[Script Info]
Title: 
[Events]
Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text
Dialogue: 0,0:00:01.24,0:00:04.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Good afternoon. I am proud to be here at TEDxKrakow.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:04.32,0:00:07.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'll try to speak a little bit today about a phenomenon
Dialogue: 0,0:00:07.37,0:00:10.29,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which can and is actually changing the world,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:10.29,0:00:12.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and whose name is people power.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:12.28,0:00:15.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'll start with the anecdote, or for those of you
Dialogue: 0,0:00:15.04,0:00:18.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,who are Monty Python lovers, a Monty Python type of sketch.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:18.61,0:00:22.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Here it is. It is December 15, 2010.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:22.61,0:00:25.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Somebody gives you a bet. You will look at a crystal ball
Dialogue: 0,0:00:25.88,0:00:28.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you will see the future. The future will be accurate.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:28.63,0:00:31.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But you need to share it with the world. Okay?
Dialogue: 0,0:00:31.32,0:00:33.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Curiosity killed the cat. You take the bet.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:33.94,0:00:36.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You look at the crystal ball. One hour later,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:36.37,0:00:39.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you are sitting in a building on the national TV
Dialogue: 0,0:00:39.06,0:00:41.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in a talkshow, and you tell the story.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:41.70,0:00:46.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Before the end of 2011, Ben Ali and Mubarak
Dialogue: 0,0:00:46.54,0:00:50.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and Gaddafi will be down and prosecuted.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:50.30,0:00:53.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Saleh of Yemen and Assad of Syria
Dialogue: 0,0:00:53.20,0:00:56.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,would be either challenged or already on their knees.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:56.48,0:00:58.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Osama bin Laden will be dead,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:58.69,0:01:01.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and Ratko Mladic will be in the Hague."
Dialogue: 0,0:01:01.35,0:01:04.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, the anchor watches you with a strange gaze on his face,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:04.87,0:01:06.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and then on the top of it you add,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:06.66,0:01:09.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"And thousands of the young people from Athens, Madrid
Dialogue: 0,0:01:09.37,0:01:12.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and New York will demonstrate for social justice,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:12.50,0:01:15.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,claiming that they are inspired with Arabs."
Dialogue: 0,0:01:15.36,0:01:18.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Next thing you know, two guys in white appear.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:18.48,0:01:20.76,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They give you the strange t-shirt,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:20.76,0:01:22.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,take you to the nearest mental institution.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:22.70,0:01:25.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So I would like to speak a little bit about the phenomenon
Dialogue: 0,0:01:25.63,0:01:29.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is behind what already seems to be the very bad year
Dialogue: 0,0:01:29.42,0:01:34.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,for bad guys, and this phenomenon is called people power.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:34.12,0:01:36.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, people power has been there for a while.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:36.90,0:01:39.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It helped Gandhi kick the Brits from India.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:39.65,0:01:43.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It helped Martin Luther King win a historic racial struggle.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:43.56,0:01:46.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It helped local Lech Walesa to kick out
Dialogue: 0,0:01:46.94,0:01:49.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,one million Soviet troops from Poland
Dialogue: 0,0:01:49.92,0:01:52.76,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and beginning the end of the Soviet Union as we know it.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:52.76,0:01:56.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So what's new in it? What seems to be very new,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:56.46,0:01:59.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is the idea I would like to share with you today,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:59.04,0:02:03.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that there is a set of rules and skills which can be learned
Dialogue: 0,0:02:03.12,0:02:07.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and taught in order to perform successful nonviolent struggle.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:07.61,0:02:11.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If this is true, we can help these movements.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:11.13,0:02:14.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, first one, analytic skills.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:14.13,0:02:17.01,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'll try where it all started in the Middle East,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:17.01,0:02:20.79,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and for so many years we were living with completely the wrong
Dialogue: 0,0:02:20.79,0:02:23.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,perception of the Middle East.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:23.21,0:02:26.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It was looking like the frozen region, literally a refrigerator,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:26.62,0:02:28.97,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and there are only two types of meals there:
Dialogue: 0,0:02:28.97,0:02:32.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,steak, which stands for a Mubarak, Ben Ali-type of
Dialogue: 0,0:02:32.24,0:02:36.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,military police dictatorship, or a potato,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:36.32,0:02:39.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which stands for Tehran types of theocracies.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:39.05,0:02:42.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And everybody was amazed when the refrigerator opened
Dialogue: 0,0:02:42.02,0:02:45.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and millions of young, mainly secular people step out
Dialogue: 0,0:02:45.65,0:02:50.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to do the change. Guess what? They didn't watch the demographics.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:50.45,0:02:53.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,What is the average age of Egyptians? 24.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:53.03,0:02:55.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,How long was Mubarak in power? 31.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:55.50,0:02:59.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So this system: just obsolete. They expired,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:59.27,0:03:01.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and young people of the Arab World have awakened
Dialogue: 0,0:03:01.78,0:03:06.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,one morning and understood that power lies in their hands.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:06.22,0:03:09.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The rest is the year in front of us. And guess what?
Dialogue: 0,0:03:09.21,0:03:11.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The same Generation Epsilon with their rules,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:11.91,0:03:14.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,with their tools, with their games and with their language,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:14.67,0:03:18.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which sounds a little bit strange to me. I am 38 now.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:18.56,0:03:22.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And can you look at the age of the people on the streets of Europe?
Dialogue: 0,0:03:22.47,0:03:26.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It seems that Generation Epsilon is coming.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:26.58,0:03:29.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now let me set another example.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:29.71,0:03:31.75,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'm meeting different people throughout the world,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:31.75,0:03:34.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and they are, you know, academics and professors
Dialogue: 0,0:03:34.37,0:03:37.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and doctors, and they will always talk conditions.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:37.13,0:03:41.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They will say, "People power will work only if the regime is not too oppressive."
Dialogue: 0,0:03:41.13,0:03:44.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They will say, "People power will work if the annual income
Dialogue: 0,0:03:44.17,0:03:46.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of the country is between X and Z."
Dialogue: 0,0:03:46.88,0:03:50.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They will say, "People power will work only if there is a foreign pressure."
Dialogue: 0,0:03:50.48,0:03:53.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They will say, "People power will work only if there is no oil."
Dialogue: 0,0:03:53.41,0:03:55.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And, I mean, there is a set of conditions.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:55.38,0:04:00.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, the news here is that your skills [that you] bring in the conflict
Dialogue: 0,0:04:00.34,0:04:03.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,seem to be more important than the conditions,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:03.39,0:04:06.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,namely skills of unity, planning,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:06.04,0:04:07.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and maintaining nonviolent discipline.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:07.94,0:04:09.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Let me give you the example.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:09.57,0:04:11.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I am coming from a country called Serbia.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:11.47,0:04:16.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It took us 10 years to unite 18 opposition party leaders,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:16.22,0:04:19.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,with their big egos, behind one single candidate
Dialogue: 0,0:04:19.27,0:04:22.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,against Balkan dictator Slobodan Milosevic.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:22.00,0:04:24.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Guess what? That was the day of his defeat.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:24.69,0:04:27.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You look at the Egyptians, they fire on Tahrir Square,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:27.51,0:04:29.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they get rid of their individual symbols.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:29.81,0:04:32.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They appear on the street only with the flag of Egypt.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:32.88,0:04:35.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I will give you a counter-example.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:35.10,0:04:38.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You see nine presidential candidates running against Lukashenko.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:38.60,0:04:39.100,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You will know the outcome.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:39.100,0:04:43.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So unity is a big thing, and this can be achieved.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:43.48,0:04:45.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Same with planning. Somebody has lied to you
Dialogue: 0,0:04:45.92,0:04:49.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about the successful and spontaneous nonviolent revolution?
Dialogue: 0,0:04:49.78,0:04:52.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That thing doesn't exist in the world.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:52.04,0:04:54.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Whenever you see young people in front of the road
Dialogue: 0,0:04:54.80,0:04:57.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,trying to fraternize with the police or military,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:57.28,0:04:59.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,somebody was thinking about it before.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:59.80,0:05:02.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, at the end, nonviolent discipline,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:02.16,0:05:04.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and this is probably the game-changer.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:04.37,0:05:08.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If you maintain nonviolent discipline, you will exclusively win.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:08.57,0:05:11.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You have 100,000 people in a nonviolent march,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:11.42,0:05:14.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and one idiot or agent provocateur is throwing stones,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:14.07,0:05:16.97,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,guess what takes all the cameras? That one guy.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:16.97,0:05:19.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,One single act of violence can literally
Dialogue: 0,0:05:19.15,0:05:21.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,destroy your movement.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:21.61,0:05:24.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now let me move to another place.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:24.27,0:05:25.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's selection of strategies and tactics.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:25.85,0:05:29.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There are certain rules in nonviolent struggle you may follow.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:29.77,0:05:31.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,First, you start small.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:31.19,0:05:34.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Second, you pick the battles you can win.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:34.34,0:05:37.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's only 200 of us in this room.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:37.10,0:05:39.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We won't call for the March of Millions.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:39.17,0:05:42.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But what if we organize spraying graffiti throughout the night
Dialogue: 0,0:05:42.46,0:05:45.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,all over Krakow city? The city will know.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:45.49,0:05:48.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So we pick the tactics which accommodates to the event,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:48.80,0:05:52.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,especially this thing we call the small tactics of dispersion.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:52.90,0:05:56.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They're very useful in a violent oppression.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:56.69,0:05:58.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We are actually witnessing the picture
Dialogue: 0,0:05:58.67,0:06:01.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of one of the best tactics ever used.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:01.12,0:06:04.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It was on Tahrir Square, where the international community
Dialogue: 0,0:06:04.40,0:06:07.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,was constantly frightened that the Islamists
Dialogue: 0,0:06:07.92,0:06:10.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,will overtake the revolution. Well, they've organized
Dialogue: 0,0:06:10.32,0:06:13.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Christians protecting Muslims, who are there praying,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:13.45,0:06:16.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Coptic wedding cheered by thousands of Muslims.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:16.17,0:06:18.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The world has just changed the picture,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:18.16,0:06:21.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but somebody was thinking about this previously.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:21.18,0:06:23.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So there are so many things you can do instead of
Dialogue: 0,0:06:23.50,0:06:26.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,getting into one place, shouting and
Dialogue: 0,0:06:26.80,0:06:30.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,showing off in front of the security forces.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:30.25,0:06:33.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now there is also another very important dynamic,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:33.94,0:06:37.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and this is a dynamic normally analytics don't see.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:37.07,0:06:40.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is dynamics between fear and apathy on one side
Dialogue: 0,0:06:40.58,0:06:43.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and enthusiasm and humor on another side.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:43.67,0:06:45.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So it works like in a video game.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:45.68,0:06:47.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You have a fear high, you have status quo.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:47.95,0:06:51.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You have enthusiasm higher, you see fear starting to melt.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:51.95,0:06:54.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Day two, you see people running towards police
Dialogue: 0,0:06:54.36,0:06:56.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,instead of from the police.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:56.66,0:06:59.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In Egypt, you can tell that something is happening there.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:59.66,0:07:03.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And then it's about humor. Humor is such a powerful
Dialogue: 0,0:07:03.47,0:07:05.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,game-changer, and of course it was very big in Poland.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:05.91,0:07:08.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And you know, we were just a small group of crazy students
Dialogue: 0,0:07:08.93,0:07:12.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in Serbia when we made this big skit.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:12.12,0:07:15.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We put the big petrol barrel with a
Dialogue: 0,0:07:15.20,0:07:17.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,portrait picture of Mr. President on it
Dialogue: 0,0:07:17.96,0:07:20.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in the middle of the Main Street. There was a hole on the top
Dialogue: 0,0:07:20.41,0:07:23.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,so you could literally come, put a coin in,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:23.41,0:07:26.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,get a baseball bat, and pow, hit his face.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:26.85,0:07:30.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Sounds loud. And within the minutes, we were sitting
Dialogue: 0,0:07:30.28,0:07:32.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in a nearby cafe having coffee, and there was
Dialogue: 0,0:07:32.78,0:07:36.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a queue of people waiting to do this lovely thing.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:36.43,0:07:38.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, that's just the beginning of the show.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:38.74,0:07:41.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The real show starts when the police appears.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:41.20,0:07:44.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,What will they do? Arrest us? We are nowhere to be seen.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:44.94,0:07:48.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We are three blocks away observing it from our espresso bar.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:48.64,0:07:51.97,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Arrest the shoppers with kids? Doesn't make sense.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:51.97,0:07:54.76,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Of course, you could bet they have done the most stupid thing:
Dialogue: 0,0:07:54.76,0:07:57.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They arrested the barrel. And now the picture
Dialogue: 0,0:07:57.37,0:08:00.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of the smashed face on the barrel with the policeman
Dialogue: 0,0:08:00.08,0:08:03.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,dragging them to the police car, that was the best day
Dialogue: 0,0:08:03.16,0:08:06.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,for the photographers from newspapers that they ever will have.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:06.33,0:08:08.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So, I mean, these are the things you can do,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:08.95,0:08:10.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you can always use the humor.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:10.22,0:08:13.100,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There is also one big thing about the humor: It really hurts,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:13.100,0:08:18.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because these guys really are taking themselves too seriously.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:18.11,0:08:20.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,When you start to mock them, it hurts.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:20.48,0:08:24.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, everybody is talking about His Majesty, the Internet,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:24.65,0:08:28.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and it is also a very useful skill, but don't rush
Dialogue: 0,0:08:28.64,0:08:32.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to label things like Facebook Revolution, Twitter Revolution.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:32.43,0:08:35.59,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Don't mix tools with the substance.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:35.59,0:08:39.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It is true that the Internet and new media are very useful
Dialogue: 0,0:08:39.08,0:08:41.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in making things faster and cheaper.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:41.95,0:08:44.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They make it also a bit safer for the participants
Dialogue: 0,0:08:44.56,0:08:47.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because they give the part of anonymity.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:47.24,0:08:50.55,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We are watching the great example of something else the Internet can do.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:50.55,0:08:55.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It can put the price tag of state-sponsored violence over nonviolent protesters.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:55.68,0:08:58.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is a famous group, We are all Khaled Said,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:58.35,0:09:00.75,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,made by Wael Ghonim in Egypt and his friend.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:00.75,0:09:04.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is the mutilated face of the guy who was beaten by the police.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:04.45,0:09:07.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is how he became the public, and this is what probably
Dialogue: 0,0:09:07.47,0:09:10.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,became the straw which broke the camel's back.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:10.62,0:09:12.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But here is also the bad news.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:12.38,0:09:14.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The nonviolent struggle is won in the real world,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:14.99,0:09:18.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in the streets. You will never change your society
Dialogue: 0,0:09:18.67,0:09:21.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,towards democracy or economics
Dialogue: 0,0:09:21.86,0:09:23.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,if you sit down and click.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:23.58,0:09:26.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There are risks to be taken and there are living people
Dialogue: 0,0:09:26.08,0:09:28.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,who are winning the struggle.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:28.43,0:09:32.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, million dollar question: What will happen in the Arab World?
Dialogue: 0,0:09:32.47,0:09:34.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And though young people from the Arab World
Dialogue: 0,0:09:34.67,0:09:37.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,were pretty successful in bringing down three dictators,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:37.63,0:09:42.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,shaking the region, kind of persuading clever kings
Dialogue: 0,0:09:42.14,0:09:45.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from Jordan and Morocco doing substantial reforms,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:45.04,0:09:49.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it is yet to be seen what will be the outcome,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:49.49,0:09:52.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,whether the Egyptians and Tunisians will make it through the transition
Dialogue: 0,0:09:52.94,0:09:56.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or this will end in bloody ethnic and religious conflict,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:56.96,0:10:00.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,whether the Syrians will maintain nonviolent discipline,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:00.84,0:10:04.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,faced with the brutal daily violence
Dialogue: 0,0:10:04.26,0:10:06.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which kills thousands already,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:06.15,0:10:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or they will slip into violent struggle
Dialogue: 0,0:10:08.00,0:10:11.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and make ugly civil war.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:11.80,0:10:15.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Will these revolutions be whole like through the transitions
Dialogue: 0,0:10:15.62,0:10:18.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to democracy or be overtaken by military
Dialogue: 0,0:10:18.00,0:10:22.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or extremists of all kinds? We cannot tell.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:22.36,0:10:25.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Same works for the Western sector, where you can see
Dialogue: 0,0:10:25.31,0:10:28.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,all of these excited young people protesting around the world,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:28.34,0:10:31.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,occupying this, occupying that.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:31.04,0:10:34.23,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Are they going to become the world wave?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:34.23,0:10:37.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Are they going to find their skills, their enthusiasm,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:37.78,0:10:41.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and their strategy to find what they really want
Dialogue: 0,0:10:41.22,0:10:44.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and push for the reform, or will they just stay
Dialogue: 0,0:10:44.25,0:10:49.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,complaining about the endless list of the things they hate?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:49.51,0:10:52.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is the difference between two towns.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:52.84,0:10:55.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, what [do] the statistics have?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:55.54,0:10:57.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,My friend's book, Maria Stephan's book,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:57.92,0:11:00.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,talks a lot about violent and nonviolent struggle,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:00.77,0:11:03.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and there are some shocking data.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:03.51,0:11:06.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If you look at the last 35 years
Dialogue: 0,0:11:06.00,0:11:09.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and different social transitions from dictatorship to democracy,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:09.27,0:11:12.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you will see that out of 67 different cases,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:12.85,0:11:16.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in 50 of these cases it was nonviolent struggle
Dialogue: 0,0:11:16.15,0:11:19.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which was the key power.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:19.52,0:11:22.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is one more reason to look at this phenomenon.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:22.44,0:11:25.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is one more reason to look at the Generation Epsilon,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:25.18,0:11:28.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,enough for me to give them credit and hope
Dialogue: 0,0:11:28.66,0:11:32.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that they will find their skills and their courage
Dialogue: 0,0:11:32.58,0:11:34.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to use the nonviolent struggle
Dialogue: 0,0:11:34.57,0:11:37.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and thus fix at least a part of the mess
Dialogue: 0,0:11:37.05,0:11:39.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,our generation is making in this world.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:39.46,0:11:43.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Thank you. (Applause)