0:00:00.273,0:00:04.298 We are at a remarkable moment in time. 0:00:04.298,0:00:07.234 We face over the next two decades 0:00:07.234,0:00:09.300 two fundamental transformations 0:00:09.300,0:00:12.342 that will determine whether the next 100 years 0:00:12.342,0:00:16.527 is the best of centuries or the worst of centuries. 0:00:16.527,0:00:19.249 Let me illustrate with an example. 0:00:19.249,0:00:22.523 I first visited Beijing 25 years ago 0:00:22.523,0:00:25.549 to teach at the People's University of China. 0:00:25.549,0:00:28.485 China was getting serious about market economics 0:00:28.485,0:00:30.824 and about university education, 0:00:30.824,0:00:35.315 so they decided to call in the foreign experts. 0:00:35.315,0:00:36.920 Like most other people, 0:00:36.920,0:00:39.736 I moved around Beijing by bicycle. 0:00:39.736,0:00:41.930 Apart from dodging the occasional vehicle, 0:00:41.930,0:00:45.237 it was a safe and easy way to get around. 0:00:45.237,0:00:46.601 Cycling in Beijing now 0:00:46.601,0:00:49.422 is a completely different prospect. 0:00:49.422,0:00:52.565 The roads are jammed by cars and trucks. 0:00:52.565,0:00:54.364 The air is dangerously polluted 0:00:54.364,0:00:57.976 from the burning of coal and diesel. 0:00:57.976,0:01:00.114 When I was there last in the spring, 0:01:00.114,0:01:02.892 there was an advisory for people of my age — 0:01:02.892,0:01:05.322 over 65 — 0:01:05.322,0:01:08.191 to stay indoors and not move much. 0:01:08.191,0:01:10.125 How did this come about? 0:01:10.125,0:01:12.545 It came from the way in which 0:01:12.545,0:01:14.810 Beijing has grown as a city. 0:01:14.810,0:01:17.270 It's doubled over those 25 years, more than doubled, 0:01:17.270,0:01:19.446 from 10 million to 20 million. 0:01:19.446,0:01:21.139 It's become a sprawling urban area 0:01:21.139,0:01:25.498 dependent on dirty fuel, dirty energy, 0:01:25.498,0:01:27.321 particularly coal. 0:01:27.321,0:01:31.596 China burns half the world's coal each year, 0:01:31.596,0:01:35.510 and that's why, it is a key reason why, 0:01:35.510,0:01:37.535 it is the world's largest emitter 0:01:37.535,0:01:40.449 of greenhouse gases. 0:01:40.449,0:01:42.563 At the same time, we have to recognize 0:01:42.563,0:01:45.747 that in that period China has grown remarkably. 0:01:45.747,0:01:48.188 It has become the world's second largest economy. 0:01:48.188,0:01:49.657 Hundreds of millions of people 0:01:49.657,0:01:51.822 have been lifted out of poverty. 0:01:51.822,0:01:53.903 That's really important. 0:01:53.903,0:01:56.220 But at the same time, the people of China 0:01:56.220,0:01:57.820 are asking the question: 0:01:57.820,0:01:59.400 What's the value of this growth 0:01:59.400,0:02:01.525 if our cities are unlivable? 0:02:01.525,0:02:03.837 They've analyzed, diagnosed 0:02:03.837,0:02:07.177 that this is an unsustainable path of growth 0:02:07.177,0:02:09.303 and development. 0:02:09.303,0:02:11.632 China's planning to scale back coal. 0:02:11.632,0:02:17.493 It's looking to build its cities in different ways. 0:02:17.493,0:02:19.326 Now, the growth of China 0:02:19.326,0:02:23.050 is part of a dramatic change, fundamental change, 0:02:23.050,0:02:25.817 in the structure of the world economy. 0:02:25.817,0:02:28.539 Just 25 years ago, the developing countries, 0:02:28.539,0:02:30.429 the poorer countries of the world, 0:02:30.429,0:02:34.355 were, notwithstanding being[br]the vast majority of the people, 0:02:34.355,0:02:36.178 they accounted for only about a third 0:02:36.178,0:02:38.170 of the world's output. 0:02:38.170,0:02:39.914 Now it's more than half; 0:02:39.914,0:02:42.885 25 years from now, it will probably be two thirds 0:02:42.885,0:02:45.990 from the countries that we saw 25 years ago 0:02:45.990,0:02:47.266 as developing. 0:02:47.266,0:02:48.864 That's a remarkable change. 0:02:48.864,0:02:51.266 It means that most countries around the world, 0:02:51.266,0:02:53.325 rich or poor, are going to be facing 0:02:53.325,0:02:55.305 the two fundamental transformations 0:02:55.305,0:02:58.490 that I want to talk about and highlight. 0:02:58.490,0:03:00.503 Now, the first of these transformations 0:03:00.503,0:03:03.110 is the basic structural change 0:03:03.110,0:03:04.850 of the economies and societies 0:03:04.850,0:03:06.880 that I've already begun to illustrate 0:03:06.880,0:03:10.390 through the description of Beijing. 0:03:10.390,0:03:13.349 Fifty percent now in urban areas. 0:03:13.349,0:03:16.960 That's going to go to 70 percent in 2050. 0:03:16.960,0:03:19.221 Over the next two decades, we'll see 0:03:19.221,0:03:22.134 the demand for energy rise by 40 percent, 0:03:22.134,0:03:26.108 and the growth in the economy and in the population 0:03:26.108,0:03:29.090 is putting increasing pressure on our land, 0:03:29.090,0:03:32.956 on our water and on our forests. 0:03:32.956,0:03:36.241 This is profound structural change. 0:03:36.241,0:03:37.816 If we manage it in a negligent 0:03:37.816,0:03:40.435 or a shortsighted way, 0:03:40.435,0:03:44.301 we will create waste, pollution, congestion, 0:03:44.301,0:03:47.851 destruction of land and forests. 0:03:47.851,0:03:50.179 If we think of those three areas that I have illustrated 0:03:50.179,0:03:53.902 with my numbers — cities, energy, land — 0:03:53.902,0:03:55.781 if we manage all that badly, 0:03:55.781,0:03:57.862 then the outlook for the lives and livelihoods 0:03:57.862,0:03:59.673 of the people around the world 0:03:59.673,0:04:02.666 would be poor and damaged. 0:04:02.666,0:04:04.488 And more than that, 0:04:04.488,0:04:07.796 the emissions of greenhouse gases would rise, 0:04:07.796,0:04:11.677 with immense risks to our climate. 0:04:11.677,0:04:13.724 Concentrations of greenhouse gases 0:04:13.724,0:04:16.642 in the atmosphere are already 0:04:16.642,0:04:20.276 higher than they've been for millions of years. 0:04:20.276,0:04:23.914 If we go on increasing those concentrations, 0:04:23.914,0:04:27.288 we risk temperatures over the next century or so 0:04:27.288,0:04:28.905 that we have not seen on this planet 0:04:28.905,0:04:32.110 for tens of millions of years. 0:04:32.110,0:04:34.236 We've been around as Homo sapiens — 0:04:34.236,0:04:37.407 that's a rather generous definition, sapiens — 0:04:37.407,0:04:40.210 for perhaps a quarter of a million[br]years, a quarter of a million. 0:04:40.210,0:04:41.441 We risk temperatures we haven't seen 0:04:41.441,0:04:46.180 for tens of millions of years over a century. 0:04:46.180,0:04:48.250 That would transform the relationship 0:04:48.250,0:04:52.479 between human beings and the planet. 0:04:52.479,0:04:57.130 It would lead to changing deserts, 0:04:57.130,0:05:00.320 changing rivers, changing patterns of hurricanes, 0:05:00.320,0:05:01.558 changing sea levels, 0:05:01.558,0:05:04.201 hundreds of millions of people, 0:05:04.201,0:05:07.430 perhaps billions of people who would have to move, 0:05:07.430,0:05:09.353 and if we've learned anything from history, 0:05:09.353,0:05:11.665 that means severe and extended conflict. 0:05:11.665,0:05:13.543 And we couldn't just turn it off. 0:05:13.543,0:05:15.973 You can't make a peace treaty with the planet. 0:05:15.973,0:05:18.200 You can't negotiate with the laws of physics. 0:05:18.200,0:05:19.915 You're in there. You're stuck. 0:05:19.915,0:05:21.591 Those are the stakes we're playing for, 0:05:21.591,0:05:24.313 and that's why we have to make[br]this second transformation, 0:05:24.313,0:05:25.953 the climate transformation, 0:05:25.953,0:05:28.336 and move to a low-carbon economy. 0:05:28.336,0:05:30.714 Now, the first of these transformations 0:05:30.714,0:05:31.795 is going to happen anyway. 0:05:31.795,0:05:33.644 We have to decide whether to do it well or badly, 0:05:33.644,0:05:36.462 the economic, or structural, transformation. 0:05:36.462,0:05:38.352 But the second of the transformations, 0:05:38.352,0:05:42.466 the climate transformations, we have to decide to do. 0:05:42.466,0:05:44.685 Those two transformations face us 0:05:44.685,0:05:46.858 in the next two decades. 0:05:46.858,0:05:50.071 The next two decades are decisive 0:05:50.071,0:05:52.786 for what we have to do. 0:05:52.786,0:05:54.305 Now, the more I've thought about this, 0:05:54.305,0:05:56.409 the two transformations coming together, 0:05:56.409,0:05:57.956 the more I've come to realize 0:05:57.956,0:06:00.908 that this is an enormous opportunity. 0:06:00.908,0:06:03.135 It's an opportunity which we can use 0:06:03.135,0:06:06.532 or it's an opportunity which we can lose. 0:06:06.532,0:06:09.255 And let me explain through those three key areas 0:06:09.255,0:06:11.965 that I've identified: cities, energy and land. 0:06:11.965,0:06:14.019 And let me start with cities. 0:06:14.019,0:06:18.052 I've already described the problems of Beijing: 0:06:18.052,0:06:20.898 pollution, congestion, waste and so on. 0:06:20.898,0:06:24.588 Surely we recognize that in many of our cities 0:06:24.588,0:06:25.847 around the world. 0:06:25.847,0:06:28.772 Now, with cities, like life but particularly cities, 0:06:28.772,0:06:31.836 you have to think ahead. 0:06:31.836,0:06:33.250 The cities that are going to be built — 0:06:33.250,0:06:35.406 and there are many, and many big ones — 0:06:35.406,0:06:36.870 we have to think of how to design them 0:06:36.870,0:06:38.221 in a compact way 0:06:38.221,0:06:41.664 so we can save travel time [br]and we can save energy. 0:06:41.664,0:06:45.579 The cities that already are [br]there, well established, 0:06:45.579,0:06:48.650 we have to think about renewal[br]and investment in them 0:06:48.650,0:06:51.428 so that we can connect ourselves much better 0:06:51.428,0:06:53.820 within those cities, and make it easier, 0:06:53.820,0:06:57.411 encourage more people, to live closer to the center. 0:06:57.411,0:06:59.821 We've got examples building around the world 0:06:59.821,0:07:02.113 of the kinds of ways in which we can do that. 0:07:02.113,0:07:06.131 The bus rapid transport system in Bogotá in Colombia 0:07:06.131,0:07:08.763 is a very important case of how to move around 0:07:08.763,0:07:11.333 safely and quickly in a non-polluting way 0:07:11.333,0:07:14.528 in a city: very frequent buses, 0:07:14.528,0:07:17.465 strongly protected routes, the same service, really, 0:07:17.465,0:07:19.556 as an underground railway system, 0:07:19.556,0:07:21.367 but much, much cheaper 0:07:21.367,0:07:23.775 and can be done much more quickly, 0:07:23.775,0:07:25.670 a brilliant idea in many more cities 0:07:25.670,0:07:27.706 around the world that's developing. 0:07:27.706,0:07:29.607 Now, some things in cities do take time. 0:07:29.607,0:07:32.660 Some things in cities can happen much more quickly. 0:07:32.660,0:07:34.764 Take my hometown, London. 0:07:34.764,0:07:40.052 In 1952, smog in London killed 4,000 people 0:07:40.052,0:07:42.746 and badly damaged the lives of many, many more. 0:07:42.746,0:07:44.096 And it happened all the time. 0:07:44.096,0:07:46.598 For those of you live outside London in the U.K. 0:07:46.598,0:07:48.791 will remember it used to be called The Smoke. 0:07:48.791,0:07:50.467 That's the way London was. 0:07:50.467,0:07:52.549 By regulating coal, within a few years 0:07:52.549,0:07:55.637 the problems of smog were rapidly reduced. 0:07:55.637,0:07:57.192 I remember the smogs well. 0:07:57.192,0:07:59.915 When the visibility dropped to [less] than 0:07:59.915,0:08:01.908 a few meters, 0:08:01.908,0:08:03.764 they stopped the buses and I had to walk. 0:08:03.764,0:08:05.822 This was the 1950s. 0:08:05.822,0:08:09.720 I had to walk home three miles from school. 0:08:09.720,0:08:13.289 Again, breathing was a hazardous activity. 0:08:13.289,0:08:15.967 But it was changed. It was changed by a decision. 0:08:15.967,0:08:19.136 Good decisions can bring good results, 0:08:19.136,0:08:21.501 striking results, quickly. 0:08:21.501,0:08:24.494 We've seen more: In London, we've[br]introduced the congestion charge, 0:08:24.494,0:08:27.200 actually quite quickly and effectively, 0:08:27.200,0:08:28.820 and we've seen great improvements 0:08:28.820,0:08:32.782 in the bus system, and cleaned up the bus system. 0:08:32.782,0:08:35.902 You can see that the two[br]transformations I've described, 0:08:35.902,0:08:37.858 the structural and the climate, 0:08:37.858,0:08:40.490 come very much together. 0:08:40.490,0:08:43.423 But we have to invest. We have to invest in our cities, 0:08:43.423,0:08:45.956 and we have to invest wisely, and if we do, 0:08:45.956,0:08:50.492 we'll see cleaner cities, quieter cities, safer cities, 0:08:50.492,0:08:53.149 more attractive cities, more productive cities, 0:08:53.149,0:08:55.916 and stronger community in those cities — 0:08:55.916,0:08:58.164 public transport, recycling, reusing, 0:08:58.164,0:09:02.213 all sorts of things that bring communities together. 0:09:02.213,0:09:04.070 We can do that, but we have to think, 0:09:04.070,0:09:06.350 we have to invest, we have to plan. 0:09:06.350,0:09:08.521 Let me turn to energy. 0:09:08.521,0:09:11.743 Now, energy over the last 25 years 0:09:11.743,0:09:13.979 has increased by about 50 percent. 0:09:13.979,0:09:16.596 Eighty percent of that comes from fossil fuels. 0:09:16.596,0:09:18.254 Over the next 20 years, 0:09:18.254,0:09:22.030 perhaps it will increase by another 40 percent or so. 0:09:22.030,0:09:24.564 We have to invest strongly in energy, 0:09:24.564,0:09:27.838 we have to use it much more efficiently, 0:09:27.838,0:09:29.526 and we have to make it clean. 0:09:29.526,0:09:30.856 We can see how to do that. 0:09:30.856,0:09:32.760 Take the example of California. 0:09:32.760,0:09:35.370 It would be in the top 10 countries in the world 0:09:35.370,0:09:37.913 if it was independent. 0:09:37.913,0:09:40.478 I don't want to start any — 0:09:40.478,0:09:43.976 (Laughter) 0:09:43.976,0:09:45.821 California's a big place. 0:09:45.821,0:09:47.869 (Laughter) 0:09:47.869,0:09:50.610 In the next five or six years, 0:09:50.610,0:09:53.324 they will likely move from 0:09:53.324,0:09:55.563 around 20 percent in renewables — 0:09:55.563,0:09:57.320 wind, solar and so on — 0:09:57.320,0:09:59.793 to over 33 percent, 0:09:59.793,0:10:02.232 and that would bring California back 0:10:02.232,0:10:04.765 to greenhouse gas emissions in 2020 0:10:04.765,0:10:06.722 to where they were in 1990, 0:10:06.722,0:10:08.466 a period when the economy in California 0:10:08.466,0:10:09.898 would more or less have doubled. 0:10:09.898,0:10:11.348 That's a striking achievement. 0:10:11.348,0:10:12.831 It shows what can be done. 0:10:12.831,0:10:16.138 Not just California — the [br]incoming government of India 0:10:16.138,0:10:19.164 is planning to get solar technology 0:10:19.164,0:10:20.536 to light up the homes 0:10:20.536,0:10:22.246 of 400 million people 0:10:22.246,0:10:24.311 who don't have electricity in India. 0:10:24.311,0:10:26.791 They've set themselves a target of five years. 0:10:26.791,0:10:30.020 I think they've got a good chance of doing that. 0:10:30.020,0:10:32.679 We'll see, but what you're seeing now 0:10:32.679,0:10:34.990 is people moving much more quickly. 0:10:34.990,0:10:36.724 Four hundred million, more than the population 0:10:36.724,0:10:38.850 of the United States. 0:10:38.850,0:10:40.943 Those are the kinds of ambitions now 0:10:40.943,0:10:42.649 people are setting themselves 0:10:42.649,0:10:47.129 in terms of rapidity of change. 0:10:47.129,0:10:49.099 Again, you can see 0:10:49.099,0:10:50.880 good decisions can bring quick results, 0:10:50.880,0:10:53.913 and those two transformations,[br]the economy and the structure 0:10:53.913,0:10:55.904 and the climate and the low carbon, 0:10:55.904,0:10:58.447 are intimately intertwined. 0:10:58.447,0:11:00.269 Do the first one well, the structural, 0:11:00.269,0:11:02.250 the second one on the climate 0:11:02.250,0:11:05.432 becomes much easier. 0:11:05.432,0:11:07.221 Look at land, 0:11:07.221,0:11:09.809 land and particularly forests. 0:11:09.809,0:11:12.869 Forests are the hosts to valuable 0:11:12.869,0:11:15.398 plant and animal species. 0:11:15.398,0:11:17.746 They hold water in the soil 0:11:17.746,0:11:20.664 and they take carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere, 0:11:20.664,0:11:23.733 fundamental to the tackling of climate change. 0:11:23.733,0:11:25.965 But we're losing our forests. 0:11:25.965,0:11:28.792 In the last decade, we've lost a forest area 0:11:28.792,0:11:30.935 the size of Portugal, 0:11:30.935,0:11:33.398 and much more has been degraded. 0:11:33.398,0:11:35.153 But we're already seeing 0:11:35.153,0:11:37.560 that we can do so much about that. 0:11:37.560,0:11:39.597 We can recognize the problem, but we can also 0:11:39.597,0:11:41.711 understand how to tackle it. 0:11:41.711,0:11:44.366 In Brazil, the rate of deforestation 0:11:44.366,0:11:46.383 has been reduced by 70 percent 0:11:46.383,0:11:48.945 over the last 10 years. 0:11:48.945,0:11:51.930 How? By involving local communities, 0:11:51.930,0:11:54.751 investing in their agriculture and their economies, 0:11:54.751,0:11:56.851 by monitoring more carefully, 0:11:56.851,0:12:00.496 by enforcing the law more strictly. 0:12:00.496,0:12:02.386 And it's not just stopping deforestation. 0:12:02.386,0:12:04.827 That's of course of first and fundamental importance, 0:12:04.827,0:12:08.449 but it's also regrading degraded land, 0:12:08.449,0:12:12.849 regenerating, rehabilitating degraded land. 0:12:12.849,0:12:16.729 I first went to Ethiopia in 1967. 0:12:16.729,0:12:19.204 It was desperately poor. In the following years, 0:12:19.204,0:12:20.950 it suffered devastating famines 0:12:20.950,0:12:24.806 and profoundly destructive social conflict. 0:12:24.806,0:12:27.640 Over the last few years, actually more than a few, 0:12:27.640,0:12:30.565 Ethiopia has been growing much more rapidly. 0:12:30.565,0:12:32.455 It has ambitions to be a middle-income country 0:12:32.455,0:12:34.960 15 years from now 0:12:34.960,0:12:37.203 and to be carbon neutral. 0:12:37.203,0:12:40.251 Again, I think it's a strong ambition 0:12:40.251,0:12:42.546 but it is a plausible one. 0:12:42.546,0:12:43.957 You're seeing that commitment there. 0:12:43.957,0:12:45.223 You're seeing what can be done. 0:12:45.223,0:12:47.788 Ethiopia is investing in clean energy. 0:12:47.788,0:12:51.410 It's working in the rehabilitation of land. 0:12:51.410,0:12:53.840 In Humbo, in southwest Ethiopia, 0:12:53.840,0:12:55.257 a wonderful project 0:12:55.257,0:12:57.440 to plant trees on degraded land 0:12:57.440,0:12:59.060 and work with local communities 0:12:59.060,0:13:01.509 on sustainable forest management 0:13:01.509,0:13:04.550 has led to big increases in living standards. 0:13:04.550,0:13:08.414 So we can see, from Beijing to London, 0:13:08.414,0:13:10.703 from California to India, 0:13:10.703,0:13:13.830 from Brazil to Ethiopia, 0:13:13.830,0:13:15.439 we do understand 0:13:15.439,0:13:17.644 how to manage those two transformations, 0:13:17.644,0:13:19.573 the structural and the climate. 0:13:19.573,0:13:23.752 We do understand how to manage those well. 0:13:23.752,0:13:26.530 And technology is changing very rapidly. 0:13:26.530,0:13:28.937 I don't have to list all those things 0:13:28.937,0:13:30.828 to an audience like this, 0:13:30.828,0:13:33.122 but you can see the electric cars, 0:13:33.122,0:13:36.206 you can see the batteries using new materials. 0:13:36.206,0:13:38.601 You can see that we can manage remotely now 0:13:38.601,0:13:42.156 our household appliances on our[br]mobile phones when we're away. 0:13:42.156,0:13:43.963 You can see better insulation. 0:13:43.963,0:13:45.886 And there's much more coming. 0:13:45.886,0:13:48.283 But, and it's a big but, 0:13:48.283,0:13:49.892 the world as a whole 0:13:49.892,0:13:52.670 is moving far too slowly. 0:13:52.670,0:13:55.212 We're not cutting emissions in the way we should. 0:13:55.212,0:13:57.923 We're not managing those structural transformations 0:13:57.923,0:14:00.152 as we can. 0:14:00.152,0:14:03.391 The depth of understanding of the[br]immense risks of climate change 0:14:03.391,0:14:06.970 are not there yet. 0:14:06.970,0:14:09.101 The depth of understanding 0:14:09.101,0:14:11.586 of the attractiveness of what we can do 0:14:11.586,0:14:15.250 is not there yet. 0:14:15.250,0:14:18.748 We need political pressure to build. 0:14:18.748,0:14:22.280 We need leaders to step up. 0:14:22.280,0:14:25.779 We can have better growth, 0:14:25.779,0:14:29.986 better climate, a better world. 0:14:29.986,0:14:31.798 We can make, 0:14:31.798,0:14:34.578 by managing those two transformations well, 0:14:34.578,0:14:38.866 the next 100 years the best of centuries. 0:14:38.866,0:14:40.093 If we make a mess of it, 0:14:40.093,0:14:43.240 we, you and me, if we make a mess of it, 0:14:43.240,0:14:45.713 if we don't manage those transformations properly, 0:14:45.713,0:14:48.604 it will be, the next 100 years 0:14:48.604,0:14:51.335 will be the worst of centuries. 0:14:51.335,0:14:53.227 That's the major conclusion 0:14:53.227,0:14:56.358 of the report on the economy and climate 0:14:56.358,0:15:00.227 chaired by ex-President Felipe Calderón of Mexico, 0:15:00.227,0:15:02.407 and I co-chaired that with him, 0:15:02.407,0:15:04.360 and we handed that report yesterday 0:15:04.360,0:15:07.350 here in New York, in the United Nations Building 0:15:07.350,0:15:08.822 to the Secretary-General of the U.N., 0:15:08.822,0:15:10.088 Ban Ki-moon. 0:15:10.088,0:15:14.193 We know that we can do this. 0:15:14.193,0:15:17.575 Now, two weeks ago, 0:15:17.575,0:15:20.975 I became a grandfather for the fourth time. 0:15:20.975,0:15:23.107 Our daughter — 0:15:23.107,0:15:33.710 (Baby cries) (Laughter) (Applause) — 0:15:33.710,0:15:36.621 Our daughter gave birth to Rosa here in New York 0:15:36.621,0:15:39.626 two weeks ago. Here are Helen and Rosa. 0:15:39.626,0:15:44.115 (Applause) 0:15:46.870,0:15:49.838 Two weeks old. 0:15:49.838,0:15:55.525 Are we going to look our grandchildren in the eye 0:15:55.525,0:15:59.272 and tell them that we understood the issues, 0:15:59.272,0:16:02.590 that we recognized the dangers and the opportunities, 0:16:02.590,0:16:06.831 and still we failed to act? 0:16:06.831,0:16:10.310 Surely not. Let's make the next 100 years 0:16:10.310,0:16:12.116 the best of centuries. 0:16:12.116,0:16:16.116 (Applause)