[Script Info]
Title: 
[Events]
Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text
Dialogue: 0,0:00:01.20,0:00:04.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Good afternoon, I'm proud\Nto be here at TEDxKrakow.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:04.33,0:00:07.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'll try to speak a little bit today\Nabout a phenomenon
Dialogue: 0,0:00:07.35,0:00:10.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which can, and actually is\Nchanging the world,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:10.38,0:00:12.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and whose name is people power.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:12.39,0:00:13.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'll start with an anecdote,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:13.92,0:00:17.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or for those of you\Nwho are Monty Python lovers,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:17.07,0:00:18.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a Monty Python type of sketch.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:18.54,0:00:19.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Here it is.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:19.60,0:00:22.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It is December 15, 2010.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:22.76,0:00:26.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Somebody gives you a bet:\Nyou will look at a crystal ball,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:26.26,0:00:28.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you will see the future;\Nthe future will be accurate.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:28.95,0:00:30.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But you need to share it with the world.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:30.90,0:00:33.100,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,OK, curiosity killed the cat,\Nyou take the bet,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:34.02,0:00:35.53,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you look at the crystal ball.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:35.55,0:00:39.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,One hour later, you're sitting\Nin a building of the national TV,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:39.12,0:00:41.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in a top show, and you tell the story.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:41.67,0:00:44.76,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Before the end of 2011,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:44.78,0:00:48.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ben Ali, and Mubarak,\Nand Gaddafi would be down,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:48.95,0:00:50.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and prosecuted.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:50.70,0:00:53.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Saleh of Yemen and Assad of Syria
Dialogue: 0,0:00:53.22,0:00:56.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,would be either challenged,\Nor already on their knees.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:56.68,0:00:58.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Osama bin Laden would be dead,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:58.70,0:01:00.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and Ratko Mladic would be in the Hague.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:01.42,0:01:04.97,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, the anchor watches you\Nwith a strange gaze on his face.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:04.99,0:01:06.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And then, on top of it you add:
Dialogue: 0,0:01:06.83,0:01:10.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"And thousands of young people\Nfrom Athens, Madrid and New York
Dialogue: 0,0:01:10.72,0:01:14.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,will demonstrate for social justice,\Nclaiming they are inspired by Arabs."
Dialogue: 0,0:01:16.01,0:01:18.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Next thing you know,\Ntwo guys in white appear,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:18.59,0:01:20.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they give you the strange t-shirt,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:20.82,0:01:22.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,take you to the nearest\Nmental institution.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:22.90,0:01:24.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So I would like to speak a little bit
Dialogue: 0,0:01:24.79,0:01:28.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about the phenomenon which is behind\Nwhat already seems to be
Dialogue: 0,0:01:28.66,0:01:31.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a very bad year for bad guys.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:31.38,0:01:33.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And this phenomenon\Nis called people power.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:34.78,0:01:36.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, people power\Nhas been there for a while.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:36.95,0:01:39.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It helped Gandhi kick\Nthe Brits from India,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:39.94,0:01:44.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it helped Martin Luther King\Nwin his historic racial struggle.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:44.07,0:01:46.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It helped a local, Lech Walesa,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:46.46,0:01:49.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to kick out one million\NSoviet troops from Poland,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:49.88,0:01:53.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and in beginning the end\Nof the Soviet Union as we know it.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:53.10,0:01:54.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So what's new in it?
Dialogue: 0,0:01:55.16,0:01:56.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,What seems to be very new,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:56.76,0:01:59.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is the idea I would like\Nto share with you today,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:59.36,0:02:01.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is that there is a set of rules and skills
Dialogue: 0,0:02:01.82,0:02:04.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which can be learned and taught
Dialogue: 0,0:02:04.30,0:02:07.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in order to perform\Nsuccessful nonviolent struggle.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:07.75,0:02:10.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If this is true, we can help\Nthese movements.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:11.53,0:02:14.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, the first one - analytic skills.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:14.37,0:02:17.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'll try where it all started\Nin the Middle East.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:17.22,0:02:18.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And for so many years,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:18.85,0:02:23.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we were living with a completely wrong\Nperception of the Middle East.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:23.27,0:02:25.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It was looking like the frozen region.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:25.20,0:02:26.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Literally a refrigerator.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:26.93,0:02:28.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And there were only\Ntwo types of meal there.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:29.40,0:02:35.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Steak, which stands for a Mubarak-Ben Ali\Ntype of military police dictatorship,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:35.28,0:02:38.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or a potato, which stands for\Na Tehran type of theocracies.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:38.96,0:02:42.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And everybody was amazed\Nwhen the refrigerator opened,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:42.29,0:02:45.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and millions of young,\Nmainly secular people
Dialogue: 0,0:02:45.25,0:02:47.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,stepped out to do the change.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:47.32,0:02:50.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Guess what - they didn't watch\Nthe demographics.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:50.73,0:02:53.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,What is the average age\Nof an Egyptian? 24.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:53.15,0:02:55.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,How long was Mubarak in power? 31.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:55.53,0:02:59.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So, this system was just\Nobsolete, they expired.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:59.44,0:03:02.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And young people of the Arab world\Nhave awakened one morning,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:02.87,0:03:06.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and understood that power\Nlies in their hands.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:06.23,0:03:08.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The rest is the year in front of us.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:08.27,0:03:11.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And guess what? The same Generation Y,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:11.14,0:03:14.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,with their rules, with their tools,\Nwith their games,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:14.05,0:03:17.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and with their language,\Nwhich sounds a little bit strange to me.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:17.39,0:03:19.23,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'm 38 now.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:19.26,0:03:22.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And can you look at the age\Nof the people on the streets of Europe?
Dialogue: 0,0:03:22.79,0:03:27.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It seems that Generation Y is coming.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:27.02,0:03:29.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, let me set another example.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:29.74,0:03:32.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'm meeting different people\Nthroughout the world,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:32.12,0:03:35.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and they are, you know, academics,\Nand professors, and doctors,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:35.27,0:03:37.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and they will always talk conditions.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:37.17,0:03:41.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They will say: "People power will work\Nonly if the regime is not too oppressive."
Dialogue: 0,0:03:41.22,0:03:43.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They will say: "People power will work,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:43.23,0:03:47.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,if the annual income of the country\Nis between X and Z."
Dialogue: 0,0:03:47.07,0:03:50.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They will say: "People power will work\Nonly if there is a foreign pressure."
Dialogue: 0,0:03:50.74,0:03:53.83,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They will say: "People power\Nwill work only if there is no oil."
Dialogue: 0,0:03:53.85,0:03:56.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And, I mean, there is a set of conditions.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:56.96,0:04:00.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, the news here\Nis that your skills during the conflict
Dialogue: 0,0:04:00.61,0:04:03.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,seem to be more important\Nthan the conditions.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:03.52,0:04:08.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Namely, the skills of unity, planning,\Nand maintaining nonviolent discipline.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:08.13,0:04:09.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Let me give you an example.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:09.55,0:04:11.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I come from a country called Serbia.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:11.63,0:04:16.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It took us 10 years to unite\N18 opposition party leaders,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:16.21,0:04:19.59,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,with their big egos,\Nbehind one single candidate
Dialogue: 0,0:04:19.61,0:04:22.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,against the Balkan dictator\NSlobodan Milosevic.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:22.26,0:04:24.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Guess what? That was\Nthe day of his defeat.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:25.03,0:04:27.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You look at the Egyptians,\Nthey fight on Tahrir Square,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:27.92,0:04:29.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they get rid of their individual symbols,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:30.01,0:04:32.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they appear on the street\Nonly with the flag of Egypt.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:32.93,0:04:34.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I will give you a counter-example.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:34.97,0:04:38.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You see nine presidential candidates\Nrunning against Lukashenko,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:38.68,0:04:40.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you all know the outcome.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:40.28,0:04:42.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So unity is a big thing.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:42.40,0:04:43.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And this can be achieved.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:43.72,0:04:44.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Same with planning.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:44.93,0:04:46.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Somebody has lied to you
Dialogue: 0,0:04:46.32,0:04:50.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about the successful and spontaneous\Nnonviolent revolution.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:50.10,0:04:52.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That thing doesn't exist in the world.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:52.13,0:04:54.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Whenever you see young people\Nin front of the row
Dialogue: 0,0:04:55.01,0:04:57.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,trying to fraternize\Nwith the police or military,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:57.51,0:04:59.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,somebody was thinking about it before.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:00.02,0:05:02.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, at the end, nonviolent discipline.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:02.23,0:05:04.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And this is probably the game-changer.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:04.72,0:05:07.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If you maintain nonviolent discipline,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:07.12,0:05:08.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you'll exclusively win.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:09.10,0:05:11.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You have 100,000 people\Nin a nonviolent march,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:11.58,0:05:14.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,one idiot or agent-provocateur\Nthrowing a stone.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:14.36,0:05:16.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Guess what takes all the cameras.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:16.09,0:05:17.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That one guy.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:17.21,0:05:21.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,One single act of violence\Ncan literally destroy your movement.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:21.56,0:05:24.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, let me move to another place.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:24.18,0:05:26.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's the selection\Nof strategies and tactics.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:26.30,0:05:30.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There are certain rules\Nin nonviolent struggle you may follow.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:30.11,0:05:31.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,First, you start small.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:31.76,0:05:34.53,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Second, you pick the battles you can win.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:35.18,0:05:37.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's only 200 of us in this room.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:37.21,0:05:39.53,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We won't call for the march of a million.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:39.55,0:05:42.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But what if we organized the spraying\Nof graffiti throughout the night,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:43.00,0:05:44.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,all over Krakow.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:44.43,0:05:45.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The city will know.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:45.60,0:05:48.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So, we pick tactics\Naccommodated to the event,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:48.92,0:05:52.97,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,especially this thing we call\Nthe small tactics of dispersion.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:52.100,0:05:56.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They're very useful in violent oppression.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:56.93,0:06:01.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We are actually witnessing the picture\Nof one of the best tactics ever used.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:01.15,0:06:03.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It was on Tahrir square,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:03.25,0:06:06.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,where the international community\Nwas constantly frightened
Dialogue: 0,0:06:06.55,0:06:09.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that, you know, the Islamists\Nwill overtake the revolution.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:09.74,0:06:11.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,What they organized --
Dialogue: 0,0:06:11.13,0:06:13.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Christians protecting Muslims\Nwhere they are praying,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:13.63,0:06:16.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a Coptic wedding cheered\Nby thousands of Muslims,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:16.24,0:06:18.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the world has just changed the picture,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:18.29,0:06:21.29,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but somebody was thinking\Nabout this previously.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:21.31,0:06:23.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So there are so many things you can do
Dialogue: 0,0:06:23.27,0:06:25.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,instead of getting into one place,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:25.61,0:06:30.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,shouting, and you know, showing off\Nin front of the security forces.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:31.01,0:06:33.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, there is also another\Nvery important dynamic.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:33.98,0:06:37.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And this is a dynamic\Nthat analysts normally don't see.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:37.26,0:06:40.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is the dynamic between\Nfear and apathy on the one side,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:40.98,0:06:43.89,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and enthusiasm and humor on another side.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:43.92,0:06:45.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So, it works like in a video game.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:45.67,0:06:48.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You have the fear high,\Nyou have status quo.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:48.08,0:06:50.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You have the enthusiasm higher,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:50.17,0:06:51.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you see the fear is starting to melt.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:52.00,0:06:54.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Day two, you see people\Nrunning towards the police
Dialogue: 0,0:06:54.75,0:06:57.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,instead of from the police, in Egypt.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:57.33,0:06:59.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You can tell that something\Nis happening there.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:59.94,0:07:01.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And then, it's about the humor.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:01.94,0:07:04.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Humor is such a powerful game-changer,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:04.45,0:07:06.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and of course, it was very big in Poland.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:06.45,0:07:09.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You know, we were just a small group\Nof crazy students in Serbia
Dialogue: 0,0:07:10.02,0:07:12.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,when we made this big skit.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:12.16,0:07:14.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We put the big petrol barrel
Dialogue: 0,0:07:14.62,0:07:19.29,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,with a portrait of Mr. President on it,\Nin the middle of the Main Street.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:19.31,0:07:20.89,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There was a hole in the top.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:20.92,0:07:23.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So you could literally come,\Nput a coin in,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:23.70,0:07:26.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,get a baseball bat, and hit his face.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:27.18,0:07:28.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Sounds loud.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:28.86,0:07:30.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And within minutes,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:30.16,0:07:32.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we were sitting in a nearby café\Nhaving coffee,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:32.54,0:07:36.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and there was a queue of people\Nwaiting to do this lovely thing.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:36.82,0:07:38.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, that's just\Nthe beginning of the show.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:38.89,0:07:41.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The real show starts\Nwhen the police appears.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:41.05,0:07:42.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter)
Dialogue: 0,0:07:42.29,0:07:43.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"What will they do?"
Dialogue: 0,0:07:43.45,0:07:45.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Arrest us? We were nowhere to be seen.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:45.37,0:07:48.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We were like three blocks away,\Nobserving it from our espresso bar.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:49.21,0:07:51.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Arrest the shoppers, with kids?
Dialogue: 0,0:07:51.16,0:07:52.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Doesn't make sense.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:52.38,0:07:55.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Of course, you could bet,\Nthey did the most stupid thing.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:55.08,0:07:56.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They arrested the barrel.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:56.65,0:07:59.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And now, the picture\Nof the smashed face on the barrel,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:59.59,0:08:01.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,with the policemen\Ndragging it to the police car,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:01.92,0:08:05.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that was the best day\Nfor newspaper photographers
Dialogue: 0,0:08:05.15,0:08:06.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that they will ever have.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:06.85,0:08:09.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So, I mean, these are\Nthe things you can do.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:09.09,0:08:10.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And you can always use humor.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:10.52,0:08:12.79,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There is also one big thing about humor,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:12.81,0:08:14.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it really hurts.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:14.12,0:08:17.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Because these guys really are\Ntaking themselves too seriously.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:18.25,0:08:20.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,When you start to mock them, it hurts.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:21.39,0:08:25.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, everybody is talking\Nabout His Majesty, the Internet,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:25.04,0:08:26.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and it is also a very useful skill.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:27.28,0:08:31.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But don't rush to label things\Nlike "a Facebook Revolution,"
Dialogue: 0,0:08:31.44,0:08:32.59,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Twitter Revolution."
Dialogue: 0,0:08:32.62,0:08:35.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Don't mix the tools\Nwith the substance.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:35.100,0:08:39.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It is true that the Internet\Nand the new media are very useful
Dialogue: 0,0:08:39.48,0:08:42.01,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in making things faster and cheaper.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:42.03,0:08:44.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They also make it a bit safer\Nfor the participants,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:44.88,0:08:46.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because they give partial anonymity.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:47.18,0:08:50.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We're watching the great example\Nof something else the Internet can do.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:50.82,0:08:54.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It can put the price tag\Nof state-sponsored violence
Dialogue: 0,0:08:54.38,0:08:55.97,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,over a nonviolent protester.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:55.100,0:08:58.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is the famous group\N"We are all Khaled Said,"
Dialogue: 0,0:08:58.50,0:09:00.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,made by Wael Ghonim\Nin Egypt, and his friend.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:00.84,0:09:04.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is the mutilated face of the guy\Nwho was beaten by the police.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:04.72,0:09:06.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is how he became known to the public,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:06.75,0:09:10.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and this is what probably became\Nthe straw that broke the camel's back.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:10.88,0:09:12.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But here is also the bad news.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:12.60,0:09:15.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The nonviolent struggle is won\Nin the real world, in the streets.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:16.30,0:09:20.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You will never change\Nyour society towards democracy,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:20.49,0:09:23.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or, you know, the economy,\Nif you sit down and click.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:23.90,0:09:25.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There are risks to be taken,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:25.35,0:09:28.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and there are living people\Nwho are winning the struggle.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:29.07,0:09:30.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, the million-dollar question.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:30.76,0:09:32.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,What will happen in the Arab world?
Dialogue: 0,0:09:32.69,0:09:34.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And though young people\Nfrom the Arab world
Dialogue: 0,0:09:34.72,0:09:37.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,were pretty successful\Nin bringing down three dictators,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:37.99,0:09:40.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,shaking the region,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:40.41,0:09:43.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,kind of persuading the clever kings\Nfrom Jordan and Morocco
Dialogue: 0,0:09:43.59,0:09:45.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to do substantial reforms,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:45.41,0:09:48.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it is yet to be seen\Nwhat will be the outcome.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:49.49,0:09:53.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Whether the Egyptians and Tunisians\Nwill make it through the transition,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:53.44,0:09:57.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or this will end in bloody\Nethnic and religious conflicts,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:57.07,0:10:02.29,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,whether the Syrians\Nwill maintain nonviolent discipline,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:02.32,0:10:06.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,faced with a brutal daily violence\Nwhich kills thousands already,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:06.14,0:10:08.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or they will slip into violent struggle
Dialogue: 0,0:10:08.28,0:10:10.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and make ugly civil war.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:12.69,0:10:16.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Will these revolutions be pushed\Nthrough the transitions and democracy
Dialogue: 0,0:10:16.69,0:10:20.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or be overtaken by the military\Nor extremists of all kinds?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:20.80,0:10:22.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We cannot tell.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:22.89,0:10:24.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The same works for the Western sector,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:24.92,0:10:27.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,where you can see\Nall these excited young people
Dialogue: 0,0:10:27.21,0:10:30.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,protesting around the world,\Noccupying this, occupying that.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:31.54,0:10:34.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Are they going to become the world wave?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:34.31,0:10:39.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Are they going to find their skills,\Ntheir enthusiasm, and their strategy
Dialogue: 0,0:10:39.97,0:10:43.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to find what they really want\Nand push for the reform,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:43.26,0:10:47.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or will they just stay complaining\Nabout the endless list
Dialogue: 0,0:10:47.52,0:10:49.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of the things they hate?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:49.98,0:10:52.75,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is the difference\Nbetween the two paths.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:52.77,0:10:55.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, what do the statistics have?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:55.60,0:10:58.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,My friend Maria Stephan's book
Dialogue: 0,0:10:58.22,0:11:00.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,talks a lot about violent\Nand nonviolent struggle,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:00.94,0:11:03.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and there are some shocking data.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:03.59,0:11:07.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If you look at the last 35 years\Nand different social transitions,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:07.88,0:11:09.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from dictatorship to democracy,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:09.74,0:11:13.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you will see that,\Nout of 67 different cases,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:13.10,0:11:16.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in 50 of these cases\Nit was nonviolent struggle
Dialogue: 0,0:11:16.73,0:11:19.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which was the key power.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:19.81,0:11:22.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is one more reason\Nto look at this phenomenon,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:22.45,0:11:25.29,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,this is one more reason\Nto look at Generation Y.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:26.01,0:11:28.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Enough for me to give them credit,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:28.09,0:11:32.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and hope that they will find their skills\Nand their courage
Dialogue: 0,0:11:32.98,0:11:34.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to use nonviolent struggle
Dialogue: 0,0:11:34.67,0:11:39.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and thus fix at least a part of the mess\Nour generation is making in this world.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:39.76,0:11:40.83,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Thank you.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:40.85,0:11:43.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Applause)