0:00:07.808,0:00:10.839 A toothpaste brand claims[br]their product will destroy more plaque 0:00:10.839,0:00:12.910 than any product ever made. 0:00:12.910,0:00:16.411 A politician tells you their plan[br]will create the most jobs. 0:00:16.411,0:00:18.951 We're so used to hearing these[br]kinds of exaggerations 0:00:18.951,0:00:20.850 in advertising and politics 0:00:20.850,0:00:23.131 that we might not even bat an eye. 0:00:23.131,0:00:26.111 But what about when the claim[br]is accompanied by a graph? 0:00:26.111,0:00:28.471 Afterall, a graph isn't an opinion. 0:00:28.471,0:00:32.611 It represents cold, hard numbers,[br]and who can argue with those? 0:00:32.611,0:00:36.403 Yet, as it turns out, there are plenty[br]of ways graphs can mislead 0:00:36.403,0:00:38.192 and outright manipulate. 0:00:38.192,0:00:40.745 Here are some things to look out for. 0:00:40.745,0:00:45.760 In this 1992 ad, Chevy claimed to make[br]the most reliable trucks in America 0:00:45.760,0:00:47.510 using this graph. 0:00:47.510,0:00:51.963 Not only does it show that 98% of all[br]Chevy trucks sold in the last ten years 0:00:51.963,0:00:53.592 are still on the road, 0:00:53.592,0:00:57.338 but it looks like they're twice[br]as dependable as Toyota trucks. 0:00:57.338,0:01:00.634 That is, until you take a closer look[br]at the numbers on the left 0:01:00.634,0:01:05.472 and see that the figure for Toyota[br]is about 96.5%. 0:01:05.472,0:01:09.313 The scale only goes between 95 and 100%. 0:01:09.313,0:01:12.963 If it went from 0 to 100,[br]it would look like this. 0:01:12.963,0:01:16.243 This is one of the most common[br]ways graphs misrepresent data, 0:01:16.243,0:01:18.333 by distorting the scale. 0:01:18.333,0:01:20.804 Zooming in on a small portion[br]of the y-axis 0:01:20.804,0:01:25.703 exaggerates a barely detectable difference[br]between the things being compared. 0:01:25.703,0:01:27.974 And it's especially misleading [br]with bar graphs 0:01:27.974,0:01:31.023 since we assume the difference[br]in the size of the bars 0:01:31.023,0:01:33.233 is proportional to the values. 0:01:33.233,0:01:36.125 But the scale can also be distorted[br]along the x-axis, 0:01:36.125,0:01:40.414 usually in line graphs[br]showing something changing over time. 0:01:40.414,0:01:44.747 This chart showing the rise[br]in American unemployment from 2008 to 2010 0:01:44.747,0:01:47.996 manipulates the x-axis in two ways. 0:01:47.996,0:01:50.395 First of all, the scale is inconsistent, 0:01:50.395,0:01:53.416 compressing the 15-month span[br]after March 2009 0:01:53.416,0:01:56.755 to look shorter than [br]the preceding six months. 0:01:56.755,0:02:00.106 Using more consistent data points[br]gives a different picture 0:02:00.106,0:02:03.705 with job losses tapering off[br]by the end of 2009. 0:02:03.705,0:02:06.675 And if you wonder why[br]they were increasing in the first place, 0:02:06.675,0:02:10.615 the timeline starts immediately after[br]the U.S.'s biggest financial collapse 0:02:10.615,0:02:12.626 since the Great Depression. 0:02:12.626,0:02:15.219 These techniques are known as[br]cherry picking. 0:02:15.219,0:02:18.869 A time range can be carefully chosen[br]to exclude the impact of a major event 0:02:18.869,0:02:20.648 right outside it. 0:02:20.648,0:02:24.762 And picking specific data points[br]can hide important changes in between. 0:02:24.762,0:02:27.356 Even when there's nothing wrong[br]with the graph itself, 0:02:27.356,0:02:30.937 leaving out relevant data can give[br]a misleading impression. 0:02:30.937,0:02:33.997 This chart of how many people watch[br]the Super Bowl each year 0:02:33.997,0:02:37.626 makes it look like the event's[br]popularity is exploding. 0:02:37.626,0:02:40.198 But it's not accounting [br]for population growth. 0:02:40.198,0:02:41.967 The ratings have actually held steady 0:02:41.967,0:02:45.109 because while the number [br]of football fans has increased, 0:02:45.109,0:02:47.959 their share of overall viewership has not. 0:02:47.959,0:02:49.888 Finally, a graph can't tell you much 0:02:49.888,0:02:53.318 if you don't know the full significance [br]of what's being presented. 0:02:53.318,0:02:56.457 Both of the following graphs[br]use the same ocean temperature data 0:02:56.457,0:02:59.719 from the National Centers [br]for Environmental Information. 0:02:59.719,0:03:02.490 So why do they seem to give[br]opposite impressions? 0:03:02.490,0:03:05.279 The first graph plots the average[br]annual ocean temperature 0:03:05.279,0:03:07.987 from 1880 to 2016, 0:03:07.987,0:03:10.149 making the change look insignificant. 0:03:10.149,0:03:12.878 But in fact, a rise of even[br]half a degree Celsius 0:03:12.878,0:03:15.799 can cause massive ecological disruption. 0:03:15.799,0:03:17.219 This is why the second graph, 0:03:17.219,0:03:19.858 which show the average temperature[br]variation each year, 0:03:19.858,0:03:22.390 is far more significant. 0:03:22.390,0:03:27.379 When they're used well, graphs can[br]help us intuitively grasp complex data. 0:03:27.379,0:03:31.180 But as visual software has enabled[br]more usage of graphs throughout all media, 0:03:31.180,0:03:35.900 it's also made them easier to use[br]in a careless or dishonest way. 0:03:35.900,0:03:39.560 So the next time you see a graph,[br]don't be swayed by the lines and curves. 0:03:39.560,0:03:40.882 Look at the labels, 0:03:40.882,0:03:42.130 the numbers, 0:03:42.130,0:03:43.048 the scale, 0:03:43.048,0:03:44.360 and the context, 0:03:44.360,0:03:46.780 and ask what story the picture[br]is trying to tell.