[Script Info] Title: [Events] Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text Dialogue: 0,0:00:00.36,0:00:01.75,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,十年前,我寫咗一本書 Dialogue: 0,0:00:01.75,0:00:05.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,叫做 「 我哋最後世紀? 」問號 Dialogue: 0,0:00:05.84,0:00:08.55,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我嘅出版商將問號刪咗 Dialogue: 0,0:00:08.55,0:00:09.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(笑聲) Dialogue: 0,0:00:09.73,0:00:11.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,美國出版商將題目改咗做 Dialogue: 0,0:00:11.92,0:00:13.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,「 我哋最後一個鐘 」 Dialogue: 0,0:00:13.75,0:00:15.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(笑聲) Dialogue: 0,0:00:15.28,0:00:18.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,美國人鍾意即時行樂,將事情倒轉嚟睇 Dialogue: 0,0:00:18.20,0:00:20.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(笑聲) Dialogue: 0,0:00:20.37,0:00:22.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我嘅主題係噉樣嘅: Dialogue: 0,0:00:22.12,0:00:26.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我哋嘅地球已經有四十五億年歷史 Dialogue: 0,0:00:26.28,0:00:28.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但過去一百年嚟係特別嘅 Dialogue: 0,0:00:28.32,0:00:31.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,呢個係有史以嚟第一次\N有一個物種,即係我哋人類 Dialogue: 0,0:00:31.31,0:00:34.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,將呢個星球嘅未來掌握喺自己手裏面 Dialogue: 0,0:00:34.12,0:00:36.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,睇返地球歷史 Dialogue: 0,0:00:36.10,0:00:38.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,威脅絕大部分都係嚟自大自然 Dialogue: 0,0:00:38.04,0:00:41.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,疾病、地震、隕石撞擊等等 Dialogue: 0,0:00:41.54,0:00:47.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但係由宜家開始\N最大嘅威脅嚟自於我哋自己 Dialogue: 0,0:00:47.13,0:00:50.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,並且宜家,唔單止核威脅 Dialogue: 0,0:00:50.48,0:00:52.23,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,喺我哋全球化嘅世界裏面 Dialogue: 0,0:00:52.23,0:00:55.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,網路故障可以癱瘓全球 Dialogue: 0,0:00:55.39,0:00:59.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,航班令流行病\N可以喺幾日之內喺全世界傳播 Dialogue: 0,0:00:59.35,0:01:02.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,並且社會媒體可以散佈恐慌同謠言 Dialogue: 0,0:01:02.86,0:01:04.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,傳播速度同光速有得輝 Dialogue: 0,0:01:05.89,0:01:08.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我哋會為到細小嘅威脅而焦慮 Dialogue: 0,0:01:09.36,0:01:13.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,冇乜可能發生嘅空難、食物嘅致癌物質 Dialogue: 0,0:01:13.00,0:01:15.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,低水平輻射等等 Dialogue: 0,0:01:15.69,0:01:21.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但係我哋同我哋嘅政治領袖\N都唔肯面對災難情景 Dialogue: 0,0:01:22.40,0:01:25.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,好彩最壞嘅仲未發生 Dialogue: 0,0:01:25.44,0:01:27.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,確實,佢哋應該唔會發生 Dialogue: 0,0:01:27.64,0:01:30.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但係如果有件潛在毀滅性嘅事發生 Dialogue: 0,0:01:30.82,0:01:33.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,噉就值得我哋持續開支 Dialogue: 0,0:01:33.69,0:01:37.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,防止嗰件事發生\N即使件事唔太可能發生都好 Dialogue: 0,0:01:37.36,0:01:40.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,就好似我哋會幫間屋買火險一樣 Dialogue: 0,0:01:42.04,0:01:44.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,道高一尺魔高一丈 Dialogue: 0,0:01:44.04,0:01:47.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,科學俾我哋更加多嘅力量同願望嘅同時 Dialogue: 0,0:01:47.47,0:01:50.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,科學可以係好危險 Dialogue: 0,0:01:50.90,0:01:53.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我哋於是更加經唔起考驗 Dialogue: 0,0:01:53.14,0:01:57.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,幾十年後,幾百萬嘅人會有能力 Dialogue: 0,0:01:57.00,0:02:00.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,濫用發展一日千里嘅生物科技 Dialogue: 0,0:02:00.33,0:02:03.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,就好似宜家嘅人濫用網絡科技一樣 Dialogue: 0,0:02:04.06,0:02:07.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Freeman Dyson 喺一場 TED 演講入面 Dialogue: 0,0:02:07.08,0:02:10.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,預見小朋友設計同創造新嘅生物 Dialogue: 0,0:02:10.68,0:02:14.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,就好似佢嗰代人當化學實驗遊戲噉玩 Dialogue: 0,0:02:15.19,0:02:17.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,當然,呢樣可能只會喺科幻小說出現 Dialogue: 0,0:02:17.72,0:02:20.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但亦有可能係佢預言嘅情景︰ Dialogue: 0,0:02:20.90,0:02:26.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我哋嘅生態、以至物種\N一定唔會平安無事咁長期生存 Dialogue: 0,0:02:27.63,0:02:31.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,例如,有一啲生態學嘅極端人士 Dialogue: 0,0:02:31.40,0:02:33.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,好似 Gaia 咁 Dialogue: 0,0:02:33.39,0:02:37.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,佢認為人類幾量越少\N會對我哋嘅星球越好 Dialogue: 0,0:02:37.32,0:02:42.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,如果人類掌握咗 2050 年\N就會全世界廣泛使用嘅合成生物技術 Dialogue: 0,0:02:42.26,0:02:45.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,會點樣? Dialogue: 0,0:02:45.11,0:02:46.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,到嗰個時候 Dialogue: 0,0:02:46.11,0:02:48.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,其他嘅科幻小說裏面所提到嘅噩夢 Dialogue: 0,0:02:48.15,0:02:49.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,或者會成為現實 Dialogue: 0,0:02:49.86,0:02:51.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,沉默嘅機器人變得瘋狂 Dialogue: 0,0:02:51.93,0:02:55.55,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,網路有自己嘅思想,威脅我哋全人類 Dialogue: 0,0:02:56.94,0:02:59.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,噉,我哋可以通過規管\N去避免呢啲危機嗎? Dialogue: 0,0:03:00.21,0:03:01.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我哋確實要去嘗試 Dialogue: 0,0:03:01.70,0:03:06.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但係呢啲企業都好有競爭性\N喺全世界都有生意利益 Dialogue: 0,0:03:06.14,0:03:08.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,太受市場影響 Dialogue: 0,0:03:08.12,0:03:09.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,因為法律 Dialogue: 0,0:03:09.45,0:03:13.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,令可以做嘅嘢\N都要搬到去其他地方先做到 Dialogue: 0,0:03:13.44,0:03:16.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,就好似禁毒法律咁\N我哋去監管,但始終失敗 Dialogue: 0,0:03:16.86,0:03:22.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,並且地球村將會有\N一班蠢嘅人遍佈全世界 Dialogue: 0,0:03:23.85,0:03:25.76,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,所以,我喺書裏面話 Dialogue: 0,0:03:25.76,0:03:28.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我哋喺呢個世紀嘅路會比較難行 Dialogue: 0,0:03:28.65,0:03:31.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我哋社會可能會有一啲難題 Dialogue: 0,0:03:31.93,0:03:35.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,其實係有一半機會面對重大問題 Dialogue: 0,0:03:36.50,0:03:39.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但係會唔會有可以預見到 Dialogue: 0,0:03:39.17,0:03:43.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但更加弊、滅絕所有物種嘅事發生? Dialogue: 0,0:03:45.00,0:03:47.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,當新嘅粒子加速器嘅消息喺上網出現 Dialogue: 0,0:03:47.57,0:03:49.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,一啲人會緊張咁問 Dialogue: 0,0:03:49.30,0:03:50.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,佢會唔會破壞地球 Dialogue: 0,0:03:50.56,0:03:54.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,或者話更弊嘅,將太空空間撕開? Dialogue: 0,0:03:54.39,0:03:57.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,值得慶倖嘅係,我哋仍然係安全嘅 Dialogue: 0,0:03:58.20,0:03:59.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我同其他人指出過 Dialogue: 0,0:03:59.61,0:04:05.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,大自然其實已經透過宇宙射線碰撞\N做過無數次同樣嘅實驗 Dialogue: 0,0:04:06.24,0:04:08.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但係科學家喺做研究嘅時候 Dialogue: 0,0:04:08.16,0:04:13.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,必須要小心整咗啲\N宇宙從來冇發生過嘅嘢 Dialogue: 0,0:04:14.20,0:04:16.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,生物學家應該避免泄漏 Dialogue: 0,0:04:16.64,0:04:20.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,經過基因改造\N具有潛在毀滅後果嘅病原體 Dialogue: 0,0:04:20.38,0:04:27.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,順便講下,我哋\N對真正嘅災難之所以特別厭惡 Dialogue: 0,0:04:27.43,0:04:30.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,係源於一個哲學倫理問題 Dialogue: 0,0:04:30.36,0:04:31.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,個問題係: Dialogue: 0,0:04:31.92,0:04:34.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,想像有兩個場景 Dialogue: 0,0:04:34.34,0:04:39.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,場景一,消滅 90% 人類 Dialogue: 0,0:04:39.58,0:04:43.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,場景二,消滅所有人類 Dialogue: 0,0:04:43.47,0:04:46.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,場景二比場景一壞幾多呢? Dialogue: 0,0:04:46.39,0:04:49.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,有人會話差十個百分點 Dialogue: 0,0:04:49.41,0:04:51.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,死亡統計係高出十個百分點 Dialogue: 0,0:04:52.56,0:04:55.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但係我唔會話場景二比較差 Dialogue: 0,0:04:55.47,0:04:57.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,作為一個天文學家 Dialogue: 0,0:04:57.30,0:05:00.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我唔相信人類只係\N成個地球歷史嘅最後一部分 Dialogue: 0,0:05:00.98,0:05:02.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,仲有五十億年 Dialogue: 0,0:05:02.33,0:05:04.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,太陽至會加劇燃燒,步入衰退期 Dialogue: 0,0:05:04.33,0:05:06.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但宇宙仍然會繼續走落去 Dialogue: 0,0:05:06.60,0:05:09.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,噉樣,後人類嘅進化過程 Dialogue: 0,0:05:09.05,0:05:11.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,喺地球同埋外太空 Dialogue: 0,0:05:11.37,0:05:16.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,可以同達爾文進化論一樣咁長\N甚至更加精彩 Dialogue: 0,0:05:17.12,0:05:20.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,其實,未來進化嘅速度會更加快 Dialogue: 0,0:05:20.18,0:05:21.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,呢樣係基於技術上嘅時間嘅考慮 Dialogue: 0,0:05:21.94,0:05:24.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,而並非自物競天擇嘅時間考慮 Dialogue: 0,0:05:24.24,0:05:28.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,所以面對咁大嘅利害關係 Dialogue: 0,0:05:28.43,0:05:31.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,面對十億個危險\N我哋都唔應該妥栛一個危險 Dialogue: 0,0:05:31.82,0:05:35.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,因為要記住人類滅絕嘅可能 Dialogue: 0,0:05:36.73,0:05:39.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,一啲俾人提過嘅場景\N都可能出自於科幻小說裏邊 Dialogue: 0,0:05:39.95,0:05:42.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但係其他嘅場景\N可能真係會成為現實 Dialogue: 0,0:05:43.34,0:05:46.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,有句重要嘅教誨係講︰ Dialogue: 0,0:05:46.18,0:05:48.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,未知唔等於唔可能 Dialogue: 0,0:05:48.94,0:05:50.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,實際上因為噉樣 Dialogue: 0,0:05:50.02,0:05:53.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我哋喺劍橋大學成立咗一個中心 Dialogue: 0,0:05:53.03,0:05:57.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,研究點樣降低以上存在嘅風險 Dialogue: 0,0:05:57.21,0:06:02.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,幾個人去思考呢啲潛在災難睇落幾唔錯 Dialogue: 0,0:06:02.42,0:06:04.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,但係我哋需要更加多嘅人幫手 Dialogue: 0,0:06:05.10,0:06:11.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,因為我哋係茫茫宇宙中\N一個藍色星球嘅打理人 Dialogue: 0,0:06:11.08,0:06:14.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,呢個星球喺人類出現之前\N已經有五十億年嘅歷史 Dialogue: 0,0:06:14.44,0:06:17.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我哋唔要糟塌呢個星球嘅未來 Dialogue: 0,0:06:17.00,0:06:22.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,我諗引用著名科學屋 \NPeter Medawar 嘅一句話收尾 Dialogue: 0,0:06:22.34,0:06:25.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,「 為人類而設嘅鈴鈴 Dialogue: 0,0:06:25.57,0:06:28.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,就好似阿爾卑斯山嘅小牛嘅鈴鈴一樣, Dialogue: 0,0:06:28.21,0:06:30.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,呢啲鈴鈴就好似掛喺我哋頸上面 Dialogue: 0,0:06:30.68,0:06:33.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,如果佢哋冇發出和諧而有旋律嘅聲音, Dialogue: 0,0:06:33.17,0:06:35.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,噉就必定係我哋嘅錯。 」 Dialogue: 0,0:06:35.30,0:06:36.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,多謝 Dialogue: 0,0:06:36.33,0:06:38.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(掌聲)