WEBVTT

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The narrative of a rising Africa
is being challenged.

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About 10 years ago, I spoke
about an Africa,

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an Africa of hope and opportunity,

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an Africa of entrepreneurs,

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an Africa very different from the Africa
that you normally hear about

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of death, poverty, and disease,

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and that, what I spoke about,

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became part of what is known now
as the narrative of the rising Africa.

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I want to tell you two stories
about this rising Africa.

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The first has to do with Rwanda,

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a country that has gone through
many trials and tribulations.

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And Rwanda has decided to become
the technology hub, or a technology hub

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on the continent.

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It's a country with mountainous
and hilly terrain,

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a little bit like here,
so it's very difficult

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to deliver services to people.

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So what has Rwanda said?

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In order to save lives, it's going
to try using drones

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to deliver life-saving drugs,
vaccines, and blood

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to people in hard to reach places

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in partnership with
a company called Zipline,

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with UPS, and also with the Gavi,
a global vaccine alliance.

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In doing this, it will save lives.

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This is part of the type of innovation
we want to see in the rising Africa.

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The second story has to do with something
that I'm sure most of you

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have seen or will remember.

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Very often, countries in Africa
suffer drought and floods,

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and it's getting more frequent
because of climate change effects.

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When this happens, they normally wait
for international appeals

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to raise money.

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You see pictures of children
with flies on their faces,

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carcasses of dead animals, and so on.

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Now these countries, 32 countries,
came together

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under the auspices of the African Union

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and decided to form an organization
called the African Risk Capacity.

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What does it do? It's a weather-based
insurance agency,

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and what these countries do
is to pay insurance each year,

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about 3 million dollars a year
of their own resources,

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so that in the event they have
a difficult drought situation or flood,

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this money will be paid out to then
which they can then use

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to take care of their populations,

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instead of waiting for aid to come.

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The African Risk Capacity last year
paid 26 million dollars

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to Mauritania, Senegal, and Niger.

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This enabled them to take care
of 1.3 million people

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affected by drought.

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They were able to restore livelihoods,

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buy fodder for cattle,
feed children in school,

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and in short keep the populations
home instead of migrating out of the area.

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So these are the kinds of stories
of an Africa ready to take

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responsibility for itself, and to look
for solutions for its own problems.

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But that narrative is being challenged now

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because the continent
has not been doing well

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in the last two years.

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It had been growing
at five percent per annum

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for the last one and a half decades,

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but this year's forecast
was three percent. Why?

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In an uncertain global environment,
commodity prices have fallen.

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Many of the economies
are still commodity-driven,

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and therefore their
performance has slipped.

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And now the issue of Brexit
doesn't make it any easier.

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I never knew that the Brexit could happen

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and that it could be one of the things
that would cause global uncertainty

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such as we have.

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So now we've got this situation,

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and I think it's time to take stock

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and to say what were the things

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that the African countries did right?

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What did they do wrong?

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How do we build on all of this
and learn lessons

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so that we can keep Africa rising?

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So let me talk about six things
that I think we did right.

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The first is managing
our economies better.

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The '80s and '90s were the lost decades
when Africa was not doing well,

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and some of you will remember

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an Economist cover that said

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"The Lost Continent."

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But in the 2000s, policymakers learned

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that they needed to manage
the macroeconomic environment better,

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to ensure stability,

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keep inflation low in single digits,

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keep their fiscal deficits low,
below three percent of GDP,

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give investors, both domestic and foreign,

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some stability so they'll have confidence
to invest in these economies.

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So that was number one.

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Two, debt.

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In 1994, the debt-to-GDP ratio
of African countries was 130 percent,

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and they didn't have fiscal space.

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They couldn't use their resources
to invest in their development

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because they were paying debt.

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There may be some of you in this room
who worked to support African countries

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to get debt relief.

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So private creditors, multilaterals,
and bilaterals came together

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and decided to do the Highly Indebted
Poor Countries Initiative

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and give debt relief.

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So this debt relief in 2005

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made the deb-to-GDP ratio
fall down to about 30 percent,

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and there was enough resources
to try and reinvest.

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The third thing was
loss-making enterprises.

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Governments were involved in business

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which they had no business being in.

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And they were running businesses,
they were making losses.

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So some of these enterprises
were restructured,

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commercialized, privatized, or closed,

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and they became less of a burden

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on government.

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The fourth thing was
a very interesting thing.

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The telecoms revolution came,

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and African countries jumped on it.

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In 2000, we had 11 million phone lines.

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Today, we have about 687 million
mobile lines on the continent,

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and this has enabled us

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to go, move forward with
some mobile technology

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where Africa is actually leading.

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In Kenya, the development of mobile money,

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M-PESA, which all of you have heard about,

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took some time for the world to notice
that Africa was ahead

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in this particular technology.

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And this mobile money is also
providing a platform

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for access to alternative energy,

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you know, people who can now pay for solar

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the same way they pay for cards
for their telephone.

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So this was a very good development,
something that went right.

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We also invested more in education
and health, not enough,

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but there were some improvements.

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250 million children were immunized
in the last one and a half decades.

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The other thing was
that conflicts decreased.

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There were many conflicts
on the continent.

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Many of you are aware of that.

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But they came down, and our leaders
even managed to dampen some coups.

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New types of conflicts have emerged,
and I'll refer to those later.

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So based on all this, there's also
some differentiation on the continent

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that I want you to know about,

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because even as
the doom and gloom is here,

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there are some countries --
Cote d'Ivoire, Kenya, Ethiopia,

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Tanzania, and Senegal
are performing relatively well

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at the moment.

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But what did we do wrong?

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Let me mention eight things.

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You have to have more things
wrong than right.

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So there are eight things we did wrong.

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The first was that even though we grew,
we didn't create enough jobs.

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We didn't create jobs for our youth.

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Youth unemployment on the continent
is about 15 percent,

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and underemployment is a serious problem.

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The second thing we did is that
the quality of growth was not good enough.

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Even those jobs we created
were low-productivity jobs,

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so we moved people from
low-productivity agriculture

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to low-productivity commerce
and working in the informal sector

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in the urban areas.

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The third thing is that
inequality increased.

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So we created more billionaires.

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50 billionaires worth 96 billion dollars,

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own more wealth than the bottom
75 million people on the continent.

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Poverty, the proportion of people
in poverty, that's the fourth thing,

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did decrease, but
the absolute numbers did not

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because of population growth,

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and population is growth is something
that we don't have enough

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of a dialogue about on the continent.

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And I think we will need to get
a handle on it,

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particularly how we educate girls.

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That is the road to really working
on this particular issue.

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The fifth thing is that we didn't invest
enough in infrastructure.

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We had investment from the Chinese.

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That helped some countries,
but it's not enough.

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The consumption of electricity
in Africa on the continent

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in Sub-Saharan Africa
is equivalent to Spain.

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The total consumption is equivalent
to that of Spain.

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So many people are living in the dark,

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and as the President of the African
Development Bank said recently,

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Africa can not develop in the dark.

NOTE Paragraph

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The other thing we have not done

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is that our economies retain
the same structure

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that we've had for decades.

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So even though we've been growing,
the structure of the economies

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have not changed very much.

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We are still exporting commodities,

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and exporting commodities is what,
it's exporting jobs.

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Our manufacturing value-added
is only 11 percent.

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We are not creating enough
decent manufacturing jobs for our youth,

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and trade among ourselves is low.

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Only about 12 percent of our trade
is among ourselves.

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So that's another serious problem.

NOTE Paragraph

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Then governance.

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Governance is a serious issue.

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We have weak institutions,

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and sometimes non-existent institutions,
and I think this gives way for corruption.

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Corruption is an issue that we have not
yet gotten a good enough handle on,

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and we have to fight tooth and nail,

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that and increased transparency
in the way we manage our economies

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and the way we manage our finances.

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We also need to be wary of new conflicts,

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new types of conflicts

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such as we have with Boko Haram
in my country, Nigeria,

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and with al Shabaab in Kenya.

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We need to partner
with international partners,

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developed countries
to fight this together.

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Otherwise, we create a new reality
which is not the type we want

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for a rising Africa.

NOTE Paragraph

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And finally, the issue of education.

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Our education systems
in many countries are broken.

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We are not creating the types of skills
needed for the future.

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So we have to find a way
to educate better.

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So those are the things
that we are not doing right.

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Now, where do we go from there?

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I believe that the way forward

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is to learn to manage success.

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Very often, when people succeed
or countries succeed,

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they forget what made them succeed.

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Learning what you're successful at,
managing it, and keeping it

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is vital for us, so all those things
I said we did right,

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we have to learn to do it right again,
keep doing it right.

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Managing the economy well,
creating stability is vital,

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getting prices right,
and policy consistency.

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Very often, we are not consistent.

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One regime goes out, another comes in
and they throw away

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even the functioning policies
that were there before.

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What does this do?

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It creates uncertainty for people,
for households,

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uncertainties for business.

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They don't know whether
and how to invest.

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Debt: we must manage
the success we had in reducing our debt,

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but now countries are back
to borrowing again,

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and we see our deb-to-GDP ratio
beginning to creep up,

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and in certain countries,

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debt is becoming a problem,
so we have to avoid that.

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So managing success.

NOTE Paragraph

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The next thing is focusing
with a laser beam

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on those things we did not do well.

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First and foremost is infrastructure.

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Yes, most countries now recognize
they have to invest in this,

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and they are trying to do
the best they can to do that.

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We must.

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The most important thing is power.

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You cannot develop in the dark.

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And then governance and corruption:

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we have to fight.

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We have to make our countries transparent.

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And above all, we have to
engage our young people.

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We have genius in our young people.

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I see it every day.

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It's what makes me wake up
in the morning and feel ready to go.

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We have to unleash the genius
of our young people,

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get out of their way,

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support them to create and innovate

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and lead the way.

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I know that they will lead us
in the right direction.

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And our women, and our girls:

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we have to recognize that girls
and women are a gift.

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They have strength,

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and we have to unleash that strength

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so that they can contribute
to the continent.

NOTE Paragraph

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I strongly believe
that when we do all of these things,

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we find that the rising Africa narrative

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is not a fluke.

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It's a trend.

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It's a trend, and if we continue,
if we unleash our youth,

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if we unleash our women,

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we may step backwards sometimes,

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we may even step sideways,

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but the trend is clear.

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Africa will continue to rise.

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And I tell you businesspeople
in the audience,

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if investment in Africa
is not for today,

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it's not for tomorrow,
it's not a short term thing,

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it's a longer term thing.

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But if you are not invested in Africa,

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then you will be missing

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one of the most important
emerging opportunities in the world.

NOTE Paragraph

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Thank you.

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(Applause)

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Moderator: So you mentioned
corruption in your talk,

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and you're known, well-known
as a strong anti-corruption fighter.

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But that's had consequences.

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People have fought back,
and your mother was kidnapped.

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How have you been handling this?

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Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala:
It's been very difficult.

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Thank you for mentioning the issue
of the kidnap of my mother.

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It's a very difficult subject.

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But what it means is that
when you fight corruption,

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when you touch the pockets
of people who are stealing money,

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they don't just keep quiet.

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They fight back, and the issue for you
is when they try to intimidate you,

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do you give up, or do you fight on?

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Do you find a way
to stay on and fight back?

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And the answer that I had
with the teams I worked with

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is we have to fight on.

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We have to create those institutions.

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We have to find ways to stop these people

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from taking away
the heritage of the future.

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And so that's what we did.

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And even out of government,
we continued to make that point.

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In our countries, nobody,
nobody is going to fight corruption

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for us but us.

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And therefore, that comes
with consequences,

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and we just have to do the best we can.

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But I thank you and thank TED

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for giving us a voice,
to say to those people,

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you will not win,

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and we will not be intimidated.

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(Applause)

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Moderator: Thank you so much
for your great talk and important work.

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(Applause)