology basically 262 00:12:19,534 --> 00:12:21,533 as a seventh kingdom of life. 263 00:12:21,593 --> 00:12:23,762 It's a branching off from the human form. 264 00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:25,799 But technology has its own agenda, 265 00:12:25,800 --> 00:12:27,799 like anything, like life itself. 266 00:12:28,809 --> 00:12:32,713 For instance, right now, three-quarters of the energy that we use 267 00:12:32,767 --> 00:12:34,863 is actually used to feed the technium itself. 268 00:12:34,920 --> 00:12:37,569 In transportation, it's not to move us, it's to move 269 00:12:37,615 --> 00:12:39,688 the stuff that we make or buy. 270 00:12:40,969 --> 00:12:43,577 On one hand, technology [unclear] 271 00:12:43,597 --> 00:12:46,649 on the other hand, it's blessing us with all kinds of things. 272 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:49,835 I use the word "want." Technology wants. 273 00:12:49,922 --> 00:12:52,939 This is a robot that wants to plug itself in to get more power. 274 00:12:52,939 --> 00:12:55,760 Your cat wants more food. 275 00:12:55,843 --> 00:12:58,799 A bacterium, which has no consciousness at all, 276 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:00,799 wants to move towards light. 277 00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:03,063 It has an urge, and technology has an urge. 278 00:13:03,084 --> 00:13:05,180 At the same time, it wants to give us things, 279 00:13:05,201 --> 00:13:07,658 and what it gives us is basically progress. 280 00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:10,584 You can take all kinds of curves, and they're all pointing up. 281 00:13:10,606 --> 00:13:12,680 There's really no dispute about progress, 282 00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:15,905 if we discount the cost of that. 283 00:13:15,982 --> 00:13:18,397 And that's the thing that bothers most people, 284 00:13:18,439 --> 00:13:20,397 is that progress is really real, 285 00:13:20,459 --> 00:13:24,458 but we wonder and question: What are the environmental costs of it? 286 00:13:24,478 --> 00:13:28,382 But there's no doubt about it, that it really is present and gives us. 287 00:13:28,403 --> 00:13:32,294 I did a survey of a number of species of artifacts in my house, 288 00:13:32,349 --> 00:13:33,348 and there's 6,000. 289 00:13:33,369 --> 00:13:35,368 Other people have come up with 10,000. 290 00:13:35,500 --> 00:13:38,499 When King Henry of England died, 291 00:13:38,500 --> 00:13:41,814 he had 18,000 things in his house, 292 00:13:42,300 --> 00:13:45,299 but that was the entire wealth of England. 293 00:13:47,100 --> 00:13:49,806 And with that entire wealth of England, 294 00:13:49,827 --> 00:13:53,021 King Henry could not buy any antibiotics, 295 00:13:53,052 --> 00:13:54,632 he could not buy refrigeration, 296 00:13:54,689 --> 00:13:56,737 he could not buy a trip of a thousand miles. 297 00:13:56,758 --> 00:13:59,769 Whereas this rickshaw wallah in India 298 00:13:59,814 --> 00:14:01,813 could save up and buy antibiotics 299 00:14:01,834 --> 00:14:03,721 and he could buy refrigeration. 300 00:14:03,738 --> 00:14:07,162 He could buy things that King Henry, in all his wealth, could never buy. 301 00:14:07,162 --> 00:14:08,854 That's what progress is about. 302 00:14:08,901 --> 00:14:11,655 So, technology is selfish; technology is generous. 303 00:14:11,655 --> 00:14:15,298 That conflict, that tension, will be with us forever, 304 00:14:15,298 --> 00:14:17,714 that sometimes it wants to do what it wants to do, 305 00:14:17,714 --> 00:14:19,911 and sometimes it's going to do things for us. 306 00:14:19,911 --> 00:14:22,326 And that's where we get this sort of feeling, 307 00:14:24,551 --> 00:14:28,099 we have confusion about what we should think about a new technology. 308 00:14:28,100 --> 00:14:29,800 Right now the default position 309 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:32,079 about when a new technology comes along, is - 310 00:14:32,100 --> 00:14:34,243 people talk about the precautionary principle, 311 00:14:34,263 --> 00:14:36,567 which is very common in Europe, 312 00:14:36,588 --> 00:14:38,718 which says, basically, "Don't do anything. 313 00:14:38,762 --> 00:14:40,741 When you meet a new technology, stop, 314 00:14:40,782 --> 00:14:43,194 until it can be proven that there's no harm." 315 00:14:43,216 --> 00:14:45,559 I think that really leads nowhere. 316 00:14:45,580 --> 00:14:48,407 But a better way is to, what I call proactionary principle, 317 00:14:48,460 --> 00:14:51,002 which is: you engage with technology. 318 00:14:51,023 --> 00:14:52,375 You try it out. 319 00:14:52,401 --> 00:14:56,558 You obviously do what the precautionary principle suggests, 320 00:14:56,579 --> 00:14:59,299 you try to anticipate it, but after anticipating it, 321 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:00,942 you constantly asses it, 322 00:15:01,005 --> 00:15:02,879 not just once, but eternally. 323 00:15:02,957 --> 00:15:05,956 And when it diverts from what you want, 324 00:15:06,700 --> 00:15:09,839 we prioritize risk, we evaluate not just the new stuff 325 00:15:09,862 --> 00:15:11,246 but the old stuff. 326 00:15:11,300 --> 00:15:14,299 We fix it, but most importantly, we relocate it. 327 00:15:14,900 --> 00:15:16,899 And what I mean by that is that 328 00:15:16,900 --> 00:15:18,879 we find a new job for it. 329 00:15:21,018 --> 00:15:24,489 Technologies are sort of like children. 330 00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:29,276 Nuclear energy, fission, is really bad idea for bombs. 331 00:15:29,316 --> 00:15:32,249 But it may be a pretty good idea - 332 00:15:32,384 --> 00:15:35,735 relocated into sustainable nuclear energy - 333 00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:38,825 for electricity, instead of burning coal. 334 00:15:38,890 --> 00:15:42,904 When we have a bad idea, the response to a bad idea 335 00:15:42,925 --> 00:15:45,924 is not no ideas, it's not to stop thinking. 336 00:15:46,980 --> 00:15:49,817 The response to a bad idea - 337 00:15:50,055 --> 00:15:51,999 like, say, a tungsten light bulb - 338 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:53,999 is a better idea. OK? 339 00:15:54,999 --> 00:15:58,658 So, better ideas is really - always the response 340 00:15:58,679 --> 00:16:00,203 to technology that we don't like 341 00:16:00,243 --> 00:16:02,586 is basically, better technology. 342 00:16:02,636 --> 00:16:04,332 And actually, in a certain sense, 343 00:16:04,358 --> 00:16:08,008 technology is a kind of a method for generating better ideas, 344 00:16:08,016 --> 00:16:09,794 if you can think about it that way. 345 00:16:09,794 --> 00:16:12,850 So, maybe spraying DDT on crops is a really bad idea. 346 00:16:12,873 --> 00:16:16,094 But DDT sprayed on local homes, 347 00:16:17,506 --> 00:16:20,606 there's nothing better to eliminate malaria, 348 00:16:20,628 --> 00:16:24,154 besides insect DDT-impregnated mosquito nets. 349 00:16:24,382 --> 00:16:27,685 But that's a really good idea; that's a good job for technology. 350 00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:29,493 So, our job as humans 351 00:16:29,541 --> 00:16:32,024 is to parent our mind children, 352 00:16:32,754 --> 00:16:34,599 to find them good friends, 353 00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:36,429 to find them a good job. 354 00:16:36,472 --> 00:16:38,945 And so, every technology is sort of a creative force 355 00:16:38,993 --> 00:16:40,543 looking for the right job. 356 00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:42,599 That's actually my son, right here. 357 00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:44,079 (Laughter) 358 00:16:44,359 --> 00:16:46,843 There are no bad technologies, 359 00:16:46,864 --> 00:16:48,748 just as there are no bad children. 360 00:16:48,793 --> 00:16:51,535 We don't say children are neutral, children are positive. 361 00:16:51,535 --> 00:16:53,917 We just have to find them the right place. 362 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:56,866 And so, what technology gives us, 363 00:16:56,896 --> 00:16:59,787 over the long term, over the sort of extended evolution - 364 00:16:59,811 --> 00:17:01,342 from the beginning of time, 365 00:17:01,378 --> 00:17:05,117 through the invention of the plants and animals, 366 00:17:05,142 --> 00:17:08,141 and the evolution of life, the evolution of brains - 367 00:17:08,162 --> 00:17:10,285 what that is constantly giving us 368 00:17:10,319 --> 00:17:14,173 what technology is giving us after we weigh the pros and cons, 369 00:17:14,387 --> 00:17:19,343 is increasing differences - which was mentioned this morning - 370 00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:22,409 it's increasing diversity, it's increasing options, 371 00:17:22,409 --> 00:17:24,499 it's increasing choices, opportunities, 372 00:17:24,500 --> 00:17:26,499 possibilities and freedoms. 373 00:17:26,500 --> 00:17:29,499 That's what we get from technology all the time. 374 00:17:29,500 --> 00:17:31,499 That's why people leave villages 375 00:17:31,500 --> 00:17:33,643 and go into cities, is because they are always 376 00:17:33,663 --> 00:17:37,499 gravitating towards increased choices and possibilities. 377 00:17:37,500 --> 00:17:39,916 And we are aware of the price. 378 00:17:39,916 --> 00:17:42,869 We pay a price for that, but we are aware of it, and generally 379 00:17:42,869 --> 00:17:45,026 we will pay the price for increased freedoms, 380 00:17:45,026 --> 00:17:46,943 choices and opportunities. 381 00:17:46,968 --> 00:17:49,967 Even technology wants clean water. 382 00:17:51,351 --> 00:17:53,350 Is technology diametrically opposed 383 00:17:55,369 --> 00:17:57,778 to nature? 384 00:17:58,735 --> 00:18:01,787 I have a couple of slides, two slildes left - 385 00:18:01,807 --> 00:18:06,018 I would say high technology needs clean water 386 00:18:06,038 --> 00:18:08,474 as much as we do, if not more than we do. 387 00:18:08,563 --> 00:18:11,399 Because technology is an extension of life, 388 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:14,324 it's in parallel and aligned with the same things 389 00:18:14,364 --> 00:18:16,399 that life wants. 390 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:18,399 So that I think technology loves biology, 391 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:20,399 if we allow it to. 392 00:18:20,419 --> 00:18:24,652 So, all these things - complexity, diversity - are the long strand, 393 00:18:24,701 --> 00:18:29,731 the great movement that is starting billions of years ago 394 00:18:29,900 --> 00:18:31,948 is moving through us and it continues to go, 395 00:18:31,968 --> 00:18:34,295 and our choice, so to speak, 396 00:18:34,316 --> 00:18:36,843 in technology, is really to align ourselves 397 00:18:36,901 --> 00:18:38,949 with this force much greater than ourselves. 398 00:18:38,969 --> 00:18:41,899 So, technology is more than just the stuff in your pocket. 399 00:18:41,900 --> 00:18:43,234 It's more than just gadgets; 400 00:18:43,235 --> 00:18:45,378 it's more than just things that people invent. 401 00:18:45,398 --> 00:18:47,899 It's actually part of a very long story, 402 00:18:47,900 --> 00:18:50,610 a great story, that began billions of years ago. 403 00:18:50,610 --> 00:18:53,039 And it's moving through us, this self-organization, 404 00:18:53,039 --> 00:18:55,069 and we're extending and accelerating it, 405 00:18:55,069 --> 00:18:57,491 and we can be part of it by aligning the technology 406 00:18:57,491 --> 00:18:58,899 that we make with it. 407 00:18:59,664 --> 00:19:02,899 I really appreciate your attention today. Thank you. 408 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,521 (Applause)