1 00:00:02,380 --> 00:00:06,604 We're right in the middle of reconstruction. We did stage one last 2 00:00:06,604 --> 00:00:11,485 week, cuz that's just close analysis. In the previous section we did stage two, 3 00:00:11,485 --> 00:00:16,746 which is to remove excess verbiage, and to put the explicit premises and conclusion 4 00:00:16,746 --> 00:00:21,690 into standard form. And this lecture is going to focus on stage three, which is 5 00:00:21,690 --> 00:00:27,078 the clarify the premises and to break them up. Where it's possible without distorting 6 00:00:27,078 --> 00:00:31,705 them. Let's start with step four, which is to clarify the premises and the 7 00:00:31,705 --> 00:00:37,375 conclusion, when it's needed. So we might need to clarify them just in order to make 8 00:00:37,375 --> 00:00:42,900 them easier to understand, or to make them less likely to mislead, and all that 9 00:00:42,900 --> 00:00:49,181 sounds pretty good. So let's try on this example. It was hot today, so it'll 10 00:00:49,181 --> 00:00:58,045 probably be hot tomorrow again. And we need to clarify that. What exactly counts 11 00:00:58,045 --> 00:01:04,742 as today? Is that, you know, the time when there's daylight, or does it also include 12 00:01:04,742 --> 00:01:10,482 night, even though night is not day? And what exactly do we mean by hot? How hot 13 00:01:10,482 --> 00:01:15,780 was it today, and how hot will it be tomorrow? And what, after all, is heat? 14 00:01:15,780 --> 00:01:20,444 And what about, it'll probably be hot tomorrow? Probability. That's a tough 15 00:01:20,444 --> 00:01:25,492 notion. We're going to spend a whole week on that later on in the course. And there 16 00:01:25,492 --> 00:01:30,284 are different kinds of probability, and I want to know what kind you're talking 17 00:01:30,284 --> 00:01:35,268 about here. And when you ask for example, about it will be hot tomorrow, what is, 18 00:01:35,268 --> 00:01:40,252 what does will mean? It means it's going to happen in the future, and what exactly 19 00:01:40,252 --> 00:01:45,364 is the future? And is the future real? Is time real? You can go a long way towards 20 00:01:45,364 --> 00:01:50,761 asking how to clarify that argument. But that's ridiculous, you know. We don't have 21 00:01:50,761 --> 00:01:56,498 to clarify a simple argument like it was hot today so it will probably be hot 22 00:01:56,498 --> 00:02:01,583 tomorrow. And it's lucky we don't have to clarify every word in the argument because 23 00:02:01,583 --> 00:02:05,948 we couldn't because after all when you explain one of the words or give a 24 00:02:05,948 --> 00:02:10,726 definition for it, it's going to be in terms of other words and then they have to 25 00:02:10,726 --> 00:02:15,209 get clarified and you'll never going to get to the end of it. The search for 26 00:02:15,209 --> 00:02:19,928 perfect clarity and absolute precision is impossible. You'll never complete that 27 00:02:19,928 --> 00:02:24,805 search. You'll never find perfect clarity or absolute precision, so give it up. What 28 00:02:24,805 --> 00:02:29,975 we should seek is not absolute precision, but adequate precision. Not absolute 29 00:02:29,975 --> 00:02:35,077 clarity, but adequate clarity. And that means that we ought to try to clear up 30 00:02:35,077 --> 00:02:40,448 those parts of the premises and conclusion that are likely to produce confusion 31 00:02:40,448 --> 00:02:45,819 later. And you have to be able to kind of predict whether this part of the argument 32 00:02:45,819 --> 00:02:50,961 needs to be clarified, because people are going to get confused by it. Now that's 33 00:02:50,961 --> 00:02:56,069 not going to be easy, and there's no simple or mechanical rule to tell you what 34 00:02:56,069 --> 00:03:00,725 needs to be clarified, and what doesn't need to be clarified. The only way to 35 00:03:00,725 --> 00:03:06,028 learn this skill is to go through some examples that will give you models of what 36 00:03:06,028 --> 00:03:11,717 needs to be clarified and what doesn't. Sometimes, you know, in clarity lies in a 37 00:03:11,717 --> 00:03:18,185 single word. In the 1980's Nancy Reagan used to say, just say no to drugs. What 38 00:03:18,185 --> 00:03:24,669 does that mean? Well, she is telling you not to use drugs, to say no when somebody 39 00:03:24,669 --> 00:03:31,235 offers you drugs or tries to tell you to use drugs. So, in effect, she's saying you 40 00:03:31,235 --> 00:03:38,688 ought not to use drugs. That's pretty clear but now what does she mean by drugs? 41 00:03:38,688 --> 00:03:44,836 Does she mean aspirin? I don't think she's telling you not to use aspirin. Does she 42 00:03:44,836 --> 00:03:50,335 mean prescription drugs? I don't think she's telling you not to follow the advice 43 00:03:50,335 --> 00:03:56,019 of your doctor and use the prescriptions that the doctor told you to take. So that 44 00:03:56,019 --> 00:04:03,960 can't be what she means. Well, maybe she means illegal drugs. Okay. Maybe she means 45 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:08,679 illegal drugs. What about heroin or cocaine? Yes, that's what she is telling 46 00:04:08,679 --> 00:04:14,036 you not to do. She is definitely telling you not to take illegal drugs, but then 47 00:04:14,036 --> 00:04:19,329 there are some things in the middle. She might be telling you not to take dangerous 48 00:04:19,329 --> 00:04:24,240 drugs whether they are illegal or not. What about nicotine? What about alcohol? 49 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:29,680 Those are both dangerous drugs, at least when you use in excess. Alcohol is very 50 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:34,982 dangerous, and smoking can lead to lung cancer, and that's how most people get 51 00:04:34,982 --> 00:04:40,491 nicotine. So maybe she's telling you not to take nico tine or alcohol in addition 52 00:04:40,491 --> 00:04:46,000 to illegal drugs heroin and cocaine. Now it's not clear, so how do we clear it up? 53 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:52,552 Well, you want Nancy Reagan's claim to look as good as possible. Remember, you're 54 00:04:52,552 --> 00:04:58,332 always trying to make the argument look as good as possible. And one way to make it 55 00:04:58,332 --> 00:05:05,005 look good is to make her claim no more than she has to claim. So, she could be 56 00:05:05,005 --> 00:05:10,100 claiming, in addition to heroin and cocaine, you shouldn't take alcohol and 57 00:05:10,100 --> 00:05:15,435 nicotine. But probably, or at least more plausibly, she's telling you not to take 58 00:05:15,435 --> 00:05:21,122 illegal drugs. She had to chose between interpreting her and saying don't take any 59 00:05:21,122 --> 00:05:26,393 illegal drugs and don't take any dangerous drugs. And it's seems like a more 60 00:05:26,393 --> 00:05:32,010 charitable interpretation that makes her claim look more plausible is don't take 61 00:05:32,010 --> 00:05:37,003 any illegal drugs. So we could clarify her claim, just say no to drugs, by 62 00:05:37,003 --> 00:05:42,566 interpreting it to mean you ought to not to take any illegal drugs. So in general 63 00:05:42,566 --> 00:05:47,671 then, the lesson is that, when there are options about how to clarify a certain 64 00:05:47,671 --> 00:05:52,383 sentence, we ought to pick the most charitable option that makes the claim 65 00:05:52,383 --> 00:05:58,047 look as good as possible. Here's another example, where the unclarity can be traced 66 00:05:58,047 --> 00:06:03,700 to a single word, but in this case it's the word that," and it's not clear what it 67 00:06:03,700 --> 00:06:09,424 refers to. So imagine that someone argues like this. Let's say, she claims, that our 68 00:06:09,424 --> 00:06:15,780 strategy won't work, because the enemy knows our plan, but that is a big mistake. 69 00:06:16,780 --> 00:06:24,940 What does that refer to? That could refer to, that is the word that could refer to 70 00:06:25,900 --> 00:06:30,787 that the enemy knows our plan. If someone says, that's a mistake, they might be 71 00:06:30,787 --> 00:06:36,072 saying, it's a mistake to think that the enemy knows our plan. But it could refer 72 00:06:36,072 --> 00:06:41,422 to the claim that our strategy won't work. They could be saying, it's a mistake to 73 00:06:41,422 --> 00:06:46,508 think our strategy won't work. Or, they could be saying that the mistake is to 74 00:06:46,508 --> 00:06:52,359 think that the enemy knowing our plan is enough to make it not work. He might be 75 00:06:52,359 --> 00:06:57,090 saying, it's not that it won't work because the enemy knows the plan. Or, 76 00:06:57,090 --> 00:07:02,354 here's a fourth possibility. He could be saying, that is a mistake to think that 77 00:07:02,354 --> 00:07:08,522 she claims that, that's not what she claims. So, there are four different ways 78 00:07:08,522 --> 00:07:15,096 to interpret, this argument, and in order to figure out how to interpret it, we have 79 00:07:15,096 --> 00:07:21,097 to figure out which of those is most likely as an interpretation of what the 80 00:07:21,097 --> 00:07:27,465 arguer is trying to say. And that's going to depend on which one makes the argument 81 00:07:27,465 --> 00:07:31,891 look the best. Now in this example it's not clear which interpretation is the 82 00:07:31,891 --> 00:07:36,095 best, because someone might give that argument in a context where they're saying 83 00:07:36,095 --> 00:07:40,300 the mistake is to think she claims that. But in other cases they might be saying 84 00:07:40,300 --> 00:07:44,347 that the mistake is to think that the enemy knows our plan. They don't really 85 00:07:44,347 --> 00:07:48,446 know our plan, and in other cases that might be claiming that other things are 86 00:07:48,446 --> 00:07:52,388 mistaken. So, we need to figure out what the person is saying, but that could 87 00:07:52,388 --> 00:07:56,945 depend on the particular context. It might vary from context to context. Now these 88 00:07:56,945 --> 00:08:03,217 unclarities seem unintentional. But sometimes people use unclearity to hide 89 00:08:03,217 --> 00:08:09,819 problems with their argument, to try to fool you. So imagine, a politician says we 90 00:08:09,819 --> 00:08:16,257 need to stop our enemies and stand by our friends, so we must remain strong and 91 00:08:16,257 --> 00:08:22,775 resolute. Well, if somebody starts arguing like that, you ought to be asking 92 00:08:22,775 --> 00:08:28,220 yourself, who do they think our friends are? Who do they think our enemies are? 93 00:08:28,220 --> 00:08:33,097 What do they mean, stop our enemies? Are they calling for military action? How do 94 00:08:33,097 --> 00:08:37,913 they think we ought to stop our enemies? And standing by our friends. Does that 95 00:08:37,913 --> 00:08:42,791 mean we ought to support'em, no matter what they do? There are lots of questions 96 00:08:42,791 --> 00:08:47,669 that you would want to ask, to clarify exactly which claim is being made before 97 00:08:47,669 --> 00:08:52,423 you accept something like this. Here's another claim that might be made by an 98 00:08:52,423 --> 00:08:57,240 opponent of the first politician. We have to help the needy. Well, wait a minute. 99 00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:02,246 Which people are needy? I mean everybody needs something. How needy to you have to 100 00:09:02,246 --> 00:09:07,315 be needy? And we ought to help the needy. Well how are we gonna help them? Does that 101 00:09:07,315 --> 00:09:12,075 mean we just give them what ever they want, or what are we suppose to give them? 102 00:09:12,075 --> 00:09:17,267 And when are we suppose to give them an d how much are we willing to spend on giving 103 00:09:17,267 --> 00:09:22,274 it to them? Politicians on both sides of the political spectrum make vague claims 104 00:09:22,274 --> 00:09:26,786 that need to clarified before you should be willing to endorse one or the other of 105 00:09:26,786 --> 00:09:32,408 those claims. If you try to decide what to believe before you know exactly what the 106 00:09:32,408 --> 00:09:37,915 claim means, before you've calrified it, you can end up commiting yourself to all 107 00:09:37,915 --> 00:09:43,009 kinds on nonsense and all kinds of very problematic positions. You can get 108 00:09:43,009 --> 00:09:48,171 yourself in to a lot of trouble. That's why we need to clarify the terms in 109 00:09:48,171 --> 00:09:53,424 arguments. Now, one special way in which premises need to be clarified, is that 110 00:09:53,424 --> 00:09:58,534 they need to be broken up into smaller parts, where you can do that. And the 111 00:09:58,534 --> 00:10:04,052 point of this, is that the smaller parts are going to be easier to understand, and 112 00:10:04,052 --> 00:10:09,298 easier to assess for whether they're true or not. So, step four, to clarify the 113 00:10:09,298 --> 00:10:14,726 premises, belongs together with step five, break up the premises into parts. What 114 00:10:14,726 --> 00:10:20,980 needs to be broken up? Well, the explicit premises and sometimes the conclusion as 115 00:10:20,980 --> 00:10:27,465 well. Here's a simple example. That shirt looks great on you and it's on sale, so 116 00:10:27,465 --> 00:10:34,752 you ought to buy it. We might put that in standard form like this. That shirt looks 117 00:10:34,752 --> 00:10:40,368 great on you and it's on sale is the premise and the conclusion is you ought to 118 00:10:40,368 --> 00:10:46,748 buy it. But notice that the premise has two parts, joined by an and. So we could 119 00:10:46,748 --> 00:10:52,900 break them up and have the first premise, that shirt looks great on you, and the 120 00:10:52,900 --> 00:10:58,740 second premise it's on sale and then the conclusion is you ought to buy it." 121 00:10:59,880 --> 00:11:05,243 Breaking up like that is supposed to make it easier to assess the premise for truth 122 00:11:05,243 --> 00:11:10,804 or falsehood. Now in this case it doesn't make it much easier cause it was so simple 123 00:11:10,804 --> 00:11:16,300 to begin with, but we'll see that breaking up premises will really help when we get 124 00:11:16,300 --> 00:11:21,464 to more complex examples. So, it makes sense to break up premises. Well, at least 125 00:11:21,464 --> 00:11:26,562 sometimes. We should not break up premises when breaking them up distorts the 126 00:11:26,562 --> 00:11:31,518 argument. Here's an example of that. We still need to add either one more cup 127 00:11:31,518 --> 00:11:37,253 white of suger, or one more cup of brown sugar to complete the recipe. So we've got 128 00:11:37,253 --> 00:11:43,198 to add another cup of ingredients. Now one way to represent that argument would be to 129 00:11:43,198 --> 00:11:48,794 say the premise is, we still need to add one more cup of white sugar, or one more 130 00:11:48,794 --> 00:11:54,600 cup of brown sugar, and the conclusion is, we have another cup of ingredients to add. 131 00:11:55,280 --> 00:12:00,585 But we can break it up cuz it's got parts. We can change the argument into we still 132 00:12:00,585 --> 00:12:05,699 need to add one more cup of white sugar. That's the first premise, and the second 133 00:12:05,699 --> 00:12:11,133 premise is we still need to add one cup of brown sugar. And then the conclusion is we 134 00:12:11,133 --> 00:12:16,311 have one more cup of ingredients to add, but that argument doesn't make any sense. 135 00:12:16,311 --> 00:12:21,552 If we've got to add one of white and one of brown, we don't just have one more cup 136 00:12:21,552 --> 00:12:26,730 of ingredients to add. And as always we're supposed to be making the argument look 137 00:12:26,730 --> 00:12:33,888 good and that change made it look bad. And the problem is that here we broke up the 138 00:12:33,888 --> 00:12:39,946 word or. Because it's one cup of white or one cup of brown and presumably you didn't 139 00:12:39,946 --> 00:12:44,967 know which it was, or maybe you had a choice between the two but you weren't 140 00:12:44,967 --> 00:12:50,119 suppose to add both. That would be too much, and the word or signals that. So in 141 00:12:50,119 --> 00:12:55,442 general, you should not break up when the word that joins the two is or, but it's 142 00:12:55,442 --> 00:13:00,851 okay to break up when the word that joins the two is and. You still got to be 143 00:13:00,851 --> 00:13:06,120 careful about context. It's not always goint to work that way, but as a general 144 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:11,740 rule you know, that usually works. Other cases are even trickier. One particularly 145 00:13:11,740 --> 00:13:17,211 problematic case is dependent clauses. Here's an example. Nancy finished all her 146 00:13:17,211 --> 00:13:22,541 homework because all she had to do was write 25 lines of poetry, and she wrote 147 00:13:22,541 --> 00:13:28,502 two sonnets, which have fourteen lines each. The dependent clauses, which have 148 00:13:28,502 --> 00:13:34,653 fourteen lines each. And the question is, how do we fit that into standard form. 149 00:13:34,653 --> 00:13:40,172 Well, here's one stab. The first premise can say, all she had to do is write 25 150 00:13:40,172 --> 00:13:45,621 lines of poetry. And the second premise can be, she wrote two sonnets which have 151 00:13:45,621 --> 00:13:50,449 fourteen lines each. And then the conclusion is, Nancy finished all her 152 00:13:50,449 --> 00:13:56,753 homework. Now the question is can we break up that second premis e into two different 153 00:13:56,753 --> 00:14:01,729 parts? It seems like we can. We should be able to represent the argument. So the 154 00:14:01,729 --> 00:14:06,210 first premise is, all she had to do is write 25 lines of poetry and the second 155 00:14:06,210 --> 00:14:10,920 premise says she wrote two sonnets and the third premise is sonnets have fourteen 156 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:15,310 lines each and the conclusion is she finished all her homework. In this case, 157 00:14:15,310 --> 00:14:20,226 breaking down the premise actually helps us understand and asses it. Because we can 158 00:14:20,226 --> 00:14:24,787 decide whether it's really true, for example, that sonnets have fourteen lines 159 00:14:24,787 --> 00:14:29,466 each. That's going to be a question. If the answer is no, then the argument might 160 00:14:29,466 --> 00:14:33,909 fail. The answer is yes, at least for standard sonnets. So the argument looks 161 00:14:33,909 --> 00:14:38,947 pretty good. Contrast that example with this one. Our legal system isn't fair 162 00:14:38,947 --> 00:14:44,019 because authorities go easy on white collar criminals who have been allowed to 163 00:14:44,019 --> 00:14:48,954 get away with their crimes in recent years. Well the premise, could be, 164 00:14:48,954 --> 00:14:54,556 authorities go easy on criminals who've been allowed to get away with their crimes 165 00:14:54,556 --> 00:14:59,618 in recent years. And, the conclusion is, our legal system isn't fair. Now the 166 00:14:59,618 --> 00:15:05,085 question is, can we break up that first premise, cuz it has the dependent clause, 167 00:15:05,085 --> 00:15:11,328 who've been allowed to get away with their crimes in recent years. Well that depends, 168 00:15:11,328 --> 00:15:17,235 because the person giving the argument might be saying that authorities go easy 169 00:15:17,235 --> 00:15:22,676 on all white collar criminals. And, they might be saying that authorities only go 170 00:15:22,676 --> 00:15:27,968 easy on a certain subset of white collar criminals, namely the subset they've been 171 00:15:27,968 --> 00:15:33,002 allowed to get away with their crimes in recent years. If the premises now all 172 00:15:33,002 --> 00:15:37,714 white collar criminals, then we can break it up so that one premises says 173 00:15:37,714 --> 00:15:42,812 authorities go easy on white collar criminals, and the next premise says white 174 00:15:42,812 --> 00:15:48,040 collar criminals have been allowed to get away with their crimes in recent years. 175 00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:52,640 But if the arguer is only talking about some white collar criminals, and admits 176 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:57,591 that other white collar criminals have not been allowed to get away with their crime, 177 00:15:57,591 --> 00:16:02,133 then he's only saying that authorities go easy on those white collar criminals who 178 00:16:02,133 --> 00:16:06,501 have been allowed to get away with their crime, that subset of white collar 179 00:16:06,501 --> 00:16:11,277 criminals. And then it would distort the argument to break it up, because if you do 180 00:16:11,277 --> 00:16:16,111 break it up then that second premise says white collar criminals have been allowed 181 00:16:16,111 --> 00:16:21,677 to get away with their crimes in recent years. And if some of them haven't, then 182 00:16:21,677 --> 00:16:27,476 that premise turns out to be false. So if you break it up you can criticize it by 183 00:16:27,476 --> 00:16:32,415 pointing out that it doesn't really apply to all white collar criminals, but if you 184 00:16:32,415 --> 00:16:37,413 leave it as a single premise then it's not subject to that criticism, so if you want 185 00:16:37,413 --> 00:16:42,071 to be charitable, you probably ought to keep this premise together. Unless you 186 00:16:42,071 --> 00:16:47,126 know, on independent grounds, that the person was making that claim about all 187 00:16:47,126 --> 00:16:52,093 white collar criminals and not just a subset. So to make that argument look 188 00:16:52,093 --> 00:16:57,553 better we don't break up the premise and the general lesson is that with dependent 189 00:16:57,553 --> 00:17:02,881 clauses like that and with and who, you have to look very carefully to figure out 190 00:17:02,881 --> 00:17:08,209 what the speaker wanted to say and what's going to make their argument look best. 191 00:17:08,209 --> 00:17:13,471 And use that information to determine whether or not break up the premise. There 192 00:17:13,471 --> 00:17:18,865 are no air tight rules as always, so we need to do a few exercises to practice the