Be careful what you wish for: Dr. Roey Tzezana at TEDxKibbutzimCollegeofEducation
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0:07 - 0:12(Applause)
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0:12 - 0:18Like many of you, I am excited
about new technologies. -
0:18 - 0:20Take Facebook for example.
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0:20 - 0:22And my presentation, thank you.
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0:22 - 0:24Take Facebook for example.
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0:24 - 0:28You can use it to keep in touch
with each other -
0:28 - 0:29all over the world.
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0:29 - 0:32But you can also use it
for cyberbullying, -
0:33 - 0:35for breaking up relationships,
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0:36 - 0:38for making people lose their jobs,
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0:38 - 0:42and even can be responsible
for cases of teen suicide. -
0:43 - 0:46So is Facebook good, or is it bad?
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0:47 - 0:51I say, it depends
on the discussion of the users. -
0:52 - 0:55Now I am passionate
about future technologies. -
0:55 - 0:58I have been researching it
in the university for years. -
0:59 - 1:01I'm writing blogposts,
I'm writing papers, -
1:01 - 1:02I'm even publishing a book right now
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1:02 - 1:04about emerging technologies
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1:04 - 1:06I talked with earlier adopters,
with analysers, -
1:06 - 1:09with developers, with entrepreneurs,
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1:10 - 1:13and I try to identify and analyse
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1:13 - 1:17emerging technologies
that we can and should embrace -
1:18 - 1:22But I always remember
that we must consider them -
1:22 - 1:24very very carefully.
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1:24 - 1:25Because if we don't,
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1:25 - 1:27technology can backfire on us.
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1:28 - 1:29Let me show you an example.
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1:29 - 1:32Meet my son, Omer Tzezana.
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1:32 - 1:34Gorgeous, isn't he?
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1:35 - 1:37Absolutely. In 2 weeks,
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1:37 - 1:40he will celebrate his first birthday.
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1:41 - 1:44Let us follow three possible scenarios
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1:44 - 1:47into the future and see how technology
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1:47 - 1:50can be used to shape his life
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1:50 - 1:53in the 3 decades to come.
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1:53 - 1:59Ten years from now,
Omer is 11 years old. -
1:59 - 2:03I watch him sleep, and I smile.
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2:03 - 2:04Why am I smiling?
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2:04 - 2:06Because he's not schizophrenic.
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2:08 - 2:11You see, in the next 5 years,
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2:11 - 2:13genetic sequencing is going to cost
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2:13 - 2:16less than a thousand dollars.
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2:16 - 2:18That means, you can sequence,
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2:18 - 2:20you can read the entire genetic code
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2:20 - 2:24of a human being for
a measly sum of money. -
2:24 - 2:28Omer is going to have
his entire genetic code sequenced, -
2:28 - 2:30meaning doctors are going to read
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2:30 - 2:32every gene in his genome
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2:32 - 2:35and analyse its implications.
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2:35 - 2:39And it turns out, O'Neil
is prone to schizophrenia. -
2:40 - 2:43But he hasn't had an episode yet.
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2:43 - 2:45And even that is something for me
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2:45 - 2:47to smile about.
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2:49 - 2:50I drive Omer to school,
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2:50 - 2:51to his private school.
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2:51 - 2:53It wasn't easy to get in.
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2:53 - 2:54Unlike public schools,
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2:54 - 2:56private schools require
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2:56 - 2:57a genetic certificate.
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2:58 - 3:00And when the school board
read Omer's genetic certificate, -
3:00 - 3:04they almost disqualified him on the spot.
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3:04 - 3:06Luckily, his grades were high enough
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3:06 - 3:08to grant him entry anyway.
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3:08 - 3:10But his friend David wasn't as lucky.
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3:10 - 3:12His gene map shows the potential
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3:12 - 3:15for uncontrolable fits of rage.
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3:15 - 3:17They never happened even once,
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3:17 - 3:19but he still got rejected.
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3:19 - 3:21Because in 10 years from now,
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3:21 - 3:24we will be entering the era
of genomic fashion. -
3:24 - 3:26Where friends share their genetic data
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3:26 - 3:28over Facebook.
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3:28 - 3:31Oh sorry, over genebook.
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3:31 - 3:33And Omer shares his genetic data
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3:33 - 3:34with all of his friends.
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3:34 - 3:36Now we really regret it,
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3:36 - 3:39because everyone in his class knows.
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3:41 - 3:43This is not science fiction.
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3:43 - 3:45The technology for sequencing
your entire genome -
3:45 - 3:47already exists.
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3:47 - 3:49They will get much, much cheaper
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3:49 - 3:50in the next few years.
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3:52 - 3:5420 years from now
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3:54 - 3:57Omer is 21 years old.
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3:59 - 4:01Please stop with the whistling.
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4:01 - 4:03(Laughter)
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4:03 - 4:06I watch him sleep, and I smile.
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4:06 - 4:07Why am I smiling?
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4:07 - 4:10Because he is still not schizophrenic.
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4:10 - 4:13Also, I think of his beautiful eyes.
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4:14 - 4:16I paid for one of them.
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4:17 - 4:18How did that happen?
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4:18 - 4:19Well, you know about 3D printers, right?
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4:19 - 4:23This amazing technology that can be used
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4:23 - 4:26to print items and tools in your house.
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4:27 - 4:30It's amazing technology, it's exciting.
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4:30 - 4:32It's full of potential and benefits.
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4:33 - 4:35But it also depends, unless we use
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4:35 - 4:38tough regulations and strict discretion,
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4:40 - 4:41these printers are going to hurt
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4:41 - 4:43some people like Omer.
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4:43 - 4:45Because when he is a teenager,
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4:46 - 4:48he is curious
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4:48 - 4:50and they leave him all alone.
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4:50 - 4:51He goes to the Internet
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4:51 - 4:55and he downloads the schematic
for an actual gun. -
4:55 - 4:58And he prints this gun on the internet
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4:58 - 5:00in his printer with a bullet
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5:00 - 5:02immediately printed in the gun,
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5:02 - 5:03ready to be fired.
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5:03 - 5:05And again, not science-fiction, guys!
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5:06 - 5:10This weapon has been printed,
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5:10 - 5:153D printed, in 2013, this year.
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5:15 - 5:17The magazine, and the body of the rifle.
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5:18 - 5:21The rifle has been used to shoot
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5:21 - 5:236 bullets before it malfunctioned
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5:26 - 5:27When Omer is a teenager,
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5:27 - 5:29he will download the gun
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5:29 - 5:30he will print it
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5:30 - 5:32he will take the gun out
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5:33 - 5:35Well, he aims it at the window,
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5:36 - 5:37he pulls the trigger,
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5:38 - 5:39and the gun doesn't fire.
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5:39 - 5:41The bullet must be stuck.
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5:42 - 5:45So he aims it at the computer screen,
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5:46 - 5:47right in front of him.
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5:47 - 5:48He pulls the trigger
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5:49 - 5:51the gun still doesn't fire.
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5:51 - 5:52The bullet must be really stuck.
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5:52 - 5:55Then he decides to find out
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5:55 - 5:58exactly where the bullet is stuck.
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5:59 - 6:02It's a good thing we have insurance.
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6:02 - 6:03Because even in the future
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6:03 - 6:053D printers that print new eyes
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6:05 - 6:08are not cheap at all.
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6:11 - 6:13In 30 years from now,
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6:13 - 6:18Omer is 31 years old.
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6:20 - 6:22I watch him sleep and I smile.
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6:23 - 6:24Why am I smiling?
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6:24 - 6:26Because he is 31 years old,
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6:27 - 6:30and he is still not schizophrenic.
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6:31 - 6:36In 30 years, it is
the era of brain technology. -
6:36 - 6:39It is the time when technology
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6:39 - 6:41starts to influence
and affect your brain -
6:41 - 6:43Think of your brain as a car engine.
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6:43 - 6:45If you want to switch gears,
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6:45 - 6:47if you want to take it to the next level,
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6:47 - 6:49and beyond, well you can't.
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6:49 - 6:52You don't have a wheel
to guide your brain. -
6:52 - 6:54You don't have the levers.
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6:54 - 6:57You can't reach inside, or can you?
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6:57 - 7:00Because even today, 2013, we have
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7:00 - 7:02technologies that can be used
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7:02 - 7:05to boost the brain's performance,
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7:05 - 7:06to enhance memo-recreation,
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7:06 - 7:09to make you think faster.
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7:10 - 7:12These technologies are based on creating
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7:12 - 7:16electromagnetic fields inside your brain.
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7:17 - 7:20There are some neurology
and psychology students -
7:20 - 7:24who even use these technologies
on themselves, -
7:24 - 7:27by attaching generators to their heads,
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7:28 - 7:30so that the electromagnetic field
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7:30 - 7:32is created in certain spots
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7:32 - 7:34and it should help them study better.
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7:34 - 7:36And they say it does.
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7:36 - 7:37That's great, right?
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7:37 - 7:39I mean who wouldn't want that?
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7:39 - 7:41I would want to use this technology!
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7:42 - 7:45But once you start pulling levers
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7:45 - 7:47and pushing buttons in the brain,
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7:48 - 7:51it's got to start being
a mess at some point, -
7:51 - 7:53because the brain is not a simple organ.
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7:53 - 7:55You can't just play around with it.
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7:55 - 7:58And in 30 years, when this technology
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7:58 - 8:00is as commonplace as cellphones today,
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8:01 - 8:04some people will exhibit adverse effects.
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8:05 - 8:08And Omer might be one of those.
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8:09 - 8:11He will use it for a long time
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8:11 - 8:14because he needs
to keep up ahead in his job. -
8:14 - 8:16He has no choice,
everybody else is using it! -
8:17 - 8:19And at some point, something,
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8:19 - 8:22some pulses get burned.
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8:23 - 8:2930 years from now,
he finds it more difficult -
8:29 - 8:31to accomplish his daily tasks,
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8:31 - 8:33that's why he still lives at home.
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8:35 - 8:38Why did I take you
on this journey with me? -
8:39 - 8:41There is a message for all of us here:
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8:43 - 8:45technology is here to serve us,
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8:45 - 8:48to improve our lives
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8:48 - 8:52but only if we use it carefully
and with discretion. -
8:54 - 8:57I believe we should use more regulations
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8:57 - 9:00on emerging technologies, some of which
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9:00 - 9:02I have shown you right now.
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9:02 - 9:04And this is not science fiction.
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9:04 - 9:07All of these technologies exist today.
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9:09 - 9:12I believe we should teach our children
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9:12 - 9:14to be more responsible
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9:14 - 9:16in their use of emerging technologies
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9:17 - 9:19I believe we should start today.
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9:20 - 9:22I call up on you,
each and everyone of you. -
9:22 - 9:24When you finish this conference,
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9:24 - 9:27when you rise from your computer screen,
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9:27 - 9:30go to your children and talk with them
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9:30 - 9:33about the amazing
and exciting technologies -
9:33 - 9:34they are using.
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9:36 - 9:3840 years from now,
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9:39 - 9:43Omer is 41 years old.
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9:44 - 9:46I watch him sleep
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9:46 - 9:52and I thank you for listening to me
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9:52 - 9:56(Applause)
- Title:
- Be careful what you wish for: Dr. Roey Tzezana at TEDxKibbutzimCollegeofEducation
- Description:
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In his research Dr. Tzezana examines future aspects of human enhancement, nano-technology, genetic engineering, and other disruptive technologies. He's also a magician and a father.
powered by NMP solutions and Kibbutzim college, department of media and film,
בית הספר לקולנוע ותקשורת סמינר הקיבוצים - Video Language:
- English
- Team:
- closed TED
- Project:
- TEDxTalks
- Duration:
- 10:03
Elisabeth Buffard
Many corrections, including wrong timing, please check to improve for next time.
Maria Ruzsane Cseresnyes
2:35 - 2:39
And it turns out, O'Neil
is prone to schizophrenia. ----- Omil, not O'Neil
Dimitra Papageorgiou
Changed the name from Omil to Omer, according to Hebrew Language Coordinator suggestion.